WrathOfHan Posted May 25, 2016 Share Posted May 25, 2016 25 minutes ago, department store basement said: Wow, KFP3 is making more daily than Deadpool at this point. I didn't expect that to happen. Blame the Blu. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted May 25, 2016 Share Posted May 25, 2016 25 minutes ago, johnboy3434 said: Money Monster Wednesday: $598k (-26%) SECOND WEEK TOTAL: $9.41M (-53%) THIRD WEEKEND FOUR-DAY TOTAL: $1.98M (-71.7%) PROJECTED FOUR-WEEK TOTAL: $32.9M (2.22x) Why are you expecting MM to drop so much? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RichWS Posted May 25, 2016 Share Posted May 25, 2016 31 minutes ago, BKB IS CAPTAIN AMERICA said: Cap isn't making it to 430M Domestic.. You need to rethink this.. A little over 400M is where it'll end up.. Don't bother. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
johnboy3434 Posted May 25, 2016 Share Posted May 25, 2016 40 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said: Why are you expecting MM to drop so much? Small Friday bump, big Monday tumble. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
johnboy3434 Posted May 25, 2016 Share Posted May 25, 2016 29 minutes ago, RichWS said: Don't bother. I suppose I need to start including a disclaimer that I in no way endorse or stand behind the projections that I post. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted May 25, 2016 Share Posted May 25, 2016 7 minutes ago, johnboy3434 said: Small Friday bump, big Monday tumble. So you're expecting it to lose over 75% of its 3 day business? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
johnboy3434 Posted May 25, 2016 Share Posted May 25, 2016 (edited) 4 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said: So you're expecting it to lose over 75% of its 3 day business? More specifically, -73.5% Friday-to-Friday, -76.8% Saturday-to-Saturday, and -70.2% Sunday-to-Sunday. When I'm finally covering all the films in the Derby, I'd be content taking Wonka's place at the bottom of the totem pole. Edited May 25, 2016 by johnboy3434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RamblinRed Posted May 26, 2016 Share Posted May 26, 2016 4 hours ago, narniadis said: Well today marks Day 40 for TJB being over 1m and should be the last consecutive day that it happens... and in doing so it passed BvS for #4 on the chart with it's sights on Zoo by the end of the weekend. All around a stronger Tuesday than I had expected. I agree with Grim that the continued spread of "discount tuesday" particularly over the last 12 months or so has really changed the way some things behave. This Monday and Tuesday is also the first time since its first week that TJB's weekday numbers have been higher than the same weekday numbers for Zoo (days 39 and 40). probably passes Zoo on Saturday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
narniadis Posted May 26, 2016 Share Posted May 26, 2016 2 hours ago, johnboy3434 said: More specifically, -73.5% Friday-to-Friday, -76.8% Saturday-to-Saturday, and -70.2% Sunday-to-Sunday. When I'm finally covering all the films in the Derby, I'd be content taking Wonka's place at the bottom of the totem pole. I know you are working on an algorithmic style of predicting but you aren't adequately compensating for this holiday weekend. I'm not sure you are modeling films but time of year needs to be taken into account in order to accurately reflect the grosses. Just some helpful advice I hope - I enjoy seeing your charts and watching as CW comes back into sync with reality, but there is more to it than just plugging in drops / raises based on comps or previous week activities. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
narniadis Posted May 26, 2016 Share Posted May 26, 2016 @johnboy3434 take a look at last year's Memorial Day Weekend 2 "big" openers Theater Count / screenwise and three hold overs that were doing over 20m so the weekend business is comparable to this years.... nothing in the top 12 fell harder than 54% so that -71% this weekend for MM is just a statistical impossibility particularly when the 4day is factored in. Again I know some of this is learning but you need to address some of these things if you want folks to take your predicting ideas seriously. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruthie Posted May 26, 2016 Share Posted May 26, 2016 6 hours ago, Baumer said: Civil War #CRUMBKBING Maybe CW won't pass Deadpool! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted May 26, 2016 Share Posted May 26, 2016 I will brag because I wanna Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MrPink Posted May 26, 2016 Share Posted May 26, 2016 Today I saw Civil War with my brother who was in town and it was the first movie I've ever been in that was completely empty. Granted, it was 4PM on a Wednesday. It allowed me to laugh as obnoxiously as possible at the Manchurian Candidate joke Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
johnboy3434 Posted May 26, 2016 Share Posted May 26, 2016 2 hours ago, narniadis said: Again I know some of this is learning but you need to address some of these things if you want folks to take your predicting ideas seriously. You're right, and I think I know what the problem is. I'll fix it after tomorrow, and see how things improve. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
narniadis Posted May 26, 2016 Share Posted May 26, 2016 1 hour ago, johnboy3434 said: You're right, and I think I know what the problem is. I'll fix it after tomorrow, and see how things improve. I look forward to the results - Like I said I am enjoying watching you figure this out - back in the day I used to run massive excel sheets (because I like data) and it could really fluctuate as you have found out.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted May 26, 2016 Share Posted May 26, 2016 CW should show a 27-28% drop today. Better than last week's -34.5% but more than IM3 and AOU's 19-22% Wed drop as they had a -11% Tue decrease as opposed just -4% for CW. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted May 26, 2016 Share Posted May 26, 2016 1 hour ago, a2knet said: CW should show a 27-28% drop today. Better than last week's -34.5% but more than IM3 and AOU's 19-22% Wed drop as they had a -11% Tue decrease as opposed just -4% for CW. What's the weekend going to be? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VGPOP Posted May 26, 2016 Share Posted May 26, 2016 2 hours ago, No Prisoners said: What's the weekend going to be? IMO, I'm predicting a -46.9% drop for the weekend ($17,491,001 weekend) and memorial day at $5,995,032 for a four-day drop of -28.7%. Four day weekend at $23,486,033 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted May 26, 2016 Share Posted May 26, 2016 48 minutes ago, VGPOP said: IMO, I'm predicting a -46.9% drop for the weekend ($17,491,001 weekend) and memorial day at $5,995,032 for a four-day drop of -28.7%. Four day weekend at $23,486,033 I'm going with south of 15m 3 day 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
