The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

[keysersoze123]

I added early shows numbers to initial data and it (Indy 5) definitely looks better. Let us not make any judgements just from early shows. It takes few days for us to get the big picture. This will have a good OW for sure. 

[Inceptionzq]

MI: Dead Reckoning Part 1 Denver Previews

AMC Westminster 24

Total

55

2035

2.70%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

75

1466

5.12%

 

Sunday: 24

Monday: 158

Tuesday:

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST DAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
237	N/A	22000	1.08%	13	108

[Inceptionzq]

MI: Dead Reckoning Part 1 Alamo Drafthouse

T-27 Tuesday

105 Showings

762

+762

17851

ATP:

8.78

 

T-28 Wednesday

108 Showings

245

+245

18727

ATP:

17.68

 

T-29 Thursday

117 Showings

268

+268

19700

ATP:

16.20

 

T-30 Friday

117 Showings

453

+453

19761

ATP:

16.56

 

T-31 Saturday

123 Showings

480

+480

20838

ATP:

16.41

 

Looks like Drafthouse is doing the discount day as well

[TheFlatLannister]

Tracking Mi7 is gonna be a headache. Cinepolis has EA on Monday, then Tuesday seems to be a full day of BO. Comping is going to be impossible

[Inceptionzq]

MI: Dead Reckoning Part 1 Emagine Entertainment

T-26 Monday	4 Showings	54	+54	989
T-27 Tuesday	160 Showings	164	+164	25284

 

T-28 Wednesday

204 Showings

44

+44

31830

 

T-29 Thursday

210 Showings

28

+28

33001

 

T-30 Friday

214 Showings

48

+48

34163

 

T-31 Saturday

215 Showings

40

+40

34290

[Inceptionzq]

23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Oppenheimer Denver Previews

AMC Westminster 24

Total

295

804

36.69%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

105

563

18.65%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST DAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
713	28	7876	9.05%	13	41

Oppenheimer Denver Previews

AMC Westminster 24

Total

307

804

38.18%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

107

563

19.01%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST DAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
729	16	7876	9.26%	13	41

[Inceptionzq]

23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Oppenheimer Alamo Drafthouse

T-37 Thursday

80 Showings

1847

+145

12248

ATP:

18.17

 

T-38 Friday

123 Showings

1542

+127

18750

ATP:

17.30

 

T-39 Saturday

114 Showings

1857

+129

17685

ATP:

18.28

 

T-40 Sunday

112 Showings

929

+98

17830

ATP:

18.32

Oppenheimer Alamo Drafthouse

T-36 Thursday

80 Showings

1938

+91

12116

ATP:

18.15

 

T-37 Friday

123 Showings

1645

+103

18750

ATP:

17.25

 

T-38 Saturday

117 Showings

1958

+101

18012

ATP:

18.12

 

T-39 Sunday

112 Showings

981

+52

17830

ATP:

18.20

[Inceptionzq]

23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Oppenheimer Emagine Entertainment

T-37 Thursday

72 Showings

309

+25

11931

 

T-38 Friday

123 Showings

145

+27

18353

 

T-39 Saturday

122 Showings

97

+17

18354

 

T-40 Sunday

120 Showings

24

+2

18122

Oppenheimer Emagine Entertainment

T-36 Thursday

76 Showings

318

+9

12597

 

T-37 Friday

132 Showings

157

+12

20124

 

T-38 Saturday

132 Showings

103

+6

20125

 

T-39 Sunday

130 Showings

27

+3

19893

[keysersoze123]

Walmart+ screenings for MI7 wont matter that much. There are only few shows and that too just standard format shows at 3PM. There wont be any MTC3 as they are not sold through Atom. 

[GOGODanca]

2 hours ago, TheFlatLannister said:

Is this good, bad or just meh for your market? 

haven't tracked that many cbm's but its comp vs black adam has been dropping consistently for the past couple days so not good

[GOGODanca]

Adding in Early Access to Tuesday shows, MI7 sold 387 tickets which is higher than (D-15) Indiana Jones, dollar comp is useless since MI7 is doing discounts on tuesday but still seems like a solid start

[excel1]

38 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

I added early shows numbers to initial data and it definitely looks better. Let us not make any judgements just from early shows. It takes few days for us to get the big picture. This will have a good OW for sure. 

 

Talking about flash? 🤞

[XXR & Friends]

Just now, excel1 said:

 

Talking about flash? 🤞

Still talking about MI7…

[excel1]

Just now, XXRkham Asylum said:

Still talking about MI7…

 

[GOGODanca]

So is it up to the individual theater as to whether MI7 tuesday tickets are discounted or not? I looked at some cinemark locations and most had normal pricing whereas some of the amc's im looking at are at a discount

[TheFlatLannister]

23 hours ago, TheFlatLannister said:

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

OPPENHEIMER

 

THURSDAY previews

 

T-37

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
70	772	12741	6.1%

^{*Numbers taken as of 6:00pm EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

20

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

OPPENHEIMER

 

THURSDAY previews

 

T-36

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
70	779	12741	6.1%

^{*Numbers taken as of 6:00pm EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

7

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

I feel like my script may have skipped a showing or two. Seats sold today feels low 

[Jayhawk the Hutt]

2 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

MI7 MTC1

Monday Early shows - 9149/53358 201153.31 217 shows 

previews(tuesday) - 12545/548109 243115.81 2679 shows 

 

its under a day but nothing crazy so far. I would not call it uber blockbuster level or anything. That said this may not behave like one. With a shorter PS cycle this could ramp faster. 

 

Edit: Added early shows data. It definitely looks lot better with early shows added. @Jayhawk the Hutt

Thanks for running it again!
 

Mission is a PLF heavy franchise and it will make what will be a subdued previews (due to Tuesday pricing) look a bit better because I think the PLF early access shows will get very close to selling out.

[TheFlatLannister]

23 hours ago, TheFlatLannister said:

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

The Flash

 

THURSDAY includes fan screenings

 

T-2

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
254	4032	50158	8.0%

^{*Numbers taken as of 6:00pm EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

420

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

57

 

SELLOUTS

1

 

 

COMPS

T-2

 

(0.465x) of GUARDIANS OF THE GALAXY VOL 3 

~$8.1M THUR Previews

 

(0.595x) of ACROSS THE SPIDER-VERSE

~$10.3M THUR Previews 

 

(1.617x) of FAST X

~$12.1M THUR Previews

 

(1.418x) of TRANSFORMERS RoTB

~$12.5M THUR Previews

 

COMPS AVG: $10.7M Previews

 

Thinking $10.5M previews and O/U $70M OW

 

But based on trends, would not be shocked if comps point to low $10M tomorrow 

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

The Flash

 

THURSDAY includes fan screenings

 

T-1

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
267	4647	53314	8.7%

^{*Numbers taken as of 6:00pm EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

615

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

13

 

SELLOUTS

1

 

 

COMPS

T-1

 

(0.496x) of GUARDIANS OF THE GALAXY VOL 3 

~$8.7M THUR Previews

 

(0.560x) of ACROSS THE SPIDER-VERSE

~$9.7M THUR Previews 

 

(1.566x) of FAST X

~$11.7M THUR Previews

 

(1.235x) of TRANSFORMERS RoTB

~$10.8M THUR Previews

 

COMPS AVG: $10.2M Previews

 

Thinking comp avg falls to $9.5M during tmrw t-0 check. As of right now, I'm ruling out $80M OW and the new target is low 60Ms with $9.5M-$10M previews. Would not be shocked if we see an OW number starting with a 5

 

Transformers comp is in complete freefall 

[TheFlatLannister]

23 hours ago, TheFlatLannister said:

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

The Blackening 

 

Wednesday

 

T-1

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
15	292	2169	13.5%

 

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

22

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

 

Thursday

 

T-2

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
56	212	8645	2.5%

 

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

36

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

12

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

 

 

COMPS (THUR ONLY)

T-2

 

(0.648x) of The Boogeyman

~$700K THUR + anything it makes from EA

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

The Blackening 

 

Wednesday

 

T-0

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
15	376	2169	17.3%

 

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

84

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

 

Thursday

 

T-1

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
56	248	8645	2.9%

 

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

36

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

 

 

COMPS (THUR ONLY)

T-1

 

(0.615x) of The Boogeyman

~$670K THUR + anything it makes from EA

[TheFlatLannister]

23 hours ago, TheFlatLannister said:

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

INDIANA JONES AND THE DIAL OF DESTINY

 

THURSDAY

 

T-16

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
183	1866	37284	5.0%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00pm EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

20

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

18

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

 

COMPS

T-16

 

(0.367x) of GUARDIANS OF THE GALAXY VOL 3

~$6.4M THUR Previews

 

(1.328x) of FAST X

~$9.9M THUR Previews

 

(1.568x) of TRANSFORMERS RoTB

~$13.8M THUR Previews

 

COMPS AVG : $10M

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

INDIANA JONES AND THE DIAL OF DESTINY

 

THURSDAY

 

T-15

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
183	1904	37284	5.1%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00pm EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

38

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

 

COMPS

T-15

 

(0.370x) of GUARDIANS OF THE GALAXY VOL 3

~$6.5M THUR Previews

 

(1.337x) of FAST X

~$10M THUR Previews

 

(1.543x) of TRANSFORMERS RoTB

~$13.6M THUR Previews

 

COMPS AVG : $10M