LeoC Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 1 hour ago, Charlie Jatinder said: Isn't that weird? I mean the pre-sales are supposed to get heavier by passing time. It might have something to do with more theaters and screens being built and added? It provides room for a higher PSm. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 (edited) Captain Marvel T-6 Days Day Gross in ¥ ('000) Gross in $ Change Shows / Avg Gross-to-Date Previews ¥2,000 $299,000 44.93% 5,387 $54 $291,000 Friday ¥8,440 $1,269,000 67.99% 50,315 $25 $1,568,000 Saturday ¥3,410 $509,000 59.62% 26,276 $19 $2,077,000 Sunday ¥1,780 $266,000 40.63% 22,923 $12 $2,343,000 Comp(s) Spoiler Time Captain Marvel Venom Captain America: Civil War Ant-Man and The Wasp Black Panther Gross Change Gross Change Gross Change Gross Change Gross Change 14 Days Out 13 Days Out 12 Days Out ¥2.46 11 Days Out ¥3.15 28.05% 10 Days Out ¥2.82 ¥3.65 15.87% 9 Days Out ¥2.99 ¥3.47 23.05% ¥4.22 15.62% 8 Days Out ¥2.15 ¥4.48 49.83% ¥2.40 ¥4.09 17.87% ¥4.93 16.82% 7 Days Out ¥5.03 133.95% ¥6.38 42.41% ¥3.60 50.00% ¥4.81 17.60% ¥5.77 17.04% 6 Days Out ¥8.44 67.99% ¥8.46 32.60% ¥6.20 72.22% ¥5.87 22.04% ¥6.82 18.20% 5 Days Out ¥10.30 21.75% ¥8.10 30.65% ¥7.08 20.61% ¥8.19 20.09% 4 Days Out ¥13.10 27.18% ¥11.90 46.91% ¥8.43 19.07% ¥10.19 24.42% 3 Days Out ¥17.84 36.18% ¥16.30 36.97% ¥11.25 33.45% ¥14.03 37.68% 2 Days Out ¥24.75 38.73% ¥25.40 55.83% ¥15.42 37.07% ¥19.20 36.85% 1 Day Out ¥34.09 37.74% ¥37.90 49.21% ¥23.68 53.57% ¥26.78 39.48% Final ¥60.06 76.18% ¥65.80 73.61% ¥46.55 96.58% ¥45.50 69.90% Opening Day ¥223.38 ¥181.00 ¥154.49 ¥131.77 PSm 3.72 2.75 3.32 2.90 Edited March 1, 2019 by Charlie Jatinder 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
efialtes76 Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 10 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said: Captain Marvel T-6 Days Day Gross in ¥ ('000) Gross in $ Change Shows / Avg Gross-to-Date Previews ¥1,950 $291,000 41.30% 5,365 $54 $291,000 Friday ¥8,500 $1,269,000 68.99% 50,210 $25 $1,560,000 Saturday ¥3,400 $507,000 59.62% 26,276 $19 $2,067,000 Sunday ¥1,800 $269,000 40.63% 22,923 $12 $2,336,000 Comp(s) Reveal hidden contents Time Captain Marvel Venom Captain America: Civil War Ant-Man and The Wasp Black Panther Gross Change Gross Change Gross Change Gross Change Gross Change 14 Days Out 13 Days Out 12 Days Out ¥2.46 11 Days Out ¥3.15 28.05% 10 Days Out ¥2.82 ¥3.65 15.87% 9 Days Out ¥2.99 ¥3.47 23.05% ¥4.22 15.62% 8 Days Out ¥2.15 ¥4.48 49.83% ¥2.40 ¥4.09 17.87% ¥4.93 16.82% 7 Days Out ¥5.03 133.95% ¥6.38 42.41% ¥3.60 50.00% ¥4.81 17.60% ¥5.77 17.04% 6 Days Out ¥8.50 68.99% ¥8.46 32.60% ¥6.20 72.22% ¥5.87 22.04% ¥6.82 18.20% 5 Days Out ¥10.30 21.75% ¥8.10 30.65% ¥7.08 20.61% ¥8.19 20.09% 4 Days Out ¥13.10 27.18% ¥11.90 46.91% ¥8.43 19.07% ¥10.19 24.42% 3 Days Out ¥17.84 36.18% ¥16.30 36.97% ¥11.25 33.45% ¥14.03 37.68% 2 Days Out ¥24.75 38.73% ¥25.40 55.83% ¥15.42 37.07% ¥19.20 36.85% 1 Day Out ¥34.09 37.74% ¥37.90 49.21% ¥23.68 53.57% ¥26.78 39.48% Final ¥60.06 76.18% ¥65.80 73.61% ¥46.55 96.58% ¥45.50 69.90% Opening Day ¥223.38 ¥181.00 ¥154.49 ¥131.77 PSm 3.72 2.75 3.32 2.90 At the same time BP had only 33k shows listed. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeoC Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 9 hours ago, Charlie Jatinder said: Captain Marvel is ahead of all MCU solo films in presales. In fact, it will be outpacing Venom by a bit at end of day, therefore I am bringing Venom in comp. Time Captain Marvel Venom Ant-Man and The Wasp Black Panther Spider-Man: Homecoming Gross Change Gross Change Gross Change Gross Change Gross Change 14 Days Out 13 Days Out 12 Days Out ¥2.46 11 Days Out ¥3.15 28.05% 10 Days Out ¥2.82 ¥3.65 15.87% ¥1.86 9 Days Out ¥2.99 ¥3.47 23.05% ¥4.22 15.62% ¥2.60 39.78% 8 Days Out ¥2.15 ¥4.48 49.83% ¥4.09 17.87% ¥4.93 16.82% ¥3.70 42.31% 7 Days Out ¥5.03 133.95% ¥6.38 42.41% ¥4.81 17.60% ¥5.77 17.04% ¥4.80 29.73% 6 Days Out ¥8.50 68.99% ¥8.46 32.60% ¥5.87 22.04% ¥6.82 18.20% ¥6.00 25.00% 5 Days Out ¥10.30 21.75% ¥7.08 20.61% ¥8.19 20.09% ¥7.50 25.00% 4 Days Out ¥13.10 27.18% ¥8.43 19.07% ¥10.19 24.42% ¥9.00 20.00% 3 Days Out ¥17.84 36.18% ¥11.25 33.45% ¥14.03 37.68% ¥10.50 16.67% 2 Days Out ¥24.75 38.73% ¥15.42 37.07% ¥19.20 36.85% ¥13.75 30.95% 1 Day Out ¥34.09 37.74% ¥23.68 53.57% ¥26.78 39.48% ¥20.00 45.45% Final ¥60.06 76.18% ¥46.55 96.58% ¥45.50 69.90% ¥36.00 80.00% Opening Day ¥223.38 ¥154.49 ¥131.77 ¥134.63 PSm 3.72 3.32 2.90 3.74 Nice call! What number do you have for Sat? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 (edited) 14 hours ago, LeoC said: Nice call! What number do you have for Sat? typically, daily revenue gains will at minimum hold flat. it should add at least 3.5m again and clear 12m +41% Edited March 2, 2019 by POTUS 2020 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Legion Again Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 +3.5 would get it to 12. +20, 30, 30, 50, 80 from there would be ~66! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeoC Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 23 hours ago, Charlie Jatinder said: It added ¥0.64mn since Midnight and its barely 11AM in China. Shall hit ¥8mn easily. I see it doing 8 Days Out ¥2.15 7 Days Out ¥5.03 133.95% 6 Days Out ¥8.00 59.05% 5 Days Out ¥11.00 37.50% 4 Days Out ¥14.50 31.82% 3 Days Out ¥19.00 31.03% 2 Days Out ¥25.00 31.58% 1 Day Out ¥35.00 40.00% Final ¥60.00 71.43% Slows down a little bit this morning compared to yesterday morning. But I guess it’s normal since it’s weekend and many people are still asleep? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 33 minutes ago, LeoC said: Slows down a little bit this morning compared to yesterday morning. But I guess it’s normal since it’s weekend and many people are still asleep? Shall do ¥3.5-4mn again today as by the end of day pace shall rise, I guess. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 CM to clear 80m at this pace. The PSm could be just 3 because its an event day like VD. The top 2 movies last year bumped 60 and 50% on a thursday. OD 240m might have been 160-180 w/o WD Sa 240m Su 180m. 670m w MN $100m OW looking very plausible atp. VM AQ and CM are taking single SH to new level. 1 1 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 The Indian trade feels that films with female protagonists have better reception in China. May that turn out to be true and Captain Marvel breakout. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Legion Again Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 12 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said: The Indian trade feels that films with female protagonists have better reception in China. Interesting thesis. Any particular films they point to as an example? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Premium George Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 4 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said: Interesting thesis. Any particular films they point to as an example? I think mainly dangal and Secret Superstar. CM seems to be different to both of them. WW didn't have any effect. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 (edited) 58 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said: Interesting thesis. Any particular films they point to as an example? Basically Dangal. Trade feels that the film worked because of women empowerment as a theme. Some even pointed out that lifting of One-Child policy worked in film's favour. Quote https://www.boxofficeindia.com/report-details.php?articleid=2927 China had a one child restriction policy which ended in 2015 to allow couples to have two children. The girl child taking the family name forward has connected in a big way and this film could go anywhere in China 1 I disagree with all that tho. Edited March 2, 2019 by Charlie Jatinder Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 (edited) CM PS may fall short of 12m but will still be up over 30% Edited March 2, 2019 by POTUS 2020 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 So finally the pace slows down, more like 10.75mn at end of the day. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FantasticBeasts Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 China is the true woke country. America could never.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 At 5 Days out Captain Marvel will be outselling Venom for Opening day pre-sales by around 6%, but... Spoiler It's outpacing the overall sales (for the weekend) by around 10%. 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThomasNicole Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 It will be really great it if end up with + 200M, and bodes well for 1B worldwide. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 13 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said: At 5 Days out Captain Marvel will be outselling Venom for Opening day pre-sales by around 6%, but... Reveal hidden contents It's outpacing the overall sales (for the weekend) by around 10%. I was concerned by the fact that OD pre-sales might be inflated due to Women's day but the other day pre-sales gives hope of good weekend multiplier as well, of course, that will need WOM too. But what's relieving is that presales are not OD frontloaded. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 Captain Marvel T-5 Days Date Gross in ¥ ('000) Gross in $ Change Shows / Avg Gross-to-Date Mar. 07, 2019 ¥2,500 $373,000 25% 5,750 $65 $373,000 Mar. 8, 2019 ¥11,000 $1,642,000 30% 55,500 $30 $2,015,000 Mar. 09, 2019 ¥4,750 $709,000 39% 30,500 $23 $2,724,000 Mar. 10, 2019 ¥2,250 $336,000 26% 25,500 $13 $3,060,000 Comps Spoiler Time Captain Marvel Venom Captain America: Civil War Ant-Man and The Wasp Black Panther Spider-Man: Homecoming Gross Change Gross Change Gross Change Gross Change Gross Change Gross Change 14 Days Out 13 Days Out 12 Days Out ¥2.46 11 Days Out ¥3.15 28% 10 Days Out ¥2.82 ¥3.65 16% ¥1.86 9 Days Out ¥2.99 ¥3.47 23% ¥4.22 16% ¥2.60 40% 8 Days Out ¥2.15 ¥4.48 50% ¥2.40 ¥4.09 18% ¥4.93 17% ¥3.70 42% 7 Days Out ¥5.03 134% ¥6.38 42% ¥3.60 50% ¥4.81 18% ¥5.77 17% ¥4.80 30% 6 Days Out ¥8.44 68% ¥8.46 33% ¥6.20 72% ¥5.87 22% ¥6.82 18% ¥6.00 25% 5 Days Out ¥11.00 30% ¥10.30 22% ¥8.10 31% ¥7.08 21% ¥8.19 20% ¥7.50 25% 4 Days Out ¥13.10 27% ¥11.90 47% ¥8.43 19% ¥10.19 24% ¥9.00 20% 3 Days Out ¥17.84 36% ¥16.30 37% ¥11.25 33% ¥14.03 38% ¥10.50 17% 2 Days Out ¥24.75 39% ¥25.40 56% ¥15.42 37% ¥19.20 37% ¥13.75 31% 1 Day Out ¥34.09 38% ¥37.90 49% ¥23.68 54% ¥26.78 39% ¥20.00 45% Final ¥60.06 76% ¥65.80 74% ¥46.55 97% ¥45.50 70% ¥36.00 80% Opening Day ¥223.38 ¥181.00 ¥154.49 ¥131.77 ¥134.63 PSm 3.72 2.75 3.32 2.90 3.74 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
