The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

[Joyous Legion]

16 minutes ago, Eric is a furry said:

Total Seats Sold Today: 751

 

Comp

0.627x of Spider-Man: No Way Home T-4 (31.33M)

1.722x of The Batman T-4 (37.19M)

I think something wacky happened here, maybe a typo of some kind behind the scenes? I went back to the Batman t-4 post and it looks like that comp should be at 1.936x now for 41.82. Didn’t bother going far back enough for NWH once I noticed that but it also seems implausible for that comp to be right as NWH would need ~1.8k sun daily tickets

Edited May 2, 2022 by Illuminegion Confirmed

[Porthos]

23 hours ago, Porthos said:

 

Jurassic World Dominion Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-40 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	163	21792	22825	1033	4.53%

 

Total Net Showings Added Today	5
Total Net Seats Added Today	493
Total Seats Sold Today	96

 

Day 3 Comps

	%		Sold Day 3	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
F9:	188.16		78	549		0/92	13434/13983	3.93%		4407	22.67%		13.99m
GBA:	375.64		27	275		0/108	16420/16695	1.65%		3034	34.05%		16.90m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Jurassic World Dominion's current tickets sold versus that final number.

COMP NOTE: The F9 comp has been adjusted to reflect the absence of Ontario theaters in the DOM market during F9's pre-sale run (what would normally be the comp/0.955).

 

***EXTREMELY UNOFFICIAL COMP***
JW3 = 1.00344x JW2 at the same sources of tracking on Day 3 [13.82m adj]
JW3 = 2.35215x KotM at the same sources of tracking on Day 3 [13.34m adj]

NOTE: Comp has been adjusted downward by 10% to account for differences in comping in Sacto from 2018/19 to 2022.

Regal:     153/5924  [2.58% sold]
Matinee:    50/1537  [3.25% | 4.84% of all tickets sold]

 

Jurassic World Dominion Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-39 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	167	22418	23503	1085	4.62%

 

Total Showings Added Today	4
Total Seats Added Today	678
Total Seats Sold Today	52

 

Day 4 Comps

	%		Sold Day 4	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
F9:	186.11		34	583		0/92	13400/13983	4.17%		4407	23.80%		13.84m
GBA:	344.44		40	315		0/108	16380/16695	1.89%		3034	35.76%		15.50m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Jurassic World Dominion's current tickets sold versus that final number.

COMP NOTE: The F9 comp has been adjusted to reflect the absence of Ontario theaters in the DOM market during F9's pre-sale run (what would normally be the comp/0.955).

 

***EXTREMELY UNOFFICIAL COMP***
JW3 = 0.9572x JW2 at the same sources of tracking on Day 4 [13.18m adj]
JW3 = 1.95319x KotM at the same sources of tracking on Day 4 [11.07m adj]

NOTE: Comp has been adjusted downward by 10% to account for differences in comping in Sacto from 2018/19 to 2022.

Regal:     160/5924  [2.70% sold]
Matinee:    52/1537  [3.38% | 4.79% of all tickets sold]

 

====

 

Final day of comps for a few weeks, as we enter the "flying blind" period.

[Porthos]

[Porthos]

23 hours ago, Porthos said:

 

Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-5 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	353	29171	42680	13509	31.65%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

446

 

T-5 Comps - SOME COMPS BETTER THAN OTHERS EDITION

	%		Sold T-5	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
NWH:	68.41		515	19748		1/325	19372/39120	50.48%		28183	47.93%		34.20m
Batsy:	238.97		251	5653		0/297	31137/36790	15.37%		11757	114.90%		51.62m

PRE-SALE NOTE: Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness tickets have been on sale for twelve more days than No Way Home's tickets had been on sale at this point in pre-sales, and eight more days than The Batman's main showings had been on sale.

 

Multiverse of Madness has sold...

	Final Sold	% of Final	Est Gross
BW:	9196	146.90%	20.30
SC:	5847	231.04%	20.33
LTBC:	7712	175.17%	20.32
ET:	6409	210.78%	20.02
NWH:	28183	47.93%	23.97
Batsy:	11757	114.90%	24.82

 

Regal:     3028/11027  [27.46% sold]
Matinee:    933/4632  [20.14% | 6.91% of all tickets sold]

 

Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-4 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	353	28327	42680	14353	33.63%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

844

 

T-4 Comps - SOME COMPS BETTER THAN OTHERS EDITION

	%		Sold T-4	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
NWH:	69.94		774	20522		1/325	18598/39120	52.46%		28183	50.93%		34.97m
Batsy:	238.38		368	6021		0/297	30769/36790	16.37%		11757	122.08%		51.49m

PRE-SALE NOTE: Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness tickets have been on sale for twelve more days than No Way Home's tickets had been on sale at this point in pre-sales, and eight more days than The Batman's main showings had been on sale.

 

Multiverse of Madness has sold...

	Final Sold	% of Final	Est Gross
BW:	9196	156.08%	21.57
SC:	5847	245.48%	21.60
LTBC:	7712	186.11%	21.59
ET:	6409	223.95%	21.28
NWH:	28183	50.93%	25.46
Batsy:	11757	122.08%	26.37

 

Regal:     3261/11027  [29.57% sold]
Matinee:    993/4632  [21.44% | 6.92% of all tickets sold]

Edited May 2, 2022 by Porthos

[THUNDER BIRD]

45 minutes ago, Porthos said:

 

Jurassic World Dominion Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-39 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	167	22418	23503	1085	4.62%

 

Total Showings Added Today	4
Total Seats Added Today	678
Total Seats Sold Today	52

 

Day 4 Comps

	%		Sold Day 4	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
F9:	186.11		34	583		0/92	13400/13983	4.17%		4407	23.80%		13.84m
GBA:	344.44		40	315		0/108	16380/16695	1.89%		3034	35.76%		15.50m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Jurassic World Dominion's current tickets sold versus that final number.

COMP NOTE: The F9 comp has been adjusted to reflect the absence of Ontario theaters in the DOM market during F9's pre-sale run (what would normally be the comp/0.955).

 

***EXTREMELY UNOFFICIAL COMP***
JW3 = 0.9572x JW2 at the same sources of tracking on Day 4 [13.18m adj]
JW3 = 1.95319x KotM at the same sources of tracking on Day 4 [11.07m adj]

NOTE: Comp has been adjusted downward by 10% to account for differences in comping in Sacto from 2018/19 to 2022.

Regal:     160/5924  [2.70% sold]
Matinee:    52/1537  [3.38% | 4.79% of all tickets sold]

 

====

 

Final day of comps for a few weeks, as we enter the "flying blind" period.

[Tokugennumataka]

JWD yet to impress, prolly will gain significantly as the window narrows. 

[katnisscinnaplex]

On 4/29/2022 at 11:35 AM, katnisscinnaplex said:

Day	Movie	Area	TC	Shows	Seats	Sold	New	% Sold
T-41	JW3 Dominion	Jacksonville	6	105	15,656	264	129	1.69%
		Phoenix	6	93	15,960	235	150	1.47%
		Raleigh	7	62	7,136	212	139	2.97%
	JW3 Dominion Total		19	260	38,752	711	418	1.83%

 

I don't know if I'll have time to pull the others, but here's day 1 for JW3

 

Day 1 comps

 - F9 - 2.614x (18.56m)

 - Shang-Chi - 1.226x (10.79m)

- Black Widow - .8x (10.59m)

 

On 4/29/2022 at 1:35 PM, katnisscinnaplex said:

Day	Movie	Area	TC	Shows	Seats	Sold	New	% Sold
T-41	JW3+JP	Jacksonville	2	2	225	60	60	26.67%
		Phoenix	5	5	564	152	120	26.95%
		Raleigh	2	2	188	71	37	37.77%
	JW3+JP Total		9	9	977	283	217	28.97%

 

The Dominion/Jurassic Park double feature has sold really well.  It looks like it's in every AMC in my areas.

 

On 4/29/2022 at 2:36 PM, katnisscinnaplex said:

Day	Movie	Area	TC	Shows	Seats	Sold	New	% Sold
T-19	Downton Abbey (EA)	Jacksonville	6	6	783	24	0	3.07%
		Phoenix	6	6	606	12	0	1.98%
		Raleigh	7	7	708	54	0	7.63%
	DA (EA) Total		19	19	2,097	90	0	4.29%
T-20	Downton Abbey	Jacksonville	6	11	1,550	46	5	2.97%
		Phoenix	6	8	1,212	44	4	3.63%
		Raleigh	7	8	935	54	0	5.78%
	DA Total		19	27	3,697	144	9	3.90%
T-6	Doctor Strange 2	Jacksonville	7	157	24,345	3,979	300	16.34%
		Phoenix	7	141	20,240	4,393	435	21.70%
		Raleigh	8	130	15,318	4,557	214	29.75%
	DS 2 Total		22	428	59,903	12,929	949	21.58%

 

DS2 final sales (T-1 hour) comps

 - Eternals - 2.407x (22.86m)

 - Shang-Chi - 3.15x (27.76m)

 - Black Widow - 1.756x (23.18m)

 - No Way Home - .373x (18.64m)

 

My last Batman run was preview morning - Thu + EA comp is at 24.72m

 

DS2 T-6 comps

 - Spider-Man - .601x (30.06m)

 - Black Widow - 4.28x (56.55m)

 - Batman (Thu) - missed

 - Batman + EA - missed

 

Downton EA T-19 comps

 - Sonic EA - 1.07x (1.36m)

 

Downton T-20 comps

 - Black Widow - .1x (1.37m)

 - Eternals - missed

 - Sonic 2 - .656x (3.26m)

 

Really big day for Strange, hope it can continue.

Day	Movie	Area	TC	Shows	Seats	Sold	New*	% Sold
T-16	Downton Abbey (EA)	Jacksonville	6	6	783	24	0	3.07%
		Phoenix	6	6	606	14	2	2.31%
		Raleigh	7	7	708	56	2	7.91%
	DA (EA) Total		19	19	2,097	94	4	4.48%
T-17	Downton Abbey	Jacksonville	6	11	1,550	58	12	3.74%
		Phoenix	6	8	1,212	47	3	3.88%
		Raleigh	7	8	935	68	14	7.27%
	DA Total		19	27	3,697	173	29	4.68%
T-3	Doctor Strange 2	Jacksonville	7	157	24,345	4,752	773	19.52%
		Phoenix	7	141	20,240	5,268	875	26.03%
		Raleigh	8	130	15,318	5,194	637	33.91%
	DS 2 Total		22	428	59,903	15,214	2,285	25.40%
T-38	JW3 Dominion	Jacksonville	6	105	15,656	305	41	1.95%
		Phoenix	6	93	15,960	303	68	1.90%
		Raleigh	8	64	7,294	275	63	3.77%
	JW3 Dominion Total		20	262	38,910	883	172	2.27%
T-38	JW3+JP	Jacksonville	2	2	225	71	11	31.56%
		Phoenix	5	5	564	174	22	30.85%
		Raleigh	2	2	188	135	64	71.81%
	JW3+JP Total		9	9	977	380	97	38.89%

*All new sales since Friday morning*

 

DS2 final sales (T-1 hour) comps

 - Eternals - 2.832x (26.9m)

 - Shang-Chi - 3.712x (32.66m)

 - Black Widow - 2.067x (27.28m)

 - No Way Home - .439x (21.93m)

 

My last Batman run was preview morning - Thu + EA comp is at 29.09m

 

DS2 T-3 comps

 - Spider-Man - .636x (31.78m)

 - Black Widow - 4.25x (56.08m)

 - Batman (Thu) - 2.85x (50.23m)

 - Batman + EA - 2.078x (44.89m)

 - Eternals - 5.73x (54.38m)

 

Downton EA T-16 comps

 - Sonic EA - .9x (1.15m)

 - NTTD EA - 1.47x (1.62m)

 

Downton T-17 comps

 - No Time to Die - .611x (3.18m)

 - F9 - .392x (2.785m)

 - Sonic 2 - .631x (3.144m)

 

JW3 final sales (T-1 hr) comps

 - F9 - .23x (1.63m)

 - Ghostbusters - .37x (1.54m)

 - NTTD - .323x (1.68m)

- Dune - .32x (1.64m)

Edited May 2, 2022 by katnisscinnaplex

[Eric is Anxious]

7 hours ago, Illuminegion Confirmed said:

I think something wacky happened here, maybe a typo of some kind behind the scenes? I went back to the Batman t-4 post and it looks like that comp should be at 1.936x now for 41.82. Didn’t bother going far back enough for NWH once I noticed that but it also seems implausible for that comp to be right as NWH would need ~1.8k sun daily tickets

You're correct. I accidentally compared Strange's T-4 number with a T-3 number for both Spidey and Batsy (should I call it Strangey?). I guess I wasn't paying attention and really wanted to get this over with, and I apologize for not checking ahead of time. Either way, thanks for bringing this to my attention.

 

Both are fixed and are a lot rosier than before.

[katnisscinnaplex]

On 4/28/2022 at 6:12 PM, katnisscinnaplex said:

Santikos Tracking

 

Format breakdown

 

Day	Movie	Format	Shows	New	Sold	True Cap	% Sold	ATP	Gross
T-42	JW3	PLF	30	361	361	6,386	5.65%	$17.35	$6,262.12
		Standard	75	131	131	10,359	1.26%	$11.67	$1,529.26
	JW3 Total		105	492	492	16,745	2.94%	$15.84	$7,791.38
T-7	DS 2	PLF	58	189	6,163	11,808	52.19%	$15.76	$97,112.99
		Standard	100	284	4,890	12,822	38.14%	$11.96	$58,479.14
	DS 2 Total		158	473	11,053	24,630	44.88%	$14.08	$155,592.13
T-8	DS 2 (Fri)	PLF	86	295	4,802	17,872	26.87%	$16.00	$76,823.82
		Standard	148	302	3,189	20,784	15.34%	$12.16	$38,789.19
	DS 2 (Fri) Total		234	597	7,991	38,656	20.67%	$14.47	$115,613.01

 

Matinee breakdown

 

Day	Movie	Mat	Shows	New	Sold	True Cap	% Sold	ATP	Gross
T-42	JW3	N	84	445	445	13,676	3.25%	$16.41	$7,303.44
		Y	21	47	47	3,069	1.53%	$10.38	$487.94
	JW3 Total		105	492	492	16,745	2.94%	$15.84	$7,791.38
T-7	DS 2	N	116	329	9,058	17,847	50.75%	$14.62	$132,429.68
		Y	42	144	1,995	6,783	29.41%	$11.61	$23,162.45
	DS 2 Total		158	473	11,053	24,630	44.88%	$14.08	$155,592.13
T-8	DS 2 (Fri)	N	111	386	6,727	18,417	36.53%	$15.00	$100,927.72
		Y	123	211	1,264	20,239	6.25%	$11.62	$14,685.29
	DS 2 (Fri) Total		234	597	7,991	38,656	20.67%	$14.47	$115,613.01

 

*Had a typo in one matinee PLF show for DS2 Friday yesterday that inflated new sales by 87*

 

Thursday T-7 comps

 - Spider-Man - .704x (35.17m)

 - Batman - 3.218x (56.63m)

 - Batman + EA - 2.852x (61.59m)

 

Friday T-8 comps

 - Spider-Man - .619x (44.58m)

 - Batman - 2.76x (96.6m)

 

Numbers run a few hours later than normal so they'll be a little inflated

Santikos Tracking

 

Format breakdown

 

Day	Movie	Format	Shows	New*	Sold	True Cap	% Sold	ATP	Gross
T-3	DS 2	PLF	58	592	6,755	11,808	57.21%	$15.68	$105,926.01
		Standard	100	963	5,853	12,822	45.65%	$11.89	$69,573.02
	DS 2 Total		158	1,555	12,608	24,630	51.19%	$13.92	$175,499.03
T-38	JW3	PLF	30	334	695	6,386	10.88%	$17.17	$11,930.41
		Standard	75	199	330	10,359	3.19%	$11.74	$3,873.42
	JW3 Total		105	533	1,025	16,745	6.12%	$15.42	$15,803.83
T-4	DS 2 (Fri)	PLF	86	804	5,606	17,872	31.37%	$15.88	$89,018.61
		Standard	148	995	4,184	20,784	20.13%	$12.07	$50,497.29
	DS 2 (Fri) Total		234	1,799	9,790	38,656	25.33%	$14.25	$139,515.90

Matinee breakdown

 

Day	Movie	Mat	Shows	New*	Sold	True Cap	% Sold	ATP	Gross
T-3	DS 2	N	116	1,109	10,167	17,847	56.97%	$14.50	$147,452.99
		Y	42	446	2,441	6,783	35.99%	$11.49	$28,046.04
	DS 2 Total		158	1,555	12,608	24,630	51.19%	$13.92	$175,499.03
T-38	JW3	N	84	456	901	13,676	6.59%	$16.06	$14,471.06
		Y	21	77	124	3,069	4.04%	$10.75	$1,332.77
	JW3 Total		105	533	1,025	16,745	6.12%	$15.42	$15,803.83
T-4	DS 2 (Fri)	N	111	1,340	8,067	18,417	43.80%	$14.82	$119,562.14
		Y	123	459	1,723	20,239	8.51%	$11.58	$19,953.76
	DS 2 (Fri) Total		234	1,799	9,790	38,656	25.33%	$14.25	$139,515.90

*New sales since Thursday*

 

 

Thursday T-3 comps

 - Spider-Man - .736x (36.82m)

 - Batman - 2.73x (48.05m)

 - Batman + EA - 2.494x (53.86m)

 

Friday T-4 comps

 - Spider-Man - .687x (49.43m)

 - Batman - 2.107x (73.75m)

[charlie Jatinder]

On 4/30/2022 at 8:42 PM, charlie Jatinder said:

Doctor Strange 2 Harkins T-6 Days

Format	Shows	Capacity	Sold	% Sold	Gross	ATP
Normal	411	100,997	15,478	15.33%	$172,971	$11.18
Cine 1	32	9,821	6,117	62.28%	$89,709	$14.67
Cine Capri	6	2,673	711	26.60%	$9,615	$13.52
IMAX	4	1,780	1,038	58.31%	$16,608	$16.00
3D	60	9,534	781	8.19%	$10,568	$13.53
Total	513	124,805	24,125	19.33%	$299,471	$12.41

 

1.2K added yday. Good day. For 30K need 5.9K in next 3 days, do able but need 1.5k day today probably.

Doctor Strange 2 Harkins T-4 Days

Format	Shows	Capacity	Sold	% Sold	Gross	ATP
Normal	411	100,997	18,058	17.88%	$200,774	$11.12
Cine 1	32	9,821	6,342	64.58%	$92,963	$14.66
Cine Capri	6	2,673	747	27.95%	$10,047	$13.45
IMAX	4	1,780	1,068	60.00%	$17,088	$16.00
3D	60	9,534	952	9.99%	$13,109	$13.77
Total	513	124,805	27,167	21.77%	$333,981	$12.29

 

 

Excellent day yday adding 2k+. Should be able to hit 30K today mostly. Next target 40K by WED night. 

[grey ghost]

How were JW2 walk ups when compared to JW1?

 

Big difference or small difference? 

[poweranimals]

I think Jurassic should improve after DS2 comes out.

[THUNDER BIRD]

24 minutes ago, grey ghost said:

How were JW2 walk ups when compared to JW1?

 

Big difference or small difference? 

It was rotten before it even arrived in theaters 😬😬

[THUNDER BIRD]

20 minutes ago, poweranimals said:

I think Jurassic should improve after DS2 comes out.

I think like that too, i don't even understand the point of opening sales this early. 

[Eric is Anxious]

20 minutes ago, THUNDER BIRD said:

I think like that too, i don't even understand the point of opening sales this early. 

The ticket launch was the same day as the second trailer. And that's a smart tactic. You see this awesome trailer that gets you hyped up, then you buy the tickets right after seeing it. Maybe the launch will be soft compared to having it out later, but the beginning of presales doesn't mean anything. The final total will still be the same, regardless of when you start presales. Nobody who is excited for the movie is going to skip it because the ticket window is too long or whatever.

[THUNDER BIRD]

18 minutes ago, Eric Strange said:

The ticket launch was the same day as the second trailer. And that's a smart tactic. You see this awesome trailer that gets you hyped up, then you buy the tickets right after seeing it. Maybe the launch will be soft compared to having it out later, but the beginning of presales doesn't mean anything. The final total will still be the same, regardless of when you start presales. Nobody who is excited for the movie is going to skip it because the ticket window is too long or whatever.

Obviously, won't have effect on final numbers, but as you said, it looks soft so early. Just a fan speak.

[Porthos]

6 minutes ago, THUNDER BIRD said:

Obviously, won't have effect on final numbers, but as you said, it looks soft so early. Just a fan speak.

 

It does?  Not to me, it doesn't.  Being right around FK with three extra weeks added to the pre-sale schedule seems like a very cromulent start.  Good, even.

Edited May 2, 2022 by Porthos

[Eric is Anxious]

6 minutes ago, THUNDER BIRD said:

Obviously, won't have effect on final numbers, but as you said, it looks soft so early. Just a fan speak.

If you want to hear something positive, I think nearly 900 tickets in Philly and more than a thousand in Sacramento is very, very strong for a movie that's more than a month away. That's already well ahead of most films' final totals. So we're in a really good spot.

 

If that's still not enough, then I guess you'll have to just be patient for a few weeks and think about something else during that interim.

[THUNDER BIRD]

8 minutes ago, Porthos said:

 

It does?  Not to me, it doesn't.  Being right around FK with three extra weeks added to the pre-sale schedule seems like a very cromulent start.  Good, even.

Oh, good, Thanks 😃😃

[THUNDER BIRD]

7 minutes ago, Eric Strange said:

If you want to hear something positive, I think nearly 900 tickets in Philly and more than a thousand in Sacramento is very, very strong for a movie that's more than a month away. That's already well ahead of most films' final totals. So we're in a really good spot.

 

If that's still not enough, then I guess you'll have to just be patient for a few weeks and think about something else during that interim.

Sounds good, Thanks 😀😀