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2017 100M Films - 33 down, 3 to go! (Pitchslapped!)

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Blankments Global Phenomenon

Blankments

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500M

  1. Beauty and the Beast - May 28

400M

  1. Beauty and the Beast – April 4
  2. Wonder Woman - August 8

300M

  1. Beauty and the Beast – March 26
  2. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 - May 21
  3. Wonder Woman - June 23
  4. Spider-Man: Homecoming - August 10
  5. It - October 7

200M

  1. Beauty and the Beast – March 21
  2. Logan – March 26
  3. The Fate of the Furious - May 5
  4. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 - May 13
  5. Wonder Woman - June 11
  6. Spider-Man: Homecoming - July 16
  7. Despicable Me 3 - July 20
  8. It - September 16
  9. Thor: Ragnarok - November 12

100M

  1. Split - February 7
  2. The LEGO Batman Movie - February 20
  3. Fifty Shades Darker – February 25
  4. Logan – March 7
  5. Get Out – March 11
  6. Beauty and the Beast – March 18
  7. Kong: Skull Island – March 18
  8. The Boss Baby – April 13
  9. The Fate of the Furious - April 17
  10. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 - May 6
  11. Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales - June 3
  12. Wonder Woman - June 4
  13. Cars 3 - June 26
  14. Transformers: The Last Knight - July 2
  15. Despicable Me 3 - July 5
  16. Spider-Man: Homecoming - July 9
  17. War for the Planet of the Apes - July 24
  18. Dunkirk - July 30
  19. Baby Driver - August 13
  20. Girls Trip - August 17
  21. It - September 10
  22. Annabelle: Creation - September 19
  23. Thor: Ragnarok - November 5
  24. Justice League - November 20
  25. Kingsman: The Golden Circle - December 1
  26. Coco - December 2
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MCKillswitch123 Summer Tentpole

MCKillswitch123

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Posted (edited)

Wonder has joined the 100M club; meanwhile, Justice League passed 200M and Ragnarok crossed 300M.

 

So, what we got now, in chronological order of release (and what will join + may join as well):

  1. Split
  2. The Lego Batman Movie
  3. Fifty Shades Darker
  4. Get Out
  5. Logan
  6. Kong: Skull Island
  7. Beauty And The Beast
  8. The Boss Baby
  9. The Fate Of The Furious
  10. Guardians Of The Galaxy Vol. 2
  11. Pirates Of The Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales
  12. Wonder Woman
  13. Cars 3
  14. Transformers: The Last Knight
  15. Baby Driver
  16. Despicable Me 3
  17. Spider-Man: Homecoming
  18. War For The Planet Of The Apes
  19. Dunkirk
  20. Girls Trip
  21. Annabelle: Creation
  22. It
  23. Kingsman: The Golden Circle
  24. Thor: Ragnarok
  25. Daddy's Home 2
  26. Murder On The Orient Express
  27. Justice League
  28. Wonder
  29. Coco
  30. Star Wars: The Last Jedi
  31. Ferdinand
  32. Jumanji: Welcome To The Jungle
  33. The Greatest Showman
  34. Pitch Perfect 3
  35. The Post

 

At this point, the likely scenario is that 2017 breaks the record. It seemed impossible in September/October, but an AMAZEBALLS November turned everything around. What a beautiful story.

Edited by MCKillswitch123
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Blankments Global Phenomenon

Blankments

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  • Author
Posted

500M

  1. Beauty and the Beast - May 28

400M

  1. Beauty and the Beast – April 4
  2. Wonder Woman - August 8

300M

  1. Beauty and the Beast – March 26
  2. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 - May 21
  3. Wonder Woman - June 23
  4. Spider-Man: Homecoming - August 10
  5. It - October 7
  6. Thor: Ragnarok - December 10

200M

  1. Beauty and the Beast – March 21
  2. Logan – March 26
  3. The Fate of the Furious - May 5
  4. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 - May 13
  5. Wonder Woman - June 11
  6. Spider-Man: Homecoming - July 16
  7. Despicable Me 3 - July 20
  8. It - September 16
  9. Thor: Ragnarok - November 12
  10. Justice League - December 5

100M

  1. Split - February 7
  2. The LEGO Batman Movie - February 20
  3. Fifty Shades Darker – February 25
  4. Logan – March 7
  5. Get Out – March 11
  6. Beauty and the Beast – March 18
  7. Kong: Skull Island – March 18
  8. The Boss Baby – April 13
  9. The Fate of the Furious - April 17
  10. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 - May 6
  11. Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales - June 3
  12. Wonder Woman - June 4
  13. Cars 3 - June 26
  14. Transformers: The Last Knight - July 2
  15. Despicable Me 3 - July 5
  16. Spider-Man: Homecoming - July 9
  17. War for the Planet of the Apes - July 24
  18. Dunkirk - July 30
  19. Baby Driver - August 13
  20. Girls Trip - August 17
  21. It - September 10
  22. Annabelle: Creation - September 19
  23. Thor: Ragnarok - November 5
  24. Justice League - November 20
  25. Kingsman: The Golden Circle - December 1
  26. Coco - December 2
  27. Wonder - December 10
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Blankments Global Phenomenon

Blankments

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500M

  1. Beauty and the Beast - May 28

400M

  1. Beauty and the Beast – April 4
  2. Wonder Woman - August 8

300M

  1. Beauty and the Beast – March 26
  2. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 - May 21
  3. Wonder Woman - June 23
  4. Spider-Man: Homecoming - August 10
  5. It - October 7
  6. Thor: Ragnarok - December 10

200M

  1. Beauty and the Beast – March 21
  2. Logan – March 26
  3. The Fate of the Furious - May 5
  4. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 - May 13
  5. Wonder Woman - June 11
  6. Spider-Man: Homecoming - July 16
  7. Despicable Me 3 - July 20
  8. It - September 16
  9. Thor: Ragnarok - November 12
  10. Justice League - December 5
  11. Star Wars: The Last Jedi - December 17

100M

  1. Split - February 7
  2. The LEGO Batman Movie - February 20
  3. Fifty Shades Darker – February 25
  4. Logan – March 7
  5. Get Out – March 11
  6. Beauty and the Beast – March 18
  7. Kong: Skull Island – March 18
  8. The Boss Baby – April 13
  9. The Fate of the Furious - April 17
  10. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 - May 6
  11. Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales - June 3
  12. Wonder Woman - June 4
  13. Cars 3 - June 26
  14. Transformers: The Last Knight - July 2
  15. Despicable Me 3 - July 5
  16. Spider-Man: Homecoming - July 9
  17. War for the Planet of the Apes - July 24
  18. Dunkirk - July 30
  19. Baby Driver - August 13
  20. Girls Trip - August 17
  21. It - September 10
  22. Annabelle: Creation - September 19
  23. Thor: Ragnarok - November 5
  24. Justice League - November 20
  25. Kingsman: The Golden Circle - December 1
  26. Coco - December 2
  27. Wonder - December 10
  28. Star Wars: The Last Jedi - December 15
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tonytr87 Blockbuster

tonytr87

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Posted

I actually think platform releases sometimes do more harm than good. The Shape of Water is something you could sell to the masses and yet they've been burning off demand for it for what feels like a month now. 

 

Also, what's up with The Post starting limited. Unless they were just trying to avoid the Christmas glut (while still qualifying for awards), there's no reason to platform a Spielberg movie starring Streep and Hanks. 

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narniadis Blockbuster

narniadis

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Posted
2 minutes ago, tonytr87 said:

I actually think platform releases sometimes do more harm than good. The Shape of Water is something you could sell to the masses and yet they've been burning off demand for it for what feels like a month now. 

 

Also, what's up with The Post starting limited. Unless they were just trying to avoid the Christmas glut (while still qualifying for awards), there's no reason to platform a Spielberg movie starring Streep and Hanks. 

You just said it.

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Blankments Global Phenomenon

Blankments

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500M

  1. Beauty and the Beast - May 28

400M

  1. Beauty and the Beast – April 4
  2. Wonder Woman - August 8

300M

  1. Beauty and the Beast – March 26
  2. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 - May 21
  3. Wonder Woman - June 23
  4. Spider-Man: Homecoming - August 10
  5. It - October 7
  6. Thor: Ragnarok - December 10
  7. Star Wars: The Last Jedi - December 22

200M

  1. Beauty and the Beast – March 21
  2. Logan – March 26
  3. The Fate of the Furious - May 5
  4. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 - May 13
  5. Wonder Woman - June 11
  6. Spider-Man: Homecoming - July 16
  7. Despicable Me 3 - July 20
  8. It - September 16
  9. Thor: Ragnarok - November 12
  10. Justice League - December 5
  11. Star Wars: The Last Jedi - December 17

100M

  1. Split - February 7
  2. The LEGO Batman Movie - February 20
  3. Fifty Shades Darker – February 25
  4. Logan – March 7
  5. Get Out – March 11
  6. Beauty and the Beast – March 18
  7. Kong: Skull Island – March 18
  8. The Boss Baby – April 13
  9. The Fate of the Furious - April 17
  10. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 - May 6
  11. Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales - June 3
  12. Wonder Woman - June 4
  13. Cars 3 - June 26
  14. Transformers: The Last Knight - July 2
  15. Despicable Me 3 - July 5
  16. Spider-Man: Homecoming - July 9
  17. War for the Planet of the Apes - July 24
  18. Dunkirk - July 30
  19. Baby Driver - August 13
  20. Girls Trip - August 17
  21. It - September 10
  22. Annabelle: Creation - September 19
  23. Thor: Ragnarok - November 5
  24. Justice League - November 20
  25. Kingsman: The Golden Circle - December 1
  26. Coco - December 2
  27. Wonder - December 10
  28. Star Wars: The Last Jedi - December 15

 

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MCKillswitch123 Summer Tentpole

MCKillswitch123

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Posted (edited)

Daddy's Home 2 makes it 29, MOTOE 30, Jumanji 31. Then, outliers Pitch Perfect 3 and The Post are 32 and 33 respectively.

 

It needs a 6th one to pull it off, and right now, unless The Greatest Showman or Ferdinand build completely otherworldly legs, or there's another breakout awards contender like The Shape Of Water or All The Money In The World completely out of nowhere, this club is RIP too. May it perish in its well deserved peace. :(

Edited by MCKillswitch123
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Brainbug Global Phenomenon

Brainbug

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Posted
Just now, MCKillswitch123 said:

Daddy's Home 2 makes it 29, MOTOE 30, Jumanji 31. Then, outliers Pitch Perfect 3 and The Post 32 and 33 respectively.

 

It needs a 6th one to pull it off, and right now, unless The Greatest Showman or Ferdinand build completely otherworldly legs, or there's another breakout awards contender like The Shape Of Water or All The Money In The World completely out of nowhere, this club is RIP too. May it perish in its well deserved peace. :(

 

Let the past die. Kill it, if you have to.

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The Panda Global Phenomenon

The Panda

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Posted (edited)

Looking at 2018, since this year will likely miss the record

 

Locked

  1. Spoiler

     

    1. Black Panther
    2. Avengers: Infinity War
    3. Solo: A Star Wars Story
    4. Deadpool 2
    5. The Incredibles 2
    6. Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom
    7. Dr. Seuss' The Grinch

     

     

 

Strong Possibility

 

  1. Spoiler

     

    1. Fifty Shades Freed
    2. Ready Player One
    3. Rampage
    4. Ocean's Eight
    5. Ant-Man and the Wasp
    6. Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation
    7. Skyscraper
    8. Mission Impossible 6
    9. Venom
    10. First Man
    11. Dark Phoenix
    12. Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindewald
    13. Ralph Breaks the Internet: Wreck-It Ralph 2
    14. Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse
    15. Aquaman
    16. Mary Poppins Returns

     

     

Potential

  1. Spoiler

     

    1. Paddington 2
    2. Maze Runner: The Death Cure
    3. 2017 Cloverfield Movie
    4. Peter Rabbit
    5. Game Night
    6. Red Sparrow
    7. A Wrinkle in Time
    8. Tomb Raider
    9. New Mutants
    10. A Quiet Place
    11. Life of the Party
    12. Slenderman
    13. The Nun
    14. Mamma Mia!: Here We Go Again
    15. Teen Titans Go!
    16. The Predator
    17. The Spy Who Dumped Me
    18. Christopher Robin
    19. Night School
    20. Smallfoot
    21. A Star is Born
    22. The Girl in the Spider's Web
    23. Halloween
    24. Mowgli
    25. The Nutcracker and the Four Realms
    26. Untitled Robert Zemeckis Project
    27. Mortal Engines
    28. Bohemian Rhapsody
    29. Bumblebee

     

     

 

Longshot Possibility?

  1. Spoiler

     

    1. 12 Strong
    2. Proud Mary
    3. The 15:17 to Paris
    4. Annihilation
    5. Alpha
    6. Pacific Rim Uprising
    7. Sherlock Gnomes
    8. Action Point
    9. Tag
    10. Uncle Drew
    11. The Purge 4
    12. Alita: Battle Angel
    13. The Equalizer 2
    14. The Meg
    15. Scarface
    16. Barbie
    17. The Darkest Minds
    18. Goosebumps 2
    19. The House with a Clock in Its Walls
    20. Robin Hood
    21. Mary, Queen of Scots
    22. Holmes and Watson

     

     

 

There's 24 Strong Possibilities and Locks, that means we'd need 10 movies from the Longshots and Potential categories to tied the record (11 to break the record).  I reckon it ends up looking something like this, if it breaks the record

 

Spoiler

400m

  1. Avengers: Infinity War - May 24th
  2. Solo: A Star Wars Story - June 15th
  3. The Incredibles 2 - July 12th
  4. Dr. Seuss' The Grinch - Dec 23rd

 

300m

  1. Black Panther - March 20th
  2. Avengers: Infinity War - May 10th
  3. Solo: A Star Wars Story - June 5th
  4. Deadpool 2 - June 29th
  5. The Incredibles 2 - July 1st
  6. Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom - July 12th
  7. Dr. Seuss' The Grinch - Dec 1
  8. Mary Poppins Returns - Jan 31st

 

200m

  1. Black Panther - Feb 25
  2. Avengers: Infinity War - May 6
  3. Solo: A Star Wars Story - May 29th
  4. Deadpool 2 - June 9th
  5. The Incredibles 2 - June 23rd
  6. Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom - July 1
  7. First Man - Nov 3
  8. Dr. Seuss' The Grinch - Nov 17th
  9. Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindewald - Dec 20th
  10. Aquaman - Jan 8th
  11. Mary Poppins Returns - Jan 7th

 

100m

  1. Black Panther - Feb 18
  2. Fifty Shades Freed - March 2
  3. Peter Rabbit - March 5
  4. Red Sparrow - March 25th
  5. Tomb Raider - March 29th
  6. A Wrinkle in Time - March 30th
  7. Ready Player One - April 17
  8. A Quiet Place - May 3
  9. Rampage - May 5
  10. Avengers: Infinity War - May 5
  11. Solo: A Star Wars Story - May 26th
  12. Life of the Party - June 2
  13. Deadpool 2 - June 2nd
  14. Slenderman - June 8th
  15. The Incredibles 2 - June 17th
  16. Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom - June 24th
  17. Ocean's 8 - July 3rd
  18. Ant-Man and the Wasp - July 25th
  19. Skyscraper - July 31st
  20. Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation - August 3rd
  21. The Nun - August 8th
  22. Mission: Impossible 6 - August 9th
  23. The Predator - August 25th
  24. The Spy Who Dumped Me - August 27th
  25. Christopher Robin - Sep 2nd
  26. Venom - Oct 20th
  27. First Man - Oct 22nd
  28. Smallfoot - Oct 25th
  29. Halloween - Nov 5th
  30. Dr. Seuss' The Grinch - Nov 11th
  31. Mowgli - Nov 15th
  32. Dark Phoenix - Nov 28th
  33. Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindewald - Nov 21st
  34. Ralph Breaks the Internet: Wreck-It Ralph 2 - Dec 9th
  35. Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse - Dec 22nd
  36. Aquaman - Dec 25th
  37. Mary Poppins Returns - Dec 29th

 

Edited by The Last Panda
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MCKillswitch123 Summer Tentpole

MCKillswitch123

Posted
Posted

2018 isn't looking overly promising either:

 

PROBABLES:

  1. Fifty Shades Freed
  2. Black Panther
  3. Ready Player One
  4. The New Mutants
  5. Rampage
  6. Avengers: Infinity War
  7. Solo: A Star Wars Story
  8. Deadpool 2
  9. Ocean's 8
  10. The Incredibles 2
  11. Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom
  12. Ant-Man And The Wasp
  13. Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation
  14. The Nun
  15. Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again
  16. Mission: Impossible 6
  17. Night School
  18. Venom
  19. First Man
  20. X-Men: Dark Phoenix
  21. The Grinch
  22. Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes Of Grindelwald
  23. Ralph Breaks The Internet: Wreck-It Ralph 2
  24. Spider-Man: Into The Spider-Verse
  25. Aquaman
  26. Mary Poppins Returns

With only 26 probables (and some of these are no locks to break 100), it's a bit in dire straits. It will need 8 of these to breakout:

 

REALISTIC POSSIBLES:

  1. Paddington 2
  2. Red Sparrow
  3. A Wrinkle In Time
  4. Tomb Raider
  5. Love, Simon
  6. Blockers
  7. Skyscraper
  8. Alita: Battle Angel
  9. Teen Titans Go! To The Movies
  10. Christopher Robin
  11. The Predator
  12. New Line Cinema's horror movie in September (never count the kings of horror out)
  13. Halloween
  14. The Nutcracker And The Four Realms
  15. Holmes And Watson
  16. Widows
  17. Creed 2
  18. Mortal Engines
  19. Bumblebee: The Movie
  20. Bohemian Rhapsody

For those of you asking why didn't I include the following films in either list:

 

Spoiler
  • Pacific Rim: Uprising does not have a realistic shot of 100M at all. It's guaranteed to drop from the 1st PR, which barely crossed 100M DOM and it had to be fudged. If PR1 were a very well liked movie like Edge Of Tomorrow, maybe it would've had a shot. But DOM audiences didn't love PR1 and this sequel looks like shit and it's probably gonna be shit. So... nope, not a realistic shot. It's gonna do batshit crazy OS business, though.
  • Annihilation is probably gonna be very much like Ex-Machina/Blade Runner 2049/Arrival, and Arrival had the advent of a holiday release with strong awards buzz. Unless Annihilation has "you HAVE to watch this movie" wom like Get Out, I really don't see it breaking out in its release date.
  • None of Peter Rabbit, Early Man, Sherlock Gnomes and Smallfoot have history backing them up: SPA has always been very hit or miss, both critically and at the BO, and Peter Rabbit looks way closer to miss; Aardman hasn't had a 100M DOM movie since Chicken Run, and there's no reason to think that Early Man will break such trend; Paramount.... well, they are fucking Paramount (and the 1st Gnomeo & Juliet movie was actually released by Disney... and technically, it still fell short from 100M anyway! Never forget those 99M...); and WAG has had two misses in September in a row with both Storks and Ninjago, so unless Smallfoot has Lego Movie wom, no chance it breaks out to 100M either.
  • A Quiet Place is probably gonna top out with Don't Breathe numbers on the best case scenario. It opens a week before The New Mutants, which is a bonafide horror movie, and again, its concept is very intriguing (and I really liked the trailer), but I see no reason why it would do better than something like DB, which appealed to a wider demographic (AQP looks like it might skew older for horror standards) and was a Summer release with no competition.
  • A Star Is Born.... really, who the fuck cares?
  • Proud Mary feels like it has a ceiling of somewhere in between John Wick 2 and Atomic Blonde, and that is absolute best case scenario imo. I will say that this is the likeliest possibility of the unlikely possibilities, but still, not really feeling its potential.
  • The two Cloverfield movies, God Particle and Overlord, are question marks as to whether will they even make their release dates; and even if they do... the Cloverfield movies haven't crossed 100M yet, and 10 Cloverfield Lane was actually a very well recieved movie, so... unless Overlord is a Gravity/Martian quality movie and takes November to go the distance (and I don't see that happening), nope to either of them.

 

 

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Noodlebug Sleeper Hit

Noodlebug

Posted
Posted

It seems like moviegoers are spending less on films across the calendar year, and instead pouring the money into a couple mega blockbusters every year, leaving the remaining films to fight over the scraps. Helps explain why we have less and less mid-sized grossers every year.

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