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Mockingjay Raphael

Weekend topic: BOM || Happy Death Day: $26.5M || Blade Runner: $15.1M || The Foreigner: $12.8M || IT: $6M || Annabelle: Creation at $300m WW

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If Venom is good, I think it'll do very well over Halloween. Maybe $150M+.

 

 

On another note, I'm also surprised that Sony hasn't moved Goosebumps 2 in October as well.

Edited by YourMother
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13 minutes ago, grey ghost said:

It does make America look bad, so China and CJohn will probably support it. :apocalypse:

China arrested and imprisoned Jackie Chan's son for 100 grams of pot and even with prison he had to do they entire, I've brought shame to my family and nation spiel.

 

They're hardcore anti-drug and still pissed about the Opium War

 

 

Edited by TalismanRing
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Some demo breakdowns from Deadline http://deadline.com/2017/10/happy-death-day-blade-runner-2049-weekend-box-office-the-foreigner-jackie-chan-1202187771/

 

HDD:

 

55% of the audience was under 25

33% of the audience was women under 25

52% of the audience definitely recommends it

61% of women under 25 definitely recommend it

 

Foreigner:

 

79% of the audience was positive

60/40 gender split favoring men

47% of the audience was men over 25

30% of the audience was women over 25

76% of men was over 25 while 32% was over 50; that's an interesting mix given 24% of men were under 25 yet nearly a third of them was over 50

Race split: 47 Caucasian/17 Asian/17 African American/13 Hispanic

 

Blade Runner's 2nd weekend:

 

80% of the audience was over 25

Close to 50% of the audience was over 35

78% was positive

80% of men over 25 was positive

60% of the audience would definitely recommend it

Edited by WrathOfHan
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7 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Some demo breakdowns from Deadline http://deadline.com/2017/10/happy-death-day-blade-runner-2049-weekend-box-office-the-foreigner-jackie-chan-1202187771/

 

HDD:

 

55% of the audience was under 25

33% of the audience was women under 25

52% of the audience definitely recommends it

61% of women under 25 definitely recommend

Is that good? Doesn’t seem all that great.

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1 minute ago, WrathOfHan said:

I think the demo stats for Foreigner bode well for legs. It's nowhere near as older skewing as AM or AA (23% under 25 vs 9% for AM and 15% for AA) and has very good WOM.

The way HDD is beating BR, i think it's safe to say that teens rule the cinema

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17 hours ago, Jonwo said:

The fact that BR is doing well OS does suggest that it just didn’t click with American audiences. Sony will probably break even on the movie and WB won’t lose very much but Alcon is really going to be hit unless Home entertainment sales are great 

I doubt any studio involved with BR 2049 will make a profit off it currently. The budget is too big for that anyway.

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1 minute ago, Boxofficerules said:

Is that good? Doesn’t seem all that great.

The key word here is "definitely" recommends. PostTrak has positivity percentages and how much of the audience definitely recommends it. Deadline only listed the latter for HDD while they only listed the former for Foreigner.

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The RT audience scores have been really good since Friday:

 

Marshall: 85% (it was at 86 or 87 on Friday and dipped down to 83-84)

Marston: 83% (it was in the low-70s)
Foreigner: 80% (flat with Friday)

HDD: 74% (it was at 70% on Friday)

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This is pretty good considering the markets were basically Hong Kong, Taiwan and a couple of smaller countries in terms of box office like Thailand and Indonesia

 

 

The movie might just end its theatrical run in the black thanks to a 80M budget and the appeal disaster flicks have in Asian markets.

 

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HDD forecast:

 

Remainder of this week: 6.7M (33.2M Total)

Oct 20: 12M (3.3M weekdays, 48.5M Total)

Oct 27: 6M (2M weekdays, 56.5M Total)

Nov 3: 2.4M (700k weekdays, 59.6M Total)

Nov 10: 1.1M (300k weekdays, 61M Total)

Final Total: 64M (2.42x)

 

Foreigner:

 

Remainder of this week: 4.2M (17M Total)

Oct 20: 7.5M (2.6M weekdays, 27.1M Total)

Oct 27: 4.9M (1.7M weekdays, 33.7M Total)

Nov 3: 2.7M (900k weekdays, 37.3M Total)

Nov 10: 1.4M (400k weekdays, 39.1M Total)

Nov 17: 600k (300k weekdays, 40M Total)

Final Total: 43M (3.36x)

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8 minutes ago, grim22 said:

This is pretty good considering the markets were basically Hong Kong, Taiwan and a couple of smaller countries in terms of box office like Thailand and Indonesia

 

 

The movie might just end its theatrical run in the black thanks to a 80M budget and the appeal disaster flicks have in Asian markets.

 

 

It was 80M before extensive reshoots

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6 minutes ago, grim22 said:

It was 60M before the reshoots. 81M with a 22M rebate from Louisiana. Skydance were smarter here than for Star Trek Beyond, didn't spend 180M or similar.

WB is in the clear no matter how Geostorm does 

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