The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

[katnisscinnaplex]

19 hours ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

Updated

Santikos Tracking

 

Format Breakdown

 

Day	Movie	Format	Shows	New Sls	Sold	True Cap	% Sold	ATP	Gross
T-0	Batman (Fri)	PLF	43	607	4,107	10,229	40.15%	$14.65	$60,167.48
		Standard	150	1,504	5,739	21,672	26.48%	$11.16	$64,043.58
	Batman (Fri) Total		193	2,111	9,846	31,901	30.86%	$12.62	$124,211.06
T-1	Batman (Sat)	PLF	42	4,065	4,065	10,099	40.25%	$14.34	$58,307.31
		Standard	148	4,091	4,091	21,476	19.05%	$10.48	$42,866.64
	Batman (Sat) Total		190	8,156	8,156	31,575	25.83%	$12.40	$101,173.95
T-2	Batman (Sun)	PLF	43	2,154	2,154	10,229	21.06%	$14.07	$30,309.97
		Standard	143	1,702	1,702	20,919	8.14%	$10.16	$17,288.18
	Batman (Sun) Total		186	3,856	3,856	31,148	12.38%	$12.34	$47,598.15

 

Matinee Breakdown

 

Day	Movie	Mat	Shows	New Sls	Sold	True Cap	% Sold	ATP	Gross
T-0	Batman (Fri)	N	94	1,343	7,783	15,999	48.65%	$13.26	$103,197.41
		Y	99	768	2,063	15,902	12.97%	$10.19	$21,013.65
	Batman (Fri) Total		193	2,111	9,846	31,901	30.86%	$12.62	$124,211.06
T-1	Batman (Sat)	N	93	4,625	4,625	15,847	29.19%	$14.09	$65,152.94
		Y	97	3,531	3,531	15,728	22.45%	$10.20	$36,021.01
	Batman (Sat) Total		190	8,156	8,156	31,575	25.83%	$12.40	$101,173.95
T-2	Batman (Sun)	N	88	1,753	1,753	15,290	11.47%	$14.69	$25,759.42
		Y	98	2,103	2,103	15,858	13.26%	$10.38	$21,838.73
	Batman (Sun) Total		186	3,856	3,856	31,148	12.38%	$12.34	$47,598.15

 

Spider-Man Fri T-0 - 21,726/32,393 (67.07% sold)

 

Spider-Man Comp

Friday - .453x (32.61m)

 

Well, I thought I had pulled the weekend sales for Spider-Man on Friday, but looks like that was the only day I skipped.  These will be useful for the next big opener at least.

 

Santikos Tracking

 

Format Breakdown

 

Day	Movie	Format	Shows	New Sls	Sold	True Cap	% Sold	ATP	Gross
T-0	Batman (Sat)	PLF	42	991	5,056	10,099	50.06%	$14.15	$71,527.83
		Standard	148	2,293	6,384	21,476	29.73%	$10.26	$65,505.02
	Batman (Sat) Total		190	3,284	11,440	31,575	36.23%	$11.98	$137,032.85
T-1	Batman (Sun)	PLF	43	670	2,824	10,229	27.61%	$14.00	$39,525.61
		Standard	143	863	2,565	20,919	12.26%	$10.06	$25,793.33
	Batman (Sun) Total		186	1,533	5,389	31,148	17.30%	$12.12	$65,318.94

 

Matinee Breakdown

 

Day	Movie	Mat	Shows	New Sls	Sold	True Cap	% Sold	ATP	Gross
T-0	Batman (Sat)	N	93	1,468	6,093	15,847	38.45%	$13.71	$83,541.14
		Y	97	1,816	5,347	15,728	34.00%	$10.00	$53,491.71
	Batman (Sat) Total		190	3,284	11,440	31,575	36.23%	$11.98	$137,032.85
T-1	Batman (Sun)	N	88	609	2,362	15,290	15.45%	$14.49	$34,224.24
		Y	98	924	3,027	15,858	19.09%	$10.27	$31,094.70
	Batman (Sun) Total		186	1,533	5,389	31,148	17.30%	$12.12	$65,318.94

 

Spider-Man Sat T-0 - 21,207/32,824 (64.6% sold)

Spider-Man Sun T-1 - 10,987/32,303 (34% sold)

 

Spider-Man Comps

Saturday - .539x (39.89m)

Sunday - .49x (31.5m)

 

With one day left, here's where the T-0 tracking has ended in Santikos

Thursday - 18.83m

Friday - 32.61m

Saturday - 39.89m

Sunday - 31.5m

Full Weekend - 122.83m*

 

*I will note that this chain only had one pre-show (Tuesday) and it was sold out.  I didn't account for those sales into the Thursday comp since I was looking for a more one-to-one comparison.  When adding in pre-shows, the full weekend comp would be 126.83.  We'll see how this changes with one more day of Sunday sales.

[filmlover]

11 hours ago, Eric Says Trans Rights said:

I've been telling you guys that Disney doesn't care about theaters anymore.

King Mickey saw this and was like:

 

 

They've officially joined the CinemaCon presentation (meaning all the majors will be there now).

 

2022 Schedule of Events - CinemaCon

[EmpireCity]

Told ya!

[DAJK]

I'm about to lose it if Disney cancels Lightyear's theatrical release. 

[Borobudur]

1 hour ago, filmlover said:

King Mickey saw this and was like:

 

 

They've officially joined the CinemaCon presentation (meaning all the majors will be there now).

 

2022 Schedule of Events - CinemaCon

Early sign showing AVATAR 2 teaser can be in the mix 

[XXR & Friends]

Will CinemaCon be Disney's next big "reveal" event where they show a bunch of new stuff (be it announcements, footage or reveal dates)? Or is it mostly industry stuff with not much for fans to chew on?

 

[filmlover]

Also some theaters near me are posting showtimes for Morbius for when it goes on sale next week and a number of the multiplexes are booking it on 3-5 screens for that weekend (with possible more to come). Definitely seems like a sign everyone knows that it's gonna be a hit.

[filmlover]

Just now, PenguinXXR said:

Will CinemaCon be Disney's next big "reveal" event where they show a bunch of new stuff (be it announcements, footage or reveal dates)? Or is it mostly industry stuff with not much for fans to chew on?

 

Usually it's a mix of all the above plus celebrity appearances. Expect the Doctor Strange/Thor stars to be there plus Chris Evans and Keke Palmer (who will be there as part of the Universal showcase for Nope) to promote Lightyear.

[Joyous Legion]

7 minutes ago, filmlover said:

Also some theaters near me are posting showtimes for Morbius for when it goes on sale next week and a number of the multiplexes are booking it on 3-5 screens for that weekend (with possible more to come). Definitely seems like a sign everyone knows that it's gonna be a hit.

Does it?  Holdovers that wknd will be like:  

Lost City 15M

Batman 10M

RRR 5M

Uncharted 3M

NWH 3M

Dog 2M

 

and I’m being generous. Morbius is just the latest in a long line of recent blockbusters that can get infinite screens because there’s no competition.

[XXR & Friends]

6 minutes ago, filmlover said:

Usually it's a mix of all the above plus celebrity appearances. Expect the Doctor Strange/Thor stars to be there plus Chris Evans and Keke Palmer (who will be there as part of the Universal showcase for Nope) to promote Lightyear.

 

Yea they'll promote Multiverse of Madness, Lightyear, and Thor for sure. I'm curious if we get anything for Black Panther, Avatar 2, or Strange World. Maybe a further expansion of the MCU film slate? 

[filmlover]

6 minutes ago, Villain Legion said:

Does it?  Holdovers that wknd will be like:  

Lost City 15M

Batman 10M

RRR 5M

Uncharted 3M

NWH 3M

Dog 2M

 

and I’m being generous. Morbius is just the latest in a long line of recent blockbusters that can get infinite screens because there’s no competition.

It's already getting more screens around here than the amount Uncharted was booked for (and that ended up really overperforming). At the very least, it's being booked like a $45M+ opener.

 

6 minutes ago, PenguinXXR said:

 

Yea they'll promote Multiverse of Madness, Lightyear, and Thor for sure. I'm curious if we get anything for Black Panther, Avatar 2, or Strange World. Maybe a further expansion of the MCU film slate? 

They'll likely show a sizzle reel featuring the first footage from those movies + first looks at their 2023 slate that's already been shot and currently in post (The Marvels, The Haunted Mansion, Guardians 3, The Little Mermaid, Indiana Jones 5, Ant-Man 3).

[Eric is Quiet]

On 3/4/2022 at 11:30 PM, Eric Says Trans Rights said:

The Lost City Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-20 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	55	79	12340	0.64%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 27

 

Comp

1.013x of Uncharted T-20 (3.75M)

 

This was still Uncharted's soft launch before it was in the "Tickets Now Available" phase of marketing, so do take this with an extreme grain of salt.

The Lost City Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-19 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	55	85	12340	0.69%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 6

 

Comp

0.977x of Uncharted T-19 (3.61M)

[katnisscinnaplex]

On 3/5/2022 at 9:11 AM, katnisscinnaplex said:

Santikos Tracking

 

Format Breakdown

 

 

Day	Movie	Format	Shows	New Sls	Sold	True Cap	% Sold	ATP	Gross
T-0	Batman (Sat)	PLF	42	991	5,056	10,099	50.06%	$14.15	$71,527.83
		Standard	148	2,293	6,384	21,476	29.73%	$10.26	$65,505.02
	Batman (Sat) Total		190	3,284	11,440	31,575	36.23%	$11.98	$137,032.85
T-1	Batman (Sun)	PLF	43	670	2,824	10,229	27.61%	$14.00	$39,525.61
		Standard	143	863	2,565	20,919	12.26%	$10.06	$25,793.33
	Batman (Sun) Total		186	1,533	5,389	31,148	17.30%	$12.12	$65,318.94

 

Matinee Breakdown

 

 

Day	Movie	Mat	Shows	New Sls	Sold	True Cap	% Sold	ATP	Gross
T-0	Batman (Sat)	N	93	1,468	6,093	15,847	38.45%	$13.71	$83,541.14
		Y	97	1,816	5,347	15,728	34.00%	$10.00	$53,491.71
	Batman (Sat) Total		190	3,284	11,440	31,575	36.23%	$11.98	$137,032.85
T-1	Batman (Sun)	N	88	609	2,362	15,290	15.45%	$14.49	$34,224.24
		Y	98	924	3,027	15,858	19.09%	$10.27	$31,094.70
	Batman (Sun) Total		186	1,533	5,389	31,148	17.30%	$12.12	$65,318.94

 

Spider-Man Sat T-0 - 21,207/32,824 (64.6% sold)

Spider-Man Sun T-1 - 10,987/32,303 (34% sold)

 

Spider-Man Comps

Saturday - .539x (39.89m)

Sunday - .49x (31.5m)

 

With one day left, here's where the T-0 tracking has ended in Santikos

Thursday - 18.83m

Friday - 32.61m

Saturday - 39.89m

Sunday - 31.5m

Full Weekend - 122.83m*

 

*I will note that this chain only had one pre-show (Tuesday) and it was sold out.  I didn't account for those sales into the Thursday comp since I was looking for a more one-to-one comparison.  When adding in pre-shows, the full weekend comp would be 126.83.  We'll see how this changes with one more day of Sunday sales.

Santikos Tracking

 

Format Breakdown

 

Day	Movie	Format	Shows	New Sls	Sold	True Cap	% Sold	ATP	Gross
T-0	Batman (Sun)	PLF	43	1,551	4,375	10,229	42.77%	$13.85	$60,599.72
		Standard	143	3,023	5,588	20,919	26.71%	$9.77	$54,592.34
	Batman (Sun) Total		186	4,574	9,963	31,148	31.99%	$11.56	$115,192.06

 

Matinee Breakdown

 

Day	Movie	Mat	Shows	New Sls	Sold	True Cap	% Sold	ATP	Gross
T-0	Batman (Sun)	N	88	1,667	4,029	15,290	26.35%	$14.04	$56,547.16
		Y	98	2,907	5,934	15,858	37.42%	$9.88	$58,644.90
	Batman (Sun) Total		186	4,574	9,963	31,148	31.99%	$11.56	$115,192.06

 

Spider-Man Sun T-0 - 20,111/32,927 (61% sold)

 

Spider-Man Comps

Sunday - .49.5x (31.82m)

 

Final T-0 Spider-Man Comps

Thursday - 18.83m

Friday - 32.61m

Saturday - 39.89m

Sunday - 31.82m

Full Weekend - 123.15m*

 

*Not including pre-shows of 4m*

 

Not much change since yesterday as both movies had similar increases.  It looks like this is going to come in on the low side when all is said and done which I think means a higher % of walkups.  

[XXR & Friends]

‘Batman’ AMC Surge Pricing Postmortem: Exhibitor Not The First Major To Hike Ticket Prices On A Superhero Pic; Making Sense Of The Madness

https://deadline.com/2022/03/batman-spiderman-movie-ticket-price-increase-amc-1234972159/

 

 

Thought some of this info was interesting for tracking/extrapolation purposes....

 

• Close to 60% of Batman‘s moviegoers bought their tickets before opening day per Comscore’s PostTrak, while 76% of them bought them online (vs. at the theater). We hear that AMC repped close to a third of the $100.3M Batman grosses in its first two days, Regal 20% of that number and Cinemark 15%.
• As you can see, No. 2 theater circuit Regal was charging $13.73 on average during Spider-Man‘s opening, above their average ticket price of $12.91. Cinemark was charging $11.19 on average for the Jon Watts-directed title vs. $10.63 while AMC that weekend charged an average of $13.92 to a regular price ticket of $13.21. This weekend for Batman, AMC’s average ticket price was $14.50 (vs. $13.22 regular ticket price), Regal’s was $13.44 (vs. $12.67) and Cinemark’s $11.25 (vs. $10.25).
• EntTelligence reports that 20 million people stateside saw Spider-Man: No Way Home during weekend one versus 9.5M for The Batman.

 

 

[Cap]

On 3/5/2022 at 12:35 PM, PenguinXXR said:

 

Yea they'll promote Multiverse of Madness, Lightyear, and Thor for sure. I'm curious if we get anything for Black Panther, Avatar 2, or Strange World. Maybe a further expansion of the MCU film slate? 

Traditionally any major MCU updates or reveal happen at Comic Con. 🥺

[XXR & Friends]

Just now, Cap said:

Traditionally any major MCU updates or reveal happen at Comic Con. 🥺

 

You're the child and my hope is that guys balls...

 

[Cap]

Just now, PenguinXXR said:

 

You're the child and my hope is that guys balls...

 

I mean, they might mix stuff up. But except for their El Cap Civil War announcement, the years that D23 are within a week of SDCC, and that Disney Day during the height of pandemic, it’s always Saturday at 5PM on the third weekend in July when the party starts!!!

 

And I think it’s smart. The CinemaCon audience, or even the d23 audience, will not give them the In Room HYPE that SDCC does. I still remember the year that Kevin causally mentioning the word “Skrull” got a bigger pop than anything any other studio showed that day. 😂😂😂 

[Porthos]

 

13 minutes ago, Cap said:

Traditionally any major MCU updates or reveal happen at Comic Con. 🥺

 

Disney coming in hot then with the SURPRISE KENOBI TRAILER along with an announcement of the first episode being played at El Capitan and Empire 25. 

[XXR & Friends]

2 minutes ago, Porthos said:

 

 

Disney coming in hot then with the SURPRISE KENOBI TRAILER along with an announcement of the first episode being played at El Capitan and Empire 25. 

 

That seems likely. Teaser trailer in the next 2 weeks then the final trailer the week of CinemaCon. 

[Porthos]

Just now, PenguinXXR said:

 

That seems likely. Teaser trailer in the next 2 weeks then the final trailer the week of CinemaCon. 

 

Not the thread to go into Obi-Wan Kenobi rumors since that's a Disney Plus release, but as you presumably know as well as I do, it might come sooner than "in the next 2 weeks", he said somewhat enigmatically.