The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

[keysersoze123]

On 6/16/2023 at 12:31 PM, keysersoze123 said:

Indiana Jones MTC1

Previews - 33764/518234 633552.18 2533 shows

Friday - 21709/766741 393499.73 3690 shows

 

3 days of data. Pace has picked up with some positive reviews/reactions but still no where looking like a 100m opener. Something crazy has to happen final week for that to be possible. 

 

Friday sales are still below Oppenheimer. :-)

 

Indiana Jones MTC1

Previews(T-11) - 36631/517727 685174.59 2531 shows +2867

Friday - 24162/764454 438660.70 3683 shows +2453

 

Pace is still anemic and it does not have any catalyst until final week. Not sure its going to hit the tracking as well. 

[keysersoze123]

On 6/16/2023 at 10:59 AM, keysersoze123 said:

Oppenheimer MTC1 

Previews -  27419/263874 550493.27 1309 shows

Friday - 22686/478853 442784.46 2305 shows

Oppenheimer MTC1

Previews - 28773/264034 576104.09 1312 shows

Friday - 24159/478754 470835.63 2312 shows

 

At this point in its presales cycle skews Imax/70mm. Those shows are selling strong even beyond opening day. There are people who are booking into 3rd weekend at this point !! Standard shows and other formats will sell closer to release. its also going ot have very high ATP as sales so far are driven by big markets and formats. 4m is too low for its previews. I should be back just before this movie opens and so will update final few days. 

 

 

linc sq on 8/5 630PM show

[BestPicturePlutoNash]

It's the NY Lincoln Square IMAX.. it would always sell there. It's the best 70mm possible screening. And Lincoln Square always does well for IMAX. I'm more curious to see this play outside the filmbro IMAX demo in regular showtimes and outside of the coasts

[keysersoze123]

On 6/16/2023 at 7:11 AM, keysersoze123 said:

MI7 MTC1

Monday - 12052/53358 262035.84 217 shows

Tuesday - 16747/552025 324327.93 2698 shows

MI7 MTC1

Monday - 14480/52714 313056.14 215 shows

Tuesday - 19960/559541 386807.68 2726 shows

 

its going to be slow going until next catalyst. Hopefully reviews are out soon for this. As things stand its going to rely on exceptional WOM and legs than a huge OW. 

[GOGODanca]

1 minute ago, keysersoze123 said:

MI7 MTC1

Monday - 14480/52714 313056.14 215 shows

Tuesday - 19960/559541 386807.68 2726 shows

 

its going to be slow going until next catalyst. Hopefully reviews are out soon for this. As things stand its going to rely on exceptional WOM and legs than a huge OW. 

Social embargo drops in less then 3 hours

 

full reviews drop on july 5

[PrinceRico]

As of right now is it safe to say No Hard Feelings is look at a 10 million or less opening?

[emoviefan]

1 hour ago, keysersoze123 said:

Indiana Jones MTC1

Previews(T-11) - 36631/517727 685174.59 2531 shows +2867

Friday - 24162/764454 438660.70 3683 shows +2453

 

Pace is still anemic and it does not have any catalyst until final week. Not sure its going to hit the tracking as well. 

I think the problem is that even though the reviews have improved they are still pretty mixed and coming off KOTC this needed a TG Maverick perfect storm to really break out. Just hoping for good WOM with audiences at this point and we don't get another Flash where the negativity spreads like wildfire and overwhelms it. 

[Flip]

1 hour ago, keysersoze123 said:

MI7 MTC1

Monday - 14480/52714 313056.14 215 shows

Tuesday - 19960/559541 386807.68 2726 shows

 

its going to be slow going until next catalyst. Hopefully reviews are out soon for this. As things stand its going to rely on exceptional WOM and legs than a huge OW. 

Early reports are saying it’s not at the level of fallout, but more rogue nation level. 

[emoviefan]

1 minute ago, Flip said:

Early reports are saying it’s not at the level of fallout, but more rogue nation level. 

Not a bad thing at all. . I love RN and it goes back and forth between this and Fallout for me which is better. RN is 94% on RT.If they said it was MI 2 level than yeah we got a problem.  

[M37]

3 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

4m is too low for its previews.

To be clear, I wasn’t suggesting a $4M final, but rather something above that. Just don’t know whether that’s more like $5-$6 or $6-$8

[ringedmortality]

11 minutes ago, M37 said:

To be clear, I wasn’t suggesting a $4M final, but rather something above that. Just don’t know whether that’s more like $5-$6 or $6-$8

  

8M Thursday and a 10 IM. The Top Gun: Maverick of dramas.

[TheFlatLannister]

On 6/18/2023 at 5:32 PM, TheFlatLannister said:

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

Mission Impossible: Dead Reckoning Part One

 

Tuesday (Previews?)

 

T-23

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
166	829	33846	2.4%

^{*numbers taken as of 5:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

48

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

EA

 

T-22

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
11	496	2148	23.1%

 

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

14

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

 

Mi7 Walmart+ Special 

 

MTC1 = 21 sold / 291 seats  (+0)

MTC2 = 21 sold / 114 seats  (+0)

 

 

Unofficial COMP: $7.4M RotB EXCLUDING ANY EA

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

Mission Impossible: Dead Reckoning Part One

 

Tuesday (Previews?)

 

T-22

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
166	866	33846	2.6%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

37

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

EA

 

T-21

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
11	503	2148	23.4%

 

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

7

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

 

Mi7 Walmart+ Special 

 

MTC1 = 23 sold / 291 seats  (+2)

MTC2 = 24 sold / 114 seats  (+3)

 

 

Unofficial comp: (0.863x) of RotB $7.6M EXCLUDING ANY EA

[TheFlatLannister]

On 6/18/2023 at 5:35 PM, TheFlatLannister said:

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

INDIANA JONES AND THE DIAL OF DESTINY

 

THURSDAY

 

T-11

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
183	2104	37284	5.6%

^{*numbers taken as of 5:00pm EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

41

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

 

COMPS

T-11

 

(0.835x) of THE FLASH

~$8.1M THUR Previews

 

(1.411x) of FAST X

~$10.6M THUR Previews

 

COMPS AVG : $9.3M

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

INDIANA JONES AND THE DIAL OF DESTINY

 

THURSDAY

 

T-10

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
183	2143	37284	5.7%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00pm EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

39

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

 

COMPS

T-10

 

(0.822x) of THE FLASH

~$7.9M THUR Previews

 

(1.368x) of FAST X

~$10.3M THUR Previews

 

COMPS AVG : $9.1M

 

Unremarkable pace this close to release. This is feeling like a Flash type scenario where projection continue to fall as the week continues. 

 

It looks like $65M-$75M OW right now

[TheFlatLannister]

On 6/18/2023 at 6:12 PM, TheFlatLannister said:

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

OPPENHEIMER

 

THURSDAY previews

 

T-32

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
70	906	12741	7.1%

^{*Numbers taken as of 6:00pm EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

9

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

1

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

OPPENHEIMER

 

THURSDAY previews

 

T-31

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
70	912	12741	7.2%

^{*Numbers taken as of 6:00pm EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

6

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

1

[TheFlatLannister]

On 6/18/2023 at 6:16 PM, TheFlatLannister said:

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

No Hard Feelings

 

THURSDAY

 

T-4

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
38	228	4487	5.0%

 

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

41

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

Unofficial comp ~$915K

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

No Hard Feelings

 

THURSDAY

 

T-3

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
74	295	11758	2.5%

 

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

67

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

36

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

Unofficial comp ~$1.1M

Edited June 19, 2023 by TheFlatLannister

[TheFlatLannister]

On 6/18/2023 at 6:19 PM, TheFlatLannister said:

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

ASTEROID CITY

 

THURSDAY

 

T-4

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
21	341	2455	13.9%

 

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

22

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

Comp ~$1.4M+ previews 

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

ASTEROID CITY

 

THURSDAY

 

T-3

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
35	382	4864	7.9%

 

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

41

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

14

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

Comp $1.4M+ previews 

[TheFlatLannister]

On 6/18/2023 at 6:22 PM, TheFlatLannister said:

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

RUBY GILLMAN, TEENAGE KRAKEN

 

THURSDAY

 

T-11

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
77	150	11728	1.3%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00pm EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

4

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

 

COMPS

T-11

 

(0.285x) of ELEMENTAL

~$680K THUR Previews

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

RUBY GILLMAN, TEENAGE KRAKEN

 

THURSDAY

 

T-10

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
77	149	11728	1.3%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00pm EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

-1

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

 

COMPS

T-10

 

(0.276x) of ELEMENTAL

~$650K THUR Previews

 

oof man this looks like a mega bomb. Not even selling 1 ticket this close to release is just bad

[Inceptionzq]

On 6/18/2023 at 3:25 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny Denver Previews

AMC Westminster 24

Total

187

2338

8.00%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

214

1195

17.91%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST DAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
818	18	19924	4.11%	13	101

 

0.712

The Flash T-11

6.91M

2.092

Ghostbusters T-11

9.41M

Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny Denver Previews

AMC Westminster 24

Total

191

2338

8.17%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

224

1195

18.74%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST DAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
861	43	19924	4.32%	13	101

 

0.697	The Flash T-10	6.76M
0.290	Avatar 2 T-10	4.94M

2.031	Ghostbusters T-10	9.14M
1.437	NTTD T-10	8.95M

[Inceptionzq]

On 6/18/2023 at 3:28 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny Alamo Drafthouse

T-11 Thursday

115 Showings

4963

+103

18793

ATP:

15.67

2.013

The Flash T-11

19.52M

2.588

Ghostbusters T-11

11.64M

 

T-12 Friday

159 Showings

4388

+96

26614

ATP:

15.45

2.572

The Flash T-12

38.07M

2.676

Ghostbusters T-12

32.51M

 

T-13 Saturday

159 Showings

4279

+160

26754

ATP:

14.73

2.759

The Flash T-13

43.31M

2.654

Ghostbusters T-13

43.64M

 

T-14 Sunday

139 Showings

2397

+91

23618

ATP:

14.25

3.632

The Flash T-14

3.239

Ghostbusters T-14

35.37M

Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny Alamo Drafthouse

T-10 Thursday

115 Showings

5103

+140

18793

ATP:

15.66

1.940	The Flash T-10	18.82M
1.095	Avatar 2 T-10	18.61M

2.480

Ghostbusters T-10

11.16M

 

T-11 Friday

159 Showings

4554

+166

26614

ATP:

15.45

2.508	The Flash T-11	37.11M
0.769	Avatar 2 T-11	27.84M

2.547

Ghostbusters T-11

30.95M

 

T-12 Saturday

159 Showings

4464

+185

26754

ATP:

14.74

2.717	The Flash T-12	42.66M
0.632	Avatar 2 T-12	28.01M

2.488

Ghostbusters T-12

40.91M

 

T-13 Sunday

139 Showings

2556

+159

23618

ATP:

14.32

3.631	The Flash T-13	56.28M
0.604	Avatar 2 T-13	22.10M

3.102

Ghostbusters T-13

33.87M

[emoviefan]

23 minutes ago, TheFlatLannister said:

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

INDIANA JONES AND THE DIAL OF DESTINY

 

THURSDAY

 

T-10

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
183	2143	37284	5.7%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00pm EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

39

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

 

COMPS

T-10

 

(0.822x) of THE FLASH

~$7.9M THUR Previews

 

(1.368x) of FAST X

~$10.3M THUR Previews

 

COMPS AVG : $9.1M

 

Unremarkable pace this close to release. This is feeling like a Flash type scenario where projection continue to fall as the week continues. 

 

It looks like $65M-$75M OW right now

The mixed reviews are killing this movie with the older review dependent crowd.They look at RT and see it stuck around 54-57% . Maybe next week the final push of reviews will improve it. This movie screams late buy and walkup. Fingers crossed.