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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

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Posted by Shawn Robbins,

PSA:   As a heads up to everyone, we'll be starting a new thread here very soon. For those who are newer to the forum, we typically have to split threads once they reach 1,000+ pages and are still highly active. In the past, such topics have created database slowdown issues that affect the entire forum.   Rest assured, this thread will be archived when it is locked and a link to the new one will be posted to help you find it easily (it will also be pinned to the top of the box o
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Posted by XXRDJisDoctorDoom,

Yea we're gonna drop all this non tracking stuff. That expressly means you, @excel1. Next post from you that isn't tracking related is a thread ban.    Anyone else continues, it's points. 

We're all tired of the non-tracking related thread derailments. This is your fair warning.

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katnisscinnaplex Box Office Gold

katnisscinnaplex

Posted
Posted
On 5/27/2022 at 9:37 AM, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie Theaters Shows Change Standard PLF IMAX 3D
Top Gun: Maverick 3,834 182,709   166,404 16,305 5,430 0
The Bob's Burgers Movie 3,004 58,184   57,922 262 0 0
Doctor Strange 2 3,133 51,577 -48.85% 49,723 1,854 0 1,642
Downton Abbey 2 3,234 40,011 -40.57% 39,849 162 0 0
The Bad Guys 2,466 26,817 -21.68% 26,664 153 0 62
Sonic the Hedgehog 2 1,935 16,470 -37.95% 16,403 67 0 0
Men 1,987 15,108 -52.41% 15,096 12 0 0
Everything Everywhere 1,041 10,805 -23.69% 10,767 38 0 0
The Lost City 769 5,301 -49.60% 5,240 61 0 0
Fantastic Beasts 3 674 4,334 -64.29% 4,328 6 0 0
Family Camp 503 3,606 -67.25% 3,597 9 0 0
Firestarter 832 3,471 -89.64% 3,471 0 0 0
F3: Fun and Frustration 351 3,374   3,374 0 0 0
Montana Story 277 3,228   3,228 0 0 0
2000 Mules 304 2,755 -52.13% 2,755 0 0 0
The Northman 306 1,681 -76.43% 1,678 3 0 0
Massive Talent 291 1,596 -71.93% 1,596 0 0 0

 

US showtime sample for 5/27/22 weekend

 

OW shows comps

 

Top Gun: Maverick (5/24 EA) - 1,031 (944 TC) (649 PLF)

  (These were likely all PLF, but the smaller chains don't provide screen type to my source)

Top Gun: Maverick (5/25 AMC EA) - 226 (214 TC)

Top Gun: Maverick - 182,709 (3,834 TC)

 - Batman - 171,959 (3,553)

 - No Way Home - 206,421 (3,340)

Bob's Burgers - 58,184 (3,004 TC)

 - Boss Baby 2 - 59,464 (3,042)

 - Snake Eyes - 64,832 (3,008)

 - Death on the Nile - 56,756 (2,935)

 

T-2 Week Previews

Jurassic World: Dominion - 20,186* (2,773 TC) (5,091 PLF)

 - Top Gun 2 - 21,595 (2,856) (2,787 PLF)

 - Batman - 23,704 (2,907) (2,480 PLF)

*This includes 742 showings of the JW:D/Jurassic Park double feature*

 

T-4 Week Preview

Black Phone - 2,277 (887 TC)

 - Lost City - 1,250 (482)

 - Downton Abbey - 3,057 (1,982)

Movie Theaters Shows Change Standard PLF IMAX 3D
Top Gun: Maverick 3,712 139,380 -23.71% 126,735 12,645 4,177 0
Doctor Strange 2 3,077 45,116 -12.53% 43,998 1,118 0 917
Bob's Burgers Movie 2,910 43,076 -25.97% 42,853 223 0 0
Downton Abbey 2 2,877 32,619 -18.47% 32,469 150 0 0
The Bad Guys 2,438 26,626 -0.71% 26,468 158 0 53
Sonic the Hedgehog 2 1,726 14,394 -12.60% 14,329 65 0 0
Everything Everywhere 1,269 13,144 21.65% 13,115 29 0 0
Watcher 732 10,477   10,462 15 0 0
Crimes of the Future 629 9,129   9,128 1 0 0
Vikram 437 5,022   4,994 28 0 0
Morbius 890 4,969   4,967 2 0 0
Men 826 4,420 -70.74% 4,420 0 0 0
The Lost City 570 4,206 -20.66% 4,147 59 0 0
Hustle 261 3,895   3,895 0 0 0
Major 346 3,843   3,843 0 0 0
Eiffel 285 3,641   3,641 0 0 0
Fantastic Beasts 3 494 3,374 -22.15% 3,359 15 0 0
Prithviraj 339 3,104   3,104 0 0 0
Jazz Fest 291 2,858   2,858 0 0 0
Family Camp 354 2,744 -23.90% 2,732 12 0 0
Firestarter 276 1,453 -58.14% 1,453 0 0 0

 

US showtime sample for 6/3/22 weekend

 

OW shows comps

Watcher - 10,477 (732 TC)

 - Roadrunner - 10,268 (848)

 - Mouthful of Air - 10,035 (782)

 

Crimes of the Future - 9,129 (629 TC)

 - Don't Look Up - 8,118 (655)

 - Cyrano - 9,141 (720)

 

T-1 Week 

Jurassic World: Dominion - 117,594* (3,104 TC) (30,356 PLF)

 - Top Gun 2 - 130,398 (3,199) (15,559 PLF)

 - Batman - 125,394 (3,125) (14,002 PLF)

*Includes 861 showings of the JW:D/Jurassic Park double feature*

 

T-3 Weeks Preview

Black Phone 6/15 EA - 199 (199 TC)

Black Phone - 4,270 (1,705 TC)

 - Scream - 3,888 (1,802)

 - Morbius - 4,809 (937)

Elvis 6/21 EA - 211 (206 TC)

Elvis - 4,418 (1,813 TC)

 - Downton Abbey - 3,261 (2,125)

 - Secrets of Dumbledore - 3,764 (573)

 

Still in the early stages for Lightyear and Minions so I'll wait until next week to add them.

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John2015 Indie Sensation

John2015

Posted
Posted (edited)

Did "The Princess" do badly in test screening?  Otherwise I don't know why would Disney send this film straight-to-streaming.

I saw the TV spot during NBA final, and it looks very commercial.  Joey King will be more famous after "Bullet Train", If Disney release the film theatrically after "Bullet Train",  the film could make some money at box office (if the film is not bad).

 

It is sad that Disney is releasing most of their films straight-to-streaming (except big blockbusters), while other studios start to release more films theatrically.  (Even Amazon is requiring MGM to release more films theatrically.)

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filmlover Cinematic Universe

filmlover

Posted
Posted
5 minutes ago, John2015 said:

Did "The Princess" do badly in test screening?  Otherwise I don't know why would Disney send this film straight-to-streaming.

I saw the TV spot during NBA final, and it looks very commercial.  Joey King will be more famous after "Bullet Train", If Disney release the film theatrically after "Bullet Train",  the film could make some money at box office (if the film is not bad).

 

It is sad that Disney is releasing most of their films straight-to-streaming (except big blockbusters), while other studios start to release more films theatrically.  (Even Amazon is requiring MGM to release more films theatrically.)

Joey King is a sort of streaming queen between those Kissing Booth movies, the recent The In Between, and other projects. Makes sense her latest vehicle is also a streaming title.

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XXRDJisDoctorDoom Global Phenomenon

XXRDJisDoctorDoom

Posted
Posted (edited)
10 minutes ago, Show Me The Legion said:

Damn, pretty wide. Us 20k folk gonna get rekt 🤣


Yea it’ll probably be in the $100-150K range, now that I’m looking a little closer. Texans love Texas.

 

Looking at the Derby though, I think anyone who did over $300K is going to get 0 so shooting under on this will be beneficial either way.

Edited by T-ReXXR
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katnisscinnaplex Box Office Gold

katnisscinnaplex

Posted
Posted
4 minutes ago, T-ReXXR said:


Yea it’ll probably be in the $100-150K range, now that I’m looking a little closer. Texans love Texas.

 

I hadn't heard about it, but it does appear that all of the showings are in Texas.  I want to say the same thing happened with 12 Mighty Orphans last year, but I can't remember if it had any other states included in that limited release

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katnisscinnaplex Box Office Gold

katnisscinnaplex

Posted
Posted
On 6/2/2022 at 9:53 AM, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie Day Area TC Shows New Sold Seats % Sold
Black Phone T-21 Jax 6 16 7 15 1,959 0.77%
    Phx 4 10 0 9 1,898 0.47%
    Ral 7 17 7 14 1,647 0.85%
  Total   17 43 14 38 5,504 0.69%
Black Phone (EA) T-13 Jax 2 2 0 0 141 0.00%
    Phx 2 2 1 2 229 0.87%
    Ral 1 1 0 0 91 0.00%
  Total   5 5 1 2 461 0.43%
Elvis T-21 Jax 6 25 33 33 4,322 0.76%
    Phx 4 11 6 6 1,816 0.33%
    Ral 7 16 6 6 1,679 0.36%
  Total   17 52 45 45 7,817 0.58%
Elvis (EA) T-19 Jax 2 2 42 42 403 10.42%
  Total   2 2 42 42 403 10.42%
JW3 Dominion T-7 Jax 7 107 63 1,026 15,994 6.41%
    Phx 6 93 79 962 16,293 5.90%
    Ral 8 80 59 931 9,318 9.99%
  Total   21 280 201 2,919 41,605 7.02%
JW3+JP T-7 Jax 5 5 12 171 811 21.09%
    Phx 6 6 22 362 638 56.74%
    Ral 7 7 16 159 688 23.11%
  Total   18 18 50 692 2,137 32.38%

 

Watcher comps are pointing to around 70k for previews.  Probably was too small to be worth tracking, but it only took a couple minutes so why not.

 

Crimes of Future T-0 comps

 - Resident Evil - .309x (289k)

 - Antlers - .797x (294k)

 - Firestarter - .635x (238k)

 - X - .42x (185k)

 

We should get a number for this one.  Tentative prediction is 250k

 

JW3 T-7 comps

 - Black Widow - 1.03x (13.6m)

 - Batman (Thu) - .737x (12.97m)

 - Eternals - 1.41x (13.36m)

 - F9 - 3.025x (21.48m)

 - Top Gun 2 - 1.13x (16.54m)

 

Elvis T-21 comp

 - Downton Abbey - .33x (350k)

Movie Day Area TC Shows New Sold Seats % Sold
Black Phone T-20 Jax 6 16 1 16 1,959 0.82%
    Phx 5 13 2 11 2,108 0.52%
    Ral 7 17 11 25 1,647 1.52%
  Total   18 46 14 52 5,714 0.91%
Black Phone (EA) T-12 Jax 2 2 0 0 141 0.00%
    Phx 2 2 0 2 229 0.87%
    Ral 1 1 0 0 91 0.00%
  Total   5 5 0 2 461 0.43%
Elvis T-20 Jax 6 25 7 38 4,322 0.88%
    Phx 5 14 6 12 2,001 0.60%
    Ral 7 16 12 18 1,679 1.07%
  Total   18 55 25 68 8,002 0.85%
Elvis (EA) T-18 Jax 2 2 12 54 403 13.40%
  Total   2 2 12 54 403 13.40%
JW3 Dominion T-6 Jax 7 107 71 1,097 15,994 6.86%
    Phx 6 93 67 1,029 16,293 6.32%
    Ral 8 80 70 1,001 9,318 10.74%
  Total   21 280 208 3,127 41,605 7.52%
JW3+JP T-6 Jax 5 5 10 181 811 22.32%
    Phx 6 6 6 368 638 57.68%
    Ral 7 7 4 163 688 23.69%
  Total   18 18 20 712 2,137 33.32%

 

JW3 T-6 comps

 - Black Widow - 1.04x (13.68m)

 - Batman (Thu) - missed

 - Eternals - 1.42x (13.45m)

 - F9 - 3x (21.31m)

 - Top Gun 2 - 1.11x (16.25m)

 

Elvis + EA T-20 comp

 - Downton Abbey 2 + EA - .47x (493k)

 

Fandango giving me all kinds of trouble today. Had to manually count everything on the app.

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Porthos Global Phenomenon

Porthos

Posted
Posted
5 hours ago, Eric Mitchell said:

 

7/1/2022 Minions: The Rise of Gru $65,000,000 – $80,000,000     $244,000,000 – $287,000,000     Universal Pictures

 

me to @Shawn right now:

 

star-wars-anakin-skywalker.gif

 

Spoiler

Okay, I was already planning on tracking it, but this seals the deal.

 

Spoiler

And, more importantly, couldn't pass up the opportunity to use the gif, especially with Kenobi airing right now.

 

Spoiler

Gotta stay "on brand" after all. :lol:

 

 

 

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Porthos Global Phenomenon

Porthos

Posted
Posted
1 minute ago, T-ReXXR said:

@Shawn to @Porthos

Fox Tv Threat GIF by Empire FOX

 

ngl, dreading having Lightyear, Minions 2, and Thor 2 all overlapping.  Mostly because I expect a ton of shows on Lightyear and Thor 2 which will make for a bad enough double dip even without throwing in a Sonic 2 sized Minions 2 run.

 

That brief window where MoM, JDW, and TG2 all overlapped was bad enough.  Tend to think this one is gonna be even worse. 😕 

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