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Best Supporting actress predictions-2015

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Number of experts predicting a win/nomination on Gold Derby:

 

 

Rooney Mara: 14/21 (up 1 win, down 1 nom, everyone is predicting a nomination)
Alicia Vikander: 5/21 (down 1 win, down 1 nom, everyone is predicting a nomination)

Kate Winslet: 1/18 (down 2 wins, down 2 noms)

Jane Fonda: 1/14 (up 1 win, up 1 nom)

Jennifer Jason Leigh: 0/13 (up 4 noms)

Joan Allen: 0/6 (down 4 noms)
Elizabeth Banks: 0/5 (up 2 noms)

Rachel McAdams: 0/3 (up 1 nom)

Kristen Stewart: 0/1 (down 1 nom)

Ellen Page: 0/1 (down 4 noms)

Helena Bonham Carter: 0/1 (flat)

Helen Mirren: 0/1 (new)

 

Edited by WrathOfHan
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I think Leigh takes this in the end. She's got the industry veteran card to play and, from what I understand, gives a much showier, less internalized performance than Mara. I don't think Vikander's got much of a chance to win at this point. 

 

Funnily enough I think both Mara and Leigh could end up with Oscars if the former were pushed in Lead. 

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Have a feeling Mirren will be nominated. For playing the crazy hat lady! (I just remembered that the actual person was on I Love Lucy and was known for her crazy hats, okay she was apparently a nice person though in real life)

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I've been thinking; is it possible that a vote split could occur between Alicia Vikander's performances in The Danish Girl and Ex Machina? She's received both SAG and Critics' Choice nominations for The Danish Girl, but she's also gotten a ton of praise from critics' circles for Ex Machina.

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23 hours ago, Alpha said:

I've been thinking; is it possible that a vote split could occur between Alicia Vikander's performances in The Danish Girl and Ex Machina? She's received both SAG and Critics' Choice nominations for The Danish Girl, but she's also gotten a ton of praise from critics' circles for Ex Machina.

 

The field is small enough and she is a big enough presence, that I doubt itd knock here out.

 

It's happening in supporting actor because that field is just incredibly packed with options.

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I was considering moving Winslet as a alt or just removing her-but after reading she won the Globe last night I guess I can't now.
While it is possible for someone to win the Globe without being nominated for a Oscar it is very rare to happen. (The only 2 cats that its common in are the music cats)

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On 01/01/2016 at 8:52 AM, Alpha said:

I've been thinking; is it possible that a vote split could occur between Alicia Vikander's performances in The Danish Girl and Ex Machina? She's received both SAG and Critics' Choice nominations for The Danish Girl, but she's also gotten a ton of praise from critics' circles for Ex Machina.

 

I doubt it. I think probably TDG in Lead and Ex Machina in Supporting. And she wins for Ex Machina in Supporting. There's a lack of real contenders here and I think her having the double nom will kinda make it "her" year and get her to the win. 

 

TDG is blatant category fraud, the move is literally about her. The Danish Girl is her. Etc. Etc. Supporting is ridiculous. SAG only put her in supporting because they have to vote in the category it was submitted in, Academy can do whatever like Winslet for The Reader. And Critic's Choice is just irrelevant at this point, they're a bunch of oscar pandering clueless buffoons. 

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