Weekend Prediction thread 4/26-4/28 Play the Derby

[Blankments]

1. Furious 7 - 61.8M
2. The Longest Ride - 18.3M
3. Home - 16.7M
4. Cinderella - 6.6M
5. Get Hard - 6.4M
6. The Divergent Series: Insurgent - 5.2M
7. Woman in Gold - 5.1M
8. While We're Young - 2.3M
9. It Follows - 1.9M
10. Kingsman: The Secret Service - 1.3M
11. Do You Believe? - 1.2M
12. Danny Collins - 1.1M

The Second Best Exotic Marigold Hotel - 0.6M

Edited April 7, 2015 by Blankments

[dxmatrixdt]

Penguins of Madagascar - $20,000 - 83.29

Into the Woods - $20,000 - 128.00

The Wedding Ringer - $40,000 - 64.53

Taken 3 - $60,000 - 89.15

Big Hero 6 - $60,000 - 222.36

Night at the Museum 3 - $70,000 - 113.44

-51% - The Lazarus Effect - $70,000 - 25.39

-25% - The DUFF - $80,000 - 33.64

-36% - The Imitation Game - $90,000 - 90.95

-74% - The Gunman - $100,000 - 10.39

-36% - Still Alice - $110,000 - 18.42

-11% - Jupiter Ascending - $120,000 - 47.11

-36% - Chappie - $150,000 - 31.07

-39% - 50 Shades of Grey - $150,000 - 165.71

+11% - Paddington - $210,000 - 75.37

-17% - Spongebob - $210,000 - 161.18

-35% - Focus - $290,000 - 53.30

-53% - Run All Night - $300,000 - 25.87

-32% - McFarland USA - $420,000 - 42.49

-20% - American Sniper - $500,000 - 347.15

-25% - The Second Best Exotic Marigold Hotel - $810,000 - 31.51

-35% - Do You Believe? - $1,000,000 - 11.50

-35% - Kingsman - $1,170,000 - 124.39

-20% - It Follows - $2,020,000 - 11.72

-28% - Cinderella - $7,280,000 - 179.25

-27% - Insurgent - $7,390,000 - 115.16

-33% - Get Hard - $8,790,000 - 71.67

(NEW) - The Longest Ride - $14,000,000 - 14.00

-26% - Home - $19,960,000 - 129.34

-61% - Furious 7 - $57,850,000 - 253.24

 

-47% - Furious 7 - $30,380,000 - 299.50

(NEW) - Unfriended - $30,000,000 - 30.00

(NEW) - Paul Blart 2 - $26,250,000 - 26.25

-36% - Home - $12,680,000 - 146.58

-40% - The Longest Ride - $8,390,000 - 26.00

(NEW) - Child 44 - $6,600,000 - 6.60

(NEW) - Monkey Kingdom - $6,300,000 - 6.30

-45% - Insurgent - $4,040,000 - 121.45

-45% - Cinderella - $4,020,000 - 185.38

-54% - Get Hard - $4,020,000 - 78.59

-46% - It Follows - $1,100,000 - 13.62

-66% - Kingsman - $400,000 - 125.26

-50% - The Second Best Exotic Marigold Hotel - $400,000 - 32.23

-70% - Do You Believe? - $300,000 - 12.17

American Sniper - $230,000 - 347.52

McFarland USA - $150,000 - 42.77

Spongebob - $150,000 - 161.40

Paddington - $140,000 - 75.57

Focus - $130,000 - 53.53

50 Shades of Grey - $90,000 - 165.86

Jupiter Ascending - $90,000 - 47.24

Run All Night - $80,000 - 26.05

Chappie - $80,000 - 31.20

Still Alice - $60,000 - 18.52

Imitation Game - $60,000 - 91.04

Lazarus Effect - $40,000 - 25.46

DUFF - $40,000 - 33.71

 

-47% - Furious 7 - 16.20 - 326.00

-40% - Paul Blart 2 - 15.75 - 52.25

-50% - Unfriended - 15.00 - 54.75

(NEW) - Age of Adaline - 12.60 - 12.60

-29% - Home - 9.00 - 158.28

(NEW) - Little Boy - 5.40 - 5.40

-43% - Longest Ride - 4.80 - 33.10

-32% - Child 44 - 4.50 - 13.10

-37% - Monkey Kingdom - 3.96 - 11.70

-30% - Cinderella - 2.80 - 189.51

-34% - Insurgent - 2.68 - 125.48

-41% - Get Hard - 2.36 - 82.20

-64% - It Follows - 0.40 - 14.42

-25% - The Second Best Exotic Marigold Hotel - 0.30 - 32.65

-35% - Kingsman - 0.26 - 125.66

-33% - Do You Believe? - 0.20 - 12.49

 

(NEW) - Avengers 2 - 220.00 - 220.00

-47% - Paul Blart 2 - 8.29 - 70.00

-53% - Furious 7 - 7.68 - 339.00

-60% - Unfriended - 6.00 - 66.00

-53% - Age of Adaline - 5.88 - 21.00

-54% - Home - 4.11 - 164.01

(NEW) - She is Funny - 4.00 - 4.00

-50% - Little Boy - 2.70 - 9.30

-50% - The Longest Ride - 2.42 - 37.32

-50% - Chid 44 - 2.25 - 16.71

-61% - Monkey Kingdom - 1.56 - 14.20

-55% - Cinderella - 1.27 - 191.60

-57% - Insurgent - 1.16 - 127.48

-58% - Get Hard - 1.00 - 83.95

-38% - It Follows - 0.25 - 14.83

[stripe]

Furious 7- 58M

Home - 16M

Longest ride - 14M

Cinderella - 6.5M

Get Hard - 6M

Insurgent - 6M

Woman in Gold - 3M

Edited April 8, 2015 by stripe

[Blankments]

Focus is gone.

Run All Night and The Second Best Exotic Marigold Hotel are gone.

 

Furious 7 - 28 (down 7)

Home - 13/4 (2D/3D) total 17 (down 3)

Cinderella - 15 (no change)

Get Hard - 14 (no change)

Insurgent - 9/5 (2D/3D) total 14 (down 1)

The Longest Ride - 13 (debut)

Do You Believe? - 5 (down 3)

The Woman in Gold - 5 (debut)

It Follows - 4 (no change)

Kingsman: The Secret Service - 2 (up 1)

The Gunman - 1 (down 1)

 

[dxmatrixdt]

-30% - The Wedding Ringer - $35,000 - 64.520

-30% - Taken 3 - $37,000 - 89.121

-27% - Selma - $46,000 - 52.085

-25% - Big Hero 6 - $54,000 - 222.354

-22% - Night at the Museum 3 - $70,000 - 113.440

-33% - The DUFF - $71,000 - 33.643

-41% - The Imitation Game - $82,000 - 90.945

-38% - The Lazarus Effect - $90,000 - 25.425

 

-29% - Still Alice - $122,000 - 18.444

-7% - Jupiter Ascending - $126,000 - 47.125

-62% - The Gunman - $145,000 - 10.471

-22% - Paddington - $147,000 - 75.346

 

-15% - Chappie - $201,000 - 31.126

-19% - Spongebob - $206,000 - 161.285

-4% - 50 Shades of Grey - $237,000 - 165.852

-60% - Run All Night - $253,000 - 25.872

-33% - Focus - $298,000 - 53.347

 

-22% - McFarland USA - $483,000 - 42.679

-14% - American Sniper - $542,000 - 347.159

-19% - The Second Best Exotic Marigold Hotel - $877,000 - 31.717

 

-17% - Do You Believe? - $1,280,000 - 11.88

-25% - Kingsman - $1,350,000 - 124.56

-14% - It Follows - $2,150,000 - 11.92

(+229%) - Woman in Gold - $6,880,000 - 10.38

-25% - Cinderella - $7,590,000 - 181.21

-22% - Insurgent - $7,890,000 - 115.88

 

-31% - Get Hard - $9,050,000 - 71.64

(new) - The Longest Ride - $15,890,000 - 15.89

-28% - Home - $19,440,000 - 130.24

 

-61.7% - Furious 7 - $55,910,000 - 247.97

[Krissykins]

The Longest Ride $15,100,000

[Impact]

Next week (openers only):
Paul Blart 2: 21.0

Unfriended: 13.0

Monkey Kingdom: 7.5

Child 44: 4.4 (limited and I had to do that for the OW)
 

[Maxmoser3]

Next weekend's projections: Unfriended:25 million, Paul Blart:Mall Cop 2:20.1 million, Monkey Kingdom:5.9 million, Child 44:1.3 million

[VictorHugogui]

Next week:

1) FF7: 35M

2) Paul Blart 2: 22M

3) Unfriended: 18M

4) Home: 13M

5)The Longest Ride: 7.5M

- Monkey Kingdom: 7M

- Child 44: 1M

Edited April 12, 2015 by Seth Plate Am

[mahnamahna]

4/17-4/19

1. Unfriended: $54 million
2. Furious 7: $40 million ($311 million)
3. Paul Blart 2: $27 million 
4. Home: $14 million ($148 million)
5. The Longest Ride: $8.5 million ($27 million)
6. Monkey Kingdom: $7.5 million 
7. Get Hard: $6 million ($79 million)
8. Cinderella: $5.5 million ($188 million)
9. Insurgent: $4.5 million ($122 million) 
10. Woman in Gold: $4 million ($15 million) 

4/24-4/26

1. Furious 7: $31 million ($358 million) 
2. Unfriended: $23 million ($89 million) 
3. Paul Blart 2: $21.5 million ($54 million) 
4. Home: $11.5 million ($163 million)
5. The Age of Adeline: $9 million 
6. The Longest Ride: $5 million ($34 million) 
7. Get Hard: $5 million ($87 million) 
8. Cinderella: $4.5 million ($193 million) 
9. Monkey Kingdom: $4 million ($16 million) 
10. Insurgent: $3.5 million ($127 million) 

5/1-5/3

1. Avengers 2: $230 million 
2. Paul Blart 2: $10.5 million ($67 million) 
3. Furious 7: $8 million ($370 million) 
4. Home: $5.5 million ($169 million) 
5. Unfriended: $4.5 million ($96 million) 
6. The Age of Adeline: $4 million ($15 million) 
7. She's Funny That Way: $3 million 
8. Get Hard: $2.5 million ($91 million) 
9. The Longest Ride: $2.5 million ($38 million) 
10. Cinderella: $2 million ($196 million)

5/8-5/10

1. Avengers 2: $107.5 million ($397 million) 
2. Hot Pursuit: $16 million 
3. Paul Blart 2: $9 million ($78 million) 
4. Before I Wake: $7 million 
5. Furious 7: $6 million ($379 million) 
6. Home: $4.5 million ($174 million) 
7. The Age of Adeline: $3 million ($19 million) 
8. Unfriended: $2 million ($99 million)
9. She's Funny That Way: $2 million ($6 million)
10. Cinderella: $1.5 million ($198 million) 

5/15-5/17

1. Avengers 2: $55 million ($480 million) 
2. Pitch Perfect 2: $54 million 
3. Mad Max - Fury Road: $32 million 
4. Paul Blart 2: $7.5 million ($87 million) 
5. Hot Pursuit: $6.5 million ($26 million) 
6. Furious 7: $3.5 million ($384 million) 
7. Home: $3 million ($177 million) 
8. Before I Wake: $2.5 million ($11 million)
9. The Age of Adeline: $2 million ($22 million) 
10. She's Funny That Way: $1.5 million ($8 million) 

5/22-5/24

1. Tomorrowland: $57 million/$72.5 million 
2. Pitch Perfect 2: $40.5 million/$52 million ($127 million) 
3. Avengers 2: $32 million/$39 million ($536 million) 
4. Poltergeist: $28.5 million/$33.5 million 
5. Mad Max - Fury Road: $18 million/$22.5 million ($64 million) 
6. Paul Blart 2: $7 million/$8 million ($96 million) 
7. Hot Pursuit: $5.5 million/$6.5 million ($35 million) 
8. Furious 7: $2.5 million/$3 million ($388 million) 
9. Home: $2.5 million/$3 million ($180 million) 
10. The Age of Adeline: $1.5 million/$2 million ($25 million) 

5/29-5/31

1. Tomorrowland: $34.5 million
2. San Andreas: $28 million 
3. Pitch Perfect 2: $20 million 
4. Avengers 2: $15 million ($559 million) 
5. Poltergeist: $10 million ($50 million) 
6. Aloha: $8 million 
7. Mad Max - Fury Road: $7.5 million ($75 million) 
8. Paul Blart 2: $5 million ($103 million)
9. Hot Pursuit: $2.5 million ($39 million) 
10. Home: $2 million ($183 million) 

Edited April 12, 2015 by mahnamahna

[filmlover]

$54M for Unfriended? LOL crackiswhack. I see it doing about half of that and tying with Paul Blart for next weekend's biggest opener.

[bapi]

Monkey Kingdom  -  7.5

Paul Blart: Mall Cop 2  -  28.0

Unfriended  -  23.0

Child 44  -  1.7

True Story  -  2.2

______________________________

 

Furious 7  -47%

Home  -35%

The Longest Ride  -48%

[Asyulus]

4/17-4/19

• Unfriended: $54 million
• Furious 7: $40 million ($311 million)
• Paul Blart 2: $27 million 
• Home: $14 million ($148 million)
• The Longest Ride: $8.5 million ($27 million)
• Monkey Kingdom: $7.5 million 
• Get Hard: $6 million ($79 million)
• Cinderella: $5.5 million ($188 million)
• Insurgent: $4.5 million ($122 million) 
• Woman in Gold: $4 million ($15 million) 

4/24-4/26

• Furious 7: $31 million ($358 million) 
• Unfriended: $23 million ($89 million) 
• Paul Blart 2: $21.5 million ($54 million) 
• Home: $11.5 million ($163 million)
• The Age of Adeline: $9 million 
• The Longest Ride: $5 million ($34 million) 
• Get Hard: $5 million ($87 million) 
• Cinderella: $4.5 million ($193 million) 
• Monkey Kingdom: $4 million ($16 million) 
• Insurgent: $3.5 million ($127 million) 

5/1-5/3

• Avengers 2: $230 million 
• Paul Blart 2: $10.5 million ($67 million) 
• Furious 7: $8 million ($370 million) 
• Home: $5.5 million ($169 million) 
• Unfriended: $4.5 million ($96 million) 
• The Age of Adeline: $4 million ($15 million) 
• She's Funny That Way: $3 million 
• Get Hard: $2.5 million ($91 million) 
• The Longest Ride: $2.5 million ($38 million) 
• Cinderella: $2 million ($196 million)

5/8-5/10

• Avengers 2: $107.5 million ($397 million) 
• Hot Pursuit: $16 million 
• Paul Blart 2: $9 million ($78 million) 
• Before I Wake: $7 million 
• Furious 7: $6 million ($379 million) 
• Home: $4.5 million ($174 million) 
• The Age of Adeline: $3 million ($19 million) 
• Unfriended: $2 million ($99 million)
• She's Funny That Way: $2 million ($6 million)
• Cinderella: $1.5 million ($198 million) 

5/15-5/17

• Avengers 2: $55 million ($480 million) 
• Pitch Perfect 2: $54 million 
• Mad Max - Fury Road: $32 million 
• Paul Blart 2: $7.5 million ($87 million) 
• Hot Pursuit: $6.5 million ($26 million) 
• Furious 7: $3.5 million ($384 million) 
• Home: $3 million ($177 million) 
• Before I Wake: $2.5 million ($11 million)
• The Age of Adeline: $2 million ($22 million) 
• She's Funny That Way: $1.5 million ($8 million) 

5/22-5/24

• Tomorrowland: $57 million/$72.5 million 
• Pitch Perfect 2: $40.5 million/$52 million ($127 million) 
• Avengers 2: $32 million/$39 million ($536 million) 
• Poltergeist: $28.5 million/$33.5 million 
• Mad Max - Fury Road: $18 million/$22.5 million ($64 million) 
• Paul Blart 2: $7 million/$8 million ($96 million) 
• Hot Pursuit: $5.5 million/$6.5 million ($35 million) 
• Furious 7: $2.5 million/$3 million ($388 million) 
• Home: $2.5 million/$3 million ($180 million) 
• The Age of Adeline: $1.5 million/$2 million ($25 million) 

5/29-5/31

• Tomorrowland: $34.5 million
• San Andreas: $28 million 
• Pitch Perfect 2: $20 million 
• Avengers 2: $15 million ($559 million) 
• Poltergeist: $10 million ($50 million) 
• Aloha: $8 million 
• Mad Max - Fury Road: $7.5 million ($75 million) 
• Paul Blart 2: $5 million ($103 million)
• Hot Pursuit: $2.5 million ($39 million) 
• Home: $2 million ($183 million) 

Stop overpredicting Friended, its not going to get to 50m OW and even half of that.

#1 will be Fast 7 locked for four consecutive weekends.

[stripe]

F7 - 31M

Unfriended - 24M

Paul Blart 2 - 22M

Home - 12.3M

Longest Ride - 7.8M

Monkey kingdom - 6.7M

Get hard - 4.9M

Cinderella - 4.8M

Insurgent - 4.2M

Woman in Gold - 3.9M

[Krissykins]

Mahnamahna what's with the 80% 3rd week drop for Unfriended?

Blumhouse are rolling out TV spots with "in 1999 it was the Blair Witch Prioject, in 2009 it was Paranormal Activity... Now a new horror revolution.."

Maybe tracking is showing them something we're unaware of.

Unfriended: 13.0

Haven't you learned?

You always underestimate horror and usually get burned.

[Maxmoser3]

Haven't you learned?

You always underestimate horror and usually get burned.

Remember those Oculus predictions on here and everybody was expecting a 25-26 million OW and it did only 12 OW and made a little over that same amount it's entire total.

[Blankments]

1. Unfriended - 28.2M
2. Furious 7 - 26.8M
3. Paul Blart: Mall Cop 2 - 18.4M
4. Home - 13.7M
5. Monkey Kingdom - 8.9M
6. The Woman in Gold - 6.7M
7. The Longest Ride - 6.6M
8. Ex Machina - 6.0M
9. Cinderella - 5.4M
10. The Divergent Series: Insurgent - 4.8M
11. True Story - 4.8M
12. Get Hard - 4.5M

Danny Collins - 3.5M

While We're Young - 3.1M

Child 44 - 2.3M

It Follows - 1.4M

Kingsman: The Secret Service - 1.0M

[Impact]

May openers predicts:

 

Avengers 2: 250.0

 

Hot Pursuit: 21.0

 

Pitch Perfect 2: 38.9

Mad Max: 30.0

 

Tomorrowland: 60.0/75.5

Poltergeist: 30.0/36.0

 

San Andreas: 34.0

Aloha: 12.5

 

For the heck of it, here is June:

 

Spy: 40.0

Insidious 3: 39.9

Entourage: 15.0

 

Jurassic World: 100.1

 

Inside Out: 75.5

Dope: No idea

 

Ted Again: 60.5

Max: 14.5

The Outskirts: ummmm 5M

[Blankments]

Run All Night and The Second Best Exotic Marigold Hotel are gone.

Do You Believe? and The Gunman are gone.

 

Home - 14/2 (2D/3D) total 16 (down 1)

Furious 7 - 15 (down 13)

The Longest Ride - 15 (up 2)

Paul Blart: Mall Cop 2 - 12 (debut)

Unfriended - 12 (debut)

The Woman in Gold - 10 (up 5)

Get Hard - 9 (down 5)

Insurgent - 6 (down 8)

Monkey Kingdom - 6 (debut)

Cinderella - 5 (up 10)

While We're Young - 5 (debut)

It Follows - 2 (down 2)

Kingsman: The Secret Service - 2 (no change)

Edited April 16, 2015 by Blankments

[Impact]

The fact that Kingsman is still playing while every other film from February is gone, amusing!