The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

[Nikostar]

21 minutes ago, el sid said:

And a very long counting in short form:
Black Panther: Wakanda Forever had, counted today and yesterday (the first 5 theaters are from yesterday, I completely underestimated how long it will take):
 

For Thursday, November 10 3.651 sold tickets.
Comps: BW had with ca. 1 month left 300 sold tickets in 4 of these 7 theaters (in NY, Michigan, Texas and Arizona). Black Panther: Wakanda Forever has in the same 4 theaters 706 sold tickets = x2.35 = 188M + it's no Disney+ Day and Date release, which would of course mean (way) more than 200M OW (I admit that's a very rough comp ).
And SC's final presales number was 3.617.
 

And for Friday, November 11 it had 2.442 sold tickets.
Comps: SC's final presales number was 3.740 sold tickets
and TSS had with 20 days left 292 sold tickets (with an unpopular predecessor and HBO Max).
 

Looks promising to me.

Definitely looks promising.

[Eric Prime]

15 hours ago, Eric the Crocodile said:

Lyle, Lyle Crocodile Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-1 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	58	57	8745	0.65%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 14

 

Comp

0.212x of The Boss Baby 2 T-1 (277K)

0.182x of Jungle Crusie T-1 (492K)

0.543x of The Addams Family 2 T-1 (298K)

1.965x of Ron's Gone Wrong T-1 (472K0

0.184x of Encanto T-1 (277K)

0.375x of The Bad Guys T-1 (431K)

0.826x of Paws of Fury T-1 (417K)

0.199x of Super Pets T-1 (438K)

Lyle, Lyle Crocodile Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report Final Count

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	58	150	8745	1.72%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 93

 

Comp

0.196x of The Boss Baby 2 (257K)

0.190x of Jungle Cruise (514K)

0.785x of The Addams Family 2 (432K)

1.724x of Ron's Gone Wrong (414K)

0.221x of Encanto (332K)

0.400x of The Bad Guys (460K)

0.904x of Paws of Fury (456K)

0.176x of Super Pets (387K)

 

None of the people in this movie are abusive assaulters, so...no karma.

[filmlover]

NGL it would be hilarious if Amsterdam ended up pulling a Suburbicon or Serenity and just flat-out flopped. I'd say I feel sorry for that overqualified cast that deserves better but hey, 1) at least they got paid (most of them for what was probably just a few minutes of screen time) and 2) nobody will remember this movie even exists by Thanksgiving, so it's all moot.

Edited October 6, 2022 by filmlover

[CJohn]

I still think Amsterdam will tank with 6-7M OW.

 

My hopes of Lyle hitting 20M OW are gone as well. 

[filmlover]

6 minutes ago, CJohn said:

I still think Amsterdam will tank with 6-7M OW.

Its sales are absolutely miserable for tomorrow near me and this is the kind of movie that would do well in my area. Think it's more likely than not to hit that at this point tbh.

[filmlover]

November 4 now has a wide release after all: Armageddon Time (originally was supposed to expand on the 4th before going wide on the 11th).

 

Armageddon Time | Official Web Site | Trailers and Release Dates | Focus Features

[motionpic05]

Amsterdam looks like an utter disaster in my area. 

There's no way this gets over $10 million this weekend.

[Goldenhour36]

18 hours ago, Goldenhour36 said:

 

 

Lyle, Lyle, Crocodile (T-2) 

 

Thursday 

 

Show Format	Number of Showings	Sold-Out Showings	Number of Tickets Sold	Number of Seats	Percentage of Seats Sold
Dolby Cinema (AMC DINE-IN Disney Springs 24)	2	0	54	562	9.61%
Laser at AMC (AMC DINE-IN Disney Springs 24)	1	0	3	360	0.83%
Standard (Island Cinemas-St.Simon)	2	0	0	484	0.00%
Standard (Valdosta Cinemas)	3	0	5	453	1.10%

 

Friday 

 

Show Format	Number of Showings	Sold-Out Showings	Number of Tickets Sold	Number of Seats	Percentage of Seats Sold
Dolby Cinema (AMC DINE-IN Disney Springs 24)	2	0	36	562	6.41%
Laser at AMC (AMC DINE-IN Disney Springs 24)	5	0	36	1734	2.08%
Standard (Island Cinemas-St.Simon)	3	0	0	726	0.00%
Standard (Valdosta Cinemas)	4	0	10	604	1.66%
GTX (Valdosta Cinemas)	2	0	0	524	0.00%

 

Total: 144 Tickets sold, 2.40% of seats (6009) are sold (77.08% Increase) 

 

Comps 

DC League of Super-Pets (T-2): 291 Tickets sold, 2.77% of seats (10495) were sold (x0.495) ($4,617,177) 

Vengeance (T-2): 123 Tickets sold, 14.35% of seats (857) were sold    

(x1.171) ($771,015) 

Easter Sunday (T-2): 53 Tickets sold, 5.79% of seats (916) were sold  

(x2.717) ($5,523,783) 

 

 

 

Lyle, Lyle, Crocodile (Final Tracking) (Previews start at 3:00 PM) 

 

Thursday 

 

Show Format	Number of Showings	Sold-Out Showings	Number of Tickets Sold	Number of Seats	Percentage of Seats Sold
Dolby Cinema (AMC DINE-IN Disney Springs 24)	2	0	69	562	12.28%
Laser at AMC (AMC DINE-IN Disney Springs 24)	1	0	4	360	1.11%
Standard (Island Cinemas-St.Simon)	2	0	0	484	0.00%
Standard (Valdosta Cinemas)	3	0	7	453	1.55%

 

Friday 

 

Show Format	Number of Showings	Sold-Out Showings	Number of Tickets Sold	Number of Seats	Percentage of Seats Sold
Dolby Cinema (AMC DINE-IN Disney Springs 24)	2	0	43	562	7.65%
Laser at AMC (AMC DINE-IN Disney Springs 24)	5	0	47	1734	2.71%
Standard (Island Cinemas- St.Simon)	3	0	4	726	0.55%
Standard (Valdosta Cinemas)	4	0	11	604	1.82%
GTX (Valdosta Cinemas)	2	0	0	524	0.00%

 

Total: 185 Tickets sold, 3.08% of seats (6009) are sold (28.47% Increase) 

 

Comps 

DC League of Super-Pets (Final Tracking): 421 Tickets sold, 4.01% of seats (10425) were sold (x0.467) ($4,356,004) 

Vengeance (Final Tracking): 152 Tickets sold, 17.74% of seats (857) were sold (x1.217) ($801,303) 

Easter Sunday (Final Tracking): 69 Tickets sold, 2.52% of seats (2740) were sold (x2.681) ($5,450,593) 

 

Final Projection Calculation 

Average Comps: $3,535,966 

Average Internal Multiplier: x2.61 (9,228,871) 

 

Note: My Projection predicted that the movie will open up to $9.2M, which is slightly under Sony Projection of $10-12M but I think the movie can open up to $15M due to it being the fall season and the first major family movie since DC League of Super-Pets. 

 

 

 

Edited October 7, 2022 by Goldenhour36

[Inceptionzq]

On 10/4/2022 at 6:38 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Black Adam Denver Thursday Showings

AMC Westminster 24

Total

112

1482

7.56%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

77

1436

5.36%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST DAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
442	36	20747	2.13%	15	99

 

AMCs sold	337
Cinemarks sold	57
Regals sold	23
Harkins sold	25

 

0.246x Jurassic World 3 T-16 (4.43M)

0.142x Batman T-16 (3.07M)

0.370x Eternals T-16 (3.51M)

1.81x Suicide Squad T-16 (7.43M)

Black Adam Denver Thursday Showings

AMC Westminster 24

Total

121

1482

8.16%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

79

1436

5.50%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST 2 DAYS	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
484	42	20747	2.33%	15	99

 

AMCs sold	360
Cinemarks sold	68
Regals sold	28
Harkins sold	28

 

0.364x Eternals T-14 (3.46M)

1.82x Suicide Squad T-14 (7.46M)

 

No Jurassic World or Batman comp today

[CJohn]

35 minutes ago, filmlover said:

November 4 now has a wide release after all: Armageddon Time (originally was supposed to expand on the 4th before going wide on the 11th).

 

Armageddon Time | Official Web Site | Trailers and Release Dates | Focus Features

I think One Piece Red will also be wide even if BOM has it as limited.

[Inceptionzq]

On 10/4/2022 at 6:44 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Black Adam Megaplex

 

T-16 Thursday(68 showings): 293(+22)/22864

0.206x Jurassic World 3 T-16 (3.71M)

0.075x Batman T-16 (1.62M)

0.307x Eternals T-16 (2.91M)

 

T-17 Friday(111 showings): 236(+63)/38878

0.178x Jurassic World 3 T-17 (7.40M)

0.186x Batman T-17 (6.49M)

0.369x Eternals T-17 (7.88M)

 

T-18 Saturday(105 showings): 194(+36)/37304

0.203x Jurassic World 3 T-18 (9.52M)

0.326x Batman T-18 (14.10M)

0.604x Eternals T-18 (14.58M)

 

T-19 Sunday(102 showings): 72(+10)/35906

0.273x Jurassic World 3 T-19 (10.54M)

0.615x Batman T-19 (21.01M)

0.911x Eternals T-19 (14.88M)

Black Adam Megaplex [+2 days of sales]

 

T-14 Thursday(68 showings): 343(+50)/22864

0.324x Eternals T-14 (3.08M)

 

T-15 Friday(111 showings): 266(+30)/38878

0.318x Eternals T-15 (6.78M)

 

T-16 Saturday(105 showings): 232(+38)/37304

0.617x Eternals T-16 (14.88M)

 

T-17 Sunday(102 showings): 72(+0)/35906

0.766x Eternals T-17 (12.51M)

Edited October 8, 2022 by Inceptionzq

[Inceptionzq]

On 10/4/2022 at 6:50 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Black Adam Alamo Drafthouse

 

T-16 Thursday(111 showings): 1091(+96)/17669 ATP: $15.33

0.263x Jurassic World 3 T-16 (4.74M)

0.151x Batman T-16 (2.66M, Thurs only)

0.277x Eternals T-16 (2.64M)

 

T-17 Friday(132 showings): 795(+59)/21196 ATP: $15.66

0.208x Jurassic World 3 T-17 (8.65M)

0.114x Batman T-17 (4.00M)

0.256x Eternals T-17 (5.46M)

 

T-18 Saturday(139 showings): 878(+84)/22286 ATP: $14.80

0.234x Jurassic World 3 T-18 (10.97M)

0.145x Batman T-18 (6.28M)

0.281x Eternals T-18 (6.79M)

 

T-19 Sunday(118 showings): 256(+26)/18818 ATP: $13.67

0.155x Jurassic World 3 T-19 (5.97M)

0.104x Batman T-19 (3.55M)

0.151x Eternals T-19 (2.47M)

Black Adam Alamo Drafthouse [+2 days of sales]

 

T-14 Thursday(111 showings): 1242(+151)/17669 ATP: $15.35

0.283x Eternals T-14 (2.69M)

 

T-15 Friday(132 showings): 954(+159)/21196 ATP: $15.61

0.255x Eternals T-15 (5.45M)

 

T-16 Saturday(139 showings): 1046(+168)/22286 ATP: $14.91

0.275x Eternals T-16 (6.64M)

 

T-17 Sunday(118 showings): 321(+65)/18818 ATP: $13.64

0.148x Eternals T-17 (2.41M)

[Inceptionzq]

On 10/4/2022 at 6:53 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Black Panther Wakanda Forever Denver Thursday Showings

AMC Westminster 24

Total

493

3301

14.93%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

324

2758

11.75%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST DAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
2131	372	31920	6.68%	15	220

 

AMCs sold	1405
Cinemarks sold	388
Regals sold	166
Harkins sold	172

 

0.663x Thor L&T Day 2 (19.22M)

0.418x Doctor Strange MoM Day 2 (15.06M)

0.785x Batman Day 2 (16.96M)

Black Panther Wakanda Forever Denver Thursday Showings

AMC Westminster 24

Total

527

3301

15.96%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

356

2758

12.91%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST 2 DAYS	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
2347	216	31920	7.35%	15	220

 

AMCs sold	1506
Cinemarks sold	438
Regals sold	191
Harkins sold	212

 

0.640x Thor L&T Day 4 (18.57M)

0.774x Batman Day 4 (16.73M)

 

No Doctor Strange comp. Tomorrow will be the last day of Day X comps, then we'll just have to wait for the T-X comps

[Inceptionzq]

On 10/4/2022 at 7:01 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Black Panther Wakanda Forever Megaplex

 

T-37 Thursday(86 showings): 1362(+359)/26721

0.499x Thor L&T Day 2 (14.46M)

0.272x Doctor Strange MoM Day 2 (9.79M)

0.381x Batman Day 2 (8.22M)

 

T-38 Friday(162 showings): 652(+188)/45630

0.516x Thor L&T Day 2 (25.57M)

0.293x Doctor Strange MoM Day 2 (16.04M)

0.642x Batman Day 2 (22.48M)

 

T-39 Saturday(149 showings): 291(+106)/43450

0.504x Thor L&T Day 2 (21.22M)

0.292x Doctor Strange MoM Day 2 (16.91M)

0.637x Batman Day 2 (27.55M)

 

T-40 Sunday(137 showings): 48(+18)/41486

0.273x Thor L&T Day 2 (8.87M)

0.255x Doctor Strange MoM Day 2 (9.93M)

0.667x Batman Day 2 (22.76M)

Black Panther Wakanda Forever Megaplex [+2 days of sales]

 

T-35 Thursday(98 showings): 1600(+238)/28944

0.490x Thor L&T Day 4 (14.20M)

0.423x Batman Day 4 (9.14M)

 

T-36 Friday(157 showings): 750(+98)/44420

0.467x Thor L&T Day 4 (23.14M)

0.651x Batman Day 4 (22.79M)

 

T-37 Saturday(149 showings): 369(+78)/43450

0.477x Thor L&T Day 4 (20.09M)

0.653x Batman Day 4 (28.25M)

 

T-38 Sunday(137 showings): 61(+13)/41486

0.288x Thor L&T Day 4 (9.36M)

0.570x Batman Day 4 (19.46M)

[Inceptionzq]

On 10/4/2022 at 7:07 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Black Panther Wakanda Forever Alamo Drafthouse

 

T-37 Thursday(219 showings): 7821(+1422)/30510 ATP: $16.12

0.909x Thor L&T Day 2 (26.36M)

0.644x Doctor Strange MoM Day 2 (23.18M)

1.20x Batman Day 2 (21.18M, Thurs only)

 

T-38 Friday(327 showings): 6449(+1540)/46457 ATP: $16.00

1.08x Thor L&T Day 2 (53.51M)

0.728x Doctor Strange MoM Day 2 (39.84M)

1.06x Batman Day 2 (37.22M)

 

T-39 Saturday(330 showings): 5136(+1472)/47364 ATP: $15.45

0.993x Thor L&T Day 2 (41.82M)

0.608x Doctor Strange MoM Day 2 (35.16M)

1.04x Batman Day 2 (44.87M)

 

T-40 Sunday(319 showings): 2104(+811)/45087 ATP: $15.27

0.894x Thor L&T Day 2 (29.06M)

0.684x Doctor Strange MoM Day 2 (26.58M)

1.12x Batman Day 2 (38.39M)

Black Panther Wakanda Forever Alamo Drafthouse [+2 days of sales]

 

T-35 Thursday(219 showings): 8828(+1007)/30510 ATP: $16.10

0.946x Thor L&T Day 4 (27.42M)

1.24x Batman Day 4 (21.79M, Thurs only)

 

T-36 Friday(327 showings): 8229(+1780)/46457 ATP: $15.88

1.21x Thor L&T Day 4 (59.96M)

1.22x Batman Day 4 (42.71M)

 

T-37 Saturday(330 showings): 6637(+1501)/47364 ATP: $15.44

1.10x Thor L&T Day 4 (46.32M)

1.17x Batman Day 4 (50.58M)

 

T-38 Sunday(319 showings): 3010(+906)/45087 ATP: $15.27

1.05x Thor L&T Day 4 (34.13M)

1.31x Batman Day 4 (44.83M)

[filmlover]

Next week's theater counts from The Numbers:

 

Halloween Ends: 3,800

TAR: 30

[charlie Jatinder]

Harkins THU

 

Amsterdam - 681/15956 (63 showings) $8,138

Lyle, Crocodile - 1300/23800 (95 showings) $12,873

 

Amsterdam looks like may crawl to $500K or just lower. Lyle likely around $700K ish.

 

Weekend Amsterdam $6M ish. Lyle $12-15M.

[ringedmortality]

20 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Harkins THU

 

Amsterdam - 681/15956 (63 showings) $8,138

Lyle, Crocodile - 1300/23800 (95 showings) $12,873

 

Amsterdam looks like may crawl to $500K or just lower. Lyle likely around $700K ish.

 

Weekend Amsterdam $6M ish. Lyle $12-15M.

 

So Amsterdam is gonna have a better IM than Bros?

[Eric Prime]

22 hours ago, Eric the Crocodile said:

Halloween Ends Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-8 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	76	783	15294	5.12%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 52

 

Comp

1.117x of A Quiet Place Part II Thu+Fri T-8 (21.63M)

2.462x of The Conjuring 3 T-8 (24.14M)

1.406x of Halloween Kills T-8 (6.82M)

1.624x of Scream T-8 (5.69M)

Halloween Ends Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-7 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	76	856	15294	5.60%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 73

 

Comp

1.079x of A Quiet Place Part II Thu+Fri T-7 (20.91M)

2.446x of The Conjuring 3 T-7 (23.98M)

1.394x of Halloween Kills T-7 (6.76M)

1.702x of Scream T-7 (5.96M)

[Eric Prime]

22 hours ago, Eric the Crocodile said:

Black Adam Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-15 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	84	620	17553	3.53%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 51

 

Comp

0.883x of F9 T-15 (6.27M)

0.351x of Black Widow T-15 (4.63M)

2.490x of The Suicide Squad T-15 (10.21M)

0.748x of Shang-Chi T-15 (6.58M)

1.123x of Venom 2 T-15 (13.03M)

1.165x of No Time to Die T-15 (7.34M)

0.430x of Eternals T-15 (4.08M)

1.168x of Morbius T-15 (6.65M)

1.732x of Fantastic Beasts 3 T-15 (10.39M)

0.387x of Jurassic Wrold 3 T-15 (6.97M)

Black Adam Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-14 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	84	657	17553	3.74%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 37

 

Comp

0.355x of Black Widow T-14 (4.69M)

2.498x of The Suicide Squad T-14 (10.24M)

0.741x of Shang-Chi T-14 (6.52M)

1.038x of Venom 2 T-14 (12.04M)

1.163x of No Time to Die T-14 (7.32M)

0.441x of Eternals T-14 (4.19M)

1.143x of Morbius T-14 (6.51M)

1.493x of Fantastic Beasts 3 T-14 (8.96M)

0.392x of Jurassic World 3 T-14 (7.06M)