sfran43 Posted October 28, 2018 Author Share Posted October 28, 2018 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VENOM Posted October 28, 2018 Share Posted October 28, 2018 1 minute ago, Zakiyyah6 said: So Venom should hit 700mil. Most likely, that is the deal! Agree and you just might survive 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zakiyyah6 Posted October 28, 2018 Share Posted October 28, 2018 Bohemian Rhapsody UK opening is huge. I'm not going under 40mil when I predict it this Wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sfran43 Posted October 28, 2018 Author Share Posted October 28, 2018 2 minutes ago, Zakiyyah6 said: So Venom should hit 700mil. I like your odds better than gitesh'... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VENOM Posted October 28, 2018 Share Posted October 28, 2018 1 minute ago, sfran43 said: I like your odds better than gitesh'... The elevator guy? Ofcourse Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PanaMovie Posted October 28, 2018 Share Posted October 28, 2018 Can AISB go over 200M DOM? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaxAggressor Posted October 28, 2018 Share Posted October 28, 2018 (edited) This is probably the first weekend where I'm really impressed with ASIB's numbers. The massive pre-sales skewed my expectations and it retroactively made it's OW kinda dull and both the subsequent weekends were projected at a drop close to 35% so even those great holds didn't register to me but the hold this weekend is genuinely great. Gravity's multiplier after 21 days - 3.21x ASIB's multiplier after 21 days - 3.14x Gravity's multiplier after 24 days - 3.57x ASIB's multiplier after 24 days - 3.47x ASIB needs drop less than 9.8% against Gravity's final multiplier (4.91x) to land at 190m. That would mean 4.43x so seems doable atm. ASIB might even manage to hold better in the long run due to it's female skewing nature but 200m still looks a bit too far. It'll probably need an award season re-expansion for that. Edited October 28, 2018 by MaxAggressor 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zakiyyah6 Posted October 28, 2018 Share Posted October 28, 2018 1 minute ago, PanaMovie said: Can AISB go over 200M DOM? If it holds up under Bohemian Rhapsody I think it could get close. My instinct is to say no. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
La Binoche Posted October 28, 2018 Share Posted October 28, 2018 1 minute ago, PanaMovie said: Can AISB go over 200M DOM? No. WB got everything right with ASIB except for its release date, making it compete with the 2 biggest October openings of all time in its first three weekends and then having it face BR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LegendaryBen Posted October 28, 2018 Share Posted October 28, 2018 Just now, La Binoche said: No. WB got everything right with ASIB except for its release date, making it compete with the 2 biggest October openings of all time in its first three weekends and then having it face BR. Why are you always picking on ASIB? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zakiyyah6 Posted October 28, 2018 Share Posted October 28, 2018 (edited) 2 minutes ago, La Binoche said: No. WB got everything right with ASIB except for its release date, making it compete with the 2 biggest October openings of all time in its first three weekends and then having it face BR. Yes, it's too bad that the film flopped. It seems like you desperately wanted the film to flop so now you are trying to convince yourself that it has even though the exact opposite outcome happened. Edited October 28, 2018 by Zakiyyah6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LegendaryBen Posted October 28, 2018 Share Posted October 28, 2018 3 minutes ago, MaxAggressor said: This is probably the first weekend where I'm really impressed with ASIB's numbers. The massive pre-sales skewed my expectations and it retroactively made it's OW kinda dull and both the subsequent weekends were projected at a drop close to 35% so even those great holds didn't register to me but the hold this weekend is genuinely great. Gravity's multiplier after 21 days - 3.21x ASIB's multiplier after 21 days - 3.14x Gravity's multiplier after 24 days - 3.57x ASIB's multiplier after 24 days - 3.47x ASIB needs drop less than 9.8% against Gravity's final multiplier (4.91x) to land at 190m. That would mean 4.43x so seems doable atm. ASIB might even manage to hold better in the long run due to it's female skewing nature but 200m still looks a bit too far. It'll probably need an award season re-expansion for that. November and December are much weaker than the previous 2 years. It can still happen, but I do agree that WB needs to make sure it releases on Blu-Ray/DVD in February for that to happen. Also, a re-expansion is definitely required. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
La Binoche Posted October 28, 2018 Share Posted October 28, 2018 What can we expect for Halloween on Oct 31? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sfran43 Posted October 28, 2018 Author Share Posted October 28, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tau Ceti Posted October 28, 2018 Share Posted October 28, 2018 As for bomb of the fall, doesn't Hunter Killer now take that title? This is atrociously bad if they spent $40 million on it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sfran43 Posted October 28, 2018 Author Share Posted October 28, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LegendaryBen Posted October 28, 2018 Share Posted October 28, 2018 6 minutes ago, PanaMovie said: Can AISB go over 200M DOM? We thought that Gone Girl would get killed by Interstellar (assuming BR will open that high, which isn't impossible), but ASIB will get a 35% drop that weekend. After BR, November is looking much weaker than last year and with December lacking a Star Wars/Jumanji/TGS combo, it's not impossible as long as the Oscar buzz doesn't die out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
La Binoche Posted October 28, 2018 Share Posted October 28, 2018 (edited) 4 minutes ago, Zakiyyah6 said: Yes, it's too bad that the film flopped. It did great but could have done even better during a quieter period. Edited October 28, 2018 by La Binoche Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VENOM Posted October 28, 2018 Share Posted October 28, 2018 6 minutes ago, MaxAggressor said: This is probably the first weekend where I'm really impressed with ASIB's numbers. The massive pre-sales skewed my expectations and it retroactively made it's OW kinda dull and both the subsequent weekends were projected at a drop close to 35% so even those great holds didn't register to me but the hold this weekend is genuinely great. Gravity's multiplier after 21 days - 3.21x ASIB's multiplier after 21 days - 3.14x Gravity's multiplier after 24 days - 3.57x ASIB's multiplier after 24 days - 3.47x ASIB needs drop less than 9.8% against Gravity's final multiplier (4.91x) to land at 190m. That would mean 4.43x so seems doable atm. ASIB might even manage to hold better in the long run due to it's female skewing nature but 200m still looks a bit too far. It'll probably need an award season re-expansion for that. Its good, we kept the October record and a star is born was also a success so everyone should be happy! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Johnny Tran Posted October 28, 2018 Share Posted October 28, 2018 Another strong hold for Venom. It is a massive success. 3 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...