Kvikk Lunsj Posted December 4, 2012 Share Posted December 4, 2012 Does CA have a shot in any above the line categories? Not for a win, just a nom.Maybe makeup. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stripe Posted December 4, 2012 Share Posted December 4, 2012 My guess right now:I'm predicting a seven bp lineup:Les MiserablesZero Dark ThirtyLincolnArgoLife of PiSilver Linings PlaybookBeasts of the Southern wildIf more than seven:Best Exotic Marigold HotelThe ImpossibleThe master Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sims Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 Stick a fork in The Hobbit. New rankings: 1. Lincoln 2. Les Miserables 3. Argo 4. Zero Dark Thirty 5. Life of Pi 6. Silver Linings Playbook 7. The Master 8. Django Unchained 9. Beasts of the Southern Wild ---------------------------------------------------- 10. Moonrise Kingdom 11. Amour 12. The Impossible 13. The Sessions 14. Flight 15. The Dark Knight Rises 16. Skyfall 17. Anna Karenina Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Futurist Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 For the win, it s a battle between Les Mis-Lincoln-0Dark30.With 0Dark30 having so much raves, gone are the chances of a Les Mis sweep.Argo didn't peak too early, it s just that the quality level this year is insanely high.In a weaker year, ARGO would have stood a chance for the win. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RichWS Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 With 0Dark30 having so much raves, gone are the chances of a Les Mis sweep.It's too early to say that. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Futurist Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 Read the 0Dark30 reviews, it s just superlatives. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rockNrollaDIM Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 I've been saying ZD30 even when people considered it a possible nomination and nothing else. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RichWS Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 Read the 0Dark30 reviews, it s just superlatives.See: Network, The Social Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 Will never happen - but it totally should:http://www.hitfix.com/in-contention/open-road-brings-joe-carnahans-the-grey-back-around-for-awards-consideration 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RichWS Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 Although Sony should be feeling very good about the way things are going right now, this studio which had high hopes based on that torrent of critics awards for Social Network was obviously none too happy as that season played out the way it did — especially since it looked so good in December and most of January. My guess is with that in mind they are going to grab this early momentum for Zero Dark Thirty and run with it. It recently hired Michael Kupferberg of Strategy PR as a consultant. Isn’t it ironic that again one of their major competitors is a Hooper film, Universal’s Les Miserables. Wouldn’t that be the ultimate Sony bummer if he were able to come along and again rain on the studio’s parade when the guild shows roll around? Of course it is still very early in this phase of the game but Sony, like Universal, seems to be playing it very smartly so far. Like Les Mis they used the Thanksgiving break to debut the film to guild and Academy voters in a blitz of screenings generating lots of good word-of-mouth. And in a very shrewd move they recently changed their release plans for Zero, switching from a wide to limited December 19th release and going wide January 11th — one day after Oscar nominations are announced and just as the Critics Choice Movie Awards and Golden Globes will be front of mind that weekend. With a much longer period this year (six weeks instead of four) between Oscar noms and the ceremony, a movie like Zero is perfectly positioned to exploit nominations at the box office and with voters, so this awards heat combined with their launch plan is creating a perfect storm for Sony. http://www.deadline.com/2012/12/zero-dark-thirty-awards-heat/ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TLK Posted December 6, 2012 Share Posted December 6, 2012 (edited) Jon Weisman thinks Argo is being helped by ZDT winning critics awards. Not sure I agree because his central argument is that Les Miz is getting hurt. I think Les Miz is almost guaranteed to make a comeback in january/february because of GG and BAFTA regardless of what happens in the first week of December. Is 'Argo' winning without winning? By: Jon Weisman Published: Wed, December 05, 2012, 4:19 PM A passing thought ... "Zero Dark Thirty" has topped fellow Thanksgiving weekend awards-season entry "Les Miserables" as the flavor of the moment, emerging as the pride of the New York Film Critics Circle and the National Board of Review. But should the momentum of "Zero" flag in similar fashion to "The Social Network" two years ago when it grabbed both those honors, what will step in? At Hollywood Elsewhere, Jeffrey Wells posits the alternative as "Silver Linings Playbook" — which earned NBR recognition today in screenplay and lead actor — but it's not clear to me that the David O. Russell film is the most logical place for the pendulum to swing. "Les Miserables," "Lincoln," and "Life of Pi" also lurk ... as do their detractors. At http://weblogs.varie...l#ixzz2EE8RFZHf To become a Variety subscriber visit: https://www.variety.....asp?screen=sc1 Edited December 6, 2012 by TLK Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fishstick Posted December 6, 2012 Share Posted December 6, 2012 (edited) See: Network, The SocialWILL YOU PEOPLE STOP WITH TSN AND ZDT COMPARISSONS???????????? Nobody among AMPAS cares for Facebook. Nobody. OK? get that into your heads. They had the obligation to nominate TSN because of reviews but nobody trully cares for the subject matter to be fully engaged in business of those obnoxious hipsters. OTOH, they care for politcs and terrorism and that kind of shit so ZDT rings much closer to home than hipster shit. They awarded THL because Iraq means something to them. Facebook doesn`t. It isn`t just oh, they love emotional movies. If they love them so much and always why did THL win? Cold movie if there was ever one. But it`s thematically interesting to them at least enough to consider it important. Facebook ain`t that. Bin laden, especially in the year where President who took him down won again, is the shit. ZDT can happen and can happen big. There. Edited December 6, 2012 by fishnets 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Futurist Posted December 6, 2012 Share Posted December 6, 2012 If they love them so much and always why did THL win?Because it wasn't directed by that canadian douche they collectively love to hate ? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fishstick Posted December 6, 2012 Share Posted December 6, 2012 (edited) Taking to you people who think ZDT is another AMPAS misfire like TSN is like trying to put some sense into Ringers in 2004 who thought Shitto`s shoe in for Best Supperting Actress although not a single precursor, or even MTV MA, acknowldged her existance. ZDT and Biggie are winning big. Picture, Director, Actress, Orginal Script, Cinematography, Editing. Take that to the bank.BTW, Looper strong showing at NBR and some top 10s indicates there might be an unexpected BP nomination D9 style. It might snag an Original script nom and considering that BP slots can go from 8-10 it could get in over something like Life of Pi that seems to be fading. Edited December 6, 2012 by fishnets Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blankments Posted December 6, 2012 Share Posted December 6, 2012 ArgoBeasts of the Southern WildLes MiserablesLife of PiLincolnMoonrise KingdomSilver Linings PlaybookSkyfallZero Dark Thirty Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pieman Posted December 6, 2012 Share Posted December 6, 2012 1. Lincoln2. Les Miserables3. Zero Dark Thirty4. Argo5. Silver Linings Playbook6. Life of Pi7. Beasts of the Southern Wild 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kvikk Lunsj Posted December 6, 2012 Share Posted December 6, 2012 If they love them so much and always why did THL win?Because it wasn't directed by that canadian douche they collectively love to hate ?Why would Avatar win BP? I hate to break to you but it never had a chance at a BP win. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pieman Posted December 6, 2012 Share Posted December 6, 2012 Why would Avatar win BP? I hate to break to you but it never had a chance at a BP win.HA!It clearly came second that year. Remember the David vs. Goliath line that was used to describe the race. The Oscars were pre-Internet backlash. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rockNrollaDIM Posted December 6, 2012 Share Posted December 6, 2012 It would be crazy if ZDT runs the gauntlet the whole award season, all the way to BP. I've been championing it since day one so it's an exciting prospect. Especially since people have been writing it off for so long as a potential dark horse only in favor of Les Miz and Lincoln. Goodwill for Homeland will also overlap to help ZDT. Identical main character, and we saw how Emmy voters reacted to that. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kvikk Lunsj Posted December 6, 2012 Share Posted December 6, 2012 HA!It clearly came second that year. Remember the David vs. Goliath line that was used to describe the race. The Oscars were pre-Internet backlash.Avatar came in 2nd with no screenplay nomination, or no actors nominated? The only big award it won was a Golden Globe. Avatar was not in 2nd. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
