5-day Weekend #s: DM3 99M, BD 29.97M, WW 24.07M, TF5 24.05M, Cars 3 14.2M, House 11.9M

[PhantomX1313]

'Wondy legs are Miracles gifted by God when he smiles on Hollywood' 

[kswiston]

3 minutes ago, Zakiyyah6 said:

People get mad at me when I say this on Twitter but I think that Wonder Woman could have opened with 10 to 15 million more with slightly better marketing. The marketing was good obviously but it wasn't great.

 

I think that the opening weekend was paying for the sins of BvS in part. I don't know what they could have done differently in the marketing to get around that elephant.

 

Still, it was well above what most trackers had it opening to. And in exchange, we are getting to witness the best superhero legs in over 20 years. 

Edited July 4, 2017 by kswiston

[Zakiyyah6]

That 65mil tracking number was always b.s. The idea that Wonder Woman would only match Ant-Man's opening weekend was absurd. I didn't think that the film was opening under 85mil. Now the updated 95mil tracking the weekend of, I had no problem believing that even though I predicted 130mil. Which I thought was an over prediction because I thought 115mil would happen. Anyway, either way I over predicted it, which is fine.

Edited July 4, 2017 by Zakiyyah6

[MrGlass2]

42 minutes ago, Zakiyyah6 said:

I'm going to sound like a loony...

 

Suicide Squad didn't have any competition and only got a 2.4 multiplier with August weekdays.  Word of Mouth matters

 

Yes, $133M/$325M is such an awful performance. You really picked the right targets for your daily rants.

[UNDERDOG]

I mean, a 2.4 multiplier is good enough, based off of the horrid WOM Suicide Squad got. 

[miketheavenger]

I think Spider-Man is gonna end up between TASM 1 and Raimi's SM3 in terms of its domestic total and will have similar legs as GotG2. So probably a 100m/270m or 110m/290m run, which Marvel and Sony would be very happy with, I'm sure. I will say that if Homecoming has great word-of-mouth, the sequel could easily explode.

[Zakiyyah6]

2 minutes ago, MrGlass2 said:

 

Yes, $133M/$325M is such an awful performance. You really picked the right targets for your daily rants.

Who said it was an awful performance? Where have I ever said that Suicide Squad had an awful performance? Oh I have literally never said anywhere on the internet or off. I have never said that the film under performed. Never. It's legs were lackluster for a non-sequel. Not disastrous but lackluster. That is a fact, especially for a film with no real competition.

[Dementeleus]

4 minutes ago, Zakiyyah6 said:

Who said it was an awful performance? Where have I ever said that Suicide Squad had an awful performance? Oh I have literally never said anywhere on the internet or off. I have never said that the film under performed. Never. It's legs were lackluster for a non-sequel. Not disastrous but lackluster. That is a fact, especially for a film with no real competition.

 

It also had a much bigger OW than most expected. The two elements -- OW and legs -- are related.

 

Overall it was a far bigger success than almost anyone suspected. 

[Zakiyyah6]

5 minutes ago, Telemachos said:

 

It also had a much bigger OW than most expected. The two elements -- OW and legs -- are related.

 

Overall it was a far bigger success than almost anyone suspected. 

I never said it wasn't. It obviously had better word of mouth than BvS and made more money for WB as well. I think SS word of mouth was more mixed among non critics and internet fanboys. I'm still not calling a 2.4 multiplier GREAT for a unique looking non-sequel in a month with no competition and inflated weekdays. Other people can but I'm not.

Edited July 4, 2017 by Zakiyyah6

[MovieMan89]

I want WW to hit 400 so bad. It would be the lowest Friday opening 400 grosser since Avatar, and then Titanic.

Edited July 4, 2017 by MovieMan89

[Barnack]

26 minutes ago, Zakiyyah6 said:

That 65mil tracking number was always b.s. The idea that Wonder Woman would only match Ant-Man's opening weekend was absurd. I didn't think that the film was opening under 85mil. Now the updated 95mil tracking the weekend of, I had no problem believing that even though I predicted 130mil. Which I thought was an over prediction because I thought 115mil would happen. Anyway, either way I over predicted it, which is fine.

 

Was it not the same than Guardian of the galaxy that far from the release ? That tracking number indicated that WW was on is way to open between 95-105m

[a2k]

After the second weekend of SS, most of us here were banking on 285 with matching MOS as a big goal.

After the 3rd weekend, it needed 2x the weekend more to do 303+ (go over AUJ on WB's dom list).

It kept beating expectations. 325+ took everyone by surprise.

 

Aug 5–7	1	$133,682,248	-	4,255	-	$31,418	$133,682,248	1
Aug 12–14	1	$43,536,013	-67.4%	4,255	-	$10,232	$222,640,741	2
Aug 19–21	1	$20,855,401	-52.1%	3,924	-331	$5,315	$262,428,736	3
Aug 26–28	2	$12,248,439	-41.3%	3,582	-342	$3,419	$283,021,066	4
Sep 2–4	2	$9,910,256	-19.1%	3,292	-290	$3,010	$297,327,572	5
Sep 2–5	2	$12,687,021	+3.6%	3,292	-290	$3,854	$300,104,337	5
Sep 9–11	4	$5,723,038	-42.3%	3,103	-189	$1,844	$307,480,891	6
Sep 16–18	7	$4,701,834	-17.8%	2,740	-363	$1,716	$313,774,166	7
Sep 23–25	8	$3,108,351	-33.9%	2,172	-568	$1,431	$318,131,694	8
Sep 30–Oct 2	11	$1,917,283	-38.3%	1,638	-534	$1,171	$320,857,912	9
Oct 7–9	12	$1,123,640	-41.4%	972	-666	$1,156	$322,547,564	10
Oct 14–16	15	$716,073	-36.3%	630	-342	$1,137	$323,676,752	11
Oct 21–23	20	$385,211	-46.2%	383	-247	$1,006	$324,271,174	12
Oct 28–30	24	$282,639	-26.6%	332	-51	$851	$324,673,191	13
Nov 4–6	25	$246,363	-12.8%	245	-87	$1,006	$325,021,779	14

[AHepBurn]

A little late with the Aquaman OW talk, but I really don't see it missing $100mil OW. Unlike the MCU movies which have obvious peaks and valleys depending on RDJ/character, the DCEU movies have been pretty ridiculously steady from a numbers standpoint regardless of the star/character. Until we see otherwise, I'm going to assume that $100mil OW, $300mil DOM, $700mil WW is the absolute floor for that franchise. And those are great numbers since it looks like after the larger budget for BvS to try and kick-start things, WB has kept budgets in a reasonable mid/upper blockbuster level (SS $175mil, WW $150mil, AQM $160mil).

[FantasticBeasts]

Guys no one doubted SS's success but let's not pretend as though a x2.4 multiplier is something for any movie to brag about.

[Zakiyyah6]

1 minute ago, AHepBurn said:

A little late with the Aquaman OW talk, but I really don't see it missing $100mil OW. Unlike the MCU movies which have obvious peaks and valleys depending on RDJ/character, the DCEU movies have been pretty ridiculously steady from a numbers standpoint regardless of the star/character. Until we see otherwise, I'm going to assume that $100mil OW, $300mil DOM, $700mil WW is the absolute floor for that franchise. And those are great numbers since it looks like after the larger budget for BvS to try and kick-start things, WB has kept budgets in a reasonable mid/upper blockbuster level (SS $175mil, WW $150mil, AQM $160mil).

I agree, I'm predicting 100mil opening weekend already. I think Wan is going to do a good job and deliver a solid film.

[FantasticBeasts]

4 minutes ago, AHepBurn said:

A little late with the Aquaman OW talk, but I really don't see it missing $100mil OW. Unlike the MCU movies which have obvious peaks and valleys depending on RDJ/character, the DCEU movies have been pretty ridiculously steady from a numbers standpoint regardless of the star/character. Until we see otherwise, I'm going to assume that $100mil OW, $300mil DOM, $700mil WW is the absolute floor for that franchise. And those are great numbers since it looks like after the larger budget for BvS to try and kick-start things, WB has kept budgets in a reasonable mid/upper blockbuster level (SS $175mil, WW $150mil, AQM $160mil).

The only thing I can tell with confidence is that overseas it will be tough for it.

I bet most of the people do not not the existence of Aquamam with myself included.

So, 700m WW is not happening at all imo.

[YM!]

Given WW's performance I'm surprised no one did a WW over JL domestic club.

[PhantomX1313]

Monday #BoxOffice Estimates: @DespicableMe 3 $14m; 
@BabyDriverMovie $5m; @WonderWomanFilm $4.265 imdb.to/2tnjZwW

https://twitter.com/boxofficemojo/status/882349444657631233

[grim22]

TD	YD	Title (Click to View)	Studio	Daily Gross	% +/- YD / LW		Theaters / Avg		Gross To-Date	Day
1	1	Despicable Me 3	Uni.	$14,000,000	-27%	-	4,529	$3,091	$86,414,390	4
2	2	Baby Driver	Sony	$5,000,000	-32%	-	3,226	$1,550	$35,029,105	6
3	4	Wonder Woman	WB	$4,265,000	-19%	+39%	3,404	$1,253	$350,494,475	32
4	3	Transformers: The Last Knight	Par.	$3,650,000	-36%	-23%	4,132	$883	$105,753,351	13
5	5	Cars 3	BV	$2,450,000	-16%	-16%	3,576	$685	$123,329,378	18
6	6	The House	WB (NL)	$1,675,000	-31%	-	3,134	$534	$10,405,000	4
7	7	47 Meters Down	ENTMP	$1,046,323	-26%	+2%	2,250	$465	$33,474,038	18
8	8	The Mummy (2017)	Uni.	$760,000	-23%	-2%	1,760	$432	$75,418,240	25
9	10	Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales	BV	$650,000	-22%	-8%	1,674	$388	$166,231,133	39
10	9	The Beguiled (2017)	Focus	$625,000	-31%	+2,402%	674	$927	$4,106,983	11
11	12	Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2	BV	$460,000	-13%	+13%	966	$476	$383,843,494	60
12	-	The Big Sick	LGF	$405,067	-19%	+895%	71	$5,705	$2,613,514	11
-	11	All Eyez on Me	LG/S	$375,678	-33%	-43%	1,258	$299	$43,063,141	18
-	-	Captain Underpants: The First Epic Movie	Fox	$290,000	-11%	-50%	1,452	$200	$69,560,793	32
-	-	The Hero	Orch.	$189,822	-33%	+493%	401	$473	$1,718,350	25
-	-	The Boss Baby	Fox	$51,000	-20%	+4%	215	$237	$173,581,805	95
-	-	Alien: Covenant	Fox	$40,000	-33%	-2%	213	$188	$73,696,308	46
-	-	My Cousin Rachel	FoxS	$13,095	-33%	-47%	61	$215	$2,597,916	25
-	-	Love, Kennedy	Purd.	$3,214	+971%	-29%	7	$459	$228,103	32

[YM!]

37 minutes ago, miketheavenger said:

I think Spider-Man is gonna end up between TASM 1 and Raimi's SM3 in terms of its domestic total and will have similar legs as GotG2. So probably a 100m/270m or 110m/290m run, which Marvel and Sony would be very happy with, I'm sure. I will say that if Homecoming has great word-of-mouth, the sequel could easily explode.

I don't like the spot the sequel is in. It opens the same week as Pets 2, one week before Top Gun 2, and two weeks before the likely $200M+/$600M+ domestic hit: The Lion King.