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Porthos

Tuesday Numbers (Feb 20): BP- 20.9 PR - 1.9 FSF - 1.6

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21 minutes ago, Jandrew said:

$21.5? Can one of you numberologists explain that. How good is that number in relation to everything?

Biggest CBM Tuesday beating TDK's 20.87m. At #3 is TDKR's 17.76m followed by TA's 17.68m.

Edited by a2knet
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4 minutes ago, Porthos said:
    Movie Distributor Gross Change Thtrs. Per Thtr. Total Gross Days
1 (1) Black Panther Walt Disney $21,000,000 -48% 4,020 $5,224   $263,155,680 5
- (3) Fifty Shades Freed Universal $1,605,005 -25% 3,768 $426   $80,235,580 12
- (14) Darkest Hour Focus Features $121,665 -46% 602 $202   $53,516,517 91
- (-) Hostiles Entertainment Studi… $119,506 -28% 767 $156   $28,600,466 61
- (-) Phantom Thread Focus Features $90,395 -48% 355 $255   $17,978,584 58
- (-) Lady Bird A24 $75,609 -51% 407 $186   $46,498,756 110
- (-) Pitch Perfect 3 Universal $13,125 -49% 157 $84   $104,669,615 61
- (-) Insidious: The Last Key Universal $12,825 -42% 169 $76   $67,232,050 47
- (-) The Florida Project A24 $2,502 -64% 23 $109   $5,837,669 138
- (-) The Disaster Artist A24 $1,207 -57% 23 $52   $21,099,001 82

 

 

#crumbling

at this rate the Tuesday 20th gross will go under a million by the end of the month

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8 minutes ago, Rebeccas said:

New England/East Coast schools are off this week so should be great for BP.

 

yeah that should and obviously has helped this week to make it even bigger for BP :) 

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Just now, ecstasy said:

Why are they off?  I asked this earlier.

 

It's midwinter recess for a bunch of places like Boston and NYC.  Just adding these links to show

 

Boston

https://www.boston.com/news/need-to-know/2018/02/18/what-bostonians-need-to-know-this-week-february-vacation

 

NYC 

 

http://schools.nyc.gov/Calendar/default.htm

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Just now, 75Live said:

 

It's midwinter recess for a bunch of places like Boston and NYC.  Just adding these links to show

 

Boston

https://www.boston.com/news/need-to-know/2018/02/18/what-bostonians-need-to-know-this-week-february-vacation

 

NYC 

 

http://schools.nyc.gov/Calendar/default.htm

 

LMAO midwinter break?  Spring break is right around the corner. I'm so jealous. Where were all these off days when I was a kid?

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Just now, ecstasy said:

 

LMAO midwinter break?  Spring break is right around the corner. I'm so jealous. Where were all these off days when I was a kid?

 

I hear you :P

 

We didn't even get spring break really for high school.  But it was good since we got out in May or early June when everyone else was out at least 2 weeks later than us :P 

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2 minutes ago, ecstasy said:

Why are they off?  I asked this earlier.

Winter Recess. In NY, we’d get Winter Recess in mid February and Spring Break with the rest of the country in mid March. Also, the school year for most public schools extends to mid/late June. So some schools were in for a movie like Jurassic World. 

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Just now, Deja23 said:

Winter Recess. In NY, we’d get Winter Recess in mid February and Spring Break with the rest of the country in mid March. Also, the school year for most public schools extends to mid/late June. So some schools were in for a movie like Jurassic World. 

Ah ok that makes sense. My kid gets out of school in early May and goes back in August.

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Fifty Shades Freed had a slightly worse Tue hold than Fifty Shades Darker:

 

Tue   $1,864,805
-22.5% / -83.1%
$93,245,230 / 12
$1,605,005
-24.7% / -59.3%
$80,235,580 / 12

 

But it might be in varience range, though it's not great for FSF's 100m prospects given how close of a call it is.

 

Darker made 21.336m more after its second Tuesday.  That would give Freed 101.572m.  Close enough that it's looking uncertain, but also close enough that the fudge factory might spring back to life.

 

Be interesting to see if it can limp over the line or not.  Might need an expansion super late in its run.

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I think people are underestimating what BP is going to do this weekend and in total.  If we look at most MCU movies released outside of summer (June thru Aug), the increase for the 2nd Friday coming from Thursday is generally greater than 130%.  If we apply this to BP it looks as such:

 

Tues: 21M

Wed: 15.5M (-26%)

Thurs:  14.2M (-9%)

Friday: 32.66M (+130%)

Saturday: 48.99M (+50%)

Sunday: 34.3M (-30%)

2nd Weekend: 116M

 

And this is actually being generous with drops.  If I was more aggressive, we could be looking at a 120-130M weekend 

Edited by MJL
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4 minutes ago, MJL said:

I think people are underestimating what BP is going to do this weekend and in total.  If we look at most MCU movies released outside of summer (June thru Aug), the increase for the 2nd Friday coming from Thursday is generally greater than 130%.  If we apply this to BP it looks as such:

Tues: 21M

Wed: 15.5M (-26%)

Thurs:  14.2M (-9%)

Friday: 32.66M (+130%)

Saturday: 48.99M (+50%)

Sunday: 34.3M (-30%)

2nd Weekend: 116M

 

And this is actually being generous with drops.  If I was more aggressive, we could be looking at a 120-130M weekend 

I feel like the inflated holiday weekend makes a 50% or bigger drop inevitable. Plus there hasn't been an MCU movie with a below 50% drop since, like, phase 1. But hey what do I know with how this movie's performing.

Edited by Mekanos
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7 minutes ago, MJL said:

I think people are underestimating what BP is going to do this weekend and in total.  If we look at most MCU movies released outside of summer (June thru Aug), the increase for the 2nd Friday coming from Thursday is generally greater than 130%.  If we apply this to BP it looks as such:

 

Tues: 21M

Wed: 15.5M (-26%)

Thurs:  14.2M (-9%)

Friday: 32.66M (+130%)

Saturday: 48.99M (+50%)

Sunday: 34.3M (-30%)

2nd Weekend: 116M

 

And this is actually being generous with drops.  If I was more aggressive, we could be looking at a 120-130M weekend 

That’s what I’ve been telling them!! 

 

 

Anyways, BP did well yesterday overseas.

The overseas Tuesday was $14.6M to represent 11% of the opening weekend. It’s performing well ahead of Doctor Strange and slightly topping last year’s Guardians Of The Galaxy Vol 2 and Thor: Ragnarok, neither of which were clear comps ahead of the opening weekend that smashed expectations.

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2 minutes ago, Mekanos said:

I feel like the inflated holiday weekend makes a 50% or bigger drop inevitable. Plus there hasn't been an MCU movie with a below 50% drop since, like, phase 1. But hey what do I know with how this movie's performing.

Even with the inflated weekend it should still follow this pattern.  If we compare BP’s Tuesday to other MCU Monday’s box office after drops it looks like this:

 

BP - 21M Tuesday 

 

Avengers - 18.9M Monday (Tuesday dropped lower than this even)

 

AoU: 13.2M Monday (dropped more on Tuesday again)

 

Civil War - 13.3M Monday (13.7 Tuesday)

 

So BP is in much better shape going towards the weekend than these to start.  The weekends for these all burned off massive demand and you could make a point that since BP had in essence a 4 day weekend versus a traditional 3 day weekend for the others....BP should actually be below the others in daily gross (4 days to burn off demand instead of 3).  It’s not though...which means it’s holding much better.  Better weekday holds = better weekend holds in most cases.

 

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