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RTH Thursday SW around 23 (celebration!!)

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Titanic was huge in very small and minor markets.

 

I know in countries like Afghanistan Titanic was played for years in theaters. 

 

To be honest I am not sure the overseas gross captures all the grosses for that film.

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4 minutes ago, terrestrial said:

It might be a language thingie, I do understand a lot of posts here like the riter think their prediction is 100% sure to be correct and all others are ???? something not nice, if not agreeing = with that post, your = I am sure... (and the smiley) it sounds like YOU are sure, but do not think others are ... whatever if having another POV

My posts are not meant to discourage predictions, but heated reactions over numbers that are IMHO not set in stone as long as the actuals are not realeased (no matter Minday, next week ór at it's run end)

When throwing out a prediction on anything, by default you are saying others are wrong. They are doing the same to me. When I'm right I get bragging rights and usually money being a former trader and poker player. When I'm wrong I concede and pay up.

Last weekend I insisted the weekend would not be over 160 due to a number of factors when the forum got euphoric after OWeek.  

I insisted that there would not be a greater than 25% drop yesterday for a reason when many doomers were saying -30%+ and less than 20m and a sub 100m WE.

My point is I stick with the numbers, I don't go with hype or doom. I'm not always right but I've been close as others have. Having been a trader I can't help but notice that when the market is surging the hype kicks in and there is no end in sight, so people say. When it's falling the feeling is the world is going to hell and will never recover. Same here and with BOM and BO.com. a bit of over and under correcting. It's fun to watch and I like to take part and throw my dart on target. That's all.

Having said that BJ has been the man. Post to follow. His dailies have been a little high or low but he has been dead on overall . I have been in line with his prediction since OD. However, he posted this on the 11th before the hype really got going. And was called many things. 

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On Friday, December 11, 2015 at 3:18 PM, B J said:

BJs Prediction:

Star Wars Episode VII - The Force Awakens

Previews: 54.65m -
Opening Day: 114.99m
Opening Wknd: 250.05m - Fri: 114.99m / Sat: 70.95m -38% / Sun: 64.11m -9%
4-Day: 288.60m - Mon: 38.55m -39%
5-Day: 325.00m - Tue: 36.40m -5%
6-Day: 360.65m - Wed: 35.65m -2%
Opening Wk: 384.50m - Thur: 23.85m -33%
2nd Wknd: 145.00m -42% - Fri: 40.25m +68% / Sat: 54.75m +35% / Sun: 50.00m -8%
11-Day: 567.00m - Mon: 37.50m -25%
12-Day: 602.25m - Tue: 35.25m -6%
13-Day: 635.70m - Wed: 33.45m -5%
2nd Wk: 662.65m - Thur: 26.95m -19%
3rd Wknd: 100.50m -30% - Fri: 37.55m +39% / Sat: 37.95m +1% / Sun: 25.00m -34%
18-Day: 771.90m - Mon: 8.75m -63%
19-Day: 781.95m - Tue: 10.05m +15%
20-Day: 789.45m - Wed: 7.50m -20%
3rd Wk: 796.15m - Thur: 6.70m -11%
4th Wknd: 52.25m -48% - Fri: 14.35m +115% / Sat: 22.30m +55% / Sun: 15.50m -30%
25-Day: 852.90m - Mon: 4.50m -71%
26-Day: 858.55m - Tue: 5.65m +25%
27-Day: 862.75m - Wed: 4.20m -29%
4th Wk: 866.50m - Thur: 3.75m -5%
5th Wknd: 37.40m -28% - Fri: 8.75m +130% / Sat: 15.35m +75% / Sun: 13.30m -13%
4-Day-Wknd: 47.40m -10% - Mon: 10.00m -25%
33-Day: 917.75m - Tue: 3.85m -61%
34-Day: 920.40m - Wed: 2.65m -30%
5th Wk: 923.05m - Thur: 2.65m NC
6th Wknd: 26.15m -30% - Fri: 6.50m +145% / Sat: 12.05m +85% / Sun: 7.60m -37%
Wk-1: 384.50m - Wknd: 250.05m | Total: 384.50m
Wk-2: 278.15m - Wknd: 145.00m | Total: 662.65m
Wk-3: 133.50m - Wknd: 100.50m | Total: 796.15m
Wk-4: 70.25m - Wknd: 52.25m | Total: 866.50m
Wk-5: 56.55m - Wknd: 37.40m - 4-Day-Wknd: 47.40m | Total: 923.05m
Wk-6: 34.80m - Wknd: 26.15m | Total: 957.85m
Wk-7: 26.75m - Wknd: 20.40m | Total: 984.60m
Wk-8: 18.40m - Wknd: 13.25m | Total: 1,003.00m
Wk-9: 20.65m - Wknd: 13.25m - 4-Day-Wknd: 17.25m | Total: 1,023.65m
Wk-10: 12.05m - Wknd: 8.95m | Total: 1,035.70m
Wk-11: 9.75m - Wknd: 7.15m | Total: 1,045.45m
Wk-12: 7.00m - Wknd: 5.15m | Total: 1,052.45m
Wk-13: 5.90m - Wknd: 3.85m | Total: 1,058.35m
Wk-14: 3.25m - Wknd: 2.10m | Total: 1,061.60m
Wk-15: 1.30m - Wknd: .95m | Total: 1,062.90m
Wk-16: 1.05m - Wknd: .80m | Total: 1,063.95m
Wk-17: 1.20m - Wknd: .90m | Total: 1,065.15m
Wk-18: 1.00m - Wknd: .70m | Total: 1,066.15m
Wk-19: .75m - Wknd: .50m | Total: 1,066.90m
Wk-20: 2.65m - Wknd: 1.75m | Total: 1,069.55m
Wk-21: .70m - Wknd: .55m | Total: 1,070.25m
Wk-22: .55m - Wknd: .40m | Total: 1,070.80m
Wk-23: .50m - Wknd: .30m - 4-Day-Wknd: .40m | Total: 1,071.30m
Wk-24: .25m - Wknd: .15m | Total: 1,071.55m
Wk-25: .15m - Wknd: .10m | Total: 1,071.70m
Money Made After Wk-25: ~.5m
Estimated Wks in theaters: 30
Consecutive Days Over 1m: 68
Days to 50m: 1-Days - 114.99m
Days to 100m: 1-Days - 114.99m
Days to 150m: 2-Days - 185.94m
Days to 200m: 3-Days - 250.05m
Days to 250m: 3-Days - 250.05m
Days to 300m: 5-Days - 325.00m
Days to 350m: 6-Days - 360.65m
Days to 400m: 8-Days - 424.75m
Days to 450m: 9-Days - 479.50m
Days to 500m: 10-Days - 529.50m
Days to 550m: 11-Days - 567.00m
Days to 600m: 12-Days - 602.25m
Days to 650m: 14-Days - 662.65m
Days to 700m: 15-Days - 700.20m
Days to 750m: 17-Days - 763.15m
Days to 800m: 22-Days - 810.50m
Days to 850m: 25-Days - 852.80m
Days to 900m: 31-Days - 903.80m
Days to 950m: 39-Days - 951.45m
Days to 1,000b: 54-Days - 1,000.5b
Days to 1,050b: 80-Days - 1,050.6b
Domestic Total: 1,072b
International Total: 1,628b
World Wide Total: 2,700b

Multiplier: 4.29

I think this continues to hold true and 1.050-1.1B happens

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'Star Wars: The Force Awakens' Box Office: $652M In Two Weeks, $1.331B Worldwide

With $652M domestic, THE FORCE AWAKENS will pass JURASSIC WORLD and TITANIC later today to become the #2 film of all-time.

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estimates

Disney:
Star Wars 7               $22,931,000    -18%    4,134        0    $5,547    $651,965,583
The Good Dinosaur      $1,212,000    -14%    1,987    -768      $610    $110,710,575

 

Paramount:    
Daddy's Home             $5,882,000    -12%    3,271      --     $1,798    $64,684,495
The Big Short              $2,092,000       8%    1,585       0     $1,320    $23,978,117
Anomalisa                       $21,000    -60%           4      --     $5,250    $73,000    

 

FOX:        
Joy                             $3,225,000     23%    2,896       --    $1,114    $28,321,460    
Alvin .... Road Chip       $3,210,000    -24%    3,705      52       $866    $55,576,640    
Brooklyn                        $330,000      17%      300    -243    $1,100    $19,560,233
The Peanuts Movie          $138,000    -22%      359    -261       $384    $128,234,758
The Martian                    $115,000    -12%      279    -150       $412    $225,345,402
Youth                               $87,000     25%      149      88        $584        $1,297,513
The Revenant (2015)         $74,000    -29%         4       --    $18,500          $874,384

 

WB:
Point Break (2015)        $1,230,000    -14%    2,910      --         $423    $15,585,000    
Creed                             $800,000      -8%    1,518     -915      $527    $99,556,653    
In the Heart of the Sea     $220,000      2%       685    -2418      $321    $23,199,171

 

Focus:
The Danish Girl                $295,000     -11%      440     359        $670     $4,496,735
Suffragette                          $4,000     33%        23      -52        $174     $4,659,143    

 

Open Road:    
Spotlight                         $271,407      3%        480    -345        $565    $25,923,879

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Thursday, December 31, 2015
 

<<Prev Day <Wk <Mo <Yr
     
>Yr >Mo >Wk >>Next Day
TD YD Title (Click to View) Studio Daily Gross % +/- YD / LW Theaters / Avg Gross To-Date Day
1 1 Star Wars: The Force Awakens BV $22,931,000 -18% -16% 4,134 $5,547 $651,965,583 14
2 2 Daddy's Home Par. $5,882,000 -12% - 3,271 $1,798 $64,684,495 7
3 6 Joy Fox $3,225,000 +23% - 2,896 $1,114 $28,321,460 7
4 3 Alvin and the Chipmunks: The Road Chip Fox $3,210,000 -24% +58% 3,705 $866 $55,576,640 14
5 4 The Hateful Eight Wein. $3,150,000 -11% - 1,958 $1,609 $13,337,963 7
6 5 Sisters Uni. $2,281,000 -28% +59% 2,962 $770 $49,123,640 14
7 7 The Big Short Par. $2,092,000 +8% +22% 1,585 $1,320 $23,979,117 21
8 8 Concussion (2015) Sony $1,635,000 -3% - 2,841 $576 $17,370,000 7
9 9 Point Break (2015) WB $1,230,000 -14% - 2,910 $423 $15,585,000 7
10 10 The Good Dinosaur BV $1,212,000 -14% +33% 2,134 $568 $110,710,575 37
11 11 The Hunger Games: Mockingjay - Part 2 LGF $1,050,000 -19% +28% 1,813 $579 $269,597,959 42
12 12 Creed WB $800,000 -8% -2% 1,518 $527 $99,556,653 37
- - Brooklyn FoxS $330,000 +17% +78% 300 $1,100 $19,560,233 58
- - The Danish Girl Focus $295,000 -11% +239% 440 $670 $4,496,735 35
- - Spotlight ORF $271,407 +3% +10% 480 $565 $25,923,879 56
                     

 

Wow, Joy and TBS increased. :o 

Edited by A District 3 Engineer
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Just found out a guy that was a couple years ahead of me in school did some of the 3D work for TFA. He was shown on the local news and said that with 3D glasses you see about a minute of his work.

 

Edited by Rman823
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9 minutes ago, Vadermort said:

Why did OS fall so terribly ? From 37M to 15m.. 

lots of cinemas close early. NYE not a very popular day to go to the cinema here in the UK. Can't talk for other countries but this is the biggest OS market.

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41 minutes ago, Lordmandeep said:

Titanic was huge in very small and minor markets.

 

I know in countries like Afghanistan Titanic was played for years in theaters. 

 

To be honest I am not sure the overseas gross captures all the grosses for that film.

 

Titanic became massively popular in Afghanistan, but the Taliban had shut down all the theaters so it gained most of its popularity there via pirated copies. The Jack Dawson cut was very fashionable to Afghani boys/men and the Taliban jailed people for even giving the haircut:

 

Quote

 

The religious police, who enforce an interpretation of Islam that includes a ban on shaving, have detained dozens of barbers for trimming the hair of the capital's youth in the Titanic style, witnesses said.

 

"We don't know for sure the precise number of the arrested people, but reportedly they exceed 30 and have been in the jail for over a week now for giving a Titanic hairstyle," said one barber, who declined to be identified.

 

 

So it's fun to follow box office and mark the impressive achievements, but foolish to think that it means everything to a movie's enduring popularity.

 

 

30 minutes ago, terrestrial said:

 

 

RIP, it felt like "This Will Be (An Everlasting Love)" was used in a lot of rom-com trailers/movies through the years:

 

 

 

 

Edited by BoxOfficeChica
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6 minutes ago, Salacious Tree Crumb said:

lots of cinemas close early. NYE not a very popular day to go to the cinema here in the UK. Can't talk for other countries but this is the biggest OS market.

All cinemas were closed on Xmas Eve and NYE in my country, half of them are opened on Xmas and Jn 1st.

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