Weekend Actuals (Page 96): Dory 73M | IDR 41M | CI 18.2M | Shallows 16.8M | Conjuring 7.7M | Jones 7.6M

[FlashMaster659]

2 minutes ago, Nova said:

Exactly. Usually they're either underestimating or overestimating. In this case they're most definitely underestimating Finding Dory. I have a feeling they're underestimating The Shallows. And I think they're overestimating with Jones. 

And crossing $300M on Sunday would mean an $86M+ weekend.

[Dementeleus]

2 minutes ago, MovieMan89 said:

What would hold that record? Cause I'm still not convinced IDR will even hit 45 this weekend. I think the Sat hold will already by abysmal. 

 

HSM3 is the current record-holder at 42m.

[Fancyarcher]

2 minutes ago, Nova said:

Exactly. Usually they're either underestimating or overestimating. In this case they're most definitely underestimating Finding Dory. I have a feeling they're underestimating The Shallows. And I think they're overestimating with Jones. 

 

I definitely think they're underestimating Dory, considering Minions increased more on it's second Friday, that number for Dory would be quite drop. Highly, highly unlikely.

[department store basement]

nm

 

Edited June 24, 2016 by department store basement

[John Marston]

nah, ID4 should limp pass 100m especially since next week is a holiday weekend and the new openers are tracking poorly

[Nova]

Just now, FlashMaster659 said:

And crossing $300M on Sunday would mean an $86M+ weekend.

Like I said. They just pick random numbers out of the air or whatever they think sounds right without taking into consideration each situation. They use previous movies to determine the numbers which yea can be helpful but not when you're completely ignoring how the actual film is performing. 

[CoolioD1]

22 minutes ago, filmlover said:

Yeah, he pretty much confirmed. First zero star grade from him since Bachelorette.

damn, i liked bachelorette too.

[department store basement]

1 minute ago, John Marston said:

nah, ID4 should limp pass 100m especially since next week is a holiday weekend and the new openers are tracking poorly

 

Purge is tracking poorly?

[Ethan Hunt]

2 minutes ago, Free State of Tele said:

 

HSM3 is the current record-holder at 42m.

God bless High School Musical

[Goffe]

I think IDR has a good chance at having the highest OW for a movie that doesn't reach 100m. It's gonna drop off a cliff.

what's so bad about it that wasn't present in Emmerich previois movies?

Enviado do meu iPhone usando Tapatalk

[MovieMan89]

1 minute ago, John Marston said:

nah, ID4 should limp pass 100m especially since next week is a holiday weekend and the new openers are tracking poorly

WOM is going to be abysmal, mark my words. Lack of competition won't matter, people are staying far away from IDR once word starts spreading. And 3 new releases isn't exactly a lack of competition anyways, even if none of them are 35m+ openers. 

[Dementeleus]

2 minutes ago, John Marston said:

nah, ID4 should limp pass 100m especially since next week is a holiday weekend and the new openers are tracking poorly

 

I take it you haven't seen IDR yet?

[John Marston]

Just now, Free State of Tele said:

 

I take it you haven't seen IDR yet?

 

 

not yet. 

[WrathOfHan]

The holiday next weekend can probably prevent a huge drop.

 

1 minute ago, department store basement said:

 

Purge is tracking poorly?

It's tracking low to mid 20's

[Truckasaurus]

20 minutes ago, MovieMan89 said:

In admissions, I think The Sting 2's 99% admissions drop off is the only thing way worse than what ID4 to IDR will be. IDR is headed to an 85%+ tumble. To put that in perspective, even disastrous drop offs like Scream 4 and Alice 2 didn't go above like a 75% decrease in admissions. IDR's admissions drop will be catastrophic. 

 

IDR's domestic total is probably not going to reach ID4's first week total (or its first four days adjusted). That is insane when you think about it. Although it probably speaks more about ID4 than it does IDR, honestly.

[filmlover]

I think it'll be difficult for Independence Day to do sub-$100M with summer weekdays. Nothing indicates that this is Fantastic Four-level bad in terms reception.

[department store basement]

The good thing about IDR's performance is that it isn't performing like Tak3n or Allegiant

[MovieMan89]

The 3 new openers next week should be pulling around 70-75m combined. Then add Dory and there's plenty for people to see over IDR. 

[department store basement]

1 minute ago, WrathOfHan said:

The holiday next weekend can probably prevent a huge drop.

 

It's tracking low to mid 20's

 

That's REALLY surprising considering Anarchy had such good WOM for a horror sequel.

[Nova]

2 minutes ago, MovieMan89 said:

WOM is going to be abysmal, mark my words. Lack of competition won't matter, people are staying far away from IDR once word starts spreading. And 3 new releases isn't exactly a lack of competition anyways, even if none of them are 35m+ openers. 

I 100% agree with you. Look at its social media tracking. It's a 1:1 ratio of positive and negative tweets. WOM is going to sick the ship.