MARY POPPINS RETURNS | Disney | 12.19.18 | Rob Marshall directing | Emily Blunt, Lin Manuel Miranda

[MovieMan89]

Honestly, everything probably is best staying put. As crazy as that release schedule looks, it's really not that bad when you consider that late December has given us 4 weekends between 250-305m. So that's literally the one time of year the box office can probably support a release schedule like this. Imagine something like this:

 

MPR: 65

AQM: 45

Bumblebee: 40

Holmes and Watson: 25

Alita: 10

Marwen: 10

 

That doesn't even total to 200m, still leaving plenty of room for Spider-verse and Mortal Engines to add another 30-40 or so that weekend. 

[Jake Gittes]

December 7: Aquaman and Holmes & Watson

December 14: Mortal Engines and Spider-Verse

December 19-21: Mary Poppins, Alita

December 25: Bumblebee, Welcome to Marwen

 

Pay me Hollywood. 

[Alli]

1 minute ago, Jake Gittes said:

No it's not. November 30 is, that's the post-Thanksgiving weekend. December 7 is fine. I can understand studios hesitating to release a movie on that weekend when they had to face Star Wars a week later, but this year is not gonna have that problem, and if they put something big there (like Aquaman) they can get a nice headstart on the season. 

if they have it in that spot, they'll lose screens when the most profitable period starts....around christmas.  I think...that's the explanation for studios avoiding that weekend

[MovieMan89]

Just now, Jake Gittes said:

December 7: Aquaman and Holmes & Watson

December 14: Mortal Engines and Spider-Verse

December 19-21: Mary Poppins, Alita

December 25: Bumblebee, Welcome to Marwen

 

Pay me Hollywood. 

Yes, I'm sure WB and Sony will be jumping in line to pay you for killing their holiday releases with that death spot. 

[Rebeccas]

$45m OW for Aquaman is not something WB would be happy about though..

[That One Girl]

Just now, Jake Gittes said:

Move something to December 7. There's literally nothing apart from some Global Road drama coming out between November 21 and December 14, it's ridiculous. 

 

I try to keep a schedule of what I'll try to see each week/weekend and every single studio seems to be working as hard as possible to prevent this from being easy.  Here's what it looks like from late September to December:

 

 

look at this fucking overcrowded mess (yes I'm aware that there are some films I shouldn't have to see on here, I don't care)

[Eric Burnett]

November 3: Aquaman

 

December 7: Holmes and Watson

 

December 14: Mortal Engines/Spider-Verse

 

December 19-21: Mary Poppins, Alita, Bumblebee

 

December 25: Marwen

 

Boom. Done.

Edited July 10, 2018 by CoolEric258

[Eric Burnett]

1 minute ago, That One Guy said:

 

I try to keep a schedule of what I'll try to see each week/weekend and every single studio seems to be working as hard as possible to prevent this from being easy.  Here's what it looks like from late September to December:

 

 

look at this fucking overcrowded mess (yes I'm aware that there are some films I shouldn't have to see on here, I don't care)

...maybe I should try that.

[That One Girl]

5 minutes ago, MovieMan89 said:

Yes, I'm sure WB and Sony will be jumping in line to pay you for killing their holiday releases with that death spot. 

 

[MovieMan89]

2 minutes ago, Rebeccas said:

$45m OW for Aquaman is not something WB would be happy about though..

It’s half of JL OW with a Dec release. Honestly things could be much much worse for it.

[Alli]

Here's the last samurai. i guess i was wrong. it didn't lose that many theaters, but the performance is mediocre

 

Date (click to view chart)	Rank	Weekend Gross	% Change	Theaters	Change / Avg.		Gross-to-Date	Week #
Dec 5–7	1	$24,271,354	-	2,908	-	$8,346	$24,271,354	1
Dec 12–14	2	$14,087,074	-42.0%	2,908	-	$4,844	$46,874,330	2
Dec 19–21	4	$7,769,301	-44.8%	2,938	+30	$2,644	$59,487,166	3
Dec 26–28	8	$8,326,947	+7.2%	2,557	-381	$3,256	$74,324,104	4

Edited July 10, 2018 by Alli

[Rebeccas]

2 minutes ago, That One Guy said:

 

I try to keep a schedule of what I'll try to see each week/weekend and every single studio seems to be working as hard as possible to prevent this from being easy.  Here's what it looks like from late September to December:

 

 

look at this fucking overcrowded mess (yes I'm aware that there are some films I shouldn't have to see on here, I don't care)

November 2nd really makes the most sense for Aquaman.

[Jake Gittes]

5 minutes ago, Alli said:

if they have it in that spot, they'll lose screens when the most profitable period starts....around christmas.  I think...that's the explanation for studios avoiding that weekend

They won't lose many more screens than an early November release does by Thanksgiving. They'll still be around. And they can make more money in the first week by capitalizing on the empty marketplace. 

[MovieMan89]

3 minutes ago, That One Guy said:

 

One movie does not a case make. Especially when said movie only had one other notable competitor that entire month.

[Rebeccas]

Aquaman vs Bumblebee is actually the worst head to head honestly. That's like the exact same target demo. MP2 will take away families and women. It's just a mess.

[That One Girl]

Just now, MovieMan89 said:

One movie does not a case make. Especially when said movie only had one other notable competitor that entire month.

 

[DMan7]

Aquaman and MP can co-exist successfully, lets not forget Jumanji and TLJ last December. 

Edited July 10, 2018 by DMan7

[That One Girl]

Actually, how about this?

 

[McNerdy]

1 minute ago, DMan7 said:

Aquaman and MP can co-exist successfully, lets not forget Jumanji and TLJ last December. 

And TGS

[Jake Gittes]

The second weekend of December probably has a bad reputation more because The Golden Compass, The Day the Earth Stood Still and Exodus all bombed there. But they collapsed quickly not 100% because of the competition but in large part because they sucked. If Aquaman is actually good it wouldn't have to worry as much. If it's bad, the word will quickly spread and it'll get suffocated where it is anyway. 

 

Anyway, now that MPR is no longer opening on the 25th I think there's no way at least one movie doesn't get pushed back to that date.