The Panda Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 Sound Mixing and Editing are definitely my least confident cats due to there being only 3 real precursors (including Satellite which is minor) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ezen Baklattan Posted January 12, 2018 Author Share Posted January 12, 2018 Critics choice winners picture: Shape of water direcror: del toro actor: oldman actress: mcdormand supp actor: rockwell supp actress: janney orig screenplay: get our adap Screenplay: cmbyn score: Shape of water Song: remember me Editing: baby driver / dunkirk cinematography: blade runner effects: WftPotA prod design: Shape of water costume design: phantom thread makeup: darkest hour animated film: coco foreign film: in the fade Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 (edited) Lady Bird not winning anything is a huge blow for its BP chances. In their 23 year history, the BFCA has always given the Oscar BP winner at least one award. Between this and the BAFTA underperformance, I'd honestly put SOW at better chances of winning. Edited January 12, 2018 by WrathOfHan Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 The critics be feeling that fish love. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
titanic2187 Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 1)No sign for Nolan recovery, 2)The Oscar odd are scattered across the board 3) William defou is fading likr florida project Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SLAM! Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 I've thought it before and I still think it now that The Shape of Water has the capacity to be a major frontrunner, as it appeals to many people at once: The steak and potatoes people voting for period films, the hipsters looking to reward a 'genre' film, and the voters who want to reward a film with a strong female lead. The Shape of Water may have missed some important precursors, but the film is certainly still in contention for the Best Picture win. And I would likely be correct in saying that the film would very likely fail to be a backlash-receiving candidate unlike Three Billboards. In my opinion, the Critic's Choice win puts the film in a very good position. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ezen Baklattan Posted January 12, 2018 Author Share Posted January 12, 2018 1 hour ago, filmlover said: The critics be feeling that fish love. It’s pretty concerning for Hawkin’s chances that McDormand still won here - I think she’s the clear favorite. Nothing against her (she was legit great in 3 Billboards), but you already know how I feel about Hawkin’s performance, heh. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 38 minutes ago, The Shape of Pasta said: It’s pretty concerning for Hawkin’s chances that McDormand still won here - I think she’s the clear favorite. Nothing against her (she was legit great in 3 Billboards), but you already know how I feel about Hawkin’s performance, heh. I love both performances (and the actresses themselves) so I wouldn't complain about either winning. The fact the expected line-up this year for the Best Actress category is for movies all getting potential Best Pictures noms is something that hasn't happened in a while. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Panda Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 10 hours ago, WrathOfHan said: Lady Bird not winning anything is a huge blow for its BP chances. In their 23 year history, the BFCA has always given the Oscar BP winner at least one award. Between this and the BAFTA underperformance, I'd honestly put SOW at better chances of winning. Currently, I have Lady Bird, Three Billboards and Get Out all within a few points of each other with Lady Bird in third. However I do think if something beats Billboards it’s Get Out, it’s a little more showy compared to Lady Bird. And while the Oscars don’t always go for spectacle, they rarely award movies like Lady Bird. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 4 minutes ago, New Year New Panda said: Currently, I have Lady Bird, Three Billboards and Get Out all within a few points of each other with Lady Bird in third. However I do think if something beats Billboards it’s Get Out, it’s a little more showy compared to Lady Bird. And while the Oscars don’t always go for spectacle, they rarely award movies like Lady Bird. Agreed. I feel Get Out will have more #1 votes than Lady Bird, and I'm assuming a LB win would strictly come down to preferential voting. IDK if it has the passion to get there on its own. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Panda Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 Just now, WrathOfHan said: Agreed. I feel Get Out will have more #1 votes than Lady Bird, and I'm assuming a LB win would strictly come down to preferential voting. IDK if it has the passion to get there on its own. Yeah, Get Out and Lady Bird are both universally liked and benefit by the preferential ballot, so it’d simply come down to which of the two has more passion (and that’s Get Out). Lady Bird isn’t impossible though as of yet, it depends on how the guilds though. Id be inclined to overlook the BAFTA snub for Lady Bird if it won PGA and then either WGA/SAG. If Three Billboards wins BAFTA + PGA I think it wins, if it’s SAG + BAFTA things are a little more open, and if it only wins one thing (or less) I may be more inclined to think something else is winning. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joel M Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 12 hours ago, slambros said: I've thought it before and I still think it now that The Shape of Water has the capacity to be a major frontrunner, as it appeals to many people at once: The steak and potatoes people voting for period films, the hipsters looking to reward a 'genre' film, and the voters who want to reward a film with a strong female lead. The Shape of Water may have missed some important precursors, but the film is certainly still in contention for the Best Picture win. And I would likely be correct in saying that the film would very likely fail to be a backlash-receiving candidate unlike Three Billboards. In my opinion, the Critic's Choice win puts the film in a very good position. disagree on this one. It looked like a crowdpleaser for everyone on paper, but after I saw it I thought it is just as weird as any Del Toro movie. The sex scene alone would be a deal-breaker for a lot of people. Personally I can't still believe that Del Toro will win a BD oscar for this film. I always thought if he ever was gonna complete the Three Amigos sweep it will be with a more oscar friendly or "prestigy" subject. I'm certainly rooting for him, though. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SLAM! Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 52 minutes ago, Joel M said: disagree on this one. It looked like a crowdpleaser for everyone on paper, but after I saw it I thought it is just as weird as any Del Toro movie. The sex scene alone would be a deal-breaker for a lot of people. Personally I can't still believe that Del Toro will win a BD oscar for this film. I always thought if he ever was gonna complete the Three Amigos sweep it will be with a more oscar friendly or "prestigy" subject. I'm certainly rooting for him, though. I think you might be right. I haven't seen the film, so I'm not sure how off-putting it could be to some viewers; I do think people may still look at it with a keen eye, though. I really don't think it's out of the race just yet, because it's a year where basically none of the films feel like they should be a frontrunner. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Webslinger Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 For what it's worth, my Shape of Water audience wasn't noticeably put-off by the central relationship. The film even got a pretty hearty round of applause when the credits began to roll. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Panda Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 I don’t think the crowd attracted by Shape of Water really cares too much about the relationship. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SLAM! Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 1 hour ago, New Year New Panda said: I don’t think the crowd attracted by Shape of Water really cares too much about the relationship. You know, I agree. It's a clearly fantastical, clearly deeper-meaning, and clearly allegorical romance that serves an artistic purpose beyond the central romance. I think many people don't have a problem with it because the film is removed from reality far enough so that it fails to evoke real-world issues. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ezen Baklattan Posted January 13, 2018 Author Share Posted January 13, 2018 On 1/12/2018 at 12:45 AM, filmlover said: I love both performances (and the actresses themselves) so I wouldn't complain about either winning. The fact the expected line-up this year for the Best Actress category is for movies all getting potential Best Pictures noms is something that hasn't happened in a while. Same here - they seem like they’d be front runners if they weren’t competing against each other. I love them both. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BardCrank Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 3B won best acting ensemble at the critics choice awards but was not listed above thought this is worth mentioning Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BardCrank Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 NAACP awards Entertainer of the Year: Ava DuVernay Outstanding Motion Picture Girls Trip Outstanding Writing in a Motion Picture Jordan Peele - Get Out Outstanding Directing in a Motion Picture Jordan Peele - Get Out Outstanding Actor in a Motion Picture Daniel Kaluuya - Get Out Outstanding Actress in a Motion Picture Octavia Spencer - Gifted Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture Idris Elba - THOR: Ragnarok Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Motion Picture Tiffany Haddish - Girls Trip Outstanding Independent Motion Picture Detroit Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 How the hell is Octavia Spencer lead in Gifted? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...