Weekend Actuals (Page 92): Ant-Man and the Wasp 75.8M (#CRUMBLING EVEN MORE) | Jurassic World 28.6M | Incredibles 2 28.4M | The First Purge 17.4M

[baumer]

3 hours ago, RealLyre said:

Deadline had JW2 weekend at $31.3M 

 

That's from yesterday.  These are updated numbers.

[That One Girl]

Skyscraper isn't going sub-30M.  Not a chance.

[WrathOfHan]

Just now, That One Guy said:

Skyscraper isn't going sub-30M.  Not a chance.

 

[baumer]

I'm stubborn.  I still have faith in a 45-50 mill opening for Skyscraper.

[TalismanRing]

Looking at 2007 and 2012 internal multis are very muted over this w/e.  Transformers over the FSS did 3.112 and ASM did 3.07 on the tail end of their 5-6 day openings.   Ted did 3.02, Brave did 3.11, Avengers did 3.117 etc...

[CJohn]

Early predictions for next weekend that will certainly change as the week goes by if I come back here at all before Friday:

Hotel Transylvania 3 - 32M

Skyscraper - 25M

[filmlover]

3 minutes ago, baumer said:

I'm stubborn.  I still have faith in a 45-50 mill opening for Skyscraper.

I really don't feel it. Buzz has been very muted and it's opening in between a lot of more exciting options. Kinda reminds me of White House Down tbh. An opening similar to Rampage is probably the best case scenario.

[La Binoche]

The success of these docs shows there's an audience out there who wants to see stuff that's not about stupid ants, wasps, spiders, roaches, whatever. Too bad studios are not interested in servicing that audience. 

[baumer]

3 hours ago, filmlover said:

I really don't feel it. Buzz has been very muted and it's opening in between a lot of more exciting options. Kinda reminds me of White House Down tbh. An opening similar to Rampage is probably the best case scenario.

 

Well, who knows.  I think it looks too good to be a Rampage type opening.  

[WrathOfHan]

1 minute ago, CJohn said:

Early predictions for next weekend that will certainly change as the week goes by if I come back here at all before Friday:

Hotel Transylvania 3 - 32M

Skyscraper - 25M

With you 100% on this. I can buy high-30s for HT3, but 32M would be a massive disappointment when tracking is 40-45M

[That One Girl]

HT3 - $33.5M

Skyscraper - $36.1M

[sfran43]

 

[Eric Quinn]

HT3: $41M

Skyscraper: $30M

 

[WrathOfHan]

Leave No Trace had a 11.5k PTA. Disobedience had 9.9k in 6 fewer theaters during its second weekend, so this can probably hit 4-5M.

[That One Girl]

.

Edited April 17, 2022 by That One Guy

[WrathOfHan]

Just now, That One Guy said:

 

It's going sub-100M or just barely over.  After seeing it, I doubt families are gonna eat this up.  It's standard kids fare that's entertaining for an hour and a half but you forget after leaving the theater.  This would normally be just fine, but Incredibles 2 is still out, Teen Titans Go is in 2 weeks, and Christopher Robin is the week after that.  No one will care enough.

Oh yeah, legs are going to be horrible. It'll probably drop 40-45% in its second weekend, but Teen Titans and Christopher Robin will cause two 50%+ drops in a row.

[sfran43]

 

[sfran43]

 

[WrathOfHan]

Sorry to Bother You is the real wildcard next weekend. There's enough room in the market for it to hit 2k theaters, but there will be no rural appeal whatsoever. Given that it still has major markets to expand to next week, I'll go with 7-8M.

[CJohn]

5 minutes ago, That One Guy said:

 

It's going sub-100M or just barely over.  After seeing it, I doubt families are gonna eat this up.  It's standard kids fare that's entertaining for an hour and a half but you forget after leaving the theater.  This would normally be just fine, but Incredibles 2 is still out, Teen Titans Go is in 2 weeks, and Christopher Robin is the week after that.  No one will care enough.

 

4 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Oh yeah, legs are going to be horrible. It'll probably drop 40-45% in its second weekend, but Teen Titans and Christopher Robin will cause two 50%+ drops in a row.

You guys are acting like if Teen Titans is gonna open well at all. It will be lucky to pull a 15M OW IMO.