ecstasy Posted May 2, 2014 Share Posted May 2, 2014 It's nothing gigantic, but it's not awful either. It's ahead of TASM1. That alone is enough to keep 250 well in play. And it's not going to get clobbered by TDKR on its 3rd weekend. Though we all hope Godzilla will be gigantic. Speaking of most hated film of the year on this forum, Godzilla feels like the opposite. Seems like everyone wants to jump on the Godzilla bandwagon. Godzilla looks damn good though. Not hard to see why. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kitik Posted May 2, 2014 Share Posted May 2, 2014 What was the average OW prediction for this here? No clue, but it feels like most people were in the 80-105 range. If TASM2 has an OW of 92.5 (give or take 5 million), I think most people would think it was exactly in line with expectations. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaptainJackSparrow Posted May 2, 2014 Author Share Posted May 2, 2014 Godzilla and X Men will be a one two punch on Spidey. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted May 2, 2014 Share Posted May 2, 2014 Speaking of most hated film of the year on this forum, Godzilla feels like the opposite. Seems like everyone wants to jump on the Godzilla bandwagon. Yeah, felt just like that with Man of Steel last summer. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
spizzer Posted May 2, 2014 Share Posted May 2, 2014 No clue, but it feels like most people were in the 80-105 range. If TASM2 has an OW of 92.5 (give or take 5 million), I think most people would think it was exactly in line with expectations. Average of: [*]RS [*]MTC [*]LA Times [*]Variety [*]THR [*]EW [*]Box Office [*]Coming Soon [*]Box Office Guru [*]Box Office Mojo predictions gives me 94.4M with a range of 88-102. As far as I'm concerned this number suggests that its going to fall near the lower end of that range, right below the average. I don't think much else can be made out of the number we've been given. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
spizzer Posted May 2, 2014 Share Posted May 2, 2014 The MTC number is a bit high at 102M. In my RS/MTC model that yields a predicted 104.8M. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
boomboom234 Posted May 2, 2014 Share Posted May 2, 2014 (edited) Yeah, felt just like that with Man of Steel last summer. A testament to how good WBs marketing department is. Sony should take notes Edited May 2, 2014 by The Sun's Son Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ando918 Posted May 2, 2014 Share Posted May 2, 2014 (edited) It's nothing gigantic, but it's not awful either. It's ahead of TASM1. That alone is enough to keep 250 well in play. And it's not going to get clobbered by TDKR on its 3rd weekend. Though we all hope Godzilla will be gigantic. Didn't the last SM movie open a Tuesday before the 4th of July weekend? That helped it a lot in getting off to a jump start in its first 7 days. And it also benefitted from little kids being off from school on weekdays in July. The kids are going to be in school on weekdays during the month of May. Last one made 144 million in its 1st 7 days. This one won't come close to that total in its first 7 days. Will only make 210 or 220 domestic. Edited May 2, 2014 by Ando81 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deathlife Posted May 2, 2014 Share Posted May 2, 2014 In as much as I hate what Sony has done with the franchise, they are kind of in a tight position regarding Spider-man.I don't know the exact details of their licensing contract with Marvel but I believe they HAVE to literally keep making Spider-man movies or Spider-man related movies within a certain period of time to hold onto the rights.I don't think they have the luxury of waiting almost a decade like WB did with Batman to re-boot. Which is all the more reason why they shouldn't have done the hard re-boot in the first place. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahnamahna Posted May 2, 2014 Share Posted May 2, 2014 Hmm so $90-95 million OW for ASM2... not bad. It will likely finish with $210-230 million DOM which is disappointing. However $100-105 million is possible since this will skew more towards families than Cap 2. That would likely take it to $220-240 million for its range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaptainJackSparrow Posted May 2, 2014 Author Share Posted May 2, 2014 Still, ending up less than ASM is a huge disappointment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JohnnyGossamer Posted May 2, 2014 Share Posted May 2, 2014 Yeah, felt just like that with Man of Steel last summer. Iron Man Three was far more liked than Amazing Spidey 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahnamahna Posted May 2, 2014 Share Posted May 2, 2014 In as much as I hate what Sony has done with the franchise, they are kind of in a tight position regarding Spider-man.I don't know the exact details of their licensing contract with Marvel but I believe they HAVE to literally keep making Spider-man movies or Spider-man related movies within a certain period of time to hold onto the rights.I don't think they have the luxury of waiting almost a decade like WB did with Batman to re-boot.Which is all the more reason why they shouldn't have done the hard re-boot in the first place. Sell the rights back to Marvel Studios - take the change and make some mid-level budget films throughout the year. Sony has James Bond, Ghostbusters, Men in Black, Bad Boys, Hotel Transylvania, Adam Sandler in general, Oscar films (Captain Phillips, American Hustle, Zero Dark Thirty, etc)... no reason for them to act like Spider-Man is the only golden goose in their repertoire Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Captain Craig Posted May 2, 2014 Share Posted May 2, 2014 Should we start and over/under on which person at SONY "resigns" during the month of June? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rockNrollaDIM Posted May 2, 2014 Share Posted May 2, 2014 Are GA's thinking now we've seen four Spidey films, is there really anything new to offer at this point? $80-90m OW is still WAY more than the studio deserves for pulling this crap. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted May 2, 2014 Share Posted May 2, 2014 I think you guys are being too optimistic for today's numbers. Sure it opened higher than the last ASM but you still can't eliminate the fact that the last one was not loved. I think there is a very real possibility this opens to less than 85 and a small possibility it opens to less than 80. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dementeleus Posted May 2, 2014 Share Posted May 2, 2014 This film isn't going to ruin Sony or their control of the Spidey franchise. C'mon now. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaptainJackSparrow Posted May 2, 2014 Author Share Posted May 2, 2014 I just checked...the only movies I like from the writers are the Transformer films. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted May 2, 2014 Share Posted May 2, 2014 I just checked...the only movies I like from the writers are the Transformer films. You are baumer's kindred spirit. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BadAtGender Posted May 2, 2014 Share Posted May 2, 2014 I just checked...the only movies I like from the writers are the Transformer films. Don't care for the Treks? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
