DMan7 Posted June 23, 2016 Share Posted June 23, 2016 I don't think this will miss 500M DOM. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted June 23, 2016 Share Posted June 23, 2016 DM3 is decreasing from Minions. It'll benefit from the lack of family options but July has a Disney fairytale and Ferdinand so it won't have the market all to itself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MovieMan89 Posted June 23, 2016 Share Posted June 23, 2016 5 minutes ago, tribefan695 said: Because of peer pressure. When the forum admin keeps telling you to "be realistic" you eventually cave. The sad thing is I went from initial predictions of 400ish for CW and 500ish for Dory in the game to my final predictions of 555 for CW and 435 for Dory. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ethan Hunt Posted June 23, 2016 Share Posted June 23, 2016 12 minutes ago, MovieMan89 said: The ceiling for Captain Underpants has to be like 150 and the ceiling for Cars 3 has to be 250 (200 might even be more accurate). That's it for animation for the summer. DM3 could easily hit 400 if it's well liked. We already know it will be well marketed, that's for sure. But then again Ethan, I'm fairly certain it was you arguing that 250 or something was like the absolute ceiling for Minions right up until the bitter end last year. The lack of animated competition argument doesn't always work (see HtTYD2 ) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
department store basement Posted June 23, 2016 Share Posted June 23, 2016 I've changed my plans so that I can go see Finding Dory today after finally seeing Inside Out (which deserves all its hype). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eddyxx Posted June 23, 2016 Share Posted June 23, 2016 9 hours ago, Baumer said: Just got a text from As gard 18 Mill is the number now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MCKillswitch123 Posted June 23, 2016 Share Posted June 23, 2016 (edited) 5 minutes ago, Ethan Hunt said: The lack of animated competition argument doesn't always work (see HtTYD2 ) Not overly comparable. A sequel to a movie that made over 200M in midst of a year full of those vs. the fourth installment in a franchise that hit 300M+ twice already and is a pop culture and marketing phenomenom, especially with kids. Edited June 23, 2016 by MCKillswitch123 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MovieMan89 Posted June 23, 2016 Share Posted June 23, 2016 1 minute ago, Ethan Hunt said: The lack of animated competition argument doesn't always work (see HtTYD2 ) That film is one of the greatest freak anomalies of box office history though. Hardly a good comparison. Especially since modern DWA has nothing over Illumination in terms of appeal. 325-350 is my current range for DM3, but I think it can go higher given marketing and reception. 9 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said: DM3 is decreasing from Minions. It'll benefit from the lack of family options but July has a Disney fairytale and Ferdinand so it won't have the market all to itself. Yes, but those are a full month later (and I can't see a Blue Sky film posing much of a threat). It will have made the bulk of its money by then regardless of how big those two are or aren't. Cars 3 is its only real competitor, and I have to believe it will be a weak one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ethan Hunt Posted June 23, 2016 Share Posted June 23, 2016 1 minute ago, MCKillswitch123 said: Not overly comparable. A sequel to a movie that made over 200M in midst of a year full of those vs. the fourth installment in a franchise that hit 300M+ twice already and is a pop culture and marketing phenomenom, especially with kids. It's obviously past its peaked though. Maybe it does a bit past 300M. But reaching DM 2 is impossible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eddyxx Posted June 23, 2016 Share Posted June 23, 2016 7 hours ago, Amadeus said: And on saturday BvS won't be in the top 5 domestic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wildphantom Posted June 23, 2016 Share Posted June 23, 2016 (edited) Seeing as we're talking future animated films. I had the trailer for Illumination's Sing when I went to see Secret Life of Pets last weekend. Boy did that look sub-standard for them! Animation wise it looks a massive step down by their standards Edited June 23, 2016 by wildphantom Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MovieMan89 Posted June 23, 2016 Share Posted June 23, 2016 6 minutes ago, Ethan Hunt said: It's obviously past its peaked though. Maybe it does a bit past 300M. But reaching DM 2 is impossible I would agree it's decreasing for sure if not for the weak competition and the masterminds over at Illumination's marketing team. If any team can create a whirlwind of hype for a movie, it's them. Give it like a 20-25% chance of increasing over DM2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted June 23, 2016 Share Posted June 23, 2016 The chances of DM3 increasing over the second are very very slim even with the weak market. Minions soured a lot of older audiences on the franchise. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cannastop Posted June 23, 2016 Share Posted June 23, 2016 11 minutes ago, Ethan Hunt said: It's obviously past its peaked though. Maybe it does a bit past 300M. But reaching DM 2 is impossible Nah, not impossible. Minions did it, and ticket prices are slightly higher now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted June 23, 2016 Share Posted June 23, 2016 1 minute ago, cannastop said: Nah, not impossible. Minions did it, and ticket prices are slightly higher now. This is for domestic, WW it has a somewhat good chance at increasing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cannastop Posted June 23, 2016 Share Posted June 23, 2016 (edited) Just now, WrathOfHan said: This is for domestic, WW it has a somewhat good chance at increasing. Oh shit, I forgot that Minions declined from the last Gru movie in the domestic market. Edited June 23, 2016 by cannastop Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted June 23, 2016 Share Posted June 23, 2016 Just now, cannastop said: I am talking domestic. Minions finished 30M below DM2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cannastop Posted June 23, 2016 Share Posted June 23, 2016 Just now, WrathOfHan said: Minions finished 30M below DM2 Yeah, I forgot that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted June 23, 2016 Share Posted June 23, 2016 > NEW RELEASES 1 - The Legend of Tarzan Warner Bros. 3,450+ - - 1 2 - The BFG Buena Vista 3,200 - - 1 3 - The Purge: Election Year Universal 2,700 - - 1 Man, Disney really is dumping The BFG. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MovieMan89 Posted June 23, 2016 Share Posted June 23, 2016 When you get hordes of kids wanting to see something, it doesn't matter much what the parents think at that point. They'll cave/send the older brother or sister. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
