Weekend Prediction thread 5/10-5/12 Play the Derby

[mahnamahna]

Spoiler

6/8-6/10

1. Ocean's 8: $46 million 
2. Deadpool 2: $14.5 million ($281 million)
3. Solo - A Star Wars Story: $13.5 million ($174 million) 
4. Hereditary: $10.5 million 
5. Avengers - Infinity War: $7 million ($655 million) 
6. Adrift: $6 million ($22 million) 
7. Hotel Artemis: $5 million 
8. Book Club: $4 million ($54 million) 
9. Life of the Party: $1.5 million ($49 million) 
10. Upgrade: $1.5 million ($7 million) 

 

[dxmatrixdt]

 6/8 - 6/10  
(new) - Oceans Eight - 41.50 - 41.50

(-42%) - Solo: Star Wars - 17.00 - 177.50

(-41%) - Deadpool 2 - 13.70 - 278.20

(new) - Hereditary - 13.00 - 13.00

(-36%) - Avengers - 6.70 - 654.21

(-50%) - Adrift - 5.80 - 22.40

(new) - Hotel Artemis - 5.25 - 5.25

(-50%) - Book Club - 3.50 - 55.34

(-44%) - Upgrade - 2.60 - 9.45

(-54%) - Life of the Party - 1.60 - 49.51

(-54%) - Breaking In - 1.30 - 43.85

(-46%) - Action Point - 1.30 - 4.99

(-49%) - A Quiet Place - 0.90 - 185.25

(-54%) - Overboard - 0.90 - 47.28

(-54%) - Show Dogs - 0.70 - 16.17

 

Spoiler

 6/15 - 6/17  

(new) - Incredibles 2 - 130.00 - 130.00

(-41%) - Oceans Eight - 22.00 - 80.50

(new) - Tag - 17.00 - 17.00

(-30%) - Deadpool - 9.60 - 294.60

(-44%) - Solo: Star Wars - 9.60 - 194.60

(-46%) - Hereditary - 7.00 - 26.00

(new) - Superfly - 6.20 - 10.00

(-33%) - Avengers - 4.50 - 662.00

(-33%) - Hotel Artemis - 3.50 - 11.50

(new) - Race 3 - 3.00 - 3.00

(-50%) - Adrift - 2.90 - 28.30

(-51%) - Book Club - 1.70 - 59.20

(-50%) - Upgrade - 1.30 - 12.05

(-62%) - Life of the Party - 0.60 - 50.93

(-44%) - A Quiet Place - 0.50 - 86.25

(-65%) - Breaking In - 0.45 - 44.88

(-56%) - Overboard - 0.40 - 48.15

(-77%) - Action Point - 0.30 - 6.00

 

Spoiler

 6/22 - 6/24  

(new) - Jurassic: Fallen - 130.00 - 130.00

(-56%) - Incredibles - 57.00 - 252.00

(-36%) - Oceans Eight - 14.00 - 108.00

(-41%) - Tag - 10.00 - 36.00

(-52%) - Deadpool - 4.60 - 304.60

(-52%) - Solo: Star Wars - 4.60 - 204.60

(-43%) - Hereditary - 4.00 - 34.10

(-37%) - Superfly - 3.90 - 17.10

(-47%) - Avengers - 2.40 - 667.00

(-50%) - Hotel Artemis - 1.75 - 15.00

(-50%) - Adrift - 1.45 - 31.45

(-58%) - Race 3 - 1.25 - 5.75

(-50%) - Book Club - 0.85 - 61.10

(-61%) - Upgrade - 0.50 - 13.25

 

Spoiler

 6/29 - 7/1  

(-53%) - Jurassic: Fallen - 61.00 - 256.00

(-42%) - Incredibles - 33.00 - 317.50

(new) - Sicario - 15.00 - 15.00

(new) - Uncle Drew - 10.50 - 10.50

(-30%) - Oceans Eight - 9.80 - 125.50

(-33%) - Tag - 6.70 - 48.45

(-39%) - Deadpool - 2.80 - 310.40

(-39%) - Solo: Star Wars - 2.80 - 210.40

(-48%) - Hereditary - 2.10 - 38.60

(-50%) - Superfly - 1.95 - 21.10

(-35%) - Avengers - 1.55 - 670.10

 

Spoiler

 7/6 - 7/8 

(new) - Ant Man - 87.00 - 87.00

(-51%) - Jurassic: Fallen - 30.00 - 326.50

(new) - First Purge - 20.00 - 36.50

(-41%) - Incredibles - 19.50 - 361.50

(-47%) - Sicario - 8.00 - 32.00

(-43%) - Uncle Drew - 6.00 - 21.00

(-50%) - Oceans Eight - 4.90 - 136.00

(-40%) - Tag - 4.00 - 57.50

(-50%) - Deadpool - 1.40 - 313.50

(-50%) - Solo: Star Wars - 1.40 - 213.50

(-50%) - Hereditary - 1.05 - 41.05

(-35%) - Avengers - 1.00 - 672.10

 

Spoiler

 7/13 - 7/15 

(new) - Skyscraper - 50.00 - 50.00

(-54%) - Ant Man - 40.00 - 167.00

(new) - Hotel Transylvania 3 - 30.00 - 30.00

(-43%) - Jurassic: Fallen - 17.00 - 362.00

(-49%) - Incredibles 2 - 10.00 - 385.00

(-50%) -  First Purge - 10.00 - 58.50

(-44%) - Sicario - 4.50 - 41.50

(-50%) - Uncle Drew - 3.00 - 28.00

(-39%) - Oceans Eight - 3.00 - 142.00

(-38%) - Tag - 2.50 - 62.50

 

Spoiler

 7/20 - 7/22 

(new) - Mamma Mia! - 35.00 - 35.00

(new) - Equalizer 2 - 25.00 - 25.00

(-50%) - Skyscraper - 25.00 - 105.00

(-50%) - Ant Man - 20.00 - 210.00

(-40%) - Hotel Transylvania 3 - 18.00 - 68.00

(new) - Unfriended: Dark Web - 15.00 - 15.00

(-41%) - Jurassic: Fallen - 10.00 - 383.00

(-40%) - Incredibles - 6.00 - 397.50

(-50%) - First Purge - 5.00 - 69.50

(-44%) - Sicario - 2.50 - 46.50

 

 

 

 

 

 

[Dandeak2000]

8th - 10th June 2018 ($112.3/$263.4/$5,175.9)

 

1. Ocean's 8 $44 ($11K on 4,000 theaters)

2. Deadpool 2 $13.9/$276.4 (-40%)

3. Solo: A Star Wars Story $13.2/$160 (-55%)

4. Hereditary $10

7. Avengers: Infinity War $7/$654 (-37%)

5. Adrift $5.2/$20 (-55%)

6. Hotel Artemis $5

8. Book Club $4.9/$55.2 (-30%)

9. Upgrade $2.4/$8.6 (-50%)

10. Life of the Party $2.3/$50.3 (-33%)

 

15th - 17th June 2018 ($236.8/$552.4/$5,464.9)

 

1. The Incredibles 2 $155

2. Tag $25

3. Ocean's 8 $19.8/$74 (-55%)

4. Deadpool 2 $8.1/$289 (-42%)

5. Solo: A Star Wars Story $7.3/$171.5 (-45%)

6. Hereditary $5/$18 (-50%)

8. Avengers: Infinity War $4.2/$660.5 (-40%)

7. Adrift $2.6/$24.3 (-50%)

9. Hotel Artemis $2.5/$9.3 (-50%)

10. Superfly $2.3/$3

 

Spoiler

22nd - 24th June 2018 ($292.2/$958.6/$5,871.1)

 

1. Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom $175

2. The Incredibles 2 $74.4/$267.5 (-52%)

3. Tag $11.3/$43 (-55%)

4. Ocean's 8 $10.3/$90 (-48%)

5. Deadpool 2 $4.5/$296.5 (-45%)

6. Solo: A Star Wars Story $3.7/$177 (-50%)

7. Hereditary $2.8/$22.5 (-45%)

8. Avengers: Infinity War $2.3/$664.3 (-45%)

9. Hotel Artemis $1.5/$11.8 (-40%)

10. Adrift $1.4/$26.7 (-45%)

 

[Justmyl25179899]

Ocean's 8 44.6m

Solo 14.3m

Deadpool 2 12.6m

Hereditary 9m

Hotel Artmetis 7.9m

Avengers IW 7.6m

Adrift 5.7m

Book Club 5m

Upgrade 2.3m

Life Of The Party 2m

[Impact]

Too bad Solo can't do better.

 

I actually thought it was one of the better Star Wars films.

 

Yeah I know-I really thought it was actually really good and quite funny at times.

[That One Girl]

1. Ocean's 8 - $60M
2. Solo: A Star Wars Story - $14.1M
3. Deadpool 2 - $13.7M
4. Hereditary - $9.3M
5. Adrift - $8.12M
6. Avengers: Infinity War - $6.62M
7. Hotel Artemis - $6.1M
8. Book Club - $5M
9. Upgrade - $3.36M
10. Life of the Party - $1.54M
11. First Reformed - $1.3M
12. Breaking In - $1.29M
13. A Quiet Place - $1.26M
14. Won't You Be My Neighbor? - $1.02M
15. Overboard - $975k
16. Show Dogs - $886k
17. RBG - $859k
18. Action Point - $717k

Edited June 7, 2018 by That One Guy

[Blankments]

On 5/30/2018 at 11:45 PM, Blankments said:

Breaking In is gone.

Life of the Party and Show Dogs are gone.

 

Solo: A Star Wars Story - 9/3 (2D/3D) total 12 (down 4)

Ocean's 8 - 10 (debut)
Avengers: Infinity War - 9 (up 1)

Deadpool 2 - 9 (down 2)

Hereditary - 9 (debut)

Hotel Artemis - 9 (debut)

Adrift - 7 (down 2)

Book Club - 3 (down 5)

Action Point - 2 (down 3)

[Maxmoser3]

Incredibles 2: $135 million

 Tag: $12 million 

Superfly: $3 million($6 million 5-day)

 

i had to change Superfly looks like Super trash. It looks a cheaply made hip hop music video with that dude who sounds like Kenny from South Park rapping.

Edited June 10, 2018 by Maxmoser3

[Krissykins]

Incredibles $145m

 

 

[filmlover]

Incredibles 2: $135M

Tag: $14M

Superfly: $5M (5-day)

[WrathOfHan]

Incredibles 2: 165M

Ocean's 8: 22M

Tag: 16M

Solo: A Star Wars Story: 8.4M

Deadpool 2: 8.2M

Hereditary: 6.5M

SuperFly: 5M (6.5M 5 day)

Avengers: Infinity War: 4.8M

Book Club: 2.3M

Adrift: 2.2M

[filmlover]

I'm really having a hard time seeing anything higher than low-teens for Tag.

[WrathOfHan]

2 hours ago, filmlover said:

I'm really having a hard time seeing anything higher than low-teens for Tag.

The reviews on Letterboxd are very strong, and it's getting a slightly bigger ad push than Game Night did. If the embargo lifts on Tuesday, buzz will start picking up.

[Sears]

Incredibles 2: 155m

Ocean's 8: 20m 

Tag: 15.5m

Solo: A Star Wars Story: 9m

Deadpool 2: 8.3m

Hereditary: 5.4m

Superfly: 4.6m (6.2 m5 day)

Avengers: Infinity War: 4.2m

Book Club: 3.8m

Adrift: 3.5m

[Barnack]

On 6/10/2018 at 2:08 PM, WrathOfHan said:

The reviews on Letterboxd are very strong, and it's getting a slightly bigger ad push than Game Night did. If the embargo lifts on Tuesday, buzz will start picking up.

Is it ?

 

https://variety.com/2018/digital/news/jurassic-world-fallen-kingdom-tops-studios-tv-ad-spending-2-1202829844/

https://variety.com/2018/digital/news/ready-player-one-tops-studios-tv-ad-spending-1202712240/

[WrathOfHan]

2 minutes ago, Barnack said:

Is it ?

 

https://variety.com/2018/digital/news/jurassic-world-fallen-kingdom-tops-studios-tv-ad-spending-2-1202829844/

https://variety.com/2018/digital/news/ready-player-one-tops-studios-tv-ad-spending-1202712240/

According to iSpot, it's aired 1,762 ads so far. Game Night aired 1,812 total

[Barnack]

2 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

According to iSpot, it's aired 1,762 ads so far. Game Night aired 1,812 total

It is often the best we can use, but I imagine it can be quite misleading, 1 spot during the NBA final is quite different than one the afternoon on a cable channel. We will have a better idea tomorrow if we have a variety top 5 (should be in it).

[Maxmoser3]

On 6/10/2018 at 11:29 AM, filmlover said:

I'm really having a hard time seeing anything higher than low-teens for Tag.

The spots have been average.

 

The cast is intriguing, but the film will debut like The House on a low to Fist Fight on a high.

 

The movie isn’t really appealing the last spot I saw looked good but other than good it’s a movie that seems harmless but forgettable.

[That One Girl]

1. Incredibles 2 - $141.5M
2. Ocean's 8 - $25.8M
3. Tag - $17.4M
4. Solo: A Star Wars Story - $8.03M
5. Deadpool 2 - $6.51M
6. Superfly - $6.5M
7. Hereditary - $6.11M
8. Race 3 - $5.04M
9. Avengers: Infinity War - $3.26M
10. Book Club - $2.87M
11. Adrift - $2.32M
12. Life of the Party - $1.28M
13. Hotel Artemis - $1.13M
14. Upgrade - $1M
15. Breaking In - $693k
16. Overboard - $674k
17. A Quiet Place - $569k

[DAJK]

IMO Incredibles is going to open to 10x Tag numbers. Whether that means something like 13/130 or 17/170, i’m all in either way.