The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[Menor the Destroyer]

1 minute ago, Sunny Max said:

 i dont want to see .. lol  ... of course its the expected result ..even with average wom movie is capable of $1 B + minimum 

oh, i was responding to @john2000 before and he had said he would love to see the reactions, that's why I was confused.

[Sunny Max]

Just now, Menor said:

oh, i was responding to @john2000 before and he had said he would love to see the reactions, that's why I was confused.

i think someone posted this .. FHH topping TLK ... & TLK is gonna be flop .. this is why @john2000 said he would love to see the reactions ...

[Porthos]

MovieTickets.com now shows nothing on its Top 5 list.

 

Apparently Rocketman was the Alpha and the Omega, signaling the End of All Things. 

[Joyous Legion]

I’ll pick back up whenever there’s something to pick back up with 😛 

[Cap]

26 minutes ago, Porthos said:

MovieTickets.com now shows nothing on its Top 5 list.

 

Apparently Rocketman was the Alpha and the Omega, signaling the End of All Things. 

Rocketman this weekend, as everyone else falls.

 

 

[Porthos]

37 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said:

I’ll pick back up whenever there’s something to pick back up with 😛 

 

When are you gonna come back? When are you gonna to update?

I should have stayed with Fandango. Should have listened to Menor.

 

You know you can't track me forever.  I didn't sell out shows for you.

I'm not a site for your friends to refresh.  This site's too young to be crashing....

 

the weeeeeeebbbbbb.

 

Ahhh  ahh ahh.  Ah ah ahh.  Ahhh.

 

Soooo Goodbye Movie Tickets Dot Com.  Where the trackers of BOT prowl.

You can't put me in your spreadsheets, I'm going back to MySQL.

 

Back to the sales in the arthouses, selling the foreign indie flicks.

Oh I've finally found that tracking can't be found on Movie Tickets Dot Com.

 

Ahhh  ahh ahh.  Ah ah ahh.  Ahhh.

 

What do you think you'll track then? I bet you'll look to Atom.

It'll take you a couple of javascripts and scrapers to get you on the updates again.

 

Maybe you'll get a replacement.  There's plenty of ticket sellers around.

Posters who ain't got another hobby, sniffing for seat info like you on

 

the weeeeeebbbbbb

 

Ahhh  ahh ahh.  Ah ah ahh.  Ahhh.

 

Soooo Goodbye Movie Tickets Dot Com.  Where the trackers of BOT prowl.

You can't put me in your spreadsheets, I'm going back to MySQL.

 

Back to the sales in the arthouses, selling the foreign indie flicks.

Oh I've finally found that tracking can't be found on Movie Tickets Dot Com.

 

Ahhh  ahh ahh.  Ah ah ahh.  Ahhh.

[Menor the Destroyer]

1 hour ago, Porthos said:

 

When are you gonna come back? When are you gonna to update?

I should have stayed with Fandango. Should have listened to Menor.

 

You know you can't track me forever.  I didn't sell out shows for you.

I'm not a site for your friends to refresh.  This site's too young to be crashing....

 

the weeeeeeebbbbbb.

 

Ahhh  ahh ahh.  Ah ah ahh.  Ahhh.

 

Soooo Goodbye Movie Tickets Dot Com.  Where the trackers of BOT prowl.

You can't put me in your spreadsheets, I'm going back to MySQL.

 

Back to the sales in the arthouses, selling the foreign indie flicks.

Oh I've finally found that tracking can't be found on Movie Tickets Dot Com.

 

Ahhh  ahh ahh.  Ah ah ahh.  Ahhh.

 

What do you think you'll track then? I bet you'll look to Atom.

It'll take you a couple of javascripts and scrapers to get you on the updates again.

 

Maybe you'll get a replacement.  There's plenty of ticket sellers around.

Posters who ain't got another hobby, sniffing for seat info like you on

 

the weeeeeebbbbbb

 

Ahhh  ahh ahh.  Ah ah ahh.  Ahhh.

 

Soooo Goodbye Movie Tickets Dot Com.  Where the trackers of BOT prowl.

You can't put me in your spreadsheets, I'm going back to MySQL.

 

Back to the sales in the arthouses, selling the foreign indie flicks.

Oh I've finally found that tracking can't be found on Movie Tickets Dot Com.

 

Ahhh  ahh ahh.  Ah ah ahh.  Ahhh.

I am honored to have been mentioned in this utter masterpiece of musical and poetic creativity

[Porthos]

Toy Story 4 Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-6 Days and counting

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	1	92	10157	12465*	18.52%

* NOTE:  One theater adjusted the available seats resulting in a net gain of six seats.

 

Total Seats Sold Today:                  191

 

Unadjusted Comps

2.2539x as many tickets sold as Detective Pikachu 6 days before release.

1.8303x as many tickets sold as Aladdin 6 days before release.

2.1252x as many tickets sold as King of the Monsters 6 days before release.

 

T-6:

Pika         82 tickets sold  [0 sellouts/62 showings   |     6440/7464 seats left    |  13.72% sold]

Aladdin    86 tickets sold [0 sellouts/74 showings   |    9457/10718 seats left    |  11.77% sold]

KotM        78 tickets sold [0 sellouts/98 showings   |  12654/13740 seats left    |   7.90% sold]

 

Adjusted Comps

1.0292x as many tickets sold as Fallen Kingdom 6 days before release.      

ADJUSTMENT NOTE: If a theater locally that is now selling tickets for reserved seating was selling them for the above movies, but as non-reserved seating for that movie, it is not counted toward the ratio of 'as many tickets sold' for the movie in question.  If a theater is brand new to the region and wasn't yet open for one of the above movies, however, it will be counted toward the ratio.  It will also be counted toward the ratio if it was playing in a different number of theaters locally.

 

T-6:

JW2              95 tickets sold [0 sellouts/111 showings |    9177/11263 seats left  | 18.52% sold]

TS4 (JW)     162 tickets sold [0 sellouts/92 showings   |    8647/10794 seats left  | 19.89% sold]

TS4 (JW) is the number of tickets sold at the same theaters I had tracking info for Fallen Kingdom.

[Porthos]

Far From Home Greater Sacramento Area MIDNIGHT SCREENINGS Seat Report: T-17 Days and counting

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	17	2427	2796*	13.20%

* NOTE:  One theater adjusted the available seats resulting in a net gain of three seats.

 

Total Seats Sold Today:                       4

 

Comp against Crimes of Grindelwand Tuesday Limited Engagement Sneaks:

 

0.7688x times as many tickets sold as FB2's sneaks 17 days before their showings.

 

T-17 days:

FB2 sneaks      13 tickets sold  [0 sellouts/6 showings   | 919/1399 seats left  |  34.31% sold]

[Porthos]

23 hours ago, Porthos said:

Reupping the Rolling 24hr Fandango Tracker for a while for TS4 ramp-up purposes:

 

Fandango Sales Past 24 Hours
Since: 2019-06-13 00:00:00 (US/Central - Chicago)

RANK	PERCENT	TICKETS	MOVIE
1       17.095% 11056   Men in Black International [combined] 
2	16.680%	10787	The Secret Life of Pets 2
3	12.809%	8297	Aladdin (2019) [combined]
4	08.081%	5226	Rocketman
5	06.773%	4380	Dark Phoenix
6	05.707%	3691	Godzilla King of the Monsters (2019)
7	05.005%	3237	Toy Story 4 [combined]
8	04.395%	2842	John Wick Chapter 3 – Parabellum
9	04.387%	2837	Shaft (2019)
10	03.535%	2286	Late Night (2019)

Fandango Sales Past 24 Hours
Since: 2019-06-14 00:00:00 (US/Central - Chicago)

RANK	PERCENT	TICKETS	MOVIE
1	18.859%	13303	Men in Black International [combined]
2	14.632%	10321	The Secret Life of Pets 2
3	11.492%	8106	Aladdin (2019) [combined]
4	08.112%	5722	Rocketman
5	06.826%	4815	Shaft (2019)
6	06.611%	4663	Dark Phoenix
7	05.362%	3782	Godzilla King of the Monsters (2019)
8	05.250%	3703	Late Night (2019)
9	04.830%	3407	John Wick Chapter 3 – Parabellum
10	04.100%	2892	Toy Story 4 [combined]

[Eric the Minion]

Movie/Date

Monday

Tuesday

Wednesday

Thursday

Friday

Toy Story 4	1,724	2,015	3,101	3,145	2,762
	11 days	10 days	9 days	8 days	7 days
Annabelle 3	66	55	81	53	56
	16 days	15 days	14 days	13 days	12 days
Spider-Man FFH	907	803	1,192	1,064	941
	22 days	21 days	20 days	19 days	18 days

 

Toy Story

Day 18-7

66% of Incredibles 2 (120.3M)

133% of Aladdin (121.7M 3-Day, 154.7M 4-Day)

303% of Dumbo (139.2M)

261% of Dragon 3 (143.4M)

273% of Shazam! (146.1M)

430% of Lego 2 (146.8M)

 

Day 24-7

255% of Shazam! (136.4M)

84% of Incredibles 2 (155.4M)

299% of Dragon 3 (164.4M)

 

Another day of consistent increases from all comps. Comps still indicate 150M OW, but things can change if the film's momentum continues. Probably depends on whether there's an increase on Saturday tomorrow. Aladdin had a really strong increase at that point in time, and that was the moment that made me really confident in its financial prospects. At the very least, I have a couple clubs on the line, so this better deliver the next couple days lol

 

Annabelle

Day 22-12

18% of Us (13.1M 3-Day, 15.6M first 5 days)

50% of The Nun (26.7M 3-Day, 30.9M first 5 days)

 

So two new things happened. The obvious one is that I managed to go into the akvalley archives and find Nun numbers, arguably the better comp of the two. I might also add in The First Purge tomorrow, because that's probably the best comp to use in the first place. But hey, three is better than one. I'm also gonna test things out a bit and use the first 5 days for regular movies when it comes to comping Wednesday openers. I doubt it's as effective as simple Wednesday openers, but it doesn't hurt to try.

 

Far From Home

Day 29-18

14% of Infinity War (35.2M 3-Day, 44.1M first 6 days)

51% of Captain Marvel (78.7M 3-Day, 96.2M first 6 days)

 

I'm doing the same thing with Annabelle. Nothing really interesting here. Slight declines, but really nothing to worry about.

[charlie Jatinder]

In terms of Fandango cume, Far From Home is roughly 65% of Captain Marvel. Homecoming final pre-sales were roughly 50% of CM.

 

That's about 30% better than Homecoming, which will mean $200mn exactly for 6 days. Now Far From Home has less Previews than regular which could be factor for lower pre-sales but there is also 2 years of frontloading to consider.

 

6 days weekend will have very high impact of word of mouth as well, going by MCU track, and favourable trailers so far, we can expect that to be good.

 

That said $190-200mn is really probable case.

[john2000]

3 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

In terms of Fandango cume, Far From Home is roughly 65% of Captain Marvel. Homecoming final pre-sales were roughly 50% of CM.

 

That's about 30% better than Homecoming, which will mean $200mn exactly for 6 days. Now Far From Home has less Previews than regular which could be factor for lower pre-sales but there is also 2 years of frontloading to consider.

 

6 days weekend will have very high impact of word of mouth as well, going by MCU track, and favourable trailers so far, we can expect that to be good.

 

That said $190-200mn is really probable case.

if true then what could be the dom total ?

[charlie Jatinder]

1 minute ago, john2000 said:

if true then what could be the dom total ?

I will be expecting 2x 6 days.

[john2000]

10 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

I will be expecting 2x 6 days.

nice

[cdsacken]

400m Dom would be great for FFH

 

Aladdin is still killing it. So awesome.

[Menor the Destroyer]

1 hour ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

In terms of Fandango cume, Far From Home is roughly 65% of Captain Marvel. Homecoming final pre-sales were roughly 50% of CM.

 

That's about 30% better than Homecoming, which will mean $200mn exactly for 6 days. Now Far From Home has less Previews than regular which could be factor for lower pre-sales but there is also 2 years of frontloading to consider.

 

6 days weekend will have very high impact of word of mouth as well, going by MCU track, and favourable trailers so far, we can expect that to be good.

 

That said $190-200mn is really probable case.

I think the ratio at least on Fandango will improve as we get closer to release. The last couple of days weren't that far behind CM.

[Sunny Max]

58 minutes ago, Menor said:

I think the ratio at least on Fandango will improve as we get closer to release. The last couple of days weren't that far behind CM.

any presales update of TS4

[Sunny Max]

$400 M domestic would be really good for FFH ... 

[Menor the Destroyer]

36 minutes ago, Sunny Max said:

any presales update of TS4

In 1 hour I'll post the daily breakdown