johnboy3434 Posted June 8, 2016 Share Posted June 8, 2016 (edited) Here's projections for the week based on Tuesday's numbers. Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Out of the Shadows Wednesday: $2.76M (-23.5%) Thursday: $3.26M (+18.1%) OPENING WEEK TOTAL: $47.8M Friday: $5.81M (+78.5%) Saturday: $5.96M (+2.48%) Sunday: $4.05M (-32.1%) SECOND WEEKEND TOTAL: $15.8M (-55.2%) Me Before You Wednesday: $2.33M (-14.7%) Thursday: $2.37M (+1.94%) OPENING WEEK TOTAL: $28.3M Friday: $3.52M (+48.6%) Saturday: $3.68M (+4.54%) Sunday: $2.4M (-34.7%) SECOND WEEKEND TOTAL: $9.61M (-48.7%) X-Men: Apocalypse Wednesday: $2.22M (-26.8%) Thursday: $2.28M (+3.14%) SECOND WEEK TOTAL: $32.8M (-65.2%) Friday: $3.35M (+46.6%) Saturday: $4.47M (+33.5%) Sunday: $4.07M (-9.01%) THIRD WEEKEND TOTAL: $11.9M (-47.9%) Alice Through the Looking Glass Wednesday: $1.25M (-27.6%) Thursday: $1.36M (+8.11%) SECOND WEEK TOTAL: $16.9M (-57.7%) Friday: $2.24M (+65.1%) Saturday: $2.91M (+29.9%) Sunday: $2.7M (-7.05%) THIRD WEEKEND TOTAL: $7.85M (-30.6%) The Angry Birds Movie Wednesday: $923k (-29.5%) Thursday: $873k (-5.45%) THIRD WEEK TOTAL: $14.3M (-51.1%) Friday: $1.78M (+104%) Saturday: $2.48M (+39.1%) Sunday: $2.12M (-14.6%) FOURTH WEEKEND TOTAL: $6.38M (-37.6%) Neighbors 2: Sorority Rising Wednesday: $527k (-27.4%) Thursday: $544k (+3.36%) THIRD WEEK TOTAL: $7.26M (-50.3%) Friday: $1.13M (+107%) Saturday: $823k (-27.1%) Sunday: $852k (+3.55%) FOURTH WEEKEND TOTAL: $2.8M (-42.4%) Popstar: Never Stop Never Stopping Wednesday: $498k (-17.6%) Thursday: $480k (-3.65%) OPENING WEEK TOTAL: $6.8M Friday: $532k (+10.9%) Saturday: $621k (+16.8%) Sunday: $679k (+9.21%) SECOND WEEKEND TOTAL: $1.83M (-61%) Captain America: Civil War Wednesday: $420k (-57.8%) Thursday: $601k (+43%) FIFTH WEEK TOTAL: $10.7M (-55.2%) Friday: $1.13M (+87.9%) Saturday: $1.51M (+33.5%) Sunday: $1.01M (-33.1%) SIXTH WEEKEND TOTAL: $3.64M (-53.5%) The Nice Guys Wednesday: $341k (-28%) Thursday: $318k (-6.77%) THIRD WEEK TOTAL: $4.96M (-51.6%) Love & Friendship Wednesday: $260k (-7%) Thursday: $217k (-16.7%) WIDE OPENING WEEK TOTAL: $3.13M Friday: $468k (+116%) Saturday: $745k (+59.2%) Sunday: $512k (-31.3%) SECOND WIDE WEEKEND TOTAL: $1.72M (-19.7%) Money Monster Wednesday: $179k (-24%) Thursday: $165k (-7.89%) FOURTH WEEK TOTAL: $2.64M (-61.1%) Edited June 8, 2016 by johnboy3434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahnamahna Posted June 8, 2016 Share Posted June 8, 2016 (edited) Me Before You holding well isn't too shocking - only female-skewing film since Mother's Day and not another one until Ghostbusters, solid WOM and everything's been underperforming big time. Edited June 8, 2016 by mahnamahna Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dudalb Posted June 8, 2016 Share Posted June 8, 2016 Can't believe somebody is STILL following BvS. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arlborn Posted June 8, 2016 Share Posted June 8, 2016 @a2knet What was your bet with no prisoner regarding Civil War again? 405m? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
department store basement Posted June 8, 2016 Share Posted June 8, 2016 Money Monster is the only film gone from my local theater this weekend. It will have a big TC drop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
johnboy3434 Posted June 8, 2016 Share Posted June 8, 2016 15 minutes ago, department store basement said: Money Monster is the only film gone from my local theater this weekend. It will have a big TC drop. Yeah, I expect both it and Nice Guys to drop out of wide release this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
department store basement Posted June 8, 2016 Share Posted June 8, 2016 (edited) 7 minutes ago, johnboy3434 said: Yeah, I expect both it and Nice Guys to drop out of wide release this weekend. Nice Guys won't. It's doing OK after 2 weeks, way better than most wide releases this year. Edited June 8, 2016 by department store basement Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MovieGuyKyle17 Posted June 8, 2016 Share Posted June 8, 2016 Just watched Nice Guys today. Had a decent crowd full with an older crowd. Sent from my SM-G900V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalismanRing Posted June 9, 2016 Share Posted June 9, 2016 2 hours ago, johnboy3434 said: Here's projections for the week based on Tuesday's numbers. Captain America: Civil War Wednesday: $420k (-57.8%) Thursday: $601k (+43%) FIFTH WEEK TOTAL: $10.7M (-55.2%) Friday: $1.13M (+87.9%) Saturday: $1.51M (+33.5%) Sunday: $1.01M (-33.1%) SIXTH WEEKEND TOTAL: $3.64M (-53.5%) Something wrong with your input here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
johnboy3434 Posted June 9, 2016 Share Posted June 9, 2016 (edited) 20 minutes ago, TalismanRing said: Something wrong with your input here Yeah, I thought that was odd, but left it because it'll probably fix itself after tomorrow when the massive drop it predicts doesn't happen, and the weekend estimates are feasible regardless. Well, that and it takes forever to find a model for CW, because the dataset has gotten large enough to experiment with a bunch of regressor legs, and that means more data input and computation time. It takes me about an hour and a half to produce and type out my estimates for the full slate of films, and thirty minutes of that is simply finding numbers for CW. Edited June 9, 2016 by johnboy3434 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted June 9, 2016 Author Share Posted June 9, 2016 4 hours ago, Arlborn said: @a2knet What was your bet with no prisoner regarding Civil War again? 405m? O/U $409,013,994 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arlborn Posted June 9, 2016 Share Posted June 9, 2016 Just now, a2knet said: O/U $409,013,994 Why this number?And what do you think of your chances right now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted June 9, 2016 Author Share Posted June 9, 2016 (edited) 20 minutes ago, Arlborn said: Why this number?And what do you think of your chances right now? That's IM3's dom. I think there's a chance, albeit a smaller one, because even though IM3 has been chipping away, the weekends don't tell the full story. Compared to the big gaps in weekends, the weekdays especially due to better Tuesdays have done well : http://www.boxofficemojo.com/showdowns/chart/?view=daily&id=capcw.htm The strong weekdays haven't helped make for the loss in weekends at all, but it has helped in slowing the loss of lead. CW's cume is 4.2m ahead right now. It's 18m away from IM3. Wed + Thu will be ~1.5m. The coming weekend will be ~4.7m (-40%) I feel. So 11.8m away from IM3 after a ~4.7m weekend. In comparison IM3 added 14.8m after a ~5.7m weekend. DORY and ID:R are important weekends. AOU fell 22% when IO opened to 90m and JW was at 106m. I don't know why it fell so less. Maybe double-screenings or smth helped. If CW has ~40% drops against DORY and ID:R, it's in good position. Especially if Disney cares. Edited June 9, 2016 by a2knet 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GuardianDevil Posted June 9, 2016 Share Posted June 9, 2016 13 hours ago, cannastop said: 30% week to week gain for Zootopia! how's that for late legs! And on the day the video was released. Just went to dollar theatres this past weekend . Probably has a couple million more coming from that throughout the summer. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
langer Posted June 9, 2016 Share Posted June 9, 2016 I still can't believe how bad the legs of CW were compared to the quality of the movie. Worse legs than IM3? that sucks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Captain Craig Posted June 9, 2016 Share Posted June 9, 2016 1 hour ago, langer said: I still can't believe how bad the legs of CW were compared to the quality of the movie. Worse legs than IM3? that sucks. There are really only two things that will be published and pushed about this film once it's run is over. 1-It made over $400m domestic and $1.2m WW 2-Each film in the in CA series saw a significant increase over the other(possibly regarded as best trilogy of MCU films by most). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
langer Posted June 9, 2016 Share Posted June 9, 2016 5 minutes ago, Captain Craig said: There are really only two things that will be published and pushed about this film once it's run is over. 1-It made over $400m domestic and $1.2m WW 2-Each film in the in CA series saw a significant increase over the other(possibly regarded as best trilogy of MCU films by most). Box office enthusiasts have a better memory than this. Even though SM3 broke the OW record, people are not mentioning this when talking about that movie. People will also mention that Marvel's team-up movies have been in decline ever since The Avengers got released. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cannastop Posted June 9, 2016 Share Posted June 9, 2016 2 hours ago, langer said: I still can't believe how bad the legs of CW were compared to the quality of the movie. Worse legs than IM3? that sucks. Doesn't matter how good the movie is if the story depends on your knowledge of previous material. Have you considered the last Harry Potter movie? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Captain Craig Posted June 9, 2016 Share Posted June 9, 2016 I didn't say what we would remember, I was highlighting what the masses will be told is important. Why do people do that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
langer Posted June 9, 2016 Share Posted June 9, 2016 2 minutes ago, cannastop said: Doesn't matter how good the movie is if the story depends on your knowledge of previous material. Have you considered the last Harry Potter movie? I don't see the comparison there. The last HP opened to 35% over its previous entry. It had a finale/rush factor that boosted its OW, while crippling its multiplier/legs. CW opened 3% over IM3, a pretty similar opening and had the same legs as IM3 and worse than Thor 2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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