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Labor Day Weekend Thread | 4 day #s - DB 19.5M, SS 12.8M, Pete 8.5M, Kubo 6.5M, SP 6M, Bad Moms 6M, War Dogs 6M, LBO 5.9M, Morgan 2.4M

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53 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:

Numbers' calculations disputed by several unnamed studio sources

 

shttp://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-09-01/hollywood-s-summertime-bombs-got-a-lot-more-disastrous-this-year
 


 

 

 

 

Yeah, all these articles saying movies won't make money or have an estimated profited of $*** do not mean much when it's just somebody's guess work. When Deadline does the same thing, it's equally as useless.

Edited by UrosepsisFace
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2 hours ago, a2knet said:

TREK is 105m away from 350m WW. Has ~8m left in the tank dom (including the ~3m 4-day). China will get 80m odd I guess. Still over 15m away from 350.

Argentina 1 September 2016  
Brazil 1 September 2016  
Chile 1 September 2016  
Colombia 1 September 2016  
Panama 1 September 2016  
Peru 1 September 2016  
     
Mexico 2 September 2016  
Japan 21 October 2016
Edited by efialtes76
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6 hours ago, UrosepsisFace said:

-1x-1.png

 

So many "losers" playing this weekend on Labor Day. 

 

-1x-1.png

 

Disney has mostly been a loser when it comes to fantasy/action adventure films that aren't STAR WARS/Marvel. Next year, POTC V will make money but it will see a big drop from the previous film, imo.

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7 minutes ago, MCKillswitch123 said:

Can you believe that the last time that a horror movie repeated at #1 was... Ouija? :sick:


Sorry, even mentioning that name makes me physically sick. One of the worst horror movies of all time. Hope to God that Mike Flannigan did something ok out of the abhorrently unnecessary sequel.

 

That's great trivia, did not know that.

(Of course, time of year and competition matter. For eg Lights Out did 10.8 in the 2nd weekend (opposed to 10.74 of Ouija) and was at #6 :lol:)

 

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28 minutes ago, efialtes76 said:
Argentina 1 September 2016  
Brazil 1 September 2016  
Chile 1 September 2016  
Colombia 1 September 2016  
Panama 1 September 2016  
Peru 1 September 2016  
     
Mexico 2 September 2016  
Japan 21 October 2016

ST2 did 25.5 from those markets (minus Panama).

ST3 can do 15-20 from those I guess.

 

160 dom, 80m China will take it to ~335 WW.

15-20 from these new markets will give 350-355 and what ever it makes in the current OS markets-China could give a few more.

So 360-365 I guess.

 

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@kayumanggi Regarding that poll, tbf, some of the "losers" as pointed out may turn out winners at the end. Pete's Dragon has yet to roll out in a ton of countries (only hits Japan in December), and the movie's at 80M WW against a PTA included budget of ~130M. PD won't be a loser at the end of the day, cause it'll make Disney a profit. Kubo is also a questionable entry there, as it has to get to O/U 120M WW to break even (it's currently at 30M, iirc), and again, it's not even remotely close to being out in all territories yet (since it has a very spread out release, alas Dory).

 

But yeah, even if it recovers its production budget alone, Ben-Hur is totally a lost case now. Though it could still end up losing less money than The BFG, so who knows.

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2 minutes ago, MCKillswitch123 said:

@kayumanggi Regarding that poll, tbf, some of the "losers" as pointed out may turn out winners at the end. Pete's Dragon has yet to roll out in a ton of countries (only hits Japan in December), and the movie's at 80M WW against a PTA included budget of ~130M. PD won't be a loser at the end of the day, cause it'll make Disney a profit. Kubo is also a questionable entry there, as it has to get to O/U 120M WW to break even (it's currently at 30M, iirc), and again, it's not even remotely close to being out in all territories yet (since it has a very spread out release, alas Dory).

 

But yeah, even if it recovers its production budget alone, Ben-Hur is totally a lost case now. Though it could still end up losing less money than The BFG, so who knows.

 

Well, those were the-numbers's projections. Maybe they thought PD won't do well in its remaining territories based on its current overseas haul.

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13 minutes ago, kayumanggi said:

 

Well, those were the-numbers's projections. Maybe they thought PD won't do well in its remaining territories based on its current overseas haul.

 

I know they were, I was just commenting them :P But, while I could see where they're coming from, there's no way PD doesn't break even. It has 80M WW right now, it'd be impossible for it to not get an extra 50M (what it needs) from all of the territories it has yet to open + the ones it's in already unless it just atomic bombs everywhere else on Earth. Kubo is more plausible of a guess, but so far, no Laika film has ever done under 100M WW, so there's that (then, the same thing could be said for Melissa McCarthy pre-The Boss).

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13 minutes ago, kayumanggi said:

 

Well, those were the-numbers's projections. Maybe they thought PD won't do well in its remaining territories based on its current overseas haul.

the-numbers.com are always bad with projections.

When SS did 21m over the 3rd weekend pretty much most people had it doing 300m but not them. They had it at 7m 3-day/9m 4-day over Labor Day. It will do 9m over 3-day itself.

When BAD MOMS did 11.3m (-19%) over the weekend for 71.4m they weren't sure if it could do 100m ('could loose theaters and fall short'), even though with it's then summer weekdays and eventual LD 4-day it was well on track to crush the mark (was 86m the following weekend, 95m the weekend after and 104+ by this weekend).

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