The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

[Eric Lasagna]

On 11/29/2022 at 1:05 AM, Eric Claus said:

Puss in Boots: The Last Wish Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-23 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	73	481	11535	4.17%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 0

Total Seats WITHOUT Early Access: 14

 

Comp w/ Early Access

0.329x of Sing 2 T-23 (3.21M)

1.971x of Sonic 2 T-23 (12.32M)

10.234x of Minions 2 T-23 (110.01M)

 

Comp w/out Early Access

0.269x of Sing 2 T-23 (2.19M)

0.057x of Sonic 2 T-23 (359K)

0.298x of Minions 2 T-23 (3.2M)

 

Still not sure why I was requested to separate out the Early Access shows, but...here you go I guess.

Puss in Boots: The Last Wish Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-22 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	73	489	11535	4.24%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 8

Total Seats WITHOUT Early Access: 22

 

Comp w/ Early Access

0.334x of Sing 2 T-22 (3.25M)

1.716x of Sonic 2 T-22 (10.72M)

10.404x of Minions 2 T-22 (111.85M)

 

Comp w/out Early Access

0.386x of Sing 2 T-22 (3.14M)

0.077x of Sonic 2 T-22 (482K)

0.468x of Minions 2 T-22 (5.03M)

[Eric Lasagna]

On 11/29/2022 at 1:06 AM, Eric Claus said:

[katnisscinnaplex]

On 11/22/2022 at 11:47 AM, katnisscinnaplex said:

Santikos Tracking

 

By format

 

Day	Movie	Format	Shows	New	Sold	True Cap	% Sold	ATP	Gross
T-23	Avatar 2	PLF	43	654	654	6,710	9.75%	$16.57	$10,834.87
		Standard	15	120	120	2,106	5.70%	$12.39	$1,486.33
	Total		58	774	774	8,816	8.78%	$15.92	$12,321.20

 

By matinee

 

Day	Movie	Mat	Shows	New	Sold	True Cap	% Sold	ATP	Gross
T-23	Avatar 2	N	37	641	641	5,693	11.26%	$16.71	$10,709.69
		Y	21	133	133	3,123	4.26%	$12.12	$1,611.51
	Total		58	774	774	8,816	8.78%	$15.92	$12,321.20

 

Day 1 comps

 - NWH - .058x (2.92m)

 - Batman - .34x (7.14m)

 - Thor 4 - .215x (6.235m)

 - DS2 - .147x (5.31m)

 - BP2 - .324x (9.07m)

 

Pretty slow start.  Most of these starting with just 4-6 shows with the majority being 3d/PLF.  

Santikos Tracking

 

By format

 

Day	Movie	Format	Shows	New	Sold	True Cap	% Sold	ATP	Gross
T-15	Avatar 2	PLF	43	798*	1,452	6,710	21.64%	$16.09	$23,358.17
		Standard	15	148*	268	2,106	12.73%	$12.31	$3,298.22
	Total		58	946	1,720	8,816	19.51%	$15.50	$26,656.39
T-16	Avatar 2 (Fri)	PLF	63	1,127	1,127	10,002	11.27%	$16.54	$18,646.14
		Standard	21	250	250	3,024	8.27%	$12.49	$3,121.28
	Total		84	1,377	1,377	13,026	10.57%	$15.81	$21,767.42
T-17	Avatar 2 (Sat)	PLF	60	1,224	1,224	9,327	13.12%	$15.40	$18,855.56
		Standard	21	290	290	3,024	9.59%	$10.74	$3,113.47
	Total		81	1,514	1,514	12,351	12.26%	$14.51	$21,969.03
T-18	Avatar 2 (Sun)	PLF	63	653	653	10,002	6.53%	$15.14	$9,888.69
		Standard	21	149	149	3,024	4.93%	$9.84	$1,465.69
	Total		84	802	802	13,026	6.16%	$14.16	$11,354.38

 

By matinee

 

Day	Movie	Mat	Shows	New	Sold	True Cap	% Sold	ATP	Gross
T-15	Avatar 2	N	37	747*	1,388	5,693	24.38%	$16.29	$22,607.00
		Y	21	199*	332	3,123	10.63%	$12.20	$4,049.39
	Total		58	946	1,720	8,816	19.51%	$15.50	$26,656.39
T-16	Avatar 2 (Fri)	N	37	1,138	1,138	6,105	18.64%	$16.62	$18,912.62
		Y	47	239	239	6,921	3.45%	$11.94	$2,854.80
	Total		84	1,377	1,377	13,026	10.57%	$15.81	$21,767.42
T-17	Avatar 2 (Sat)	N	36	691	691	5,880	11.75%	$17.62	$12,172.70
		Y	45	823	823	6,471	12.72%	$11.90	$9,796.33
	Total		81	1,514	1,514	12,351	12.26%	$14.51	$21,969.03
T-18	Avatar 2 (Sun)	N	37	274	274	6,105	4.49%	$18.72	$5,129.55
		Y	47	528	528	6,921	7.63%	$11.79	$6,224.83
	Total		84	802	802	13,026	6.16%	$14.16	$11,354.38

*Previews new sales since 11/22

 

Avatar previews T-15 comps

 - NWH - .125x (6.255m)

 - Batman - missed

 - Thor 4 - missed

 - DS2 - .183x (6.579m)

 - BP2 - missed

 - Top Gun 2 - 1.412x (20.76m)

 

Avatar Fri T-16 comps

 - NWH - .133x (9.574m)

 

Don't have any comps this far out for weekend sales unfortunately.  

[Old Spice]

T-15 Salt Lake Valley update for Avatar 2: The Way of Water.

 

Preview Night:

Cinemark Sugarhouse (SLC, non-PLF) 63 (+16)

Cinemark Draper XD 111 (+17)

Cinemark Farmington XD 181 (+7)

Total Tix Sold: 355 (+40), increase of 12.7% from 48 hours ago.

 

Current A2 presale as a % of FINAL presale:

Nope 118%

Black Adam 107%

B.P. Wakanda 29.1%

 

Current A2 presale as a % of FINAL presale, Sugarhouse only:

JW: Dominion 17.3%

The Batman 14.9%

Thor: L&T 12.6%

 

Still chugging along. Nice bump in Sugarhouse. The one 2d showing there (vs six 3Ds) accounts for 27% of the tickets sold, but that's down from 36% two days ago.

[Tinalera]

Will be posting East Canada today, but then Im away for the weekend so no posting again till probably Tues. 

[GOGODanca]

T-15 Avatar Way of the Water Premiere night sales:

 

1431 total tickets sold

 

1164 PLF (81.3%)

115   3D.  (8.1%)

152  2D.   (10.6%)

 

Comps:

2.41 * (T-15) Black Adam = $18.3m

.45* (BPWF after 9 days of presales) = $12.7m

 

Fri Sales:

 

1099 tickets sold

 

801 PLF (72.9%)

108 3D  (9.8%)

190 2D. (17.3%)

 

Sat and Sun Sales (Only tracking PLFs)

 

685 PLF

 

351 PLF

 

Edited November 30, 2022 by GOGODanca

[Tinalera]

Avatar 2 

Eastern Canada (no comps)

Thurs Dec 15 (Taken Nov 30)

 

	# theatre	#show	Seats Sold	Seats Rem	Ttl seat	Percent
Quebec	4	19	612	4449	5061	0.1209
Nova Sc	5	12	273	3715	3284	0.0831
New B	4	11	76	2586	2678	0.0283
St Jon NF	1	4	67	849	916	0.0731

 

Minor adjustment in Nova Scotia, had a duplicate of a theatre so one taken away, came out to 1 extra theatre with one less show. 

[Inceptionzq]

On 11/25/2022 at 3:50 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Avatar The Way of Water Denver Thursday Showings

AMC Westminster 24

Total

405

2354

17.20%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

275

1774

15.50%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST 2 DAYS	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
1654	299	24555	6.74%	15	161

 

AMCs sold	1068
Cinemarks sold	228
Regals sold	210
Harkins sold	148

 

0.433x Thor L&T T-20 (12.55M)

1.07x Jurassic World 3 T-20 (19.32M)

0.868x Top Gun 2 T-20 (16.71M)

1.69x Eternals T-20 (16.07M)

Avatar The Way of Water Denver Thursday Showings

AMC Westminster 24

Total

542

2354

23.02%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

344

1774

19.39%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST 4 DAYS	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
2213	559	24555	9.01%	15	161

 

AMCs sold	1405
Cinemarks sold	315
Regals sold	289
Harkins sold	204

 

1.23x Jurassic World 3 T-16 (22.18M)

0.878x Top Gun 2 T-16 (16.91M)

0.711x Batman T-16 (15.36M)

1.85x Eternals T-16 (17.58M)

 

This was counted about 18 hours ago. Same goes for Megaplex and Drafthouse

[Inceptionzq]

On 11/25/2022 at 3:57 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Avatar The Way of Water Megaplex [+2 days of sales]

 

T-20 Thursday(108 showings): 1754(+314)/25833

0.513x Thor L&T T-20 (14.87M)

0.941x Top Gun 2 T-20 (18.12M)

 

T-21 Friday(156 showings): 1550(+323)/37765

0.901x Thor L&T T-21 (36.52M)

0.849x Top Gun 2 T-21 (32.28M)

 

T-22 Saturday(154 showings): 1690(+422)/39553

2.04x Thor L&T T-22 (85.95M)

1.64x Top Gun 2 T-22 (62.35M)

 

T-23 Sunday(175 showings): 652(+204)/44851

2.56x Thor L&T T-23 (83.10M)

3.47x Top Gun 2 T-23 (127.28M)

Avatar The Way of Water Megaplex [+4 days of sales]

 

T-16 Thursday(110 showings): 2194(+440)/26311

0.792x Top Gun 2 T-16 (15.26M)

0.561x Batman T-16 (12.12M)

2.36x Dune T-16 (12.02M)

 

T-17 Friday(158 showings): 2095(+545)/38860

0.797x Top Gun 2 T-17 (26.10M)

1.65x Batman T-17 (57.65M)

2.23x Dune T-17 (27.61M)

 

T-18 Saturday(154 showings): 2361(+671)/39553

1.41x Top Gun 2 T-18 (53.61M)

3.97x Batman T-18 

 

T-19 Sunday(175 showings): 1012(+360)/44851

2.74x Top Gun 2 T-19

8.65x Batman T-19

[Inceptionzq]

On 11/25/2022 at 4:04 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Avatar The Way of Water Alamo Drafthouse [+2 days of sales]

 

T-20 Thursday(127 showings): 2603(+505)/18613 ATP: $16.51

0.263x Thor L&T T-20 (6.59M)

0.701x Jurassic World 3 T-20 (12.62M)

1.29x Top Gun 2 Thurs only T-20 (19.74M)

 

T-21 Friday(193 showings): 3056(+600)/28426 ATP: $16.24

0.419x Thor L&T T-21 (16.97M)

0.960x Jurassic World 3 T-21 (39.93M)

1.42x Top Gun 2 T-21 (46.51M)

 

T-22 Saturday(199 showings): 3619(+836)/29268 ATP: $15.28

0.549x Thor L&T T-22 (23.10M)

1.14x Jurassic World 3 T-22 (53.45M)

2.05x Top Gun 2 T-22 (77.94M)

 

T-23 Sunday(194 showings): 1878(+576)/28335 ATP: $14.77

0.585x Thor L&T T-23 (19.03M)

1.45x Jurassic World 3 T-23 (56.02M)

2.41x Top Gun 2 T-23 (88.43M)

Avatar The Way of Water Alamo Drafthouse [+4 days of sales]

 

T-16 Thursday(127 showings): 3511(+908)/18613 ATP: $16.37

0.847x Jurassic World 3 T-16 (15.24M)

1.28x Top Gun 2 Thurs only T-16 (19.58M)

 

T-17 Friday(193 showings): 4143(+1087)/28426 ATP: $16.17

1.08x Jurassic World 3 T-17 (44.92M)

1.34x Top Gun 2 T-17 (43.89M)

 

T-18 Saturday(199 showings): 4980(+1361)/29268 ATP: $15.30

1.33x Jurassic World 3 T-18 (62.36M)

1.89x Top Gun 2 T-18 (71.86M)

 

T-19 Sunday(194 showings): 2754(+876)/28335 ATP: $14.95

1.66x Jurassic World 3 T-19 (64.23M)

2.36x Top Gun 2 T-19

[eridani]

Sooo, taking JWD as the closest match, are those comps suggesting a 180 million OW?

[hw64]

It's laughable how backloaded these presales are across the opening weekend.

[XXR vs XXR]

1 hour ago, eridani said:

Sooo, taking JWD as the closest match, are those comps suggesting a 180 million OW?

That particular set for Alamo Drafthouse is currently pointing to something around there, yes. 

[YSLDC]

1 hour ago, hw64 said:

It's laughable how backloaded these presales are across the opening weekend.

Why? It makes sense. It's a family movie. That's how most people remember it. People were dragging their family members to the theater back in 2009.

[XXR vs XXR]

1 minute ago, YSLDC said:

Why? It makes sense. It's a family movie. That's how most people remember it. People were dragging their family members to the theater back in 2009.

 

They didn't mean it in a negative way. 

[excel1]

Avatar was a family movie....?

[Eric Lasagna]

4 minutes ago, excel1 said:

Avatar was a family movie....?

The first Avatar got two Kids Choice Awards nominations and the toys are sold next to the Minions at Target. It's a kids movie.

[ringedmortality]

6 minutes ago, Eric Claus said:

The first Avatar got two Kids Choice Awards nominations

 

Nominated for Favorite Movie Actress for Zoe Saldana alongside Bullock for the Blind Side and Fox for Transformers. Losing to Miley Cyrus for Hannah Montana the Movie.

 

Also nominated for cutest couple. Nominated alongside Barack and Michelle Obama but losing to Taylor Lautner and Kristen Stewart.

[misterpepp]

Hearing Babylon tix on sale Tues, Dec 6.

[Eric Lasagna]

https://www.boxofficepro.com/weekend-box-office-forecast-violent-night-courts-sleeper-holiday-appeal-but-black-panther-wakanda-forever-will-wear-a-4th-crown/

 

Film	Distributor	3-Day Weekend Forecast	Projected Domestic Total through Sunday, December 4	Location Count Projection (as of Wed)	3-Day % Change from Last Wknd
Black Panther: Wakanda Forever	Disney & Marvel Studios	$22,800,000	$400,000,000	~4,000	-50%
Violent Night	Universal Pictures	$9,800,000	$9,800,000	~3,500	NEW
Strange World	Walt Disney Pictures	$5,900,000	$26,700,000	~4,174	-51%
Devotion	Sony / Columbia Pictures	$3,100,000	$14,000,000	~3,405	-47%
The Menu	Disney / Searchlight Pictures	$3,000,000	$23,900,000	~3,200	-45%
I Heard the Bells	Fathom Events	$2,300,000	$2,300,000	~1,200	NEW
Black Adam	Warner Bros. Pictures	$1,800,000	$165,300,000	~2,600	-45%
The Fabelmans	Universal Pictures	$1,400,000	$5,700,000	~750	-38%
Ticket to Paradise	Universal Pictures	$1,100,000	$66,700,000	~2,200	-41%
Top Gun: Maverick	Paramount Pictures	$1,000,000	$717,700,000	~2,000	n/a
The Quintessential Quintuplets Movie	Crunchyroll	$980,000	$980,000	~1,000	NEW
Bones and All	United Artists Releasing	$950,000	$5,700,000	~2,727	-58%