POTUS 2020 Posted July 31, 2016 Share Posted July 31, 2016 I've got July down a bit over 1b. @Olive should have a precise number in a few days. August was 3.2b last year, that could be easily beat. 2 releases next weekend may have 100m+ OD's. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lihongkim Posted July 31, 2016 Share Posted July 31, 2016 (edited) On 7/31/2016 at 7:57 PM, No Prisoners said: I've got July down a bit over 1b. @Olive should have a precise number in a few days. August was 3.2b last year, that could be easily beat. 2 releases next weekend may have 100m+ OD's. I did expect August this year will be higher than July last year but since 2 local movies moved to another month, I only hope it can do more than July this year. Edit : I was thinking July bo 4.5B last year and 3.5B this year Lol. It was 1B less than the actual number. So August won't beat July. Edited August 2, 2016 by Lihongkim Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted August 19, 2016 Share Posted August 19, 2016 On 7/31/2016 at 4:39 PM, Lihongkim said: I did expect August this year will be higher than July last year but since 2 local movies moved to another month, I only hope it can do more than July this year. Edit : I was thinking July bo 4.5B last year and 3.5B this year Lol. It was 1B less than the actual number. So August won't beat July. August is pacing to 3.8-4B up 20-25%. up 15-20% in dollars. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lihongkim Posted August 19, 2016 Share Posted August 19, 2016 (edited) 6 hours ago, No Prisoners said: August is pacing to 3.8-4B up 20-25%. up 15-20% in dollars. If 3 local movies ( Sword Master, A Chinese Odyssey 3, Luc Besson's The Warriors Gate ) didn't move out, August probably can top July. I'm not so sure that those 3 movies will do well though. Edit : July may be the last down month. How Oct and Dec bo last year? Edited August 19, 2016 by Lihongkim Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted August 19, 2016 Share Posted August 19, 2016 1 hour ago, Lihongkim said: If 3 local movies ( Sword Master, A Chinese Odyssey 3, Luc Besson's The Warriors Gate ) didn't move out, August probably can top July. I'm not so sure that those 3 movies will do well though. Edit : July may be the last down month. How Oct and Dec bo last year? The three releases today were small. Bourne and ice age are on Tuesday and not looking big. Next Friday is light and that's it for the month. Oct mite be hard to beat with GML having a 1.4b run and half of LiHKs run Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gabriel Sales Posted August 24, 2016 Share Posted August 24, 2016 Sorry, what is the forecast for the growth or decline in China's box office this year? I'm sure the worldwide will fall in almost all countries on the blockbusters this year are well below those of last year. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jiangsen Posted August 25, 2016 Share Posted August 25, 2016 On 8/19/2016 at 0:38 PM, No Prisoners said: today were small. Bourne and ice age are on Tuesday and not looking big. Next Friday is light and that's it for the month. Oct mite be hard to beat 20%-25% growth Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted August 25, 2016 Share Posted August 25, 2016 7 hours ago, Gabriel Sales said: Sorry, what is the forecast for the growth or decline in China's box office this year? I'm sure the worldwide will fall in almost all countries on the blockbusters this year are well below those of last year. Its up 13.4% in yuan thru August, Just 7.2% in dollars. The year should be within a few percent. 2013 2014 2015 2016 Jan 1650 1920 +16.4% 2590 +34.9% 3849 +48.6% Feb 2120 3240 +52.8% 4050 +25.0% 6870 +69.6% Mar 1390 1620 +16.5% 2910 +79.6% 3750 +28.9% Apr 1790 1770 -1.1% 4090 +131.1% 3000 -26.7% May 2130 2220 +4.2% 3180 +43.2% 3001 -5.6% Jun 1820 2720 +49.5% 3286 +20.8% 3800 +15.6% Jul 1790 3610 +101.7% 5500 +52.4% 4450 -19.1% Aug 2320 2550 +9.9% 3200 +25.5% 3950 +23.4% Sep 1300 1800 +38.5% 3200 +77.8% Oct 1600 2760 +72.5% 4200 +52.2% Nov 1560 2300 +47.4% 2750 +19.6% Dec 2200 2460 +11.8% 4000 +62.6% YTD 19,470 28,970 +48.8% 42,956 +48.3% ($M) $4,665 $6,829 Thru- 28,806 Thru 32,670 +13.4% Aug 2015 $4,624 Aug 2016 $4,958 +7.2% 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted September 3, 2016 Share Posted September 3, 2016 (edited) On Thursday, August 25, 2016 at 5:20 AM, jiangsen said: 20%-25% growth On Sunday, July 31, 2016 at 4:39 PM, Lihongkim said: I did expect August this year will be higher than July last year but since 2 local movies moved to another month, I only hope it can do more than July this year. Edit : I was thinking July bo 4.5B last year and 3.5B this year Lol. It was 1B less than the actual number. So August won't beat July. I had the wrong number for last August. It was 3.62B. So this year was up 12% or just 7% in dollars. http://variety.com/2016/film/box-office/china-box-office-returns-to-growth-in-august-1201849922/ September off to slow start and nothing big opening next weekend. Last year had Minions, T5 and MI5 make close to 1.4B and LiHK make 700m in Sept, but JB and IA5 have already made most of their money in August. Could be another down month and with LiHK making 800m in Oct while GML blew up for 1.4B that as well will be tough to beat unless there are a couple big hits. Also AM made 600m + but SS won't be released. The year could be close to flat in dollars or even yuan Edited September 3, 2016 by No Prisoners Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted September 3, 2016 Author Share Posted September 3, 2016 (edited) August 2016 Box office:4.053B +12.04% from last year Admissions:126M +20% Summer 2016(June 1 -Aug 31) Box office:12.43B -0.4% from last year Admissions:373M +5.1% Jan-Aug 2016 Box office:33.15B +12.9% from last year Admissions:985M +19.9% Edited September 3, 2016 by Olive 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 (edited) For sept I've got ¥2.285b -34% YoY Last year was ¥3.4b Last year the Oct 1 thru 7th holiday brought in 1.8b. This year Oct 1 is starting off down 15%. GMLs daily increases from the 1st to the 7th at 40m to 113m kept the dailies bolstered last year. The holiday could be down 30% this year. No new openers next week like last year. Oct may be down ¥1b YoY by the 15th. Edit. With OM increasing 5-10% per day, the holiday won't be down as much as I thought. About 300-350m less than last year, -16-20%. -500-550m yoy by the 15th. If Oct loses 700m for the month YoY, the YTD will be up 5% Yuan. Minus 1% in dollars Edited October 5, 2016 by No Prisoners Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted October 9, 2016 Author Share Posted October 9, 2016 September 2016 Gross :2.297B yuan -33% Adm:72.64M -28.5% Q1-Q3 2016 Gross :34.45B yuan +8.1% Adm: 1.058b +14.6% ATP: 33.5yuan (-2.0 yuan ) 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted October 14, 2016 Author Share Posted October 14, 2016 By the end of Q3: there are 38,870 screens in China, 7,153 of which are built during this year. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quigley Posted October 21, 2016 Share Posted October 21, 2016 Due to Brexit and the unexpectedly limited growth in China this year, I think yearly OS box office could go down. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted November 1, 2016 Author Share Posted November 1, 2016 October 2016 Gross :3.417B yuan -19% Jan-Oct 2016 Gross :38.85B yuan +5% 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted November 27, 2016 Share Posted November 27, 2016 November up slightly in yuan, flat in dollars. Average rate was 6.40 on 2015, 6.85 in 2016 2013 2014 2015 2016 Jan 1650 1920 +16.4% 2590 +34.9% 3849 +48.6% Feb 2120 3240 +52.8% 4050 +25.0% 6870 +69.6% Mar 1390 1620 +16.5% 2910 +79.6% 3750 +28.9% Apr 1790 1770 -1.1% 4090 +131.1% 3000 -26.7% May 2130 2220 +4.2% 3180 +43.2% 3001 -5.6% Jun 1820 2720 +49.5% 3286 +20.8% 3800 +15.6% Jul 1790 3610 +101.7% 5500 +52.4% 4450 -19.1% Aug 2320 2550 +9.9% 3620 +42.0% 4053 +12.0% Sep 1300 1800 +38.5% 3400 +88.9% 2230 -34.4% Oct 1600 2760 +72.5% 4200 +52.2% 3417 -18.6% Nov 1560 2300 +47.4% 2662 +15.7% 2830 +6.3% Dec 2200 2460 +11.8% 4203 +70.9% YTD 19,470 28,970 +48.8% 43,691 +50.8% ($M) $4,665 $6,957 +49.1% Thru- 39,488 Thru- 41,250 +4.5% Nov 2015 $6,308 Nov 2016 $6,212 -1.5% Mar-Nov 32,848 Mar-Oct 30,531 -7.1% $5,231 $4,598 -12.1% 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Agafin Posted December 3, 2016 Share Posted December 3, 2016 So how did November fare un the end? (compared to last year) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted December 3, 2016 Author Share Posted December 3, 2016 (edited) On 2016/12/3 at 6:18 PM, Agafin said: So how did November fare un the end? (compared to last year) November 2016 Gross :2.544B yuan -4.4% Jan-Nov 2016 Gross :41.42B yuan +4% Edited December 4, 2016 by Olive 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCsoft Posted December 3, 2016 Share Posted December 3, 2016 7 hours ago, Olive said: November 2016 Gross :2.544B yuan -4.4% Jan-Nov 2016 Gross :41.39B yuan +4% How come there's so much discrepancy between this and the Nov number No Prisoners estimated above? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lihongkim Posted December 4, 2016 Share Posted December 4, 2016 I'm curious whether The Great Wall can save Dec or not. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
