mahnamahna Posted June 28, 2015 Share Posted June 28, 2015 WALL-E didn't do 320 million Using WALL-E's multi from a $90 million OW would give Inside Out $320 million. I think it'll do more since it should be at $300-305 million by July 12th. And July/August will give it 15-30% drops after Minions. I don't think IO will do more than $350 mil (Minions will be strong), but a little less than is extremely possible and commendable considering what ppl thought may occur. Minions targets little kids, while IO has more teen/adult appeal. After Minions' OW, IO will have some great holds until after Labor Day since Shaun and Underdogs won't be big. If IO does $54-55 million this weekend, and manages to hold decently next weekend, it should be over $15 million against Minions even with a 50% drop. I'm thinking 30-33% since Terminator/Magic Mike aren't exactly kid-friendly. Every other Pixar animated film had major family competition over July 4th (Ice Age 3/Transformers 2 for Up, DM2/Lone Ranger for MU, Amazing Spider-Man for Brave, Superman Returns for Cars, Transformers 1 for Ratatouille, Transformers 3 for Cars 2) except WALL-E. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vanilla Posted June 28, 2015 Share Posted June 28, 2015 85m budget. It will make 250m+ WW so its gonna be profitable. But there wont be Ted 3 of course Well at least for another 5 years until they think short term nostalgia will come back and make it sucessful again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Panda Posted June 28, 2015 Share Posted June 28, 2015 So far we have 3 movies from 2015 that would have outgrossed 2014s biggest movie (that made 99% of its money in 2015), with the possibility of at least 4 more movies surpassing it as well (Inside Out, Minions, Mockingjay 2, Star Wars) There's also a moderate to slight chance all of these movies have a crack at going for 300m (all of them have good to great 200m chances) Spectre - 50%, it could ride the success of Skyfall or Skyfall may be the peak, it's a crackshot. 90% it makes 200m The Good Dinosaur - 20%, this would have been lower earlier, but Inside Out broke out huge and it could easily ride the waves of both it and Jurassic World's success. Plus there is an open december all the way to Star Wars (which would very likely double feature the Good Dinosaur with it). 85% it makes 200m Mission Impossible: Rogue Nation - 5%, It hasn't been getting much attention, so the aim should be Ghost Protocol. But it has a good spot to leg out in a fairly weak August. 60% It makes 200m Ant-Man - I'd say around 5% if it pulls a Guardians, very unlikely. 60% it makes 200m Pixels - 5%, it's a unique comedy that could pull in the late summer attention, 2015 has shown audiences are looking for fresh franchises (or old, nostalgic reinvented ones that are making their comeback). 50% it makes 200m The Peanuts Movie - 5%, it is a nostalgic film and has a good distance from the last family one giving it room to breakout in a year that's been great for both mediums. 45% it makes 200m Terminator: Genisys - 5%, it could break out similar to Jurassic World (not as big obviously), and has gained a lot of attention. It's more likely it'll be moderate (150-200m) 40% it makes 200m The record for most 300m movies in a year is 5 from 2012, it's pretty much inevitable this year ends with at least 6-7. The record for most 300m movies adjusted is 6 (back in 2004), which makes it highly likely that 2015 can set the record for most 300m movies actual and adjusted ever. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FilmBuff Posted June 28, 2015 Share Posted June 28, 2015 Just Got done watching LW:JP. Such a mockery of dog shit. They turned Ian Malcolm into such a boring and uninteresting character. Such a huge misfire. Give me JW over this dog shit anytime! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Filmovie Posted June 28, 2015 Share Posted June 28, 2015 What are you guys expecting to this? Can it make $180m+? It can, maybe it won't but it certainly has a chance. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Asyulus Posted June 28, 2015 Share Posted June 28, 2015 Given Ted 2 was only $85 million budget, they can still make Ted 3. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ethan Hunt Posted June 28, 2015 Share Posted June 28, 2015 those numbers are excellent I'm happy Jurassic World is continuing to dominate. Do you guys think it could make more than Terminator next week No 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahnamahna Posted June 28, 2015 Share Posted June 28, 2015 No Terminator: $30.5 million/$52 million 5 day Jurassic World: $36 million/$58 million 5 day It's certainly possible. Especially if Terminator has a lackluster Wed and Thurs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bishop54 Posted June 28, 2015 Share Posted June 28, 2015 Let's see if Universal shows balls and declares a Sunday victory. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JennaJ Posted June 28, 2015 Share Posted June 28, 2015 Given Ted 2 was only $85 million budget, they can still make Ted 3. Not unless OS saves it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ethan Hunt Posted June 28, 2015 Share Posted June 28, 2015 Terminator: $30.5 million/$52 million 5 day Jurassic World: $36 million/$58 million 5 day It's certainly possible. Especially if Terminator has a lackluster Wed and Thurs. I expect Terminator to Surprise some people 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JennaJ Posted June 28, 2015 Share Posted June 28, 2015 Let's see if Universal shows balls and declares a Sunday victory. They've been super conservative over the last two weekends. I'd like to see them buck the trend, but I'm not expecting it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Asyulus Posted June 28, 2015 Share Posted June 28, 2015 No How so? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
catlover Posted June 28, 2015 Share Posted June 28, 2015 Saw Minions last week, and I can assure you WOM won't be good among teen, adults, and ever older kids. I LOVE minions (I have minion key chains and things like that) but the movie was super boring. I was asleep for like half of it. I mean, I enjoyed Turbo, Epic, or other mediocre animated films, even Home. I asked some of my friends who had already seen it, and literally ALL of them said they fell asleep too. But the little kids seemed to enjoy it. That's why I think Minions will affect IO only on OW. I hope it won't outgross IO, at least in NA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redfirebird2008 Posted June 28, 2015 Share Posted June 28, 2015 They've been super conservative over the last two weekends. I'd like to see them buck the trend, but I'm not expecting it. $500m is a big deal. Doesn't even need that good of a Sunday number to get there. Hopefully they will show some guts and declare $500m this morning. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahnamahna Posted June 28, 2015 Share Posted June 28, 2015 I expect Terminator to Surprise some people All I was saying is that there's a real possibility of IO and JW finishing above Terminator/Magic Mike for the 3 day. Terminator is getting awful reviews and XXL is going to be extremely frontloaded. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JennaJ Posted June 28, 2015 Share Posted June 28, 2015 All I was saying is that there's a real possibility of IO and JW finishing above Terminator/Magic Mike for the 3 day. Terminator is getting awful reviews and XXL is going to be extremely frontloaded. Yup, I read some awful Terminator reviews. Think WOM will be rotten for it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ethan Hunt Posted June 28, 2015 Share Posted June 28, 2015 All I was saying is that there's a real possibility of IO and JW finishing above Terminator/Magic Mike for the 3 day. Terminator is getting awful reviews and XXL is going to be extremely frontloaded. Okay, I will agree it is possible, but I don't except it to happen 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redfirebird2008 Posted June 28, 2015 Share Posted June 28, 2015 All I was saying is that there's a real possibility of IO and JW finishing above Terminator/Magic Mike for the 3 day. Terminator is getting awful reviews and XXL is going to be extremely frontloaded. Wednesday opening is a bad idea when your movie is getting trashed and doesn't have enormous fanbase guaranteed to watch (TF2). 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted June 28, 2015 Author Share Posted June 28, 2015 Yup, I read some awful Terminator reviews. Think WOM will be rotten for it. Why do some of you continue to do this? Why do you equate critical reception to WOM? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
