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Weekend Thread: Weekend estimates pg 38...BP 41.14....WIT 33.31

By Alli, in Numbers and Data

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filmlover Cinematic Universe

filmlover

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Posted
2 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

http://deadline.com/2018/03/love-simon-greg-berlanti-sneak-preview-box-office-1202334234/

 

Love, Simon made 800k last night from 927 theaters. That's incredibly encouraging for next week

I'm predicting $18M for it and $20M for Tomb Raider next week but wouldn't be surprised if they flip-flopped. 

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fabiopazzo2 Summer Tentpole

fabiopazzo2

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Posted
1 1 Black Panther BV $41,136,000 -38.0% 3,942 -142 $10,435 $562,015,601 - 4
2 N A Wrinkle in Time BV $33,316,000 - 3,980 - $8,371 $33,316,000 - 1
3 N Strangers: Prey at Night Aviron $10,480,000 - 2,464 - $4,253 $10,480,000 - 1
4 2 Red Sparrow Fox $8,150,000 -51.6% 3,064 +8 $2,660 $31,118,743 $69 2
5 4 Game Night WB (NL) $7,905,000 -24.1% 3,061 -441 $2,582 $45,045,632 $37 3
6 5 Peter Rabbit Sony $6,800,000 -32.0% 3,112 -495 $2,185 $93,457,806 $50 5
7 3 Death Wish (2018) MGM $6,600,000 -49.3% 2,882 +35 $2,290 $23,875,301 $30 2
8 N The Hurricane Heist ENTMP $3,150,000 - 2,402 - $1,311 $3,150,000 $35 1
9 6 Annihilation Par. $3,150,000 -43.8% 1,709 -403 $1,843 $26,094,514 $40 3
10 7 Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle Sony $2,755,000 -37.9% 2,157 -156 $1,277 $397,263,020 $90 12
11 N Gringo STX $2,630,000 - 2,404 - $1,094 $2,630,000 - 1
12 11 The Shape of Water FoxS $2,407,000 +62.8% 1,552 +720 $1,551 $61,000,138 - 15
13 9 The Greatest Showman Fox $1,775,000 -34.3% 952 -455 $1,864 $167,475,401 $84 12
14 8 Fifty Shades Freed Uni. $1,350,000 -60.3% 1,357 -1,257 $995 $98,363,595 $55 5
15 N Thoroughbreds Focus $1,223,000 - 549 - $2,228 $1,223,000 - 1
16 13 Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri FoxS $705,000 -45.2% 552 -218 $1,277 $53,349,562 - 18
17 14 The Post Fox $315,000 -70.4% 278 -393 $1,133 $81,146,256 $50 12
18 15 Call Me by Your Name SPC $304,228 -61.2% 309 -605 $985 $17,468,973 - 16
19 35 A Fantastic Woman SPC $287,277 +129.8% 166 +77 $1,731 $1,172,952 - 6
20 17 Darkest Hour Focus $280,000 -59.8% 245 -668 $1,143 $56,101,750 - 16
21 19 I, Tonya Neon $263,471 -52.3% 243 -268 $1,084 $29,509,808 - 14
22 25 Coco BV $250,000 -22.2% 194 -41 $1,289 $208,831,333 - 16
23 27 Star Wars: The Last Jedi BV $246,000 -2.6% 246 +25 $1,000 $619,463,731 - 13
24 16 Phantom Thread Focus $245,000 -67.4% 184 -531 $1,332 $20,721,535 - 11
25 18 Lady Bird A24 $200,035 -64.8% 156 -554 $1,282 $48,727,873 - 19
26 N The Death of Stalin IFC $181,308 - 4 - $45,327 $181,308 - 1
27 22 Maze Runner: The Death Cure Fox $173,000 -63.3% 214 -329 $808 $57,440,200 $62 7
28 20 Winchester LGF $170,000 -67.1% 261 -315 $651 $24,874,023 - 6
29 N The Leisure Seeker SPC $119,573 - 28 - $4,270 $119,573 - 1
30 21 Early Man LGF $100,000 -79.4% 186 -711 $538 $8,025,359 - 4
31 28 Den of Thieves STX $70,000 -68.7% 104 -165 $673 $44,859,259 - 8
32 38 Wonder LGF $68,000 -26.9% 138 -12 $493 $132,234,669 - 17
33 26 Samson PFR $57,000 -81.5% 93 -341 $613 $4,612,929 - 4
34 32 Hostiles ENTMP $55,000 -65.4% 90 -161 $611 $29,608,024 - 12
35 43 Loveless (2018) SPC $54,132 -11.9% 37 +12 $1,463 $303,406 - 4
37 37 La Boda de Valentina PNT $41,000 -60.2% 45 -50 $911 $2,758,043 - 5
36 36 Thor: Ragnarok BV $41,000 -65.4% 70 -40 $586 $315,034,103 $180 19
38 40 The Commuter LGF $41,000 -45.8% 71 -41 $577 $36,317,734 - 9
39 50 Foxtrot SPC $29,757 -5.9% 6 +2 $4,960 $112,569 - 2
40 51 Film Stars Don't Die in Liverpool SPC $21,976 -26.6% 41 -12 $536 $811,321 - 11
41 44 The Insult Cohen $19,762 -62.5% 16 -35 $1,235 $904,496 - 9
42 N Claire's Camera CGld $11,843 - 1 - $11,843 $11,843 - 1
43 54 Faces Places Cohen $10,267 -47.9% 12 -11 $856 $921,919 - 23
44 N Itzhak Greenwich $7,221 - 2 - $3,611 $7,221 - 1
45 77 Double Lover Cohen $3,327 -6.2% 3 - $1,109 $160,759 - 4
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filmlover Cinematic Universe

filmlover

Posted
Posted

Black Panther is kicking ass still. $700M+ here we come!

 

To the surprise of pretty much no one, A Wrinkle in Time saw an opening in the same range as the other pricey live-action Disney flops this decade (Prince of Persia, John Carter, The Lone Ranger, Tomorrowland). Luckily it didn't cost anywhere nearly as much so it won't leave them swimming in red ink, though it's unlikely to actually turn a profit either.

 

Strangers did better than I thought it would, but The Hurricane Heist and Gringo were completely rejected unsurprisingly.

 

Red Sparrow's hold was okay-ish. Game Night and Peter Rabbit have been holding great. Jumanji is closing in on $400M.

 

Thoroughbreds did as well as it was going to, I guess.

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Walt Disney Summer Tentpole

Walt Disney

Posted
Posted
8 minutes ago, fabiopazzo2 said:
1 1 Black Panther BV $41,136,000 -38.0% 3,942 -142 $10,435 $562,015,601 - 4
2 N A Wrinkle in Time BV $33,316,000 - 3,980 - $8,371 $33,316,000 - 1
3 N Strangers: Prey at Night Aviron $10,480,000 - 2,464 - $4,253 $10,480,000 - 1
4 2 Red Sparrow Fox $8,150,000 -51.6% 3,064 +8 $2,660 $31,118,743 $69 2
5 4 Game Night WB (NL) $7,905,000 -24.1% 3,061 -441 $2,582 $45,045,632 $37 3
6 5 Peter Rabbit Sony $6,800,000 -32.0% 3,112 -495 $2,185 $93,457,806 $50 5
7 3 Death Wish (2018) MGM $6,600,000 -49.3% 2,882 +35 $2,290 $23,875,301 $30 2
8 N The Hurricane Heist ENTMP $3,150,000 - 2,402 - $1,311 $3,150,000 $35 1
9 6 Annihilation Par. $3,150,000 -43.8% 1,709 -403 $1,843 $26,094,514 $40 3
10 7 Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle Sony $2,755,000 -37.9% 2,157 -156 $1,277 $397,263,020 $90 12
11 N Gringo STX $2,630,000 - 2,404 - $1,094 $2,630,000 - 1
12 11 The Shape of Water FoxS $2,407,000 +62.8% 1,552 +720 $1,551 $61,000,138 - 15
13 9 The Greatest Showman Fox $1,775,000 -34.3% 952 -455 $1,864 $167,475,401 $84 12
14 8 Fifty Shades Freed Uni. $1,350,000 -60.3% 1,357 -1,257 $995 $98,363,595 $55 5
15 N Thoroughbreds Focus $1,223,000 - 549 - $2,228 $1,223,000 - 1
16 13 Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri FoxS $705,000 -45.2% 552 -218 $1,277 $53,349,562 - 18
17 14 The Post Fox $315,000 -70.4% 278 -393 $1,133 $81,146,256 $50 12
18 15 Call Me by Your Name SPC $304,228 -61.2% 309 -605 $985 $17,468,973 - 16
19 35 A Fantastic Woman SPC $287,277 +129.8% 166 +77 $1,731 $1,172,952 - 6
20 17 Darkest Hour Focus $280,000 -59.8% 245 -668 $1,143 $56,101,750 - 16
21 19 I, Tonya Neon $263,471 -52.3% 243 -268 $1,084 $29,509,808 - 14
22 25 Coco BV $250,000 -22.2% 194 -41 $1,289 $208,831,333 - 16
23 27 Star Wars: The Last Jedi BV $246,000 -2.6% 246 +25 $1,000 $619,463,731 - 13
24 16 Phantom Thread Focus $245,000 -67.4% 184 -531 $1,332 $20,721,535 - 11
25 18 Lady Bird A24 $200,035 -64.8% 156 -554 $1,282 $48,727,873 - 19
26 N The Death of Stalin IFC $181,308 - 4 - $45,327 $181,308 - 1
27 22 Maze Runner: The Death Cure Fox $173,000 -63.3% 214 -329 $808 $57,440,200 $62 7
28 20 Winchester LGF $170,000 -67.1% 261 -315 $651 $24,874,023 - 6
29 N The Leisure Seeker SPC $119,573 - 28 - $4,270 $119,573 - 1
30 21 Early Man LGF $100,000 -79.4% 186 -711 $538 $8,025,359 - 4
31 28 Den of Thieves STX $70,000 -68.7% 104 -165 $673 $44,859,259 - 8
32 38 Wonder LGF $68,000 -26.9% 138 -12 $493 $132,234,669 - 17
33 26 Samson PFR $57,000 -81.5% 93 -341 $613 $4,612,929 - 4
34 32 Hostiles ENTMP $55,000 -65.4% 90 -161 $611 $29,608,024 - 12
35 43 Loveless (2018) SPC $54,132 -11.9% 37 +12 $1,463 $303,406 - 4
37 37 La Boda de Valentina PNT $41,000 -60.2% 45 -50 $911 $2,758,043 - 5
36 36 Thor: Ragnarok BV $41,000 -65.4% 70 -40 $586 $315,034,103 $180 19
38 40 The Commuter LGF $41,000 -45.8% 71 -41 $577 $36,317,734 - 9
39 50 Foxtrot SPC $29,757 -5.9% 6 +2 $4,960 $112,569 - 2
40 51 Film Stars Don't Die in Liverpool SPC $21,976 -26.6% 41 -12 $536 $811,321 - 11
41 44 The Insult Cohen $19,762 -62.5% 16 -35 $1,235 $904,496 - 9
42 N Claire's Camera CGld $11,843 - 1 - $11,843 $11,843 - 1
43 54 Faces Places Cohen $10,267 -47.9% 12 -11 $856 $921,919 - 23
44 N Itzhak Greenwich $7,221 - 2 - $3,611 $7,221 - 1
45 77 Double Lover Cohen $3,327 -6.2% 3 - $1,109 $160,759 - 4

Thor: Ragnarok is still in theaters. Gotta love Disney. They are dedicated to box office.

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WrathOfHan Cinematic Universe

WrathOfHan

Posted
Posted

Predictions for next week:

 

Black Panther: 26.7M

Tomb Raider: 22M

Love, Simon: 16M

A Wrinkle in Time: 15.5M

Game Night: 5.5M

Peter Rabbit: 5.2M

Red Sparrow: 4.8M

Strangers: 3.7M

Death Wish: 3.3M

I Can Only Imagine: 2.5M

 

I won't be surprised if WIT drops 55%+. WOM is fucking awful for a family movie, and it has little appeal for anyone over the age of 10.

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MuffinMan Indie Sensation

MuffinMan

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According to comScore/Screen Engine, Wrinkle in Time's audience was 17 percent African-American, compared to 37 percent for Black Panther on opening weekend. Caucasians made up the largest share of Wrinkle's audience (56 percent), followed by Hispanics (20 percent). Asians made up 5 percent and Native American/other, 3 percent.

https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/heat-vision/weekend-box-office-wrinkle-time-stumbles-33m-black-panther-no-1-41m-1093635?utm_source=twitter

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