redfirebird2008 Posted March 26, 2012 Share Posted March 26, 2012 The last one is being split in two I believe.So 4 movies. HP made almost $2.4 billion domestic for 8 movies. THG would have to make $600m per movie. Doesn't seem likely. Avatar is the only one with a chance to pull off that kind of feat. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riczhang Posted March 26, 2012 Share Posted March 26, 2012 (edited) Crazy thing is it's not though. A 2.9x multi is all it will take now, essentially the same as Twilight got. And if its OW is closer to $160m with actuals then it will only need more like a 2.8.Sorry, I did the math wrong, I got 3.9..... Not so impossible, anymore if it's 2.9.(Just a side note: If the downtown theatre sells out the 10:30pm show then it would've definitely had more business than Saturday, and Saturday had more business than Friday, 3 consecutive days of non-midnight increase). Edited March 26, 2012 by riczhang Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eldenfirefly Posted March 26, 2012 Share Posted March 26, 2012 So excited for actuals to come out! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoxOfficeZ Posted March 26, 2012 Share Posted March 26, 2012 (edited) Wow, just wow....This is the most impressive opening I've ever seen.300m is a lock, I wonder if it can reach 400m. Edited March 26, 2012 by BoxOfficeZ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redfirebird2008 Posted March 26, 2012 Share Posted March 26, 2012 300m is a lock.Way to go out on a limb. :lol:Just bustin' your balls. $375m is a lock IMHO. $400m is very likely. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eldenfirefly Posted March 26, 2012 Share Posted March 26, 2012 THG is doing unbelievable sales. Just absolute gang busters Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoxOfficeZ Posted March 26, 2012 Share Posted March 26, 2012 I just got word that our local theater is wild. Selling out like nuts, bigger then DH2.I think the Sunday hold will show that it'll beat TDK. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rockNrollaDIM Posted March 26, 2012 Share Posted March 26, 2012 It really is astonishing. 155m+ OW for a first in the series. We're all focused on petty things like the Sunday hold or if it can beat TDK. But the opening... How the hell did that happen?!! I didn't know there was THAT many fans. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoxOfficeZ Posted March 26, 2012 Share Posted March 26, 2012 It really is astonishing. 155m+ OW for a first in the series. We're all focused on petty things like the Sunday hold or if it can beat TDK. But the opening... How the hell did that happen?!! I didn't know there was THAT many fans.A combination of fandom, 4 quad event, and the first big film in months, plus the excellent marketing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Noctis Posted March 26, 2012 Share Posted March 26, 2012 This is locked to beat DH2's gross without 3D. That's absolutely insane. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Totem Posted March 26, 2012 Share Posted March 26, 2012 Sub 20% sunday drop? That would just ice this epic BO cake we are all eating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riczhang Posted March 26, 2012 Share Posted March 26, 2012 It really is astonishing. 155m+ OW for a first in the series. We're all focused on petty things like the Sunday hold or if it can beat TDK. But the opening... How the hell did that happen?!! I didn't know there was THAT many fans.There weren't THAT many fans, not until this weekend at least... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riczhang Posted March 26, 2012 Share Posted March 26, 2012 (edited) Sub 20% sunday drop? That would just ice this epic BO cake we are all eating.I'm convinced it's happening, give it an 85% chance of doing that, I personally think it's gonna end up around 15% though.... Edited March 26, 2012 by riczhang Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackspider Posted March 26, 2012 Share Posted March 26, 2012 The one thing I'm wondering is if there will be room for growth in this franchise. Or will this be like HP1, Spider-Man, and The Phantom Menace and be the highest grossing of the series. When a first film does this type of numbers it just begs the question if this is as good as it's gonna get. Or can it even do better? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Totem Posted March 26, 2012 Share Posted March 26, 2012 The one thing I'm wondering is if there will be room for growth in this franchise. Or will this be like HP1, Spider-Man, and The Phantom Menace and be the highest grossing of the series. When a first film does this type of numbers it just begs the question if this is as good as it's gonna get. Or can it even do better? We have a whole year and a half to discuss this in the CF thread. Should be fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deep Wang Posted March 26, 2012 Share Posted March 26, 2012 I'm convinced it's happening, give it an 85% chance of doing that, I personally think it's gonna end up around 15% though....At this point I wouldn't be surprised if this happened. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
spizzer Posted March 26, 2012 Share Posted March 26, 2012 At this point I wouldn't be surprised if this happened.How was your place today? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Magic Posted March 26, 2012 Share Posted March 26, 2012 While it's racking up milestones left, right and centre it might as well hit 160M now. First ever 2D release to hit 160M OW would be epic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
spizzer Posted March 26, 2012 Share Posted March 26, 2012 (edited) The one thing I'm wondering is if there will be room for growth in this franchise. Or will this be like HP1, Spider-Man, and The Phantom Menace and be the highest grossing of the series. When a first film does this type of numbers it just begs the question if this is as good as it's gonna get. Or can it even do better? HP1's reception amongst casual audience was "meh," heck it showed in its rather "normal" legs for that era (especially considering Christmas holidays).SM2 opened in a market that had just been completely exhausted by Shrek 2 (highest attended film in the 2000s decade) and Prisoner of Azkaban. I figured it would've increased had it been the first release of the three, if not stayed flat from SM1.Phantom Menace....let's just not get into that. Edited March 26, 2012 by spizzer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redfirebird2008 Posted March 26, 2012 Share Posted March 26, 2012 The one thing I'm wondering is if there will be room for growth in this franchise. Or will this be like HP1, Spider-Man, and The Phantom Menace and be the highest grossing of the series. When a first film does this type of numbers it just begs the question if this is as good as it's gonna get. Or can it even do better? All depends on how big this one ends up with the total. The weekend can always get bigger. More frontloading is a natural trend in the movie business, especially with sequels. It will be interesting to see how good the legs are on this one. If it hits $450m, I would think the sequels will have a hard time beating it outside of opening weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
