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Golden Globes Discussion Thread

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Final predicts:

 

Picture, Drama

call me by your name

dunkirk

the post

shape of Water

three billboards

 

Picture, Comedy/Musical

big sick

disaster artist

get out

girls trip

lady bird

 

Direcror

del toro

gerwig

guadagnino

peele

nolan

 

Actor, Drama

chalamet

day lewis

gyllenhaal

hanks

oldman

 

Actress, Drama

bening

chastain

hawkins

mcdormand

streep

 

Actor, Comedy

cruise

franco

kaluuya

jackman

nanjiani

 

Actress, Comedy

dench

kazan

robbie

ronan

stone

 

Supp. Actor

dafoe

hammer

plummer

rockwell

stewart

 

Supp. Actress

blige

haddish

hunter

janney

metcalf

 

Screenplay

call me by your name

disaster artist

get out

lady bird

three billboards

 

Score

blade Runner 2049

darkesr Hour

dunkirk

greatest showman

shape of water

 

Song

call me by your name

coco

cries for Syria

fifty shades darker

marshall

 

Animated Film

boss baby

breadwinner

coco

despicable me 3

loving vincent

 

Foreign Film

bpm

fantastic woman

first they killed my father 

foxtrot

the square 

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Spoiler

 

Drama Film:

 

1. The Post

2. The Shape of Water

3. Three Billboards

4. Call Me by Your Name

5. Molly's Game

Alt: Dunkirk

 

Drama Actor:

 

1. Timothee Chalamet, Call Me by Your Name

2. Daniel Day-Lewis, Phantom Thread

3. Tom Hanks, The Post

4. Jake Gyllenhaal, Stronger

5. Gary Oldman, Darkest Hour

Alt: James McAvoy, Split

 

Actress:

 

1. Meryl Streep, The Post

2. Frances McDormand, Three Billboards

3. Sally Hawkins, The Shape of Water

4. Jessica Chastain, Molly's Game

5. Jennifer Lawrence, mother!

Alt: Diane Kruger, In the Fade

 

Comedy Film:

 

1. Lady Bird

2. Get Out

3. The Disaster Artist

4. I, Tonya

5. The Big Sick
Alt: Victoria and Abdul

 

Comedy Actor:

 

1. James Franco, The Disaster Artist

2. Daniel Kaluuya, Get Out

3. Kumail Najiani, The Big Sick

4. Tom Cruise, American Made

5. Hugh Jackman, The Greatest Showman

Alt: Steve Carell, Battle of the Sexes

 

Comedy Actress:

 

1. Saoirse Ronan, Lady Bird

2. Margot Robbie, I, Tonya

3. Judi Dench, Victoria and Abdul

4. Emma Stone, Battle of the Sexes

5. Emma Watson, Beauty and the Beast

Alt: Zoe Kazan, The Big Sick

 

Supporting Actor:

 

1. Sam Rockwell, Three Billboards

2. Willem Dafoe, The Florida Project

3. Armie Hammer, Call Me by Your Name

4. Bob Odenkirk, The Post

5. Idris Elba, Molly's Game

Alt: Michael Stuhlbarg, Three Billboards

 

Supporting Actress:

 

1. Allison Janney, I, Tonya

2. Laurie Metcalf, Lady Bird

3. Holly Hunter, The Big Sick

4. Octavia Spencer, The Shape of Water

5. Lesley Manville, Phantom Thread

Alt: Mary J. Blige, Mudbound

 

Director:

 

1. Guillermo del Toro, The Shape of Water

2. Steven Spielberg, The Post

3. Christopher Nolan, Dunkirk

4. Greta Gerwig, Lady Bird

5. Martin McDonagh, Three Billboards

Alt: Aaron Sorkin, Molly's Game

 

Screenplay:

 

1. The Post

2. Lady Bird

3. Molly's Game

4. Three Billboards

5. Call Me by Your Name

Alt: Get Out

 

Score:

 

1. Dunkirk

2. The Shape of Water

3. Phantom Thread

4. Darkest Hour

5. The Post

Alt: Three Billboards

 

Song:

 

1. Remember Me, Coco

2. The Mystery of Love, Call Me by Your Name

3. The Greatest Show, The Greatest Showman

4. Evermore, Beauty and the Beast

5. I Don't Wanna Live Forever, Fifty Shades Darker

Alt: Un Poco Loco, Coco

 

Animated:

 

1. Coco

2. The Breadwinner

3. Loving Vincent

4. The LEGO Batman Movie

5. Ferdinand

Alt: The Boss Baby

 

 

Fuck, I reaaaaaaaaally want the Oldman snub to happen for a good laugh, but nobody else in Drama is powerful enough for it to happen. I don't even know if Split was screened for the HFPA.

I don't think Haddish will get in here because Universal didn't screen Girls Trip for the HFPA. I was torn between Manville and Blige for the final spot, but I don't have Mudbound getting any other nominations so I went with Manville.

Don't sleep on Molly's Game. The HFPA loves Sorkin, and he could totally get into both screenplay and director. Be afraid.

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I'm gonna give predicting the Globes a go. I'll rank my nominees, each #1 choice having what I think is the highest chance of a nomination.

 

Best Picture, Drama

1. Dunkirk

2. Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

3. Call Me By Your Name

4. The Shape of Water

5. The Post

alts: Phantom Thread and The Florida Project

 

Best Picture, Comedy

1. Lady Bird

2. I, Tonya

3. The Disaster Artist

4. The Big Sick

5. Get Out

alts: The Greatest Showman and Girls Trip

 

Best Actor, Drama

1. Gary Oldman (The Darkest Hour)

2. Timothee Chalamet (Call Me By Your Name)

3. Daniel Day-Lewis (Phantom Thread)

4. Tom Hanks  (The Post)

5. Jake Gyllenhaal (Stronger)

alts: Denzel Washington (Roman Israel, Esq) and Harry Dean Stanton (Lucky)

 

Best Actor, Comedy

1. James Franco (The Disaster Artist)

2. Daniel Kaluuya (Get Out)

3. Kumail Nanjiani (The Big Sick)

4. Hugh Jackman (The Greatest Showman)

5. Steve Carell (Battle of the Sexes)

alts: Chris Hemsworth (Thor: Ragnarok) and Kyle Mooney (Brigsby Bear)

 

Best Actress, Drama

1. Frances McDormand (Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri)

2. Sally Hawkins  (The Shape of Water)

3. Meryl Streep (The Post)

4. Jessica Chastain (Molly's Game)

5. Jennifer Lawrence (mother!)

alts: Michelle Williams (All the Money in the World) and Gal Gadot (Wonder Woman)

 

Best Actress, Comedy

1. Saoirse Ronan (Lady Bird)

2. Margot Robbie (I, Tonya)

3. Judi Dench (Victoria & Abdul)

4. Emma Stone (Battle of the Sexes)

5. Annette Bening (Film Stars Don't Die In Liverpool (lighthearted tone of film can easily lend itself))

alts: Regina Hall (Girls Trip) and Salma Hayek (Beatriz at Dinner (film is advertized as a comedy on Google Play))

 

Best Supporting Actor

1. William Dafoe (The Florida Project)

2. Sam Rockwell (Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri)

3. Armie Hammer (Call Me By Your Name)

4. Christopher Plummer ( All the Money in the World)

5. Bob Odenkirk (The Post)

alts: Patrick Stewart (Logan) and Sebastian Stan (I, Tonya)

 

Best Supporting Actress

1. Laurie Metcalf (Lady Bird)

2. Alison Janney (I, Tonya)

3. Holly Hunter (The Big Sick)

4. Tiffany Hadish (Girls Trip)

5. Octavia Spencer (The Shape of Water)

alts: Melissa Leo (Novitiate) and Lois Smith (Marjorie Prime)

 

Best Director

1. Christopher Nolan (Dunkirk)

2. Guillermo del Toro (The Shape of Water)

3. Luca Guadagnino (Call Me By Your Name)

4. Steven Spielberg  (The Post)

5. Greta Gerwig (Lady Bird)

alts: Jordan Peele (Get Out) and Martin McDonagh (Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri)

 

Best Screenplay

1. Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

2. The Disaster Artist

3. Get Out

4. Call Me By Your Name

5. Phantom Thread

alts: The Shape of Water and Lady Bird

 

Best Score

1. The Shape of Water

2. Dunkirk

3. The Post

4. Phantom Thread

5. Blade Runner 2049

alts: Wonderstruck and Victoria & Abdul

 

Best Original Song

1. "Stand Up For Something" (Marshall)

2. "Mystery of Love" (Sufjan Stevens)

3. "Remember Me" (Coco)

4. "Prayers for this World" (Cries from Syria)

5. "Come Alive" (The Greatest Showmam)

alts: "Evermore" (Beauty and the Beast) and "Almost Human" (Blade Runner 2049)

 

Best Animated Film

1. Coco

2. The Boss Baby

3. The Breadwinner

4. Loving Vincent

5. Captain Underpants: The First Epic Movie

alts: The Lego Batman Movie and Cars 3

 

Best Foreign Language Film

1. Loveless

2. Foxtrot

3. BPM (Beats Per Minute)

4. In The Fade

5. The Insult

alts: The Square and Bingo: The King of the Mornings

Edited by slambros
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Some more HFPA murmurs: https://www.thewrap.com/golden-globes-2018-movie-predictions/

 

Quote

Folks who know the voters think that the adventurous contingent in the HFPA loves “Three Billboards” enough to give it the edge over the safer “Darkest Hour.”

 

Denzel Washington has a shot for “Roman J. Israel, Esq.,” but the HFPA felt disrespected by his speech when they gave him the Cecil B. DeMille Award in 2016. That could tip the scales to Gyllenhaal, if Christian Bale doesn’t sneak in for “Hostiles.”

 

Jordan Peele didn’t make any friends in the HFPA when he appeared to complain about his social thriller “Get Out” being slotted in the comedy category, but it’s hard to imagine that voters will take it out on him and not nominate one of the year’s biggest sensations.

 

Franco, Jackman and Nanjiani for sure, with Carell just behind. Daniel Kaluuya could land the fifth slot for “Get Out” – but wherever the comedy is in that film, it’s not really in his performance. There may not be enough love for “Downsizing” for Matt Damon to slip in here, or for “The Meyerowitz Stories” for Adam Sandler to do it. Ansel Elgort would be a fine choice for “Baby Driver,” but the HFPA is said to have really loved “American Made,” and Tom Cruise would be a perfect off-the-wall Globes comedy nominee.

 

but in an echo of why the HFPA might be miffed at Peele these days, they probably still haven’t forgiven the way Ridley Scott (“All the Money in the World”) mocked them for accepting his film “The Martian” as a comedy.

 

Michelle Pfeiffer also got brought up by Pond :sparta: 

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Just now, WrathOfHan said:

Also, I'd like to think Pfeiffer's nomination for Wizard of Lies is indicating something else, but I'm not getting my hopes up :sparta: 

You are.

 

On the other hand, have they announced who the Cecil B. DeMille this year is? Cause they haven't as far as I can tell, and it's likely they will give it to an actress this year.

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