BOT User Tracking 7/29-31 Bad Moms, Jason Bourne, Nerve *3-day*

[Wrath]

Great, great predicting last week. And yet another weekend with another blockbuster. Best days of summer are upon us. Better appreciate them now, because in about a month things are going to start sucking hard. Nerve actually opens on Wednesday but we're doing FFS 3-day predicts for everything.

 

Please provide your 7/29-31 Opening Weekend predicts for, 

Bad Moms

Jason Bourne

Nerve

 

Deadline this week will be Thursday afternoon (US Eastern time), whenever I get to it. Note that we will be using our median predict rather than our mean predict going forward.

Edited July 26, 2016 by Wrath

[WrathOfHan]

Bourne: 45M

Bad Moms: 35M

Nerve: 12M 

Edited July 28, 2016 by WrathOfHan

[cannastop]

Bourne: $44m

Bad Moms: $40m

Nerve: $3m

[Ethan Hunt]

Bourne- 61M

Bad Moms- 19M

Nerve- 6M

[DAJK]

Bourne - $47M

Bad Moms - $26M

Nerve - $9M

[PanaMovie]

Bourne - 50.4M

Bad Moms - 23.3M

Nerve - 10.4M

[Wrath]

Bad Moms -21.5M

Jason Bourne - 54.1M

Nerve - 6.5M

[Wrath]

Wow. And I thought hype was subdued for Star Trek. There's nothing but crickets for Bourne. I suppose Matt Damon will survive, somehow.

 

Overall, we're about in the middle or maybe very slightly low on Bad Moms, slightly pessimistic on Jason Bourne, and severely pessimistic on Nerve.

 

As usual, I totaled all predicts (9 for everything) and here are the results: 

 

Bad Moms

Mean: 25.7M

Median: 23.3M

StnDev: 8.09M (revised StnDev: 7.66M)

Ratio (StnDev/Mean): 34.73%

High: 40M

Low: 15.5M

 

BO.com 27M

Deadline 25M

MovieWeb 14.6M

ShowBuzzDaily 26.5M

Variety 22M

 

Jason Bourne

Mean: 49.7M

Median: 49.2M

StnDev: 6.09M (revised StnDev: 5.98)

Ratio (StnDev/Mean): 12.38%

High: 61M

Low: 42M

 

BO.com 51M 

Deadline 54.5M

MovieWeb 60.3M

ShowBuzzDaily 53.5M

Variety 50M

 

Nerve

Mean: 6.3M

Median: 6M

StnDev: 2.24M (revised StnDev: 2.34)

Ratio (StnDev/Mean): 37.35%

High: 10.4M

Low: 3M

 

BO.com 8.5M 

Deadline 9.5M

MovieWeb 13.1M

ShowBuzzDaily 8M

Variety 10M

[WrathOfHan]

Argh, I edited Nerve too late  

[Viceversa]

knew i forgot to do something today.

 

Bourne: 49.53M

Bad Moms: 26.97M

Nerve: 9.74M

[alisson23]

Bourne: 55M

Bad Moms: 37M

Nerve: 13M

[Arlborn]

Ow crap, am I too late for this?

 

If not:

 

Bourne: 58.5m

Bad Mom: 31m

Nerve: 14m

[Wrath]

Bad Moms

Prediction: 23.3M +/- 8.09M (1 standard deviation)

Actual: 23.817M (off by 0.5M, so 0.06 stndev)

Bullseye of a predict. Darn nice job. Also easily the best predict of the sites. MovieWeb is back to their old ways, predicting 14.6M. Best predict was YourMother at 23.4M.

abc

abc

Jason Bourne

Prediction: 49.2M +/- 6.09M (1 standard deviation)

Actual: 59.215M (off by 10M, so 1.64 stndev)

Ah, well. We had a nice streak going there, but it came crashing to a halt. And as an added minus we were the worst of the sites. EthanHunt was best predict at 61M

 

 

abcabc

abcabc

Nerve

Prediction: 6M +/- 2.24M (1 standard deviation)

Actual: 9.445M (off by 3.4M, so 1.54 stndev)

Ugh. Almost a carbon copy of Bourne. Bad result, and we were the worst predict on top of it. Darn. Best predict was, again, YourMother at 9.5M. Nicely done.