Weekend Thread | Estimates SS 43.7m, SP 33.6m, PD 21.5, JCIJB 13.6m, BM 11.45m, SLOP 8.8m, STD 6.8m, FFJ 6.58m

[GiantCALBears]

133 pages for this weekend??? You never cease to amaze (depress?) me BOT.

[Blaze Heatnix]

44 minutes ago, Brainiac5 said:

If SP has good wom with a 65% audience score then same must be said for SS with a 70% audience score.

Correct?

 

 

Didn't you know it? According to some users ( I think one has the Deadpool avatar ), SP is gonna be the "Deadpool of the animations!".

 

 

[a2k]

14 minutes ago, GiantCALBears said:

133 pages for this weekend??? You never cease to amaze (depress?) me BOT.

 

Just paying a tribute to SS's OW.

1 more, 1 more, 1more!

[superweirdo87]

16 minutes ago, GiantCALBears said:

133 pages for this weekend??? You never cease to amaze (depress?) me BOT.

 

I think some feel like 2nd weekends are pretty exciting with the badly reviewed DC movies. To see what happens after the big OW and how WOM or reviews might impact.

Edited August 15, 2016 by superweirdo87

[a2k]

1 hour ago, Gopher said:

I'd be really surprised if 100 mil didn't happen for Sausage Party. I think WOM is good and it's spreading. I have it at 51m after 7 days and 68m after 10. 

 

Yes it needs ~2.9x for 100m. Should get there considering it held well from OD.

 

Comparison with BAD MOMS,

2.00 + 7.54 (3.77x) + 7.81 (+3.6%) + 6.46 (-17.3%) = 23.81

3.25 + 10.25 (3.16x) + 11.4 (+11.2%) + 9.4 (-17.5%)  = 34.3

 

9.4 is 700k up from Sunday's estimates as said by N.

3 weekends after BAD MOMS OW, towards the close of summer, matching BAD MOM's Sunday drop is great.

105M+ I think.

 

Edited August 15, 2016 by a2knet

[a2k]

Apart from MAG7, will we see a bigger opener than SP till DS arrives in November? 

At least not according to pro.BO's latest long range forecast.

[Brainiac5]

18 minutes ago, Blaze Heatnix said:

 

 

Didn't you know it? According to some users ( I think one has the Deadpool avatar ), SP is gonna be the "Deadpool of the animations!".

 

 

I have a feeling in about a week or so the popcorn will be spilled.

[Sam]

47 minutes ago, ecstasy said:

 

Holy Crap Sam. Didn't know he was making it. Will it be on the big screen?

 

I found out fairly recently too. It'll be on the big screen. Articles said Sir Ken will be directing and taking on the role of Poirot, the movie slated to release on November '17.

 

It's still in the casting and pre-production stage I think, not filming yet. 

[Nova]

33 minutes ago, Blaze Heatnix said:

 

 

Didn't you know it? According to some users ( I think one has the Deadpool avatar ), SP is gonna be the "Deadpool of the animations!".

 

 

And thus far it's performed very well for an R-rated animation and much higher than you and a lot of other users had it at. Much like how you guys underestimated Deadpool when it opened up. Thats what I meant when I said "Deadpool of animations." Where folks underestimate the performance of the film because of its R-rating and when it performs well, it has the potential to open the door for future films similar to it. So nice try, but try again. 

 

Edited August 15, 2016 by Nova

[a2k]

% SS trailed behind BVS on OW, Mon-Th, 2nd Weekend and 10-day cume :

 

OW 166.0 133.7 -19.5%

M-T 43.1 45.3 +5.1%

2W 51.3 44.3 -13.6%

10-D 260.4 222.3 -14.6%

 

10% behind BVS's dom (330.4) will give SS 297.3 dom.

[Blaze Heatnix]

4 minutes ago, Nova said:

And thus far it's performed very well for an R-rated animation and much higher than you and a lot of other users had it at. Much like how you guys underestimated Deadpool. So nice try, but try again. 

 

 

It performed really well, but the Deadpool analogy doesn't make any sense. Deadpool was almost universally liked by both critics and audiences. SP so far, hasn't had anything similar to Deadpool's critics or reception. In fact, it's RT audience score dropped 4 points in less than 1 day, and it's already 4 points behind SS's RT audience score.

 

Like the other user said, if we're basing word of mouth on RT audience score: If SS is not having good word of mouth, well, SP isn't getting good word of mouth, either. 

 

Regarding Deadpool, I never underestimated him. I've always loved the character and I'm quite happy we got such excellent movie. No try, no cry. I'll be watching SP once it gets released here. 

[Gandalf the Off-White]

Hi everybody.

 

I used to post on BOM forums ages ago and I recognize a few people here. 

 

Deadline is reporting this morning that SP is up about 600k, and that SS is "about in sync" with estimates. 

[MinaTakla]

Actuals are starting to come in. Pets with a 9.07 million weekend, Bourne 13.8

and Pets has officially passed Minions domestic. (cc: @a2knet@Baumer loves Dory)

Black = actual

Green = still an estimate

 

		Movie	Distributor	Gross	Change	Thtrs.	Per Thtr.	Total Gross	Days
1	(1)	Suicide Squad	Warner Bros.	$43,770,000	-67%	4,255	$10,287	$222,874,728	10
2	new	Sausage Party	Sony Pictures	$33,600,000		3,103	$10,828	$33,600,000	3
3	new	Pete’s Dragon	Walt Disney	$21,501,000		3,702	$5,808	$21,501,000	3
4	(2)	Jason Bourne	Universal	$13,846,875	-38%	3,528	$3,925	$127,009,220	17
5	(3)	Bad Moms	STX Entertainment	$11,450,000	-18%	3,188	$3,592	$71,461,293	17
6	(4)	The Secret Life of Pets	Universal	$9,064,565	-21%	2,958	$3,064	$336,166,640	38
7	(5)	Star Trek Beyond	Paramount Pictures	$6,800,000	-32%	2,577	$2,639	$139,679,949	24
8	new	Florence Foster Jenkins	Paramount Pictures	$6,580,000		1,528	$4,306	$6,580,000	3
9	(6)	Nine Lives	EuropaCorp	$3,500,000	-44%	2,264	$1,546	$13,550,825	10
10	(7)	Lights Out	Warner Bros.	$3,220,000	-46%	1,652	$1,949	$61,134,818	24
11	(8)	Nerve	Lionsgate	$2,650,000	-45%	1,777	$1,491	$33,098,395	19
12	(9)	Ghostbusters	Sony Pictures	$2,315,000	-50%	1,437	$1,611	$121,724,002	31
13	(10)	Ice Age: Collision Course	20th Century Fox	$2,020,000	-53%	1,548	$1,305	$58,693,271	24
14	(11)	Finding Dory	Walt Disney	$1,402,000	-28%	631	$2,222	$476,814,574	59
15	new	Anthropoid	Bleecker Street	$1,213,043		452	$2,684	$1,213,043	3
16	(12)	Café Society	Lionsgate	$910,000	-43%	455	$2,000	$8,453,186	31
17	new	Rustom	Independent Indian	$880,000		147	$5,986	$880,000	3
18	new	Mohenjo Daro	UTV Communications	$800,000		250	$3,200	$800,000	3
19	(16)	Indignation	Roadside Attractions	$755,000	+80%	267	$2,828	$1,505,096	17
20	new	Hell or High Water	Lionsgate	$592,000		32	$18,500	$592,000	3
21	(21)	The BFG	Walt Disney	$270,000	-9%	193	$1,399	$53,300,538	45
22	(19)	Hunt for the Wilderpeople	The Orchard	$210,450	-37%	140	$1,503	$3,873,572	52
23	(23)	The Jungle Book	Walt Disney	$204,000	-6%	186	$1,097	$363,004,566	122
24	(24)	Captain America: Civil War	Walt Disney	$174,000	-16%	162	$1,074	$407,502,783	101
25	(27)	Independence Day: Resurgence	20th Century Fox	$150,000	-19%	156	$962	$102,556,957	52
26	(31)	Gleason	Open Road	$132,646	+18%	148	$896	$448,737	17
27	(25)	Train to Busan	Well Go USA	$129,155	-32%	28	$4,613	$1,352,082	24
28	(20)	Absolutely Fabulous: The Movie	Fox Searchlight	$122,000	-63%	91	$1,341	$4,459,686	24
29	(38)	Now You See Me 2	Lionsgate	$120,000	+134%	151	$795	$64,843,449	66
30	(22)	Mike and Dave Need Wedding …	20th Century Fox	$105,000	-62%	139	$755	$45,377,453	38
31	(30)	Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtle…	Paramount Pictures	$100,000	-26%	117	$855	$81,812,726	73
32	(28)	The Purge: Election Year	Universal	$71,585	-61%	116	$617	$79,003,080	45
33	(26)	The Infiltrator	Broad Green Pictures	$62,770	-66%	39	$1,609	$15,100,586	33
34	(33)	Alice Through the Looking G…	Walt Disney	$54,000	-43%	86	$628	$76,966,804	80
35	(35)	The Innocents	Music Box Films	$24,000	-64%	30	$800	$911,986	45
36	(44)	The Music of Strangers: Yo …	The Orchard	$13,811	-35%	21	$658	$1,083,181	66
37	new	Ghost Team	The Orchard	$9,205		10	$921	$9,205	3
38	(49)	Cold War 2	Well Go USA	$8,486	-37%	3	$2,829	$553,754	38
39	(59)	Miss Sharon Jones	Starz Media	$8,055	-8%	6	$1,343	$37,483	17
40	new	The Black Dove	Indican Pictures	$7,124		2	$3,562	$7,124	3
41	new	My King	Film Movement	$6,273		1	$6,273	$6,273	3
42	new	This Last Lonely Place	Indican Pictures	$6,089		2	$3,045	$6,089	3
43	new	Love Me True	Indican Pictures	$5,759		2	$2,880	$5,759	3
44	(51)	Life, Animated	The Orchard	$5,700	-57%	23	$248	$210,288	45
45	(61)	The Wailing	Well Go USA	$4,257	-42%	5	$851	$778,682	87
46	(71)	Neither Heaven Nor Earth	Film Movement	$2,215	-22%	3	$738	$7,316	10
47	(68)	The Seventh Fire	Film Movement	$1,731	-47%	1	$1,731	$23,590	24
48	(-)	Hot Water	Indican Pictures	$1,518		2	$759	$5,129	102
49	(83)	Men go to Battle	Film Movement	$1,009	+1,245%	1	$1,009	$14,646	38
50	(80)	My Love, Don't Cross That R…	Film Movement	$530	+85%	1	$530	$69,009	59

[Dementeleus]

18 minutes ago, Gandalf the Off-White said:

Hi everybody.

 

I used to post on BOM forums ages ago and I recognize a few people here. 

 

Deadline is reporting this morning that SP is up about 600k, and that SS is "about in sync" with estimates. 

 

Welcome! What was your name on BOM?

[Brainiac5]

29 minutes ago, a2knet said:

% SS trailed behind BVS on OW, Mon-Th, 2nd Weekend and 10-day cume :

 

OW 166.0 133.7 -19.5%

M-T 43.1 45.3 +5.1%

2W 51.3 44.3 -13.6%

10-D 260.4 222.3 -14.6%

 

10% behind BVS's dom (330.4) will give SS 297.3 dom.

One thing to consider it the fact that SS drops isn't as steep as bvs.

Bvs Had a 54% drop in weekend #3 I'm pretty sure SS can do 3-4% better.

[a2k]

 

17 minutes ago, MinaTakla said:

Actuals are starting to come in. Pets with a 9.07 million weekend, Bourne 13.8

and Pets has officially passed Minions domestic. (cc: @a2knet@Baumer loves Dory)

Black = actual

Green = still an estimate

 

9M! 

 

6th weekend of some films and how much more they added to the cume,

 

INSIDE OUT 7.41M, 36M more

MINIONS 5.15M, 33M more

DESPICABLE ME 2 5.92M, 29.5M more

FINDING DORY 7.23M, 22.5M more (assuming 482.5M DOM)

 

Even in the worst case, using the post-6th weekend legs of FINDING DORY, PETS will add 28M more for 364M cume.

Realistically it should go north of 370M by adding 34M+ more after a 9M weekend.

 

Edit:

In the best case scenario FINDING NEMO's cume of 381M (after 3D re-release) is in line too.

That would leave PETS only behind FINDING DORY, SHREK 2, TOY STORY 3 and FROZEN.

 

Edited August 15, 2016 by a2knet

[WrathOfHan]

SLOP's run proves you can never underestimate a shitting rabbit.

[Gandalf the Off-White]

11 minutes ago, Tele the Jet Baller said:

 

Welcome! What was your name on BOM?

I think I used my current one as well as gyro_44. It's been so long...

[JennaJ]

56 minutes ago, a2knet said:

Apart from MAG7, will we see a bigger opener than SP till DS arrives in November? 

At least not according to pro.BO's latest long range forecast.

 

BO wise the only one I'm excited for is Mag7, I think it's going to break the September record and possibly become the biggest Western ever (if it's any good).

 

But I really hope Kubo could somehow get to #1 next week. That would be awesome.

[Gandalf the Off-White]

8 minutes ago, Brainiac5 said:

One thing to consider it the fact that SS drops isn't as steep as bvs.

Bvs Had a 54% drop in weekend #3 I'm pretty sure SS can do 3-4% better.

I feel like SS won't be able to manage a drop better than 55%-ish next weekend, but we'll see.