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sfran43

Wednesday Numbers: TSLOP2 $4.46M

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So last weekend for AE in the top 10 and Pika probably will be #11 or 12.

I could see both losing alot of theaters next week as they make room for TS4. Pretty much any cineplex with 12 or fewer screens is probably going to have to drop them to make room.

 

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    Movie Distributor Gross Change Thtrs. Per Thtr. Total Gross Days
- (4) Godzilla: King of the Monsters Warner Bros. $1,585,000 -36% 4,108 $386   $84,236,819 13
- (-) Pokémon: Detective Pikachu Warner Bros. $470,000 -24% 2,161 $217   $139,150,327 34
- (-) BrightBurn Sony Pictures $100,000 -20% 1,013 $99   $16,723,090 20
- (-) The Intruder Sony Pictures $37,000 -26% 306 $121   $35,075,171 41
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KOTM, 1.585 [84.24]

1.33 (-16%) [85.57]

 

2.01 (+51%)

3.21 (+53%)

3.21 (0%)

= 8.43 [93.40]

 

93.40 + 8.43*1.80 = 108.5 dom (2.27x)

 

Still holding out for 110 dom.

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41 minutes ago, a2k said:

KOTM, 1.585 [84.24]

1.33 (-16%) [85.57]

 

2.01 (+51%)

3.21 (+53%)

3.21 (0%)

= 8.43 [93.40]

 

93.40 + 8.43*1.80 = 108.5 dom (2.27x)

 

Still holding out for 110 dom.

I understand most of what you display. Can you explain the *1.80? Thanks

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Just now, WP Kelley said:

I understand most of what you display. Can you explain the *1.80? Thanks

Was thinking it will add 1.8x this weekend more to it's cume.

GZ14 added 2.1x it's 3rd weekend to the cume. But KOTM's weekend will be inflated due to Father's Day so am being conservative.

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Thank you. That helps follow your thinking. Are my figures accurate? I have it at $115 in China, and $15 in Japan as of today? Can't figure out the rest of the world to save my life. That's $215 from Dom, China and Japan. Any idea the rest of the world?
 

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54 minutes ago, a2k said:

KOTM, 1.585 [84.24]

1.33 (-16%) [85.57]

 

2.01 (+51%)

3.21 (+53%)

3.21 (0%)

= 8.43 [93.40]

 

93.40 + 8.43*1.80 = 108.5 dom (2.27x)

 

Still holding out for 110 dom.

You are probably being overly aggressive on Sunday. Most movies will have decreases on Sunday, just not quite as large. The avg last year was a 10% drop.

 

One other note on Godzilla. I expect a significant theater count hit tomorrow. It has the 2nd widest numbers of theaters right now and this is the first week theaters can drop it.  I've also noticed it is moving to smaller screens in the cinemas this week. The 2 closest to me are both moving it from a larger screen to one of their smallest.

 

I do think your estimate pretty good, I'm thinking 8 to 8.5 as well.

 

 

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5 minutes ago, WP Kelley said:

Thank you. That helps follow your thinking. Are my figures accurate? I have it at $115 in China, and $15 in Japan as of today? Can't figure out the rest of the world to save my life. That's $215 from Dom, China and Japan. Any idea the rest of the world?
 

China ~$118 currently - real time boxoffice 815m yuan http://piaofang.maoyan.com/movie/246061/

Japan was $16.9 on Sunday and haven't tracked it since. Rest of the overseas was $89.4 on Sunday.

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