Jump to content


BOT User Tracking 7/29-31 Bad Moms, Jason Bourne, Nerve *3-day*

Recommended Posts

Great, great predicting last week. And yet another weekend with another blockbuster. Best days of summer are upon us. Better appreciate them now, because in about a month things are going to start sucking hard. Nerve actually opens on Wednesday but we're doing FFS 3-day predicts for everything.


Please provide your 7/29-31 Opening Weekend predicts for, 

Bad Moms

Jason Bourne



Deadline this week will be Thursday afternoon (US Eastern time), whenever I get to it. Note that we will be using our median predict rather than our mean predict going forward.

Edited by Wrath
  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Wow. And I thought hype was subdued for Star Trek. There's nothing but crickets for Bourne. I suppose Matt Damon will survive, somehow.


Overall, we're about in the middle or maybe very slightly low on Bad Moms, slightly pessimistic on Jason Bourne, and severely pessimistic on Nerve.


As usual, I totaled all predicts (9 for everything) and here are the results: 


Bad Moms

Mean: 25.7M

Median: 23.3M

StnDev: 8.09M (revised StnDev: 7.66M)

Ratio (StnDev/Mean): 34.73%

High: 40M

Low: 15.5M


BO.com 27M

Deadline 25M

MovieWeb 14.6M

ShowBuzzDaily 26.5M

Variety 22M


Jason Bourne

Mean: 49.7M

Median: 49.2M

StnDev: 6.09M (revised StnDev: 5.98)

Ratio (StnDev/Mean): 12.38%

High: 61M

Low: 42M


BO.com 51M 

Deadline 54.5M

MovieWeb 60.3M

ShowBuzzDaily 53.5M

Variety 50M



Mean: 6.3M

Median: 6M

StnDev: 2.24M (revised StnDev: 2.34)

Ratio (StnDev/Mean): 37.35%

High: 10.4M

Low: 3M


BO.com 8.5M 

Deadline 9.5M

MovieWeb 13.1M

ShowBuzzDaily 8M

Variety 10M

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Bad Moms

Prediction: 23.3M +/- 8.09M (1 standard deviation)

Actual: 23.817M (off by 0.5M, so 0.06 stndev)

Bullseye of a predict. Darn nice job. Also easily the best predict of the sites. MovieWeb is back to their old ways, predicting 14.6M. Best predict was YourMother at 23.4M.


Jason Bourne

Prediction: 49.2M +/- 6.09M (1 standard deviation)

Actual: 59.215M (off by 10M, so 1.64 stndev)

Ah, well. We had a nice streak going there, but it came crashing to a halt. And as an added minus we were the worst of the sites. EthanHunt was best predict at 61M





Prediction: 6M +/- 2.24M (1 standard deviation)

Actual: 9.445M (off by 3.4M, so 1.54 stndev)

Ugh. Almost a carbon copy of Bourne. Bad result, and we were the worst predict on top of it. Darn. Best predict was, again, YourMother at 9.5M. Nicely done.

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use and Guidelines. Feel free to read our Privacy Policy as well.