The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[Legion Again]

7 minutes ago, FlashMaster659 said:

Isn’t that a bump actually? Think it was 51.8k last hour.

Yeah, it was an increase from 51.9. By slowing down I mean relative to the previous hours gains rather than relative to yesterday. Positive first derivative but negative second. Anyway, CoolEric will be by in some 40 minutes with a big write up where CM is ~50k final.

Edited March 7, 2019 by Thanos Legion

[Brainbug]

Weve come a long way since waiting for the weekend actuals on Monday newspapers lol.

[Cap]

49 minutes ago, filmlover said:

This list should provide info:

 

https://www.studentcity.com/when-is-my-spring-break

So, a lot.  (Not going to count, but A LOT.)  So the Youths will be around.  Should be a healthy Tuesday.

[FlashMaster659]

01:00 51.7k

Edited March 7, 2019 by FlashMaster659

[Eric Lasagna]

Fandango App

Monday

Tues

Wed

Thursday

Black Panther

35,429

36,302

39,934

65,453

Avengers: Infinity War

49,836

54,892

68,826

206,000

Deadpool 2

23,134

28,896

41,212

SW: Solo

13,688

15,855

28,533

Incredibles 2

20,872

23,430

39,337

Venom

13,602

13,818

20,867

31,569

A Star Is Born

9,115

11,383

22,641

21,501

Fantastic Beasts

8,956

14,238

21,861

31,880

Aquaman

8,502

9,671

15,063

Captain Marvel

33,951

37,060

49,745

 

 

Wednesday Comps:

125% of Black Panther (251.6M)

72% of Infinity War (186.2M)

121% of Deadpool 2 (151.5M)

174% of Solo (147.2M)

126% of Incredibles 2 (230.8M)

238% of Venom (191.3M)

220% of A Star is Born (94.3M)

227% of Fantastic Beasts 2 (141.4M)

330% of Aquaman (224.1M)

 

Last 7 Days Comp:

97% of Black Panther (196.1M)

 

Day 17-Day 2 Comp:

75% of Black Panther (151.5M)

 

The non-MCU comps went down, while the MCU comps rose considerably. Either way, the fact this is doing so well next to both BP and IW is commendable. Still O/U BvS at the moment, but God bless Brie Larson for saving the box office

[Cap]

@CoolEric258 Do you have Ant-Man & The Wasp Comps?  The ASIB 97M has me going, "Is this gonna be AMATW all over again?"

[Porthos]

Captain Marvel Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-1 Day and counting

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	1	202	11167	19147	41.68%

 

Total Showings Added Today:         7

Total Seats Added Today:            483

Total Seats Sold Today:             1063

 

1.1924x as many tickets sold as Black Panther 1 day before release. [Captain Marvel has 58 days of pre-sales compared to Black Panther's 30 days]

.6130x as many tickets sold as Infinity War 1 day before release. [Captain Marvel has 58 days of pre-sales compared to Infinity War's 41 days]

1.1924x as many tickets sold as Deadpool 2 1 day before release. [Captain Marvel has 58 days of pre-sales compared to DP2's 29 days]

1.4494x as many tickets sold as Solo 1 day before release. [Captain Marvel has 58 days of pre-sales compared to Solo's 20 days]

1.6865x as many tickets sold as Jurassic World 2 1 day before release. [Captain Marvel has 58 days of pre-sales compared to JW2's 22 days]

2.6801x as many tickets sold as Ant-Man and the Wasp 1 day before release. [Captain Marvel has 58 days of pre-sales compared to AM2's 18 days]

2.7065x as many tickets sold as Venom 1 day before release. [Captain Marvel has 58 days of pre-sales compared to Venom's 21 days]

1.8719x as many tickets sold as Fantastic Beasts 2 1 day before release. [Captain Marvel has 58 days of pre-sales compared to FB2's 30 days]

NOTE: If a theater locally that is now selling tickets for reserved seating was selling them for the above movies, but as non-reserved seating for that movie, it is not counted toward the ratio of 'as many tickets sold' for the movie in question.  If a theater is brand new to the region and wasn't yet open for one of the above movies, however, it will be counted toward the ratio.

 

Also, see spoiler box for different comps with BP, without the new theater in town as well as the stat bloc for Captain Marvel without the extra theatre tracking info.

 

Day T-1 Comp:

 

BP:            650 tickets sold [7 sellouts/121 showings   |   4597/10526 seats left  | 56.33% sold]

IW:            738 tickets sold [11 sellouts/174 showings |   3625/15159 seats left  | 76.09% sold]

DP2:          835 tickets sold [0 sellouts/166 showings  |  10226/16155 seats left | 36.70% sold]

Solo:         377 tickets sold   [1 sellout/142 showings  |   8575/13453 seats left  | 36.26% sold]

JW2:          768 tickets sold [0 sellouts/147 showings  |    9523/13715 seats left | 30.57% sold]

AM2:         347 tickets sold [0 sellouts/112 showings  |   8258/10896 seats left  | 24.21% sold]

Venom:     498 tickets sold [0 sellouts/122 showings   | 10414/13170 seats left  | 20.93% sold]

FB2:          492 tickets sold [0 sellouts/131 showings  | 11940/15717 seats left  | 24.03% sold]

CM (adj)*: 914 tickets sold [1 sellouts/202 showings   |   8507/15577 seats left  | 45.39% sold]

* CM (adj) is the number of tickets sold without the extra theaters I now have tracking info for

 

====

 

Further BP Comp inside Spoiler Box:

 

Spoiler

Due to having more reserved seating info now than when BP debuted in Sacramento, two more BP-only comp charts:

 

Captain Marvel Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-1 Days and counting

(Exact same theaters/reserved seating info as Black Panther)

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	1	191	7849	14078	44.25%

 

Total Showings Added Today:         7

Total Seats Added Today:            483

Total Seats Sold Today:               780

 

1.0506x as many tickets sold as Black Panther 1 day before release. [Captain Marvel has 58 days of pre-sales compared to Black Panther's 30 days]

 

---

 

Captain Marvel Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-1 Days and counting

(Equivalent reserved seating info as Black Panther plus Regal Delta Shores which opened in the interim)

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	1	202	8507	15577	45.39%

 

Total Showings Added Today:          7

Total Seats Added Today:            483

Total Seats Sold Today:               914

 

1.1924x as many tickets sold as Black Panther 1 day before release. [Captain Marvel has 58 days of pre-sales compared to Black Panther's 30 days]

 

[Porthos]

Now I know what you're thinking already.  "How the hell did Captain Marvel outsell Infinity War locally for this day when it wasn't particularly close nationally? Even when adjusted numbers are taken into account?!?"

 

Well, 28 extra showings help.  (though some of those extra 28 aren't being tracked for the purposes of the 'adjusted' count - I don't feel like seeing how many extra showings were at those two theaters right this second)

 

But, mostly?  IW had already sold 74% of its seats.  Only so much blood one can wring out of that stone.  The fact that IW still sold  so many tickets is a testament to the demand.

 

And, perhaps, a reason why my town is going absolutely bananas when it comes to showings for CM.

 

Nationally?  I reckon enough showings popped up nationally that it is overwhelming the push by CM.  

 

So, basically that's how.  Locally at least.

Edited March 7, 2019 by Porthos

[HouseOfTheSun]

26 minutes ago, CoolEric258 said:

Fandango App

Monday

Tues

Wed

Thursday

Black Panther

35,429

36,302

39,934

65,453

Avengers: Infinity War

49,836

54,892

68,826

206,000

Deadpool 2

23,134

28,896

41,212

SW: Solo

13,688

15,855

28,533

Incredibles 2

20,872

23,430

39,337

Venom

13,602

13,818

20,867

31,569

A Star Is Born

9,115

11,383

22,641

21,501

Fantastic Beasts

8,956

14,238

21,861

31,880

Aquaman

8,502

9,671

15,063

Captain Marvel

33,951

37,060

49,745

 

 

Wednesday Comps:

125% of Black Panther (251.6M)

72% of Infinity War (186.2M)

121% of Deadpool 2 (151.5M)

174% of Solo (147.2M)

126% of Incredibles 2 (230.8M)

238% of Venom (191.3M)

220% of A Star is Born (94.3M)

227% of Fantastic Beasts 2 (141.4M)

330% of Aquaman (224.1M)

 

Last 7 Days Comp:

97% of Black Panther (196.1M)

 

Day 17-Day 2 Comp:

75% of Black Panther (151.5M)

 

The non-MCU comps went down, while the MCU comps rose considerably. Either way, the fact this is doing so well next to both BP and IW is commendable. Still O/U BvS at the moment, but God bless Brie Larson for saving the box office

Wow that acceleration of presales is insane 

[Legion Again]

I was kind of in disbelief of yesterday’s sales, but today didn’t just keep track, it actually picked up a lot relative to the only other comps of the same size. No clue what is going on any more, just going to strap in, watch numbers, and enjoy the ride.

[HouseOfTheSun]

7 minutes ago, Porthos said:

Now I know what you're thinking already.  "How the hell did Captain Marvel outsell Infinity War locally for this day when it wasn't particularly close nationally? Even when adjusted numbers are taken into account?!?"

 

Well, 28 extra showings help.  (though some of those extra 28 aren't being tracked for the purposes of the 'adjusted' count - I don't feel like seeing how many extra shownings were at those two theaters right this second)

 

But, mostly?  IW had already sold 74% of its seats.  Only so much blood one can wring out of that stone.  The fact that IW still sold  so many tickets is a testament to the demand.

 

And, perhaps, a reason why my town is going absolutely bananas when it comes to showings for CM.

 

Nationally?  I reckon enough showings popped up nationally that it is overwhelming the push by CM.  

 

So, basically that's how.  Locally at least.

Will you do a final update tomorrow before release? Either way than you for the effort you’ve put in with this tracking. 

[Legion Again]

17 minutes ago, captainwondyful said:

@CoolEric258 Do you have Ant-Man & The Wasp Comps?  The ASIB 97M has me going, "Is this gonna be AMATW all over again?"

ASIB made 1.35M in Tuesday and Wednesday previews. Its Fandango numbers today aren’t just presales, but some active same day showings. 

[Porthos]

5 minutes ago, HouseOfTheSun said:

Will you do a final update tomorrow before release? Either way than you for the effort you’ve put in with this tracking. 

I do two on Premiere Night. 👍

 

One about 1pm PST or so (I start at noon-ish and report when I'm done tabulating - I have a LOT to go through though, so it might not post 'till 1:15 or 1:30pm PST). 

 

Then I do the final report about an hour or so before the main showings of the night start.  In this case I'll start it around 4:45pm to 5:00pm my time (to catch the fan events) and hopefully post it by 6:15 to 6:30.

 

And thanks for the compliment; much appreciated.

 

Edited March 7, 2019 by Porthos

[Legion Again]

10 page day 

[Legion Again]

Yesterday: 

Quote

 

On 3/5/2019 at 10:57 PM, Porthos said:

1.1661x as many tickets sold as Black Panther 2 days before release. 1.166*25.2=29.4

.5702x as many tickets sold as Infinity War 2 days before release. .5702*39=22.24

1.2085x as many tickets sold as Deadpool 2 2 days before release. 1.2085*18.6=22.5

1.3677x as many tickets sold as Solo 2 days before release. 1.3677*14.1=19.3

1.7979x as many tickets sold as Jurassic World 2 2 days before release. 1.7979*15.3=27.5

2.6970x as many tickets sold as Ant-Man and the Wasp 2 days before release. 2.697*11.5= 31 (lol)

2.8685x as many tickets sold as Venom 2 days before release. 2.8685*10=28.7

1.9717x as many tickets sold as Fantastic Beasts 2 3 days before release. 1.9717*9.1=17.9

Some of these are way too high, some are way too low, some are summer, some franchises particularly walkup friendly or not, theaters not exactly the same, 2 days left, etc. Use with caution. Still, figured people would be interested in the numbers anyway, so there they are.

 

Today:     

48 minutes ago, Porthos said:

1.1924x as many tickets sold as Black Panther 1 day before release.  1.1924*25.2=30

.6130x as many tickets sold as Infinity War 1 day before release.  .6130*39=23.9

1.1924x as many tickets sold as Deadpool 2 1 day before release.  1.1924*18.6=22.2

1.4494x as many tickets sold as Solo 1 day before release.  1.4494*14.1=20.4

1.6865x as many tickets sold as Jurassic World 2 1 day before release.  1.6865*15.3=25.8

2.6801x as many tickets sold as Ant-Man and the Wasp 1 day before release.  2.6801*11.5=30.8 (lol?)

2.7065x as many tickets sold as Venom 1 day before release.  2.7065*10=27.1

1.8719x as many tickets sold as Fantastic Beasts 2 1 day before release.  1.8719*9.1=17 

Throw out two lowest and two highest gives average 24.75 vs 25.23 yesterday. Same caveats apply, with an additional warning that CM seems like it may be a bit stronger in Sac than nationally.

Edited March 7, 2019 by Thanos Legion

[Porthos]

You know, I just thought of something that should have been fairly self-evident when it comes to # of screenings in a limited window like a Premiere Night:  Runtime.

 

IW was 2:40 while CM is 2:05 or so.

 

That extra half an hour adds up when one is talking about a four or five (or six) hour window.

 

Kinda ashamed at myself for not thinking about that sooner.    So, yeah, I think that also might partially explain why Sacto has more showings for CM than IW:  The film is much shorter.

 

And we don't stay up late much in this town (night owls like myself not included) so it's not like there'd be a ton of shows past 11:30 or midnight.

 

(During the weekend, it won't matter as much as screens can be juggled or opened much earlier/But the 7pm start forces things a bit)

[Legion Again]

IW only 2:29, but yeah, relevant factor. Watch Endgame come in 3:05 and beat CM screenings anyway 😛 

[Porthos]

5 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said:

IW only 2:29, but yeah, relevant factor.

Ah, Google said 2:40.  Blame them.

[Legion Again]

14 minutes ago, Porthos said:

Ah, Google said 2:40.  Blame them.

Google has had the blatantly wrong runtime for 10 months. I do blame them. Frequently 😕 

[rishijoesanu]

1 hour ago, Porthos said:

Now I know what you're thinking already.  "How the hell did Captain Marvel outsell Infinity War locally for this day when it wasn't particularly close nationally? Even when adjusted numbers are taken into account?!?"

 

Well, 28 extra showings help.  (though some of those extra 28 aren't being tracked for the purposes of the 'adjusted' count - I don't feel like seeing how many extra showings were at those two theaters right this second)

 

But, mostly?  IW had already sold 74% of its seats.  Only so much blood one can wring out of that stone.  The fact that IW still sold  so many tickets is a testament to the demand.

 

And, perhaps, a reason why my town is going absolutely bananas when it comes to showings for CM.

 

Nationally?  I reckon enough showings popped up nationally that it is overwhelming the push by CM.  

 

So, basically that's how.  Locally at least.

Brie was apparently born in Sacramento. Maybe it's just the locals showing support to one of their own