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6) Will Edge of Tomorrow open more than 80 million WW? 

 

This question... is it the total between this week's OS OW and next week's DOM OW?

 

No, will it make 80 mill WW next weekend is what it should say.

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Grand Seduction apparently only opened in 3 theaters this weekend despite BOM claiming 100+ theaters.

 

The Grand Seduction (Entertainment One) NEW [3 Theaters] Weekend $18,033, Average $6,011

 

With a hundred theaters, I figured it would be a piece of cake to have a low theater average.

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The weekly 'if the estimates were 100% accurate points scoring update:

 

1) Will Maleficent open to more than 60 mill? YES (10 million downward swing required for NO)

2) Will Million Ways open to more than 33 mill? NO (16 million upward swing required for YES)

3) Will Grand Seduction have a theater average of more than $4500? YES (Baumer voiding the question required for not YES [or a drop of 1.5k)

4) Will Grand Seduction finish in the top 25? NO (Baumer Voidng question or an increase of about 180k required for not NO)

5) Will X-men fall less than 62.5%? NO (1.6% change required for YES)

6) Will Million Dollar Arm make more than ASM2 and The Other Woman, combined? NO (2.2m swing required for YES)

7) Will Maleficent have a WW weekend of more than 135 mill? YES (100M overseas number I believe so 35M drop required for NO)

8) Will any film (not including any films that might have expanded in theater count by more than 100 theaters) have a Friday increase of more than 100%? YES (Blended must fall 44% and Neighbours 11% for NO)

9) Will Million Ways make more than X-men? NO (15.6M swing required for YES)

10) Will Million Ways and Maleficent combine to make more than 4 million from Thursday shows? YES (Maleficent made 4.2 alone I believe)

11) Will Blended drop less than 50%? YES (9% swing required for NO)

12) Will any Memorial Day film that finished in the top 5 fall less than 50%?  YES (Blended, Neighbours and MDA all need to fall between 5 and 9% for the answer to be NO

13) Will Godzilla fall less than 6% on Thursday? NO (it fell 12% actuals)

14) Will ASM2 fall less than 5% on Thursday? NO (it fell 9% actuals)

 

12/14:  3000

13/14:  5000

14/14:  7000

 

Bonus 1:  What will Godzilla's Saturday's gross be? 4000 5.23M

Bonus 2:  What will the combined gross of Million Ways and Maleficent be?  5000 87.069M

Bonus 3:  If you add up the % drops of TOW, Blended and Neighbors, what is your total? 5000 (so if TOW drops 50%, Blended drops 50% and Neighbors drops 50%, your answer is 150%) 147.6%

 

Bonus 4:  

 

What finishes in spots:

 

10 The Other Woman (145k ahead of Belle)

12 Rio 2 (140k behind Belle)

15 Budapest (157k ahead of Immigrant [Divergent currently missing)

16 THe Immigrant (29k ahead of Mom's [Divergent currently missing)

17 Mom's Night Out (29k behind Immigrant [Divergent currently missing)

 

I think this is a rare week where the opening 12 questions can already be scored with confidence.

 

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1) Will Maleficent open to more than 60 mill? YES

2) Will Million Ways open to more than 33 mill? NO

3) Will Grand Seduction have a theater average of more than $4500? NO

4) Will Grand Seduction finish in the top 25? YES

5) Will X-men fall less than 62.5%? NO

6) Will Million Dollar Arm make more than ASM2 and The Other Woman, combined? NO

7) Will Maleficent have a WW weekend of more than 135 mill? YES

8) Will any film (not including any films that might have expanded in theater count by more than 100 theaters) have a Friday increase of more than 100%? YES

9) Will Million Ways make more than X-men? NO

10) Will Million Ways and Maleficent combine to make more than 4 million from Thursday shows? YES

11) Will Blended drop less than 50%? YES

12) Will any Memorial Day film that finished in the top 5 fall less than 50%? YES

13) Will Godzilla fall less than 6% on Thursday? NO

14) Will ASM2 fall less than 5% on Thursday? NO

 

12/14: 3000

13/14: 5000

14/14: 7000

 

Bonus 1: What will Godzilla's Saturday's gross be? 4000 $5,246,022 5.25 fern 5.25  DAR

Bonus 2: What will the combined gross of Million Ways and Maleficent be? 5000 $86,228,683 86.01 Telemachos

Bonus 3: If you add up the % drops of TOW, Blended and Neighbors, what is your total? 5000 (so if TOW drops 50%, Blended drops 50% and Neighbors drops 50%, your answer is 150%) 148% 148.36 narniadis

 

Bonus 4:

 

What finishes in spots:

 

10 THE OTHER WOMAN

12 RIO 2

15 GRAND BUDAPEST HOTEL

16 DIVERGENT

17 THE GRAND SEDUCTION

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For Bonus 1, I guess since fern and DAR both had the same guess, they split the 4000 points and each get 2000.

 

 

Note: folks should use decimal points. There are too many people answering the exact same thing this year. For example, for bonus 3 this week, 3 people answered 156% and 3 people answered 145%. And there were a few other numbers that were repeated by just 2 people instead of 3.

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