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Tuesday Numbers: IT Chapter Two $8.10M Estimate

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As expected, partially compensates for the Monday drop by a bigger Tuesday bump. It part 1 Tuesday is still bigger in relation to its opening weekend by a bit, but the Monday/Tuesday performance in general is a nice case study in how much Tuesdays have increased in the last 2 years. 

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I'd love to see this one end with 240-250 domestic.  Nothing close to the first but a very good showing.  Hopefully the foreign markets can make a nice run and turn this into a 625 mill or more hit.

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1 (1) It: Chapter Two Warner Bros. $8,100,000 +48% 4,570 $1,772   $104,640,557 5
- (4) Overcomer Sony Pictures $605,000 +92% 2,153 $281   $25,589,194 19
- (7) Once Upon a Time…in Holly… Sony Pictures $315,000 +40% 1,402 $225   $134,908,776 47
- (11) Spider-Man: Far From Home Sony Pictures $142,000 +50% 1,433 $99   $388,357,787 71
- (13) The Angry Birds Movie 2 Sony Pictures $125,000 +57% 1,854 $67   $38,293,015 29
- (-) The Farewell A24 $56,050 +28% 368 $152   $16,789,808 61
- (-) Midsommar A24 $22,947 +8% 234 $98   $27,287,224 70
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All the panic yesterday and now it looks fine.... the weekend still has a lot to say as I am curious if the general trend of Tuesday being a cap on the next weekend follows now outside of summer.... if 8.1m is a cap (hope not) than the weekend will be really bad.... if it increases and comes up some than its better. Still tough for 30m+ based off today though. 

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2 minutes ago, narniadis said:

All the panic yesterday and now it looks fine.... the weekend still has a lot to say as I am curious if the general trend of Tuesday being a cap on the next weekend follows now outside of summer.... if 8.1m is a cap (hope not) than the weekend will be really bad.... if it increases and comes up some than its better. Still tough for 30m+ based off today though. 

I wouldn't say this is such a monstrous bump that it makes up for the Monday drop. 

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It 1 was +30% in 2017 with the same calendar configuration, with 2 more years of Discount Tuesday growth +46% is pretty much exactly what you’d expect. We’ll see how much it can hold onto Wednesday, but the Tues:wknd multiplier should be weaker than It 1’s x5.25

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4 hours ago, baumer said:

I'd love to see this one end with 240-250 domestic.  Nothing close to the first but a very good showing.  Hopefully the foreign markets can make a nice run and turn this into a 625 mill or more hit.

IT's multipler gives IT2 241m. Should miss 240m imo.

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1 hour ago, JB33 said:

I wouldn't say this is such a monstrous bump that it makes up for the Monday drop. 

And you are again ignoring that the Monday drop was consistent with the rest of films in release. Mondays all year have been harder than years past as Tuesdays have gone up. 

I am not defending or putting down the film, other than noting its a fine and in line with expectations type of number. 

Matter of fact the increase is larger than would generally be expected given its R rating, goosed I would imagine by the fact its a horror film. 

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Film Distributor 3-Day Weekend Forecast Projected Domestic Total through Sunday, September 15 % Change from Last Wknd
It: Chapter Two Warner Bros. / New Line $36,000,000 $149,000,000 -60%
Hustlers STX $32,000,000 $32,000,000 NEW
The Goldfinch Warner Bros. $7,000,000 $7,000,000 NEW
Angel Has Fallen Lionsgate $3,500,000 $59,100,000 -42%
Good Boys Universal $3,400,000 $72,300,000 -38%
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35 minutes ago, narniadis said:

And you are again ignoring that the Monday drop was consistent with the rest of films in release. Mondays all year have been harder than years past as Tuesdays have gone up. 

I am not defending or putting down the film, other than noting its a fine and in line with expectations type of number. 

Matter of fact the increase is larger than would generally be expected given its R rating, goosed I would imagine by the fact its a horror film. 

Good point. I never bothered to look at what the other Monday drops were.

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