Mockingjay Raphael Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 2 minutes ago, Baumer Fett said: Sw is doing ok. Its disappointing that it hasn't reached a billion yet. Also disappointing that it did not have third weekend of more than 120 million. It's all so disappointing that its only on track to beat avatar by about a quarter of a billion. I'm so disappointed in this run. It's really a shame I had high hopes for this Star Wars film. Oh well. Goodbye Chapter VIII 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronJimbo Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 1 minute ago, Baumer Fett said: Sw is doing ok. Its disappointing that it hasn't reached a billion yet. Also disappointing that it did not have third weekend of more than 120 million. It's all so disappointing that its only on track to beat avatar by about a quarter of a billion. I'm so disappointed in this run. It's really a shame I had high hopes for this Star Wars film. Oh well. Just to clarify he means domestic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Walt Disney Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 6 minutes ago, Mockingjay Raphael said: Goodbye Chapter VIII Episode VIII Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XXRDJisDoctorDoom Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 6 minutes ago, BATMOOSEMIKE said: My take on whether Star Wars:TFA can crack a billion: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Q_escVKrmYs Thoughts? I think your drops are a bit steep but your reasoning is there. I can't argue with your results I just think they're going to be a bit short Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rustyspoons89 Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 19.4 seems too low for Sunday... But I'm no expert. Either way, awesome 3rd Weekend! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 BKB.....u didnt take my post seriously, did you? 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BadAtGender Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 1 hour ago, Punishment said: So... Movies that missed at least a 4.0X multiplier (what TFA needs for $1b) that opened with at least $30m weekend from December 15 to December 25th: Sherlock Holmes 3.35X (Dec 25) Unbroken 3.78X (Dec 25) Marley and Me 3.94 (Dec 25) Tron Legacy 3.91 (Dec 17) Lemony Snicket's A Series of Unfortunate Events 3.95X (Dec 17) The other 13 movies all made at least a 4.0X multiplier Into the Woods Django Unchained Catch Me If You Can Alvin and the Chipmunks: The Squeakquel Little Fockers Meet the Fockers Night at the Museum National Treasure: Book of Secrets The Lord of the Rings: The Fellowship of the Ring The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers Avatar The Hobbit: The Battle of the Five Armies The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King Obviously TFA is a different beast with it's huge opening weekend(s), but it seems reasonable that $1b is still in play. Uhh, that's not really a good point of comparison. Several of those movies with big multipliers didn't open on Friday. Christmas releases tend to take whatever day of the week the 25th is. And other movies may go for a weekday release just because. Tuesday for Django Unchained Wednesday for Catch Me if You Can Alvin 2 Both Focker films All three LotR films Hobbit 3 Thursday for Into the Woods So for actual Friday releases, you've got Avatar, Night at the Museum, and National Treasure 2, which is a really small set and you can't really draw any conclusions. Especially since two of them were beyond exceptional in terms of legs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XXRDJisDoctorDoom Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 3 minutes ago, BKB IS CAPTAIN AMERICA said: I mean, even if this doesn't hit a Billion Domestic, it's still made a hell of a lot of $$$$$ ending around 900M + Domestic and more than enough to topple AVATAR.. That's all the matters... Maybe VIII will make a Billion Domestic??? Not with a May release date. 20% drop minimum from EP7. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LinksterAC Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 Just now, BKB IS CAPTAIN AMERICA said: Really??? I don't think it'll matter what month VIII is released in.. It'll still do mad business and do it in mad volume quickly like this before dying down... It will. $800M is mad business any way you slice it. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XXRDJisDoctorDoom Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 1 minute ago, BKB IS CAPTAIN AMERICA said: Really??? I don't think it'll matter what month VIII is released in.. It'll still do mad business and do it in mad volume quickly like this before dying down... And May is the 40th Anniversary.. Yes it will, but it's going to drop much quicker. It'll challenge EP7 for 10 day total but after it's 2nd weekend it will act more like a regular summer release. Still, a 20% drop isn't a slight on it. That would be $800 million lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronJimbo Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 1 hour ago, Baumer Fett said: Going to my sixth showing at 11pm tonight....imax. Hoping its not too busy. This will be my third time seeing it alone. I have enjoyed seeing it alone more than seeing it with friends and family simply because I just like to take it all in all by myself it's almost like a higher state of consciousness lol. See if you can beat my Avatar record of 8 times, I'm sure others have beat it though 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 Better way to look at this is that no film that set the OW record had more than a 3.5x. Sw will crush that multiplier. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JonathanLB Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 LOL, 8 times is adorable I've seen TFA 10 times and am just getting started. I saw TPM 53 times in theaters (50 on first release), AOTC 54, and ROTS 24 times. Not saying 8 is bad, but that's child's play for a Star Wars fan. Ha ha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 Btw....13 Hours looks pretty frikkin good. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daxtreme Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 1 minute ago, JonathanLB said: LOL, 8 times is adorable I've seen TFA 10 times and am just getting started. I saw TPM 53 times in theaters (50 on first release), AOTC 54, and ROTS 24 times. Not saying 8 is bad, but that's child's play for a Star Wars fan. Ha ha. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 I doubt Ep8 makes 800. Its inevitable that it drops from this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronJimbo Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 5 minutes ago, JonathanLB said: LOL, 8 times is adorable I've seen TFA 10 times and am just getting started. I saw TPM 53 times in theaters (50 on first release), AOTC 54, and ROTS 24 times. Not saying 8 is bad, but that's child's play for a Star Wars fan. Ha ha. Lol wow you're almost insane as my cousin. He saw Avatar 87 times and Titanic 96 times, he's the one who taught me about James Cameron. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 6 minutes ago, JonathanLB said: LOL, 8 times is adorable I've seen TFA 10 times and am just getting started. I saw TPM 53 times in theaters (50 on first release), AOTC 54, and ROTS 24 times. Not saying 8 is bad, but that's child's play for a Star Wars fan. Ha ha. How is that even possible? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grey ghost Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 1 minute ago, Baumer Fett said: I doubt Ep8 makes 800. Its inevitable that it drops from this one. Even though SW8 will be a highly anticipated, a large drop is inevitable. I'd expect a 25% drop which puts SW8 close to Avatar 1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattW Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 1 minute ago, Baumer Fett said: I doubt Ep8 makes 800. Its inevitable that it drops from this one. Episode 1 to 2 drop was 30%. Episode 4 to 5 drop is harder to estimate depending on what counts as first run, but it's pretty close to 30%. If TFA does 950 that would put Ep8 under 700. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
