Weekend Prediction thread 5/10-5/12 Play the Derby

[That One Girl]

1. Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom - $66.6M
2. Incredibles 2 - $45.8M
3. Uncle Drew - $15.3M
4. Sicario: Day of the Soldado - $14.1M
5. Ocean's 8 - $7.56M
6. Tag - $4.95M
7. Deadpool 2 - $3.48M
8. Sanju - $3.3M
9. Won't You Be My Neighbor? - $3.02M
10. Solo: A Star Wars Story - $2.3M
11. Hereditary - $1.96M
12. Avengers: Infinity War - $1.45M
13. Superfly - $1.43M

[a2k]

JW2 2nd weekend predicts:

pro.BO 62

the-numbers ~60

Mojo 59

 

I would gladly take Mojo's 59. Would be tough to miss 385-390 if it can do as good as 59 (-60%).

[dxmatrixdt]

Jurassic World -61% 57.50 - 262.00

Incredibles 2 -39% 49.00 - 443.00

Sicario 2 -new 15.40 - 17.64

Uncle Drew -new 12.56 - 13.80

Ocean's 8 -31% 8.00 - 114.60

Tag -39% 5.00 - 40.25

Deadpool 2 -36% 3.40 - 310.30

Solo: Star Wars -42% 2.60 - 207.52

Hereditary -45% 2.00 - 39.16

Won't You Be My Neighbor +10% 2.00 - 7.19

Superfly -59% 1.39 - 18.41

Infinity War -47% 1.36 - 672.45

 

Book Club -30%  0.67 - 66.13

Adrift -47%  0.42 - 30.03

Gotti -52%  0.39 - 4.05

Overboard -45%  0.30 - 50.25

Rampage -74%  0.24 - 98.02

A Quiet Place -6%  0.15 - 187.13

Breaking In -65%  0.13 - 46.05

 

the next weekdays for these films (Mon-Thurs) will likely not be 0.67%ish of this weekend because Purge will cut the theater counts Tuesday night and then Ant-Man on Thursday night.  the weekdays after next should have a better gauge on where the final totals will be.  

 

Upgrade -10%  85k - 11.62

Ready Player One -18%  78k - 136.96

Show Dogs +11%  77k - 17.43

Life of the Party -45%  67k - 52.37

Black Panther -41%  45k - 699.83

Hotel Artemis -72%  20k - 6.64

[filmlover]

Ant-Man and the Wasp: $92M

The First Purge: $28M (5-day)

[Maxmoser3]

Ant man and the hot chick from Lost: $80 million

 

Purge 4: $24 million 3-day($36 million 5-day)

[mahnamahna]

Spoiler

7/6-7/8

1. Ant-Man and the Wasp: $91 million 
2. Incredibles 2: $29 million ($502 million) 
3. Jurassic World - Fallen Kingdom: $27.5 million ($325 million) 
4. The First Purge: $22 million ($34 million)
5. Sicario - Day of the Soldado: $9 million ($37 million) 
6. Uncle Drew: $8 million ($31 million) 
7. Ocean's 8: $6 million ($127 million) 
8. Tag: $4.25 million ($50 million)
9. Won't You Be My Neighbor?: $3 million ($12 million) 
10. Deadpool 2: $2 million ($315 million) 

7/13-7/15

1. Hotel Transylvania - Summer Vacation: $43 million 
2. Skyscraper: $40.5 million 
3. Ant-Man and the Wasp: $35 million ($163 million) 
4. Incredibles 2: $15 million ($534 million) 
5. Jurassic World - Fallen Kingdom: $12 million ($351 million)
6. The First Purge: $8.5 million ($51 million) 
7. Uncle Drew: $4.5 million ($40 million) 
8. Sicario - Day of the Soldado: $4.5 million ($46 million) 
9. Ocean's 8: $3.75 million ($135 million) 
10. Tag: $2.5 million ($55 million) 

7/20-7/22

1. Mamma Mia - Here We Go Again: $33 million 
2. Hotel Transylvania - Summer Vacation: $24.5 million ($93 million)
3. The Equalizer 2: $23 million 
4. Ant-Man and the Wasp: $18 million ($200 million) 
5. Skyscraper: $16 million ($72 million) 
6. Incredibles 2: $9.5 million ($553 million) 
7. Jurassic World - Fallen Kingdom: $7 million ($365 million) 
8. The First Purge: $3.5 million ($58 million) 
9. Uncle Drew: $2.5 million ($45 million) 
10. Unfriended - Dark Web: $2.5 million 

7/27-7/29

1. Mission: Impossible - Fallout: $63 million 
2. Teen Titans Go! To The Movies: $20.5 million 
3. Mamma Mia - Here We Go Again: $18 million ($69 million) 
4. Hotel Transylvania - Summer Vacation: $13.5 million ($120 million) 
5. The Equalizer 2: $10 million ($44 million) 
6. Ant-Man and the Wasp: $9.5 million ($220 million) 
7. Skyscraper: $8 million ($88 million) 
8. Incredibles 2: $5 million ($564 million) 
9. Jurassic World - Fallen Kingdom: $4 million ($366 million) 
10. The First Purge: $2 million ($62 million) 

8/3-8/5

1. Christopher Robin: $57 million 
2. Mission: Impossible - Fallout: $28 million ($117 million)
3. The Spy Who Dumped Me: $15.5 million 
4. The Darkest Minds: $14 million 
5. Mamma Mia - Here We Go Again: $9.5 million ($89 million) 
6. Searching: $8 million 
7. Teen Titans Go! To the Movies: $7 million ($35 million) 
8. Hotel Transylvania - Summer Vacation: $6 million ($133 million) 
9. Ant-Man and the Wasp: $5.5 million ($231 million)
10. The Equalizer 2: $4.5 million ($53 million) 
11. Skyscraper: $4 million ($96 million) 
12. Incredibles 2: $3.5 million ($571 million) 

8/10-8/12

1. Christopher Robin: $38 million ($126 million) 
2. The Meg: $23 million 
3. Mission: Impossible - Fallout: $17 million ($149 million) 
4. The Spy Who Dumped Me: $10 million ($34 million) 
5. The Darkest Minds: $6.5 million ($26 million) 
6. Mamma Mia - Here We Go Again: $6 million ($99 million) 
7. Teen Titans Go! to the Movies: $4 million ($42 million) 
8. Hotel Transylvania - Summer Vacation: $4 million ($140 million) 
9. Ant-Man and the Wasp: $3.5 million ($238 million) 
10. Dog Days: $3.5 million 

8/17-8/19

1. Christopher Robin: $27 million ($166 million) 
2. Crazy Rich Asians: $25 million ($36 million)
3. Mile 22: $17.5 million 
4. Alpha: $11.5 million 
5. The Meg: $8 million ($37 million) 
6. Mission: Impossible - Fallout: $8 million ($162 million) 
7. The Spy Who Dumped Me: $5.5 million ($42 million) 
8. The Darkest Minds: $4 million ($32 million) 
9. Mamma Mia - Here We Go Again: $3.5 million ($105 million) 
10. Hotel Transylvania - Summer Vacation: $3 million ($144 million) 

8/24-8/26

1. The Happytime Murders: $24 million 
2. Slenderman: $23.5 million 
3. Christopher Robin: $20.5 million ($193 million) 
4. Crazy Rich Asians: $16.5 million ($61 million) 
5. Mile 22: $9 million ($31 million) 
6. Alpha: $6 million ($21 million) 
7. Mission: Impossible - Fallout: $5.5 million ($170 million) 
8. The Meg: $3.5 million ($42 million) 
9. The Spy Who Dumped Me: $3.5 million ($47 million) 
10. A.X.L.: $3 million 

8/31-9/3

1. Christopher Robin: $16 million/$22.5 million ($219 million) 
2. Ya Veremos: $15.5 million/$20 million 
3. The Happytime Murders: $15 million/$18 million ($50 million) 
4. Crazy Rich Asians: $12.5 million/$16 million ($83 million) 
5. Slenderman: $12 million/$14 million ($44 million) 
6. Kin: $7 million/$8.5 million
7. Mile 22: $5.5 million/$6.75 million ($41 million) 
8. Mission: Impossible - Fallout: $4.25 million/$5.25 million ($178 million) 
9. Alpha: $3.5 million/$4.25 million ($27 million) 
10. The Spy Who Dumped Me: $2.75 million/$3.25 million ($51 million) 

 

Top 20 for Summer 2018

1. Avengers - Infinity War: $675 million 
2. Incredibles 2: $570 million 
3. Jurassic World - Fallen Kingdom: $410 million 
4. Deadpool 2: $320 million 
5. Christopher Robin: $275 million 
6. Ant-Man and the Wasp: $245 million 
7. Solo - A Star Wars Story: $210 million 
8. Mission: Impossible - Fallout: $185 million 
9. Hotel Transylvania - Summer Vacation: $150 million 
10. Ocean's 8: $145 million 
11. Crazy Rich Asians: $135 million 
12. Mamma Mia - Here We Go Again: $120 million 
13. Skyscraper: $115 million 
14. The Happytime Murders: $80 million 
15. Slenderman: $75 million 
16. The Equalizer 2: $70 million 
17. Book Club: $70 million
18. Tag: $60 million 
19. Sicario - Day of the Soldado: $60 million 
20. The First Purge: $55 million 

 

 

 

 

Edited July 5, 2018 by mahnamahna

[Blankments]

On 6/24/2018 at 3:06 AM, Blankments said:

Hotel Artemis is gone.

Solo: A Star Wars Story, Superfly, and Hereditary are gone.

 

Incredibles 2 - 16/5 (2D/3D) total 21 (no change)

Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom - 13/6 (2D/3D) total 19 (down 4)

Sicario: Day of the Soldado - 10 (debut)

Uncle Drew - 10 (debut)
Tag - 8 (down 2)

Ocean's 8 - 5 (down 5)

Deadpool 2 - 2 (down 2)

[dxmatrixdt]

# of theaters

4,300 - Ant-Man and the Wasp - 89.00 - 89.00

4,285 - Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom - 27.38 - 329.91

4,010 - The Incredibles 2 - 25.62 - 504.01

3,200 - The First Purge - 19.05 - 35.05

3,055 - Sicario: Day of the Soldado - 8.25 - 38.15

2,742 - Uncle Drew - 7.40 - 34.25

2,826 - Ocean's 8 - 5.09 - 125.66

2,226 - TAG - 3.01 - 48.10

1,394 - Deadpool 2 - 1.94 - 314.83

654 - Won't You Be My Neighbor - 1.71 - 10.65

954 - Solo: Star Wars - 1.29 - 210.61

500 - Avengers - Infinity War - 1.00 - 674.58

724 - Hereditary - 0.87 - 41.42

500 - Superfly - 0.52 - 19.76

255 - The Book Club - 0.31 - 66.95

[WrathOfHan]

Ant-Man and the Wasp: 90M

Incredibles 2: 27.3M

Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom: 27M

The First Purge: 20M

Uncle Drew: 8.5M

Sicario: Day of the Soldado: 7.6M

Ocean's 8: 5M

Tag: 3.5M

Won't You Be My Neighbor?: 2M

Deadpool 2: 1.4M

[Ezen Baklattan]

1. Ant-Man and the Wasp - $75.8m

2. Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom - $27.8m

3. The Incredibles 2 - $25.8m

4. The First Purge - $23.2m

5. Uncle Drew - $8.8m

6. Sicario: Day of the Soldado - $8.3m

7. Oceans 8 - $5.3m

8. Tag - $3.3m

9. Won’t you be My Neighbor - $2m

10. Deadpool 2 - $1.7m

[dxmatrixdt]

Ant-Man/Wasp - 78.6 (new) 89.00

Jurassic World - 28.00 (-53%) 330.18

Incredibles 2 - 25.15 (-45%) 497.63

The First Purge - 20.00 (new) 36.50

Sicario 2 - 9.00 (-52%) 38.56

Uncle Drew - 8.00 (-48%) 32.99

Ocean's 8 - 5.25 (-35%) 125.59

TAG - 3.00 (-47%) 47.72

Neighbor - 2.00 (-10%) 11.15

Deadpool 2 - 1.90 (-46%) 314.73

Solo: Star Wars - 1.25 (-49%) 210.46

Hereditary - 0.90 (-60%) 41.75

Infinity War - 0.90 (-37%) 674.40

Superfly - 0.50 (-65%) 19.69

Book Club - 0.40 (-35%) 67.00

[stripe]

Ant Man 2 - 95M

JW2 - 29M

I2 - 27M

Purge4 - 25M

Sicario2 - 10M

UD - 8.5M

O8 - 5M

Tag - 3.5M

WYBMN - 2M

DP2 - 2M

 

top 10 - 206M

[That One Girl]

1. Ant-Man and the Wasp - $79.3M
2. Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom - $29.8M
3. Incredibles 2 - $23.7M
4. The First Purge - $21.4M
5. Uncle Drew - $9.45M
6. Sicario: Day of the Soldado - $8.17M
7. Ocean's 8 - $5.29M
8. Tag - $3.26M
9. Won't You Be My Neighbor? - $2.59M
10. Deadpool 2 - $1.86M
11. Solo: A Star Wars Story - $1.51M
12. Hereditary - $1.14M
13. Avengers: Infinity War - $1.03M
14. Sanju - $654k
15. Superfly - $631k

[Blankments]

On 6/30/2018 at 9:22 PM, Blankments said:

Solo: A Star Wars Story, Superfly, and Hereditary are gone.

Ocean's 8 is gone.

 

Ant-Man and the Wasp - 14/6 (2D/3D) total 20 (debut)

The First Purge - 10 (debut)

Incredibles 2 - 10 (down 11)

Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom - 8/2 (2D/3D) total 10 (down 9)

Sicario: Day of the Soldado - 10 (no change)

Uncle Drew - 10 (no change)

Tag - 5 (down 3)

Deadpool 2 - 4 (up 2)

[Impact]

So will Ant Man remain at number one or will Hotel 3 or Skyscaper pass it? (I thought Skyscaper came out on it's 3rd weekend, don't know what will be number one then)

I'm seeing Ant Man 2 on Monday.  Ant Man is actually one of my favorite phase 2 films.

[YM!]

45 minutes ago, Impact said:

So will Ant Man remain at number one or will Hotel 3 or Skyscaper pass it? (I thought Skyscaper came out on it's 3rd weekend, don't know what will be number one then)

I'm seeing Ant Man 2 on Monday.  Ant Man is actually one of my favorite phase 2 films.

Depends on OW size.

[WrathOfHan]

1 hour ago, Impact said:

So will Ant Man remain at number one or will Hotel 3 or Skyscaper pass it? (I thought Skyscaper came out on it's 3rd weekend, don't know what will be number one then)

I'm seeing Ant Man 2 on Monday.  Ant Man is actually one of my favorite phase 2 films.

It needs 90M this weekend in order to stay #1 with HT3 likely landing between 40-45M. Skyscraper isn't going to be a threat for second  

[DAJK]

Unless reviews completely trash it, I still don't see why Skyscraper can't match Rampage next weekend. The hook seems rather interesting, and The Rock's been promoting the hell out of it. 

[mahnamahna]

Spoiler

7/13-7/15

1. Hotel Transylvania - Summer Vacation: $44 million 
2. Skyscraper: $41 million 
3. Ant-Man and the Wasp: $31 million ($146 million) 
4. Incredibles 2: $16 million ($540 million) 
5. Jurassic World - Fallen Kingdom: $15.5 million ($368 million) 
6. The First Purge: $5.5 million ($42 million) 
7. Sicario - Day of the Soldado: $4.5 million ($45 million) 
8. Ocean's 8: $4 million ($135 million) 
9. Uncle Drew: $4 million ($38 million) 
10. Won't You Be My Neighbor?: $2 million ($16 million) 

7/20-7/22

1. Mamma Mia - Here We Go Again: $36.5 million 
2. Hotel Transylvania - Summer Vacation: $26.5 million ($97 million) 
3. The Equalizer 2: $24 million 
4. Skyscraper: $17 million ($76 million) 
5. Ant-Man and the Wasp: $16 million ($179 million) 
6. Incredibles 2: $11 million ($562 million) 
7. Jurassic World - Fallen Kingdom: $9.5 million ($388 million) 
8. Unfriended - Dark Webs: $4 million 
9. The First Purge: $3 million ($48 million) 
10. Ocean's 8: $2.5 million ($140 million) 

7/27-7/29

1. Mission: Impossible - Fallout: $64.5 million 
2. Mamma Mia - Here We Go Again: $21 million ($79 million) 
3. Teen Titans Go! To the Movies: $17.5 million 
4. Hotel Transylvania - Summer Vacation: $11.5 million ($122 million) 
5. The Equalizer 2: $10 million ($44 million) 
6. Skyscraper: $9 million ($94 million) 
7. Ant-Man and the Wasp: $8.5 million ($196 million) 
8. Incredibles 2: $7 million ($576 million) 
9. Jurassic World - Fallen Kingdom: $5.5 million ($399 million) 
10. Sorry to Bother You: $3 million ($10 million) 

 

[filmlover]

Hotel Transylvania 3: $41M

Skyscraper: $30M