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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

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Posted by Shawn Robbins,

PSA:   As a heads up to everyone, we'll be starting a new thread here very soon. For those who are newer to the forum, we typically have to split threads once they reach 1,000+ pages and are still highly active. In the past, such topics have created database slowdown issues that affect the entire forum.   Rest assured, this thread will be archived when it is locked and a link to the new one will be posted to help you find it easily (it will also be pinned to the top of the box o
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Posted by XXR vs XXR,

Yea we're gonna drop all this non tracking stuff. That expressly means you, @excel1. Next post from you that isn't tracking related is a thread ban.    Anyone else continues, it's points. 

We're all tired of the non-tracking related thread derailments. This is your fair warning.

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Inceptionzq Box Office Gold

Inceptionzq

Posted
Posted

The Batman Megaplex

 

Tuesday(5 showings): 2118/2741 in 5 theaters

Thursday(82 showings): 922/24897 in 15 theaters

On 2/8/2022 at 4:21 PM, Inceptionzq said:

The Batman Tuesday Showings(6 hours)

Megaplex: 1274 tickets sold in 5 theaters

Tues+Thurs first 6ish hours: 2196 sold

0.226x NWH's first 11 hours

5.57x Eternals' first 10 hours

1.45x Black Widow T-22 days(5 days of sales)

 

Friday(135 showings): 610/41991 in 15 theaters

0.122x NWH's first 11 hours

3.30x Eternals' first 10 hours

0.724x Black Widow's T-23

 

Saturday(142 showings): 255/43700 in 15 theaters

0.149x NWH's first 11 hours

2.22x Eternals' first 10 hours

 

Sunday(90 showings): 24/29283 in 15 theaters

0.074x NWH's first 11 hours

0.421x Eternals' first 10 hours

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Inceptionzq Box Office Gold

Inceptionzq

Posted
Posted (edited)

The Batman Alamo Drafthouse

 

Thursday(220 showings): 4971/31113   ATP: $15.10

0.357x NWH's first 11 hours

 

Friday(332 showings): 4136/47626   ATP: $15.43

0.486x NWH's first 11 hours

 

Saturday(350 showings): 3078/50209   ATP: $15.34

0.591x NWH's first 11 hours

 

Sunday(337 showings): 1129/48084   ATP: $14.93

0.629x NWH's first 11 hours

 

No Tuesday or Wednesday showings here. Given the nature of Drafthouse, I think a stronger comp against NWH is expected. There tends to be more of a rush to get tickets

Edited by Inceptionzq
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katnisscinnaplex Box Office Gold

katnisscinnaplex

Posted
Posted

Day Movie Area Theaters Shows Total Seats Total Sold New Sales % Sold
T-19 Batman (Tue) Jacksonville 2 2 841 363 64 43.16%
    Phoenix 1 1 410 373 15 90.98%
    Raleigh 1 1 151 146 2 96.69%
  Batman (Tue) Total   4 4 1,402 882 81 62.91%
T-20 Batman (Wed) Jacksonville 5 8 1,166 274 274 23.50%
    Phoenix 2 2 318 148 148 46.54%
  Batman (Wed) Total   7 10 1,484 422 422 28.44%
T-21 Batman (Thu) Jacksonville 7 120 19,813 376 376 1.90%
    Phoenix 6 107 17,555 588 588 3.35%
    Raleigh 28 102 11,415 604 604 5.29%
  Batman (Thu) Total   41 329 48,783 1,568 1,568 3.21%
Total     41 343 51,669 2,872 2,071 5.56%


Not too bad, but I feel like I could've just looked at the PLF and 7pm shows to get most of those sales.  Here's what Spider-man looked like at the 9hr mark.

 

Day Movie Area Theaters Shows Total Seats Total Sold New Sales % Sold
T-17 Spider-Man Jacksonville 7 72 12,424 2,330 2,330 18.75%
    Phoenix 6 55 10,267 3,190 3,190 31.07%
    Raleigh 7 46 6,502 2,290 2,290 35.22%
  Spider-Man Total   20 173 29,193 7,810 7,810 26.75%

 

Clearly not in the same ballpark, but the showtime difference is massive.  First run took nearly an hour with so many shows; I probably won't be able to do that every day.  I'll try to get a run at Santikos in the morning for a similar time comp for Spider-man.  Showtime report will hopefully be up tomorrow as well if I have time.  

 

Batman Thu Breakdown

PLF - 739

Standard - 829

 

Matinee - 123

Regular - 1,445

 

Sales - $22,493.62

ATP - $14.35

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charlie Jatinder Global Phenomenon

charlie Jatinder

Posted
Posted

Gonna do a full check after midnight, checking one location Cerritos 16 has 208 sold for WED Fan screening and 360 for THU previews. 

 

PLFs are good but regular screenings are average. Regular shows are around 2.5x Eternals, PLFs incl WED are 3x. Overall 2.88x of Eternals.

 

In comparison of NWH, regular are 7.5% of NWH while PLFs are 43% of NWH with one extra show. Overall 23% of NWH.

 

Also tix are hiked by a $1 in PLFs. I didn't check regular, but likely hiked there too. 

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XXR vs XXR Global Phenomenon

XXR vs XXR

Posted
Posted
17 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Overall 2.88x of Eternals.

 

17 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Overall 23% of NWH.

 

2.88 x 9.5 = $27.36M
0.23 x 50 = $11.5M

Average of both = $19.43M

BOOM. Pack it up kids. This is 'The Batman's preview number. Well, not this one but the 24HR number, whatever it is. 

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ZackM Box Office Gold

ZackM

Posted
Posted (edited)

This doesn't include any of the early fan event stuff, but here's my first run for Thursday previews.

 

The Batman
Alpha Chain
Premiere Night Seat Report: T-21 days
           
  Last Day        
Showings Added 5,126        
Seats Added 900,107        
Seats Sold 65,150        
           
2/10/2022 Theaters Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Pct. Sold
Total 425 5,126 65,150 900,107 7.24%

 

ATP
$17.90
Edited by ZackM
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charlie Jatinder Global Phenomenon

charlie Jatinder

Posted
Posted (edited)
48 minutes ago, ZackM said:

This doesn't include any of the early fan event stuff, but here's my first run for Thursday previews.

 

The Batman
Alpha Chain
Premiere Night Seat Report: T-21 days
           
  Last Day        
Showings Added 5,126        
Seats Added 900,107        
Seats Sold 65,150        
           
12/8/2021 Theaters Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Pct. Sold
Total 425 5,126 65,150 900,107 7.24%

 

ATP
$17.90

On last check WED shows were 41k. Probably 45k by now. I guess 24 hours may be around 70k. So around 115K sold for previews.

Edited by charlie Jatinder
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RJ 95 Sleeper Hit

RJ 95

Posted
Posted
8 minutes ago, PenguinXXR said:


NWH, BW and Eternals are the top 3. I believe Charlie pegged them at 3 million, 160k and 150k. Not sure if the next 2.

So Batman with 130k getting lesser first 24h than BW and Eternals by this data ?

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Eric Burnett Global Phenomenon

Eric Burnett

Posted
Posted
On 2/10/2022 at 12:15 AM, Eric Poirot said:

Uncharted Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-8 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 55 334 10285 3.25%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 23

 

Comp

0.333x of F9 T-8 (2.37M)

0.870x of The Suicide Squad T-8 (3.57M)

0.347x of Venom 2 T-8 (4.03M)

0.495x of Ghostbusters: Afterlife T-8 (2.23M)

Uncharted Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-7 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 55 385 10285 3.74%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 51

 

Comp

0.365x of F9 T-7 (2.59M)

0.928x of The Suicide Squad T-7 (3.8M)

0.371x of Venom 2 T-7 (4.3M)

0.537x of Ghostbusters: Afterlife T-7 (2.42M)

 

@MrPink maybe things aren't so hopeless after all.

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charlie Jatinder Global Phenomenon

charlie Jatinder

Posted
Posted
47 minutes ago, ZackM said:

This doesn't include any of the early fan event stuff, but here's my first run for Thursday previews.

 

The Batman
Alpha Chain
Premiere Night Seat Report: T-21 days
           
  Last Day        
Showings Added 5,126        
Seats Added 900,107        
Seats Sold 65,150        
           
2/10/2022 Theaters Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Pct. Sold
Total 425 5,126 65,150 900,107 7.24%

 

ATP
$17.90

Thanks Zack. Will be grateful if you do FRI run as well.

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Eric Burnett Global Phenomenon

Eric Burnett

Posted
Posted
23 hours ago, Eric Poirot said:

The Batman Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-22 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 1 5 1151 1349 85.32%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 75

 

Comp

0.855x of Black Widow T-22 (11.29M)

1.150x of Eternals T-22 (10.92M)

 

Snore! But of course, this is just the lull before the storm...

The Batman Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-21 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 2 177 3605 35067 10.28%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 2,454

 

Comp

0.475x of Black Widow's Final Count (6.27M)

0.759x of Shang-Chi's Final Count (6.68M)

0.688x of Venom 2's Final Count (7.98M)

0.683x of Eternals' Final Count (6.49M)

0.320x of No Way Home's First Day of Sales (16M)

 

Adjusted Comp

0.279x of Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker T-21 (11.14M)

 

So yeah, this is another case where a majority of comps are too small for the film and skew towards pie in the sky previews of 30M+ or 40M+. So we have to use Final Counts again, all of which should see a huge spike tomorrow night. And this kind of stuff shows that, yes, this is going to be a big deal.

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