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Weekend Prediction thread 5/3-5/5 Play the Derby

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2 hours ago, DAJK said:

 Happy Death Day - $22.5M

The Foreigner - $9.6M

Blade Runner - $13.9M

Mountain Between Us - $5.8M

 

Geostorm - $11.5M

The Snowman - $11M

Only The Brave - $16.2M

Happy Death Day - $8.1M

The Foreigner - $5M

 

Suburbicon - $10M

Jigsaw - $15M

Geostorm - $5M

Only the Brave - $10.2M

The Snowman - $4.8M

 

Thor - $128.5M

Bad Mom's - $25.5M (35M)

Suburbicon - $6.1M

Jigsaw - $6M

 

Murder on the Orient Express - $29.3M

Daddy's Home 2 - $26M

Thor - $50M

Bad Mom's - $14M

 

Justice League - $140M

Wonder - $11.9M

The Star - $8M

Murder on the Orient Express - $18M

Daddy's Home 2 - $13.9M

I think you guys are joking at this point. JL isn't opening to 140M, which is SS's opening adjusted for inflation. It just isn't happening. 150 is the lowest it can go. 

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On 10/4/2017 at 6:02 PM, Blankments said:

Home Again, American Assassin, Spider-Man: Homecoming, Tangled, Friend Request, and mother! are gone.

The Princess and the Frog is gone.

 

Blade Runner 2049 - 14/3 (2D/3D) total 17 (down 3)

Happy Death Day - 14 (debut)

It - 13 (no change)

The Foreigner - 11 (debut)

The Mountain Between Us - 10 (down 1)
My Little Pony: The Movie - 10 (down 6)

Kingsman: The Golden Circle - 9 (down 3)
American Made - 5 (down 5)

Brave - 4 (debut)

Flatliners - 4 (down 5)
Battle of the Sexes - 3 (down 1)
American Assassin - 2 (return)

The Stray - 2 (down 2)
The LEGO Ninjago Movie - 1 (3D) (down 4)

The Rocky Horror Picture Show - 1 (no change)

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atm,

(bold may see significant changes)

 

Happy Death - 20

Blade Runner - 14

Foreigner - 14

It - 6

Mountain - 5.5

American - 5

Kingsman - 5

Pony - 4.75

Ninjago - 4

Victoria - 4

Marshall - 4

Marston - 3

Sexes - 2

Flatliners - 1.33

 

Edited by Matrix4You
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Spoiler

13th / 15th October:

 

1. Happy Death Day: $34.8 million

2. Blade Runner 2049: $17 million

3. The Foreigner: $16.5 million

4. IT: $6 million

5. The Mountain Between Us: $5 million

 

20th / 22nd October:

 

1. Geostorm: $25 million

2. Boo 2!: $22 million

3. Happy Death Day: $17 million

4. Blade Runner 2049: $10 million

5. The Foreigner: $7.8 million

 

27th / 29th October:

 

1. Jigsaw: $32 million

2. Suburbicon: $15 million

3. Boo 2!: $13.2 million

4. Happy Death Day: $9.5 million

5. Blade Runner 2049: $6 million

 

 

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predix...

Happy Death Day - 20.00 - $6,351 - 20.00

The Foreigner - 14.00 - $5,567 - 14.00

Blade Runner - 13.50 (-58.8%) $3,327 - 58.96

It - 6.00 (-39.8%) $1,889 - 314.86

Mountain Between - 6.00 (-43.1%) $1,841 - 20.87

American Made - 5.00 (-40.8%) $1,618 - 39.73

Kingsman - 5.00 (-42.4%) $1,677 - 89.31

Pony - 4.75 (-46.5%) $1,879 - 16.25

LEGO - 4.50 (-35.7%) $1,474 - 51.76

Victoria - 3.60 - $4,000 - 11.82

Marshall - 3.50 - $4,263 - 3.50

Professor Marston - 2.50 - $2,034 - 2.50

Battle of Sexes - 1.75 (-31.7%) - $1,255 - 10.77

Flatliners - 1.75 (-56.0%) - $883 - 15.95

American Assassin - 0.65 (-53.2%) - $793 - 35.70

 

Til Death Do Us Part - 250k (-67%) - 3.17

The Stray - 240k (-60%) - 1.14

Despicable Me 3 - 225k (-22.5%) - 262.99

Home Again - 180k (-68.3%) - 26.83

Dunkirk - 175k (-22.4%) - 187.57

A Question of Faith - 150k (-67%) - 2.19

Stronger - 135k (-51.4%) - 4.04

Annabelle - 120k (-18.8%) - 101.94

mother! - 120k (-69.1%) - 17.64

Judwaa 2 - 115k (-63%) - 1.42

Cars 3 - 100k (-10.4%) - 152.75

Leap! - 100k (-52.9%) - 21.43

Wind River - 100k (-51.5%) - 33.45

Hitman's Bodyguard - 80k (-52.5%) - 75.19

Wonder Woman - 60k (-30.8%) - 412.50

 

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On 14/10/2017 at 1:21 AM, Impact said:

What will be the next 30M opener I wonder? Thor 3? Or something before then?

I have the feeling that Boo 2 will be. Small increase from Boo's opening but fall short in total gross, just like Why Did I Get Married, Too?

Edited by boxofficeth
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TYLER PERRY'S BOO 2! A MADEA HALLOWEEN: 17M

Only the Brave: 14M

Happy Death Day: 12M

Geostorm: 9M

The Foreigner: 7.2M

Blade Runner: 7M

It: 3.6M

The Snowman: 3.5M

The Mountain Between Us: 3.4M

American Made: 3.2M

Kingsman: 3M

Same Kind of Different as Me: 2.5M

 

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  1. Boo 2 - 17M
  2. Only the Brave - 15M
  3. Happy Death Day - 14M
  4. Geostorm - 9M
  5. Blade Runner - 7.55M
  6. The Foreigner - 7.06M
  7. The Snowman - 4.5M
  8. It - 3.75M
  9. American Made - 3.42M
  10. The Mountain Between Us - 2.94M
  11. Kingsman - 2.82M
  12. Ninjago - 2.72M
  13. Same Kind of Different as Me - 2.5M
  14. Victoria & Abdul - 2.18M
  15. Marshall - 1.82M
  16. My Little Pony - 1.6M
  17. Battle of the Sexes - 674k
  18. Flatliners - 540k
  19. Professor Marston - 258k
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Spoiler

10/20-10/22

  1. Boo 2! A Madea Halloween: $21 million 
  2. Only the Brave: $17 million 
  3. Happy Death Day: $14 million ($48 million) 
  4. The Snowman: $10.5 million 
  5. Blade Runner 2049: $8.5 million ($73 million) 
  6. Geostorm: $7.5 million 
  7. The Foreigner: $7 million ($24 million) 
  8. IT: $4 million ($321 million) 
  9. The Mountain Between Us: $3.5 million ($25 million) 
  10. American Made: $3.5 million ($45 million) 

10/27-10/29

  1. Suburbicon: $13.5 million 
  2. Boo 2! A Madea Halloween: $12 million ($39 million) 
  3. Only the Brave: $11 million ($34 million) 
  4. Happy Death Day: $9 million ($62 million) 
  5. Jigsaw: $7 million 
  6. Blade Runner 2049: $5.5 million ($81 million) 
  7. The Snowman: $5 million ($18 million) 
  8. The Foreigner: $3.5 million ($29 million) 
  9. IT: $3 million ($325 million) 
  10. Thank You for Your Service: $3 million 

11/3-11/5

  1. Thor - Ragnorak: $126 million 
  2. A Bad Moms Christmas: $22 million ($35 million)
  3. Only the Brave: $7 million ($44 million) 
  4. Suburbicon: $6.5 million ($23 million) 
  5. Boo 2! A Madea Halloween: $4.5 million ($47 million) 
  6. Happy Death Day: $4 million ($69 million) 
  7. Blade Runner 2049: $3.5 million ($86 million) 
  8. Jigsaw: $2.5 million ($11 million) 
  9. The Snowman: $2.5 million ($22 million) 
  10. The Foreigner: $2 million ($32 million) 

11/10-11/12

  1. Thor - Ragnorak: $55.5 million ($211 million) 
  2. Murder on the Orient Express: $52 million 
  3. Daddy's Home 2: $32 million 
  4. A Bad Moms Christmas: $13 million ($54 million) 
  5. Only the Brave: $5.5 million ($52 million) 
  6. Suburbicon: $3.5 million ($28 million) 
  7. Blade Runner 2049: $2.5 million ($90 million) 
  8. Boo 2! A Madea Halloween: $2 million ($50 million) 
  9. Happy Death Day: $2 million ($72 million) 
  10. The Snowman: $1.5 million ($24 million) 

11/17-11/19

  1. Justice League: $153 million 
  2. Murder on the Orient Express: $21.5 million ($87 million) 
  3. Thor - Ragnorak: $21 million ($244 million) 
  4. Daddy's Home 2: $15 million ($53 million) 
  5. The Star: $9 million
  6. Wonder: $7 million 
  7. A Bad Moms Christmas: $7 million ($65 million) 
  8. Only the Brave: $3 million ($56 million) 
  9. Suburbicon: $1.5 million ($30 million) 
  10. Blade Runner 2049: $1.5 million ($92 million) 

11/22-11/26

  1. Coco: $65 million/$92.5 million 
  2. Justice League: $57 million/$85 million ($260 million) 
  3. Thor - Ragnorak: $17 million/$26 million ($276 million) 
  4. Murder on the Orient Express: $15.5 million/$22.5 million ($114 million) 
  5. Daddy's Home 2: $12.5 million/$18.5 million ($76 million) 
  6. The Star: $10 million/$15 million ($27 million) 
  7. Wonder: $8.5 million/$12.5 million ($21 million) 
  8. A Bad Moms Christmas: $6 million/$9.5 million ($77 million) 
  9. Only the Brave: $2 million/$3 million ($60 million) 
  10. Chappaquiddick: $2 million/$3 million 

 

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As long as Murder turns out to be decently good and not a piece of crap, say 65+ RT score range or higher, I could see it becoming a legitimate hit. It's been getting lots of attention from older crowds and I've been getting phone calls for weeks about it at work.

 

Wouldnt be surprised if it plays similar to Gone Girl.

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Wide Openers Through December 2017 and their projected totals:

 

10/13-10/15

 

Happy death day: $26.5M/$78.2M (2.95x)

The foreigner: $12.4M/$37.2M (3x)

 

10/20-10/22

 

Boo 2!: $25M/$60M (2.4x)

Geostorm: $20M/$44M (2.2x)

Only the brave: $12.8M/$35M (2.73x)

The snowman: $7M/$15M (2.14x)

 

10/27-10/29

 

Jigsaw: $24M/$65M (2.7x)

Suburbicon: $15M/$35M (2.333x)

Thank you for your service: $5M/$15M (3x)

All I see is you: $2.5M/$5M (2x) 

 

11/3-11/5

 

Thor: ragnarok: $130M/$325M (2.5x)

A bad mom's christmas: $35M/$100M (2.85x)

 

11/10-11/12

 

Daddy's home 2: $40M/$115M (2.9x)

Murder on the orient express: $17.5M/$75M (4.3x)

 

11/17-11/19

 

Justice league: $175M/$475M (2.71x)

Wonder: $20M/$80M (4x)

The star: $6M/$20M (3.33x)

 

11/24-11/26

 

Coco: $67.5M/$256.5M (3.8x)

Chappaquidick: $6M/$18M (3x)

Polaroid: $3M/$8M (2.66x)

 

12/8-12/10

 

Just getting started: $10M/$35M (3.5x)

 

12/15-12/17

 

Star wars 8: $232M/$812M (3.5x)

Feridnand: $24M/$150M (6.24x)

 

12/22-12/24

Pitch Perfect 3: $48.5M/$175M (3.61x)

Jumanji: $28M/$140M (5x)

Father Figures: $20M/$100M (5x)

Downsizing: $6M/$40M (6.33x)

 

12/29-12/31

 

The Greatest Showman: $15M/$65M (4.33x)

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early predix

Boo 2! - 25.0

Geostorm - 16.0

Only the Brave - 13.0

Happy Death Day - 12.0 - 44.50

Blade Runner 2049 - 8.50 - 75.50

The Snowman - 8.50

Foreigner - 7.25 - 25.00

Same Kind of Different - 6.50

It - 4.00 - 319.50

American Made - 3.75 - 46.25

Mountain Between - 3.50 - 26.50

Kingsman - 3.00 - 94.75

Lego Ninjago - 3.00 - 55.50

My Little Pony - 2.75 - 19.00

Victoria - 2.50 - 15.50

Marshall - 2.00 - 6.00

Sexes - 1.00 - 12.00

Flatliners - 0.50 - 16.50

 

Edited by Matrix4You
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10/20-10/22

 

  1. Boo 2! A Madea Halloween: $26 million
  2. Geostorm: $18 million
  3. Only The Brave: $17 million
  4. Happy Death Day: $12.7 million
  5. Blade Runner 2049: $8.5 million
  6. The Snowman: $7 million
  7. Same Kind Of Different: $6 million
  8. IT: $4 million
  9. American Made: $3.4 million
  10. The Mountain Between Us: $3.1 million

10/27-10/29

  1. Jigsaw: $24 million
  2. Boo 2! A Madea Halloween: $15 million
  3. Suburbicon: $13 million
  4. Only The Brave: $10 million
  5. Geostorm: $7.2 million
  6. Happy Death Day: $7 million
  7. Blade Runner 2049: $5.1 million
  8. All I See Is You: $5 million
  9. Thank You For Your Service: $4 million
  10. The Snowman: $2.8 million                                                                      

11/3-11/5

  1. Thor - Ragnarok: $132.5 million
  2. A Bad Mom's Christmas: $35 million
  3. Jigsaw: $10.3 million
  4. Boo 2! A Madea Halloween: $6.8 million
  5. Only The Brave: $6 million
  6. Suburbicon: $5.2 million
  7. Happy Death Day: $4.2 million
  8. Geostorm: $3.6 million
  9. Blade Runner 2049: $3 million
  10. All I See Is You: $2.5 million

11/10-11/12

  1. Thor - Ragnarok: $59.5 million
  2. Daddy's Home 2: $40 million
  3. Murder On The Orient Express: $25 million
  4. A Bad Moms Christmas: $20 million
  5. Jigsaw: $5.1 million
  6. Boo 2! A Madea Halloween: $3.4 million
  7. Only The Brave: $3 million
  8. Suburbicon: $2.6 million
  9. Happy Death Day: $2.5 million
  10. Geostorm: $1.8 million

11/17-11/19

  1. Justice League: $175 million
  2. Thor - Ragnarok: $27.3 million
  3. Daddy's Home 2: $22 million
  4. Wonder: $20 million
  5. Murder On The Orient Express: $15 million
  6. A Bad Mom's Christmas: $12 million
  7. The Star: $7 million
  8. Jigsaw: $3 million
  9. Only The Brave: $2 million
  10. Boo 2! A Madea Halloween: $1.7 milllion

11/24-11/26

  1. Justice League: $79 million
  2. Coco: $67 million
  3. Thor - Ragnarok: $19.1 million 
  4. Daddy's Home 2: $14.3 million 
  5. Wonder: $13 million
  6. Murder On The Orient Express: $9 million
  7. A Bad Mom's Christmas: $7.2 million
  8. Polaroid: $5 million
  9. The Star: $4.2 million
  10. Jigsaw: $1.5 million

 

 

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