La La Land | Now Playing | Record-Tieing 14 Oscar Noms and Record-Breaking 16 BOFFY Noms

[Ethan Hunt]

Just now, Baumer liked Blair Witch said:

30 mill finish?

It'll be much much closer to 130M finish

[filmlover]

Hasn't Baumer been on a terrible streak this year? That's all you need to know, people.

[baumer]

This wont come anywhere near 100.

[Jake Gittes]

Oh Baumer.

[WrathOfHan]

Was Baumer the guy sitting behind Blanks in Madea?  

[filmlover]

Yes, this is totally going to make less than The Artist (a black and white movie) and Birdman (a film too weird and Inside Hollywood-ish to breakout), among recent Best Picture winners. Delusion is real.

[cannastop]

1 hour ago, Baumer liked Blair Witch said:

This wont come anywhere near 100.

Holy shit, something we agree on!

[cannastop]

11 minutes ago, filmlover said:

Yes, this is totally going to make less than The Artist (a black and white movie) and Birdman (a film too weird and Inside Hollywood-ish to breakout), among recent Best Picture winners. Delusion is real.

It might beat them, but that doesn't mean it's getting past $100m dom.

[Goffe]

1 hour ago, Baumer liked Blair Witch said:

30 mill finish?

I would go with 40m, people who think this will make a lot of money are deluding themselves.

[filmlover]

1 minute ago, cannastop said:

It might beat them, but that doesn't mean it's getting past $100m dom.

Baumer just predicted a $30M total, which would be much less than either of those movies. Dream on.

[cannastop]

Just now, filmlover said:

Baumer just predicted a $30M total, which would be much less than either of those movies. Dream on.

I obviously don't agree with that. I'm still not sold on the idea that the general audience is sold on this movie.

[Goffe]

Unless La La Land wins BP, you couldn't possibly compare it to Birdman and The Artist. Those two movies made a LOT money after they won awards. Plus, La La Land is just as "Inside Hollywood-ish" as Birdman.

[filmlover]

Just now, Goffe said:

Unless La La Land wins BP, you couldn't possibly compare it to Birdman and The Artist. Those two movies made a LOT money after they won awards. Plus, La La Land is just as "Inside Hollywood-ish" as Birdman.

This is a much more appealing-looking film to audiences than something strange like Birdman, though. Also, this is the Best Picture frontrunner, more or less. With it being confirmed that Silence is gonna be dropping very, very late (guilds like SAG might not even get to see it in time for voting) and almost certain to make less than this at the box office, it's clear there is close to nothing stopping this train at this point.

[Goffe]

This is a much more appealing looking film to audiences than something strange like Birdman, though.

Is it? Birdman was a comedy, this is a musical. Which genre is dead and which one is not?

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[filmlover]

1 minute ago, Goffe said:

Is it? Birdman was a comedy, this is a musical. Which genre is dead and which one is not?

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Birdman was a rather spiteful independent movie with famous faces. La La Land is, by all accounts, a total crowd pleaser (and not based on something from Broadway, so it won't turn off those who are averse to "randomly break out into song" kinds of musicals).

 

The movies I'm actually reminded of most are Juno and Black Swan. Those were awards players that also connected with a rather young audience, and La La Land has all of the ingredients to tap into the same kind of zeitgeist.

[Jake Gittes]

11 minutes ago, Goffe said:

Is it? Birdman was a comedy, this is a musical. Which genre is dead and which one is not?

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There's been a hit musical every few years since Chicago. Dreamgirls, Hairspray, Mamma Mia, Les Mis, Into the Woods. Sure they're all brand names but the genre isn't in any way dead. And those are just live action musicals. People aren't rejecting movie characters breaking into song and dance numbers anymore. 

 

Also Birdman made 2/3 of its money before the nominations were even announced.

[filmlover]

Not being based on a Broadway musical could actually work heavily in this movie's favor, I'm thinking. If next year's The Greatest Showman on Earth (the Barnum biopic with Hugh Jackman, Michelle Williams, and Zac Efron) is also a hit I could see that leading to studios greenlighting more original musical projects.

[Goffe]

Just because the genre produces one hit every few years it doesn't mean a genre is alive and thriving.

If La La Land wins BP, I can see it doing 60-75m I give you that.

[Jake Gittes]

It's undeniably alive, and every movie in the genre that seriously connects with the audience thrives.

 

Of 17 live-action musicals that have received a wide release in the past 10 years (starting from Dreamgirls), six comfortably crossed $100m and nine got over $85m. That's not a bad track record at all.

Edited November 8, 2016 by Jake Gittes

[JennaJ]

This movie has a lot more GA appeal than Birdman ever did. To claim they're both the same level of inside-hollywood is just untrue. Birdman was a lot weirder and a lot less... for lack of better word - fun.

This movie has a huge appeal, just wait and see. It will find its audience. People will fall in love with this movie.

 

Edited November 8, 2016 by JennaJ