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Alli

Wednesday numbers

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34% drop for Meg. Last Wed fell 43% due to CRA's od. Wed-Wed drop's 43% (1.93/3.4) and hope it can maintain a similar drop over the weekend.

 

Looking at daily holds I think Thu hwill be worse than last week's -6%, Fri will be better than lest week's +81% as summer comes to close, Sat should be similar to +55% and Sun will be worse than -29%.

 

45% weekend drop gives 11.6+ weekend.

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38 minutes ago, Alli said:

It's holding better during the week. anyone know why?

Because it doesn't want us to be subject to your constant comments about how it's falling behind RN and is now disappointing in it's box office run.

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Crazy Rich Asians forecast:

 

Remainder of this week: 3.7M (51.9M Total)

Aug 24: 25.6M (14.7M weekdays, 92.2M Total)

Aug 31: 30.4M (14.6M weekdays, 137.2M Total)

Sep 7: 15.6M (6.4M weekdays, 159.2M Total)

Sep 14: 9.5M (4.3M weekdays, 173M Total)

Sep 21: 7.7M (3.3M weekdays, 184M Total)

Sep 28: 4.9M (2.4M weekdays, 191.3M Total)

Oct 5: 3.4M (1.4M weekdays, 196.1M Total)

Oct 12: 2M (700k weekdays, 198.8M Total)

Oct 19: 900k (400k weekdays, 200.1M Total)

Final Total: 203M (7.66x from 3 day/5.75x from 5 day)

 

It remains to be seen how the weekend/weekday splits are, but this is pretty much the area I expect to see it land. A Simple Favor and Night School are the two that will cause the biggest impacts, but even then, those impacts will only be drops in the 30s. A Star Is Born double features should keep it afloat before the big TC losses start coming.

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6 minutes ago, AndyK said:

^ I'm a bit confused as to why you think it wont drop this weekend.

Well, I have it dropping 3% ;) These weekdays are waaaaaaaay too strong. The Friday or Saturday increase would have to be pretty disappointing for it to drop over 10% IMO. 

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