Furious 7 Weekend Numbers: Revised Official Estimate - 146.5M (Sunday underestimated) | Official OS Estimate - 240.4M

[filmscholar]

I get everyone's point about History and how it will probably drop OW.   I'm not even debating that.  What I'm debating is everything is set up for it to excel at least for the OW.  competition is like ZERO, awareness is getting higher.   So I feel it has a lot going for it but if it doesn't break the OW record it won't be the end of the world. 

[The Panda]

why is Minions opening on July 10 instead of July 1?

Seems like it could put up bigger numbers on that date.

To close to Inside Out, I'd assume? Sure, Minions would hurt Inside Out more than Inside Out would hurt it, but assuming Inside Our has strong WoM itd take a chunk out of Minions too. I'm betting Universal isn't as confident in Minions as Despicable Me 2 (while still confident).

Also Jurassic World is mid June so it gives it a month of breathing room from Minions to let it fully saturate the kiddie market that likes dinosaurs.

Edited April 5, 2015 by The Panda

[The Panda]

Opening weekend record holders in U.S. and Canada[edit]

These are the films that, when first released, set the opening three-day weekend record after going into wide release. Year Title Opening weekend^[6] Inflation-adjusted^[3]

(2015 USD) 1975 Jaws^{[nb 2]} $7,061,513 $30,949,253 1978 Jaws 2 $9,866,023 $35,673,727 1978 Star Wars (re-release) $10,166,336 $36,759,604 1978 Every Which Way but Loose^{[nb 3]} $10,272,294 $37,142,728 1979 Star Trek: The Motion Picture $11,926,421 $38,754,033 1981 Superman II $14,100,523 $36,577,748 1982 Star Trek II: The Wrath of Khan $14,347,221 $35,061,640 1983 Return of the Jedi $23,019,618 $54,507,194 1984 Indiana Jones and the Temple of Doom $25,337,110 $57,515,727 1987 Beverly Hills Cop II $26,348,555 $54,696,019 1989 Indiana Jones and the Last Crusade $29,355,021 $55,849,405 1989 Ghostbusters II $29,472,894 $56,073,664 1989 Batman $40,505,884 $77,064,483 1992 Batman Returns $45,687,711 $76,781,790 1993 Jurassic Park $47,026,828 $76,774,736 1995 Batman Forever $52,784,433 $81,695,409 1997 The Lost World: Jurassic Park $72,132,785 $105,971,196 2001 Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone $90,294,621 $120,262,729 2002 Spider-Man $114,844,116 $150,582,840 2006 Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest $135,634,554 $158,673,173 2007 Spider-Man 3 $151,116,516 $171,876,545 2008 The Dark Knight $158,411,483 $173,518,111 2011 Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows – Part 2 $169,189,427 $177,373,590 2012 Marvel's The Avengers $207,438,708 $213,091,480

if you look at adjusted there have been some big-ish jumps from 1995 to 2002 but since then it's been increases of 8m, 11m, 2m, 4m, and suddenly ta with 36m. it will take many years of inflation to catch up and be able to beat it

But also the largest gap between OW records has been 4 years so it's getting to be about time. Plus inflation isn't the only thing that causes OWs to get bigger, otherwise TA and other post millennium wouldn't also be that far ahead in gross adjusted from the previous record holder.

[Ethan Hunt]

Strangely, Minions is probably the biggest tentpoles this summer, not including the avengers.

I've got Minions in fifth.for the Summer right now.

[Neo]

I get everyone's point about History and how it will probably drop OW.   I'm not even debating that.  What I'm debating is everything is set up for it to excel at least for the OW.  competition is like ZERO, awareness is getting higher.   So I feel it has a lot going for it but if it doesn't break the OW record it won't be the end of the world. 

I agree. Its like TA's maxed out OW capacity and a dollar more will mean implosions WW.

[kitik]

I'm betting Universal isn't as confident in Minions as Despicable Me 2 (while still confident).

 

 

Maybe they know they have a stinker on their hands. A cashgrab movie that isn't actually any good.

[filmscholar]

As great as "The Avengers" OW was, I still feel HP8 aka DH2 Opening Day could be argued as the greatest box office story ever.  I'm still waiting for that 100 Million Opening Day.   But 91 Million was still unbelievable on so many levels. 

Edited April 5, 2015 by filmscholar

[The Panda]

I've got Minions in fifth.for the Summer right now.

How would Minions be in 5th? It's the only other nearly for sure 300m besides TA. I don't see anything else getting over 300m except maybe Inside Out if it performs like an adjusted Up.

Jurassic World would be another long shot but its need a huge opening or strong legs. Neither I really see.

Mission Impossible V is to sandwiched to be able to get more than 250m or so (which is still a great result if it happened).

Ant-Man is no Guardians of the Galaxy and faces a lot more competition. I personally think all of the 240m - 260m predicts for it are unlikely after seeing the weak trailer and seeing all the competition around it.

Minions seems like a solid number 2

[Ethan Hunt]

How would Minions be in 5th? It's the only other nearly for sure 300m besides TA. I don't see anything else getting over 300m except maybe Inside Out if it performs like an adjusted Up.

Jurassic World would be another long shot but its need a huge opening or strong legs. Neither I really see.

Mission Impossible V is to sandwiched to be able to get more than 250m or so (which is still a great result if it happened).

Ant-Man is no Guardians of the Galaxy and faces a lot more competition. I personally think all of the 240m - 260m predicts for it are unlikely after seeing the weak trailer and seeing all the competition around it.

Minions seems like a solid number 2

The answer is I don't have minions doing 300M domestic. I've got it at 240M

[FilmBuff]

F8st:Saving the President

Faster 9-In Space

Fast and Faster 10-The Final Chapter

Fast 11-Underwater Furiousness

Fastest 12-Goes to Hell

Fastest 13 of them all: Universal Apocalypse

[kitik]

 I'm still waiting for that 100 Million Opening Day.  

 

Could happen in about 4 weeks.

[John Wars]

disney will start the hype train one week before TA opens..

OW: 210

 

if it doesnt beat the previous one, i dont see anything beating that number in a while..

[John Wars]

super fast 14: race to pandora

 

F8st:Saving the President
Faster 9-In Space
Fast and Faster 10-The Final Chapter
Fast 11-Underwater Furiousness
Fastest 12-Goes to Hell
Fastest 13 of them all: Universal Apocalypse

Edited April 5, 2015 by JOHN OF STEEL

[kitik]

F8st:Saving the President

Faster 9-In Space

Fast and Faster 10-The Final Chapter

Fast 11-Underwater Furiousness

Fastest 12-Goes to Hell

Fastest 13 of them all: Universal Apocalypse

 

23 Jump Street: Medical School

[takerowns]

Looks like paul blart and unfriended will be the other 2 movies in the top 3. how much you predicting them to earn domestically?

[Ethan Hunt]

Looks like paul blart and unfriended will be the other 2 movies in the top 3. how much you predicting them to earn domestically?

I'll say 75M for Blart and 60M for Unfriended.

[filmscholar]

Could happen in about 4 weeks.

 

Avengers 1 did 80 Million.   That's a huge jump but I guess anything is possible but "Harry Potter" had a 7 film build up to get that 91 Million.  Yes there are 10 Marvel Films that came out before "Ultron" so there is a build up but I don't see it as the same. 

Edited April 5, 2015 by filmscholar

[James]

This thing is huge here. It is a 4 quadrant movie all the way. Just booked tickets for me, my brother and our dates for Thursday afternoon because everything before that is sold out. My date has already seen the movie yesterday and she is so excited about seeing it again. Haven't seen anything like this since The Wolf of Wall Street and that was a beast here.

[TalismanRing]

Worldwide Box Office (Estimates) Weekend ending Apr 5

Title	Weekend BO Estimate			Weekend Cume Release			Distributor*
	Worldwide	International	Domestic	Worldwide	International	Domestic		# of Territories
Furious 7	$384,023,480	$240,400,000	$143,623,480	$384,023,480	$240,400,000	$143,623,480		64
Home	$48,100,000	$20,700,000	$27,400,000	$180,820,742	$85,200,000	$95,620,742		69
Cinderella	$34,589,000	$24,300,000	$10,289,000	$397,251,000	$230,000,000	$167,251,000		54
Divergent Series: In...	$25,500,000	$15,500,000	$10,000,000	$223,584,814	$120,200,000	$103,384,814		83
Wolf Warriors	$22,000,000	$22,000,000		$28,000,000	$28,000,000			1
Kingsman: The Secret...	$21,700,000	$20,000,000	$1,700,000	$370,560,250	$248,300,000	$122,260,250		21
Let's Get Married	$16,180,000	$16,000,000	$180,000	$20,180,000	$20,000,000	$180,000		2
Get Hard	$15,525,000	$2,600,000	$12,925,000	$67,304,317	$10,300,000	$57,004,317		10
Spongebob Squarepant...	$6,030,000	$5,800,000	$230,000	$296,815,605	$136,000,000	$160,815,605		41
Focus	$5,330,000	$4,900,000	$430,000	$143,806,484	$91,000,000	$52,806,484		62
Twenty	$5,300,000	$5,300,000		$15,500,000	$15,500,000			1
Shaun The Sheep	$4,750,000	$4,750,000		$42,000,000	$42,000,000			12
Insanity	$4,200,000	$4,200,000		$4,325,000	$4,325,000			3
Second Best Exotic M...	$4,000,000	$3,000,000	$1,000,000	$73,459,204	$43,400,000	$30,059,204		27
Battle for Sevastopo...	$3,500,000	$3,500,000		$3,500,000	$3,500,000			2
Nanny, The	$2,800,000	$2,800,000		$7,500,000	$7,500,000			2

 

[takerowns]

What percent drop is happening next weekend? most likely ? what u predicting?