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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

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Posted by Shawn Robbins,

PSA:   As a heads up to everyone, we'll be starting a new thread here very soon. For those who are newer to the forum, we typically have to split threads once they reach 1,000+ pages and are still highly active. In the past, such topics have created database slowdown issues that affect the entire forum.   Rest assured, this thread will be archived when it is locked and a link to the new one will be posted to help you find it easily (it will also be pinned to the top of the box o
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Posted by XXR & Friends,

Yea we're gonna drop all this non tracking stuff. That expressly means you, @excel1. Next post from you that isn't tracking related is a thread ban.    Anyone else continues, it's points. 

We're all tired of the non-tracking related thread derailments. This is your fair warning.

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Brainbug Global Phenomenon

Brainbug

Posted
Posted
4 minutes ago, BruiseCruise said:

3 weeks ago I would have guess 100mil total DOM for TG2 and now it seems like that might be the OW floor or close to it

 

Top Gun on top of things. Those numbers will fly high. Top numbers incoming. Tom gun(n)ing for that 100M+ 3-Day.

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Inceptionzq Box Office Gold

Inceptionzq

Posted
Posted
17 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Doctor Strange 2 Megaplex

 

T-1 Friday(338 showings): 14095(+2089)/81631 

1.64x Batman T-1 (57.30M)

0.523x NWH T-1 (37.61M)

Doctor Strange 2 Megaplex Friday(340 showings)

 

17466(+3371)/82076

 

1.59x Batman T-0 (55.82M)

0.565x NWH T-0 (40.64M)

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katnisscinnaplex Box Office Gold

katnisscinnaplex

Posted
Posted
22 hours ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

Santikos Tracking

 

Format breakdown

 

Day Movie Format Shows New* Sold Cap % Sold ATP Gross
T-1 DS 2 (Fri) PLF 86 880 7,027 17,872 39.32% $15.66 $110,074.03
    Standard 180 1,534 6,298 24,804 25.39% $11.86 $74,710.40
  DS 2 (Fri) Total   266 2,414 13,325 42,676 31.22% $13.87 $184,784.43

 

Matinee breakdown

 

Day Movie Mat Shows New* Sold Cap % Sold ATP Gross
T-1 DS 2 (Fri) N 126 1,500 10,327 20,257 50.98% $14.57 $150,455.49
    Y 140 914 2,998 22,419 13.37% $11.45 $34,328.94
  DS 2 (Fri) Total   266 2,414 13,325 42,676 31.22% $13.87 $184,784.43

*New sales since Tuesday*

 

Friday T-1 comps

 - Spider-Man - .734x (52.787m)

 - Batman - 1.723x (60.31m)

Santikos Tracking

 

Format breakdown

 

Day Movie Format Shows New Sold True Cap % Sold ATP Gross
T-0 DS 2 (Fri) PLF 86 1,049 8,076 17,872 45.19% $15.48 $125,039.59
    Standard 187 1,574 7,872 25,508 30.86% $11.71 $92,217.89
  DS 2 (Fri) Total   273 2,623 15,948 43,380 36.76% $13.62 $217,257.48

 

Matinee breakdown

 

Day Movie Mat Shows New Sold True Cap % Sold ATP Gross
T-0 DS 2 (Fri) N 127 1,358 11,685 20,301 57.56% $14.47 $169,119.17
    Y 146 1,265 4,263 23,079 18.47% $11.29 $48,138.31
  DS 2 (Fri) Total   273 2,623 15,948 43,380 36.76% $13.62 $217,257.48

 

Friday T-0 comps

 - Spider-Man - .734x (52.826m)

 - Batman - 1.62x (56.7m)

 

Adjusted Friday comps

 - Spider-Man - 47.625m

 - Batman - 47.215m

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Inceptionzq Box Office Gold

Inceptionzq

Posted
Posted
17 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Doctor Strange 2 Drafthouse

 

T-1 Friday(537 showings): 32590(+3471)/67611 ATP: $14.69

1.29x Batman T-1 (45.24M)

0.882x NWH T-1 (63.44M)

Doctor Strange 2 Drafthouse(537 showings)

 

37195(+4605)/67611 ATP: $14.65

 

1.29x Batman T-0 (45.01M)

0.872x NWH T-0 (62.71M)

 

Based on Thursday, Megaplex is playing a lot like Batman and Drafthouse is somewhere in the middle. 54-55M

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XXR & Friends Global Phenomenon

XXR & Friends

Posted
Posted (edited)

Looking forward, here are my way-to-early preview estimates for some other major films this year….


 

Top Gun Maverick = $14M

Jurassic World: Dominion = $20.5M

Lightyear = $13M

Minions: Rise of Gru = $6.5M

Thor: Love and Thunder = $29M

Nope = $7.5M

Halloween Ends = $5M

Black Adam = $15M

Black Panther: Wakanda Forever = $40M

Avatar: The Way of Water = $18M

Shazam: Fury of the Gods = $9.5M

Edited by MultiverseXXR
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ZackM Box Office Gold

ZackM

Posted
Posted
2 hours ago, ZackM said:

 

Net
Unweighted Weighted
$34.2 $35.9

 

 

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ZackM Box Office Gold

ZackM

Posted
Posted
4 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

NWH was above 815K at 130PM eastern(and finished around 1.2m). It would be great if you can do like for like comps. Can this hit 950-1m with better walkups as NWH had way more sellouts that limited walkups. 

DS2 Friday @ ~1:30PM

 

Theaters - 429

Showings - 10,215

Sold - 583,811

Total - 1,693,875

ATP - $15.89

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katnisscinnaplex Box Office Gold

katnisscinnaplex

Posted
Posted
On 5/4/2022 at 11:28 AM, katnisscinnaplex said:

Day Movie Area TC Shows Seats Sold New % Sold
T-1 Doctor Strange 2 Jacksonville 7 187 26,589 5,802 499 21.82%
    Phoenix 7 167 21,643 6,462 502 29.86%
    Raleigh 8 157 17,187 6,072 368 35.33%
  DS 2 Total   22 511 65,419 18,336 1,369 28.03%
T-14 Downton 2 (EA) Jacksonville 6 6 783 29 5 3.70%
    Phoenix 6 6 606 17 3 2.81%
    Raleigh 7 7 708 73 8 10.31%
  Downton 2 (EA) Total   19 19 2,097 119 16 5.67%
T-15 Downton 2 Jacksonville 6 11 1,550 68 9 4.39%
    Phoenix 6 8 1,212 56 5 4.62%
    Raleigh 7 8 935 77 6 8.24%
  Downton 2 Total   19 27 3,697 201 20 5.44%
T-20 Top Gun 2 (EA) Jacksonville 5 7 961 129 129 13.42%
    Phoenix 1 1 208 42 42 20.19%
    Raleigh 2 2 412 98 98 23.79%
  Top Gun 2 (EA) Total   8 10 1,581 269 269 17.01%
T-21 Top Gun 2 (EA) Jacksonville 2 2 245 33 33 13.47%
    Phoenix 2 2 434 13 13 3.00%
    Raleigh 1 1 118 2 2 1.69%
  Top Gun 2 (EA) Total   5 5 797 48 48 6.02%
T-22 Top Gun 2 Jacksonville 7 111 18,617 266 266 1.43%
    Phoenix 6 68 13,195 232 232 1.76%
    Raleigh 8 69 8,017 226 226 2.82%
  Top Gun 2 Total   21 248 39,829 724 724 1.82%

 

Didn't have time to pull JW today; on vacation and internet is soo slow.  Really good start for Top Gun though!

 

DS2 final sales (T-1 hour) comps

 - Eternals - 3.413x (32.425m)

 - Shang-Chi - 4.473x (39.36m)

 - Black Widow - 2.491x (32.44m)

 - No Way Home - .529x (26.435m)

 

My last Batman run was preview morning - Thu + EA comp is at 35.056m

 

DS2 T-1 comps

 - Spider-Man - .657x (32.87m)

 - Black Widow - 3.923x (51.78m)

 - Batman (Thu) - 2.496x (43.93m)

 - Batman + EA - 1.942x (41.95m)

 - Eternals - 5.366x (50.98m)

 

Downton EA T-14 comps

 - Sonic EA - .1.13x (1.439m)

 - NTTD EA - 1.434x (1.577m)

 

Downton T-15 comps

 - No Time to Die - .568x (2.95m)

 - F9 - .372x (2.64m)

 - Sonic 2 - .666x (3.31m)

 

Top Gun 2 (Thu) day 1 comps

 - Eternals - .949x (9.01m)

 - Shang-Chi - 1.25x (10.98m)

 - Black Widow - .817x (10.79m)

 

Top Gun 2 (Thu) T-22 comps

 - Black Widow - .559x (7.38m)

 - Eternals - .817x (7.76m)

Day Movie Area TC Shows Seats Sold New* % Sold
T-12 Downton 2 (EA) Jacksonville 6 6 783 33 4 4.21%
    Phoenix 6 6 606 19 2 3.14%
    Raleigh 8 8 789 95 22 12.04%
  Downton 2 (EA) Total   20 20 2,178 147 28 6.75%
T-13 Downton 2 Jacksonville 6 11 1,550 70 2 4.52%
    Phoenix 6 8 1,212 59 3 4.87%
    Raleigh 7 10 1,093 87 10 7.96%
  Downton 2 Total   19 29 3,855 216 15 5.60%
T-18 Top Gun 2 (EA) Jacksonville 5 7 961 180 51 18.73%
    Phoenix 1 1 208 64 22 30.77%
    Raleigh 2 2 412 152 54 36.89%
  Top Gun 2 (EA) Total   8 10 1,581 396 127 25.05%
T-19 Top Gun 2 (EA) Jacksonville 2 2 245 69 36 28.16%
    Phoenix 2 2 434 69 56 15.90%
    Raleigh 1 1 118 30 28 25.42%
  Top Gun 2 (EA) Total   5 5 797 168 120 21.08%
T-20 Top Gun 2 Jacksonville 7 111 18,617 438 172 2.35%
    Phoenix 6 68 13,195 338 106 2.56%
    Raleigh 8 69 8,176 364 138 4.45%
  Top Gun 2 Total   21 248 39,988 1,140 416 2.85%
T-34 JW3 Dominion Jacksonville 6 105 15,656 372 22 2.38%
    Phoenix 6 93 15,960 368 49 2.31%
    Raleigh 8 65 7,415 358 62 4.83%
  JW3 Dominion Total   20 263 39,031 1,098 133 2.81%
T-34 JW3+JP Jacksonville 2 2 225 93 22 41.33%
    Phoenix 5 5 564 219 29 38.83%
    Raleigh 2 2 188 84 2 44.68%
  JW3+JP Total   9 9 977 396 53 40.53%
T-6 Firestarter Jacksonville 6 16 1,864 12 12 0.64%
    Phoenix 6 16 1,724 7 7 0.41%
    Raleigh 7 17 1,504 14 14 0.93%
  Firestarter Total   19 49 5,092 33 33 0.65%

*New sales since Wednesday (except for JW3 which are from Tuesday).

 

Firestarter T-6 comps

 - Candyman - .347x (660k)

 - Resident Evil - .623x (582k)

 - The Night House - 2.357x (613k)

 

Downton EA T-12 comps

 - Sonic EA - .1.34x (1.697m)

 - NTTD EA - 1.4x (1.54m)

 

Downton T-13 comps

 - No Time to Die - .527x (2.74m)

 - F9 - .337x (2.4m)

 - Sonic 2 - .6x (2.99m)

 

Top Gun 2 (Thu) T-20 comps

 - Black Widow - .798x (10.53m)

 - Batman (Thu) - .62x (10.88m)

 - Eternals - missed

 - F9 - 3.35x (23.81m)

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Inceptionzq Box Office Gold

Inceptionzq

Posted
Posted
23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Doctor Strange 2 Megaplex

 

T-2 Saturday(329 showings): 9281(+1443)/79373

1.81x Batman T-2 (78.11M)

0.494x NWH T-2 (36.54M)

 

T-3 Sunday(318 showings): 2543(+348)/77168

1.95x Batman T-3 (66.73M)

0.533x NWH T-3 (34.19M)

Doctor Strange 2 Megaplex

 

T-1 Saturday(331 showings): 11841(+2560)/79673

1.54x Batman T-1 (66.44M)

0.507x NWH T-1 (37.43M)

 

T-2 Sunday(318 showings): 3184(+643)/77168

1.58x Batman T-2 (54.05M)

0.497x NWH T-2 (31.88M)

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Inceptionzq Box Office Gold

Inceptionzq

Posted
Posted
23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Doctor Strange 2 Drafthouse

 

T-2 Saturday(537 showings): 33602(+3318)/69445 ATP: $14.31

1.25x Batman T-2 (54.15M)

0.898x NWH T-2 (66.36M)

 

T-3 Sunday(473 showings): 20471(+2685)/62500 ATP: $14.17

1.38x Batman T-3 (47.01M)

0.867x NWH T-3 (55.62M)

Doctor Strange 2 Drafthouse

 

T-1 Saturday(550 showings): 39102(+5500)/69506 ATP: $14.23

1.18x Batman T-1 (51.24M)

0.893x NWH T-1 (65.97M)

 

T-2 Sunday(486 showings): 24616(+4145)/62500 ATP: $14.11

1.26x Batman T-2 (43.12M)

0.830x NWH T-2 (53.24M)

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Inceptionzq Box Office Gold

Inceptionzq

Posted
Posted
On 5/3/2022 at 3:44 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Jurassic World Dominion Denver Thursday Showings

AMC Westminster 24

Total 211 2320 9.09%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total 266 3250 8.18%

 

SEATS SOLD SOLD PAST 4 DAYS TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS
1007 247 24034 4.19% 15 147

 

AMCs sold 795
Cinemarks sold 85
Regals sold 66
Harkins sold 61

Jurassic World Dominion Denver Thursday Showings

AMC Westminster 24

Total 231 2320 9.96%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total 285 3250 8.77%

 

SEATS SOLD SOLD PAST 3 DAYS TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS
1106 99 24034 4.60% 15 147

 

AMCs sold 868
Cinemarks sold 95
Regals sold 78
Harkins sold 65
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Inceptionzq Box Office Gold

Inceptionzq

Posted
Posted
On 5/3/2022 at 3:46 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Jurassic World Dominion Megaplex

 

T-37 Thursday(91 showings): 611(+182)/30961

 

T-38 Friday(150 showings): 427(+167)/43519

 

T-39 Saturday(158 showings): 321(+128)/45546

 

T-40 Sunday(144 showings): 57(+27)/41066

 

Jurassic World Dominion Megaplex

 

T-34 Thursday(91 showings): 725(+114)/26260

 

T-35 Friday(150 showings): 554(+127)/43519

 

T-36 Saturday(158 showings): 360(+39)/45546

 

T-37 Sunday(144 showings): 63(+6)/41066

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