Weekend Actuals: TMNT 35.3M | X-Men 22.8M | Me Before You 18.7M | Popstar 4.7M

[WrathOfHan]

1	N	Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Out of the Shadows	Par.	$35,316,382	-	4,071	-	$8,675	$35,316,382	$135	1
2	1	X-Men: Apocalypse	Fox	$22,825,484	-65.3%	4,153	+3	$5,496	$116,998,716	$178	2
3	N	Me Before You	WB	$18,723,269	-	2,704	-	$6,924	$18,723,269	$20	1
4	2	Alice Through the Looking Glass	BV	$11,314,635	-57.9%	3,763	-	$3,007	$51,396,232	$170	2
5	3	The Angry Birds Movie	Sony	$10,214,076	-45.6%	3,484	-448	$2,932	$87,116,802	$73	3
6	4	Captain America: Civil War	BV	$7,829,479	-49.1%	3,084	-311	$2,539	$389,178,636	$250	5
7	5	Neighbors 2: Sorority Rising	Uni.	$4,863,365	-48.0%	2,417	-999	$2,012	$48,723,590	-	3
8	N	Popstar: Never Stop Never Stopping	Uni.	$4,698,715	-	2,311	-	$2,033	$4,698,715	-	1
9	6	The Jungle Book (2016)	BV	$4,445,272	-37.3%	1,990	-533	$2,234	$347,667,933	$175	8
10	7	The Nice Guys	WB	$3,453,344	-47.0%	1,888	-977	$1,829	$29,054,194	-	3
11	9	Love & Friendship	RAtt.	$2,146,666	-11.0%	819	+326	$2,621	$7,029,040	-	4
12	8	Money Monster	TriS	$1,865,537	-56.9%	1,323	-992	$1,410	$38,304,947	$27	4
13	11	The Lobster (US Release)	A24	$1,457,928	+94.1%	560	+444	$2,603	$3,529,045	-	4
14	10	Zootopia	BV	$753,723	-6.0%	400	-172	$1,884	$337,183,405	-	14
15	14	Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice	WB	$286,178	-44.7%	270	-91	$1,060	$329,905,951	$250	11
16	15	The Man Who Knew Infinity	IFC	$283,680	-34.3%	197	-91	$1,440	$2,939,419	-	6
17	13	The Meddler	SPC	$255,225	-51.5%	232	-188	$1,100	$3,645,380	-	7
18	-	The Wailing (Goksung)	WGUSA	$218,520	-	32	-	$6,829	$296,812	-	3
19	24	Weiner	IFC	$215,180	+35.9%	58	+31	$3,710	$607,221	-	3
20	12	The Darkness	HTR	$176,186	-75.3%	208	-796	$847	$10,411,993	-	4
21	16	A Bigger Splash	FoxS	$162,260	-60.0%	220	-158	$738	$1,725,790	-	5
22	28	Maggie's Plan	SPC	$142,631	+37.1%	34	+15	$4,195	$395,549	-	3
23	17	The Huntsman: Winter's War	Uni.	$136,200	-62.8%	167	-207	$816	$47,804,160	$115	7
24	19	Miracles from Heaven	TriS	$108,053	-57.1%	159	-48	$680	$61,251,744	$13	12
25	21	The Boss	Uni.	$102,855	-55.7%	157	-74	$655	$62,900,550	$29	9
26	22	Mother's Day	ORF	$98,400	-56.3%	208	-127	$473	$32,364,994	$25	6
27	20	Barbershop: The Next Cut	WB	$95,390	-61.2%	118	-147	$808	$53,478,693	-	8
28	18	Kung Fu Panda 3	Fox	$61,952	-75.8%	134	-59	$462	$143,275,709	-	19
29	26	Deadpool	Fox	$50,529	-63.9%	69	-71	$732	$363,024,263	$58	17
30	37	Dark Horse (2016)	SPC	$48,634	+33.8%	26	+13	$1,871	$202,562	-	5

 

 

Better than anticipated Sunday drop for X-Men

Edited June 6, 2016 by WrathOfHan

[cannastop]

http://www.the-numbers.com/box-office-chart/weekend/2016/06/03

[grim22]

Sunday drops were better than expected across the board. Only Nice Guys was overestimated, Angry Birds, Me Before You, Alice and Apocalypse all underestimated by half a million.

 

Est. /Act.		Diff	Movie Title (click to view)	Studio	Studio Est. / Actual		Diff	% Diff	Theaters	Est. Total	Actual	Wk
1	1	-	Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Out of the Shadows	Par.	$35,250,000	$35,316,382	$+66,382	+0.2%	4,071	$35,250,000	$35,316,382	1
2	2	-	X-Men: Apocalypse	Fox	$22,325,000	$22,825,484	$+500,484	+2.2%	4,153	$116,498,232	$116,998,716	2
3	3	-	Me Before You	WB	$18,270,000	$18,723,269	$+453,269	+2.5%	2,704	$18,270,000	$18,723,269	1
4	4	-	Alice Through the Looking Glass	BV	$10,691,000	$11,314,635	$+623,635	+5.8%	3,763	$50,772,597	$51,396,232	2
5	5	-	The Angry Birds Movie	Sony	$9,775,000	$10,214,076	$+439,076	+4.5%	3,484	$86,677,726	$87,116,802	3
6	6	-	Captain America: Civil War	BV	$7,591,000	$7,829,479	$+238,479	+3.1%	3,084	$388,940,157	$389,178,636	5
7	7	-	Neighbors 2: Sorority Rising	Uni.	$4,700,000	$4,863,365	$+163,365	+3.5%	2,417	$48,560,225	$48,723,590	3
8	8	-	Popstar: Never Stop Never Stopping	Uni.	$4,630,000	$4,698,715	$+68,715	+1.5%	2,311	$4,630,000	$4,698,715	1
9	9	-	The Jungle Book (2016)	BV	$4,247,000	$4,445,272	$+198,272	+4.7%	1,990	$347,469,661	$347,667,933	8
10	10	-	The Nice Guys	WB	$3,520,000	$3,453,344	$-66,656	-1.9%	1,888	$29,120,850	$29,054,194	3
11	11	-	Love & Friendship	RAtt.	$2,132,476	$2,146,666	$+14,190	+0.7%	819	$7,014,850	$7,029,040	4
12	12	-	Money Monster	TriS	$1,810,000	$1,865,537	$+55,537	+3.1%	1,323	$38,249,410	$38,304,947	4

[grim22]

Sunday help up well, only Nice Guys with a >30% drop in the top 10. Looks like summer vacations may be starting to take effect

 

TD	YD	Title (Click to View)	Studio	Daily Gross	% +/- YD / LW		Theaters / Avg		Gross To-Date	Day
1	1	Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Out of the Shadows	Par.	$9,810,628	-25%	-	4,071	$2,410	$35,316,382	3
2	2	X-Men: Apocalypse	Fox	$6,833,292	-27%	-64%	4,153	$1,645	$116,998,716	10
3	3	Me Before You	WB	$4,743,327	-24%	-	2,704	$1,754	$18,723,269	3
4	4	Alice Through the Looking Glass	BV	$3,642,527	-19%	-55%	3,763	$968	$51,396,232	10
5	5	The Angry Birds Movie	Sony	$3,448,231	-16%	-46%	3,484	$990	$87,116,802	17
6	6	Captain America: Civil War	BV	$2,422,340	-27%	-56%	3,084	$785	$389,178,636	31
7	8	The Jungle Book (2016)	BV	$1,470,644	-20%	-44%	1,990	$739	$347,667,933	52
8	7	Neighbors 2: Sorority Rising	Uni.	$1,394,115	-29%	-56%	2,417	$577	$48,723,590	17
9	9	Popstar: Never Stop Never Stopping	Uni.	$1,215,410	-29%	-	2,311	$526	$4,698,715	3
10	10	The Nice Guys	WB	$1,010,450	-32%	-57%	1,888	$535	$29,054,194	17

[RandomCat]

Noo, Zootopia, you're inevitable fall from the top 10 hurts inside.

[JohnnyGossamer]

So... When does Civil War pass $400M? A couple weeks?

[cannastop]

3 minutes ago, RandomJC said:

Noo, Zootopia, you're inevitable fall from the top 10 hurts inside.

It was still a 6% drop.

[Jake Gittes]

2 minutes ago, JohnnyGossamer said:

So... When does Civil War pass $400M? A couple weeks?

 

Yeah, Father's Day seems likely. Should be at about 392 before Friday, 396 after next weekend.

[Jake Gittes]

I knew nothing about The Wailing until a week ago but it's become one of my most anticipated of the year at this point. The constant Memories of Murder comparisons aren't making it any easier.

[Dementeleus]

15 minutes ago, JohnnyGossamer said:

So... When does Civil War pass $400M? A couple weeks?

 

Never.

[JohnnyGossamer]

10 minutes ago, Jake Gittes said:

I knew nothing about The Wailing until a week ago but it's become one of my most anticipated of the year at this point. The constant Memories of Murder comparisons aren't making it any easier.

Yes. It and The Handmaiden are my two most anticipated followed closely by The Lobster and Kubo. Gotta admit, I'm an easy mark for South Korean imports. I was pretty devastated when I saw The Wailing didn't have a release date in sight for Pittsburgh. And, with Park Chan-wook's The Handmaiden, I don't believe it's been picked up yet for distribution in the States. So... I guess I'll see about that one getting to my hometown too. I guess I shouldn't complain too much, Pittsburgh was one of the few cities to get The Mermaid earlier this year.

 

http://www.wellgousa.com/theatrical/the-wailing

Edited June 6, 2016 by JohnnyGossamer

[JohnnyGossamer]

41 minutes ago, Jake Gittes said:

 

Yeah, Father's Day seems likely. Should be at about 392 before Friday, 396 after next weekend.

So, another year, another $400M+ DOM/$1B+ WW MCU grosser. I'm assuming that streak will come to a halt next summer but I suppose Guardians Vol. 2 has an outside shot.

[Jake Gittes]

14 minutes ago, JohnnyGossamer said:

So, another year, another $400M+ DOM/$1B+ WW MCU grosser. I'm assuming that streak will come to a halt next summer but I suppose Guardians Vol. 2 has an outside shot.

 

I think Guardians can do at least 350/900 unless it just completely sucks even on the marketing stage, which is unlikely. And if it can 1) be really good and 2) not look overly tied to the larger MCU I think it can pull a DMC/TF2 and climb over 400 domestically. From there 1b WW will be easy. 

[cannastop]

2 minutes ago, Jake Gittes said:

 

I think Guardians can do at least 350/900 unless it just completely sucks even on the marketing stage, which is unlikely. And if it can 1) be really good and 2) not look overly tied to the larger MCU I think it can pull a DMC/TF2 and climb over 400 domestically. From there 1b WW will be easy. 

Good idea. Who could have predicted that Iron Man might not be a draw, though?

[MrFanaticGuy34]

Only $11M left to $400M DOM.....for CA3.

 

Go get it, Steve.

[cannastop]

Just now, MrFanaticGuy34 said:

Only $11M left to $400M DOM.....for CA3.

 

Go get it, Steve.

[johnboy3434]

Here's projections for next week based on the weekend actuals. 

 

NOTES: The Monday predictions for X-Men and Alice are way too high, because their only Monday thus far was a holiday. Any effect this is having on the rest of the week should be fixed when we get Monday actuals. Also, Angry Birds is showing an increase for next weekend. The reason for that? My regressor film, 2011's Hop, had just such an anomalous weekend in its run (complete with a drop on Saturday), and the time series process isn't drowning it out completely. It may go away as the week progresses.

 

 

X-Men: Apocalypse

Monday: $6.77M (-0.971%)

Tuesday: $2.86M (-57.7%)

Wednesday: $2.16M (-24.6%)

Thursday: $2.23M (+3.35%)

SECOND WEEK TOTAL: $36.4M (-60.9%)

Friday: $3.34M (+49.6%)

Saturday: $4.5M (+34.8%)

Sunday: $4.08M (-9.27%)

THIRD WEEKEND TOTAL: $11.9M (-47.8%)

 

Alice Through the Looking Glass

Monday: $3.86M (+5.95%)

Tuesday: $1.35M (-65.1%)

Wednesday: $1.07M (-20.6%)

Thursday: $1.18M (+10.4%)

SECOND WEEK TOTAL: $18.8M (-53.2%)

Friday: $2.16M (+82.9%)

Saturday: $2.9M (+34.3%)

Sunday: $2.67M (-7.8%)

THIRD WEEKEND TOTAL: $7.72M (-31.7%)

 

Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Out of the Shadows

Monday: $3M (-69.4%)

Tuesday: $3.43M (+14.3%)

Wednesday: $2.62M (-23.5%)

Thursday: $3.1M (+18.1%)

OPENING WEEK TOTAL: $47.5M

Friday: $5.65M (+82.5%)

Saturday: $5.87M (+3.94%)

Sunday: $4.02M (-31.6%)

SECOND WEEKEND TOTAL: $15.5M (-56%)

 

Me Before You

Monday: $2.47M (-47.9%)

Tuesday: $2.37M (-4.02%)

Wednesday: $1.97M (-16.7%)

Thursday: $1.9M (-3.79%)

OPENING WEEK TOTAL: $27.4M

Friday: $3.37M (+77.5%)

Saturday: $4.24M (+25.8%)

Sunday: $2.93M (-30.8%)

SECOND WEEKEND TOTAL: $10.5M (-43.7%)

 

The Angry Birds Movie

Monday: $1.64M (-52.6%)

Tuesday: $1.98M (+20.9%)

Wednesday: $1.89M (-4.55%)

Thursday: $2.12M (+12.2%)

THIRD WEEK TOTAL: $17.8M (-39%)

Friday: $4.22M (+99.3%)

Saturday: $4.13M (-2.16%)

Sunday: $3.25M (-21.3%)

FOURTH WEEKEND TOTAL: $11.6M (+13.5%)

 

Captain America: Civil War

Monday: $910k (-62.4%)

Tuesday: $1.01M (+11%)

Wednesday: $823k (-18.6%)

Thursday: $791k (-3.82%)

FIFTH WEEK TOTAL: $11.4M (-52.4%)

Friday: $1.32M (+67%)

Saturday: $1.84M (+39.6%)

Sunday: $1.35M (-26.7%)

SIXTH WEEKEND TOTAL: $4.52M (-42.3%)

 

Neighbors 2: Sorority Rising

Monday: $756k (-45.8%)

Tuesday: $609k (-19.3%)

Wednesday: $678k (+11.2%)

Thursday: $638k (-5.86%)

THIRD WEEK TOTAL: $7.54M (-48.4%)

Friday: $945k (+48%)

Saturday: $984k (+4.16%)

Sunday: $799k (-18.8%)

FOURTH WEEKEND TOTAL: $2.73M (-43.9%)

 

Popstar: Never Stop Never Stopping

Monday: $569k (-53.2%)

Tuesday: $523k (-8.11%)

Wednesday: $431k (-17.6%)

Thursday: $415k (-3.65%)

OPENING WEEK TOTAL: $6.64M

Friday: $489k (+17.8%)

Saturday: $596k (+22%)

Sunday: $665k (+11.6%)

SECOND WEEKEND TOTAL: $1.75M (-62.8%)

 

The Nice Guys

Monday: $371k (-63.3%)

Tuesday: $429k (+15.5%)

Wednesday: $424k (-1.11%)

Thursday: $410k (-3.21%)

THIRD WEEK TOTAL: $5.09M (-50.3%)

 

Love & Friendship

Monday: $259k (-59%)

Tuesday: $320k (+23.5%)

Wednesday: $298k (-7%)

Thursday: $248k (-16.7%)

WIDE OPENING WEEK TOTAL: $3.27M

Friday: $498k (+101%)

Saturday: $768k (+54.2%)

Sunday: $520k (-32.4%)

SECOND WIDE WEEKEND TOTAL: $1.79M (-16.8%)

 

Money Monster

Monday: $253k (-54.9%)

Tuesday: $304k (+20%)

Wednesday: $222k (-26.7%)

Thursday: $209k (-6.1%)

FOURTH WEEK TOTAL: $2.85M (-58%)

 

[Arlborn]

33 minutes ago, Jake Gittes said:

 

2) not look overly tied to the larger MCU I think it can pull a DMC/TF2 and climb over 400 domestically. From there 1b WW will be easy. 

Odd. Not that long ago that was seen as one of MCU's strengths.

 

When your strength becomes your weakness...

[narniadis]

@johnboy3434 that anomaly with Hop may have been easter weekend? Not remembering exactly which weekend it was released but that would explain it's odd pattern - edit just looked at MOJO's calendar and yes that was Easter weekend. You will want to ignore both the high Thursday and Friday increase as well as the Saturday dip and huge Sunday drop. In other words it's not a compatible weekend at all. 

[Celedhring]

23 minutes ago, Arlborn said:

Odd. Not that long ago that was seen as one of MCU's strengths.

 

When your strength becomes your weakness...

 

It's still a strength. Remove all MCU ties from Civil War and make it a solo Cap adventure, and you probably get a 200m grosser. It's just that it's getting diminishing returns.