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The Good Dinosaur | Peter Sohn | BR/DVD release 2-23-2016 | Pixar's first BO flop

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You are wrong. TWO isn't flooding. PLANES ll isn't gonna make 200 M let alone 150 M. Or maybe not even 100 M. TGD and HTTYD will be the best options for families.

 

It doesn't matter how many there are, its business depends on other factors too. Just because there is 2 "big" animated movies opening next summer doesn't mean they'll hit $300M. $300M for an animated movie is extremely tough. DM2 was an outlier, Epic, Turbo, and Croods were norms. People are saying Dragon will hit $300M, but why? Because DM2 did it. Just because DM2 did it doesn't mean it'll become a common thing. People did the same thing with Skyfall. Now that Skyfall hit $1b, every 2D movie can now. No. AMWTDITW is the only western next summer, so does that mean its guaranteed success? Dracula is the only major horror, so does that mean success? No.

 

And keep in mind, people look at it for a calendar year. Most people don't realize the summer movie season ends after Labor Day or begins in May, especially when you're still focused on school, exams, and work. Money is tight now a days. Next year before summer you have LEGO, The Nut Job, MP&S, and Rio 2 in just animation.

 

Then in other family you have Muppets Most Wanted, Cap Am 2, Heaven is for Real, and Divergent. So people already have a lot of options before summer. TGD and Dragon will be big, but just because they're the only 2 in the summer doesn't mean they have a free pass. Families that shelled out for Rio 2 and/or Cap 2 may not want to shell out again for TGD, especially if TASM2 is in the mix. TGD is practically guaranteed about $200M thanks to Pixar's fanbase and many families, but getting that extra $100M is a tough task. Many families also choose to opt out and wait until Redbox or so. $1 is easier than $30+. Stop looking at it in a calendar month perspective and more in a broad perspective.

 

Also, just because its not G or PG or animated doesnt mean it wont pull families. Like it or not, TMNT will be a factor, TF4, TASM2, Maleficient, FF7, etc. Dragon and TGD are the only "big" animated movies coming next summer, not big "family" movies.

Edited by jandrew
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Whats  AMWTDITW?????

 

It doesn't matter how many there are, its business depends on other factors too. Just because there is 2 "big" animated movies opening next summer doesn't mean they'll hit $300M. $300M for an animated movie is extremely tough. DM2 was an outlier, Epic, Turbo, and Croods were norms. People are saying Dragon will hit $300M, but why? Because DM2 did it. Just because DM2 did it doesn't mean it'll become a common thing. People did the same thing with Skyfall. Now that Skyfall hit $1b, every 2D movie can now. No. AMWTDITW is the only western next summer, so does that mean its guaranteed success? Dracula is the only major horror, so does that mean success? No.

 

 

 

 

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bad news for Good Dinosaur. Dragon 2 now only opens two weeks after

 

I am more worried about the effect of GODZILLA on both DRAGON2 & GOOD DINO.

How many Gigantic Monsters that GA can handle in a month?

Universal/JP4 is smart to move out of the bloodbath.

 

PACRIM has both Gigantic Monsters & Gigantic Robots, and

it is a pretty well mounted production, and the audience stayed away.

GODZILLA has only Gigantic Monsters. Audience may come but 

not in droves. Later, they see the ads for GOOD DINO, and they will go:

"Another giant lizard movie? I will wait for the BluRay" And a few weeks

later, they see the standee for DRAGON2, and they will go: "Pixar

just changes the poster? Meh...."

 

Why does Hollywood do this, again & again??

Edited by zackzack
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I don't think HTTYD2's move will impact TGD too much. If MU and DM2 can coexist within two weeks of one another without being too much of an impact on one another, then shouldn't these two do the same?

 

MU got robbed by the Minions, dude...

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