Mulder Posted April 17, 2019 Share Posted April 17, 2019 (edited) Tomorrow should have some great increases because of Friday being a day off for a lot of schools. Edited April 17, 2019 by Mulder 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
terrestrial Posted April 17, 2019 Share Posted April 17, 2019 Weekend Forecast Film Distributor 3-Day Weekend Forecast Projected Domestic Total through Sunday, April 21 % Change from Last Wknd Shazam! Warner Bros. $17,500,000 $121,000,000 -28% The Curse of La Llorona Warner Bros. / New Line $16,900,000 $16,900,000 NEW Breakthrough Fox $13,000,000 $16,100,000 NEW Little Universal $8,000,000 $28,600,000 -48% Captain Marvel Disney / Marvel $6,400,000 $397,000,000 -26% Dumbo Disney $6,000,000 $100,600,000 -36% Penguins Disney / Disneynature $4,500,000 $6,200,000 NEW Pet Sematary (2019) Paramount $4,200,000 $48,700,000 -57% Missing Link United Artists Releasing $4,100,000 $13,000,000 -31% Hellboy (2019) Lionsgate / Summit $4,000,000 $19,700,000 -67% Forecasts subject to change as location counts are finalized before Friday. the reasonings as usual... https://www.boxofficepro.com/weekend-forecast-breakthrough-the-curse-of-la-llorona-penguins/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ipickthiswhiterose Posted April 17, 2019 Share Posted April 17, 2019 It's becoming clearer with drops stabilising and good performances in Western Europe that Dumbo only needed the vague semblance of a sensible budget for it only to have had a mild/okay return as opposed to a complete disaster. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mulder Posted April 17, 2019 Share Posted April 17, 2019 4 minutes ago, terrestrial said: Weekend Forecast Film Distributor 3-Day Weekend Forecast Projected Domestic Total through Sunday, April 21 % Change from Last Wknd Shazam! Warner Bros. $17,500,000 $121,000,000 -28% The Curse of La Llorona Warner Bros. / New Line $16,900,000 $16,900,000 NEW Breakthrough Fox $13,000,000 $16,100,000 NEW Little Universal $8,000,000 $28,600,000 -48% Captain Marvel Disney / Marvel $6,400,000 $397,000,000 -26% Dumbo Disney $6,000,000 $100,600,000 -36% Penguins Disney / Disneynature $4,500,000 $6,200,000 NEW Pet Sematary (2019) Paramount $4,200,000 $48,700,000 -57% Missing Link United Artists Releasing $4,100,000 $13,000,000 -31% Hellboy (2019) Lionsgate / Summit $4,000,000 $19,700,000 -67% Forecasts subject to change as location counts are finalized before Friday. the reasonings as usual... https://www.boxofficepro.com/weekend-forecast-breakthrough-the-curse-of-la-llorona-penguins/ If Shazam has a drop that small it'd be incredible. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tawasal Posted April 17, 2019 Share Posted April 17, 2019 33 minutes ago, terrestrial said: Weekend Forecast Film Distributor 3-Day Weekend Forecast Projected Domestic Total through Sunday, April 21 % Change from Last Wknd Shazam! Warner Bros. $17,500,000 $121,000,000 -28% The Curse of La Llorona Warner Bros. / New Line $16,900,000 $16,900,000 NEW Breakthrough Fox $13,000,000 $16,100,000 NEW Little Universal $8,000,000 $28,600,000 -48% Captain Marvel Disney / Marvel $6,400,000 $397,000,000 -26% Dumbo Disney $6,000,000 $100,600,000 -36% Penguins Disney / Disneynature $4,500,000 $6,200,000 NEW Pet Sematary (2019) Paramount $4,200,000 $48,700,000 -57% Missing Link United Artists Releasing $4,100,000 $13,000,000 -31% Hellboy (2019) Lionsgate / Summit $4,000,000 $19,700,000 -67% Forecasts subject to change as location counts are finalized before Friday. the reasonings as usual... https://www.boxofficepro.com/weekend-forecast-breakthrough-the-curse-of-la-llorona-penguins/ This weekend CM made 200k more than the weekend forecast from Shawn, so another 200k maybe over the forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Djsoke Posted April 18, 2019 Share Posted April 18, 2019 CM's drop seems a bit too high. Shazam's might be too low as well but I could feasibly see it happening. I just don't think there's any way the drop difference between the two is only 2% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB33 Posted April 18, 2019 Share Posted April 18, 2019 (edited) 2 hours ago, terrestrial said: Weekend Forecast Film Distributor 3-Day Weekend Forecast Projected Domestic Total through Sunday, April 21 % Change from Last Wknd Shazam! Warner Bros. $17,500,000 $121,000,000 -28% The Curse of La Llorona Warner Bros. / New Line $16,900,000 $16,900,000 NEW Breakthrough Fox $13,000,000 $16,100,000 NEW Little Universal $8,000,000 $28,600,000 -48% Captain Marvel Disney / Marvel $6,400,000 $397,000,000 -26% Dumbo Disney $6,000,000 $100,600,000 -36% Penguins Disney / Disneynature $4,500,000 $6,200,000 NEW Pet Sematary (2019) Paramount $4,200,000 $48,700,000 -57% Missing Link United Artists Releasing $4,100,000 $13,000,000 -31% Hellboy (2019) Lionsgate / Summit $4,000,000 $19,700,000 -67% Forecasts subject to change as location counts are finalized before Friday. the reasonings as usual... https://www.boxofficepro.com/weekend-forecast-breakthrough-the-curse-of-la-llorona-penguins/ Thanks for this. Interesting. For some reason I had forecast the holdovers being stronger by the time Endgame rolled around) In reality, Endgame itself has a small shot at over $300M on opening weekend and all other weekend grosses will be 7 digits. The weekend box office share number for Endgame is going to be insane! Avengers: Age of Ultron still holds the record in this regard at 84.5%, just edging out the 84.4% of Avengers: Infinity War. The Avengers is 4th on the list (83.1%). In third is Spider-Man 3 (83.3%). What's the lesson here? Avengers absolutely dominates at the domestic box office. Earth shattering, I know. Edited April 18, 2019 by JB33 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ryan Reynolds Posted April 18, 2019 Share Posted April 18, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
boyamama Posted April 18, 2019 Share Posted April 18, 2019 shazam 100M DOM wednesday...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sfran43 Posted April 18, 2019 Share Posted April 18, 2019 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
terrestrial Posted April 18, 2019 Share Posted April 18, 2019 (edited) 2 hours ago, Ryan Reynolds said: Not a lot of ratings (270), but that one has only 4.6/10 at IMDb. If that's later on still the rating, it might be one of the bigger differences between first 'fan-rush' reactions (not of a franchise, but maybe for the belief, or involved people???) and IMDb rating edit: only mentioned it, bcs I think its seldom to see a difference that big, might be bias against the movie is a possibility too Edited April 18, 2019 by terrestrial Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Djsoke Posted April 18, 2019 Share Posted April 18, 2019 (edited) 2 38 minutes ago, terrestrial said: Not a lot of ratings (270), but that one has only 4.6/10 at IMDb. If that's later on still the rating, it might be one of the bigger differences between first 'fan-rush' reactions (not of a franchise, but maybe for the belief, or involved people???) and IMDb rating edit: only mentioned it, bcs I think its seldom to see a difference that big, might be bias against the movie is a possibility too Don't know if I'd read too much into the IMDb rating given that type of distribution. Seems too extreme to be a natural result of the movie Edited April 18, 2019 by Djsoke 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
terrestrial Posted April 18, 2019 Share Posted April 18, 2019 10 minutes ago, Djsoke said: - snip - Don't know if I'd read too much into the IMDb rating given that type of distribution. Seems too extreme to be a natural result of the movie looks strangley familiar. See CMs early ratings at IMDb, started with a similar low rating (or worse, would have to look up the exact rating then) Could end with a 7/10 too (they still try to get CM down, at RT way more successful, not that the heat of the focus is no longer there RT seems not to care anymore) I hope for all movies sake they find a solution were only ppl who actually have a ticket (includes 'guests' of a ticket buyer) can rate till its released per streaming service or HV or... too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...